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British Chancellor Rachel Reeves has stepped up her criticism of Donald Trump's war on Iran, describing it as a 'mistake' that has destabilized the global economy and damaged living standards around the world.In a marked fraying of the transatlantic relationship, Reeves said Trump's decision to break off from diplomatic talks with Iran and launch airstrikes seemed to have left the president in a worse place than he started.“I think it was a mistake to end those [talks with Iran] and to enter into conflict, because I'm not convinced that we are safer today than we were a few weeks ago,” she told an event in Washington.Reeves' comments added to blunt criticism of Trump she made just before flying out on Tuesday, when she expressed frustration at the 'folly' of his decision to go to war without a clear exit plan.The criticism adds to an increasingly tense atmosphere between Downing Street and the White House, with Trump's attacks on Prime Minister Keir Starmer becoming increasingly personal.The IMF warned on Tuesday that a further escalation in the Iran war could trigger a global recession that would affect the UK more than any of the other G7 nations.Reeves called for the urgent reopening of the strait of Hormuz to calm global energy prices, saying the lack of clear US targets in negotiations with Iran had worsened the situation.“We had the waterway open a few weeks ago. So, if now the objective is to reopen the strait of Hormuz? Well it was open at the beginning of this conflict,” Reeves added.Reeves said she had come to the IMF meetings to “deliver that fair message” that the conflict in the Middle East was hitting living standards worldwide and required urgent de-escalation.

UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves has strongly criticized the US decision to engage in a war with Iran without a clear exit strategy, labeling it a 'folly' that has significant economic implications for the UK and the world. In an interview with the Mirror before her trip to Washington for the International Monetary Fund spring meeting, Reeves expressed her frustration and anger over the US's approach to the conflict. She emphasized that the war was not initiated by the UK and that the US's lack of a clear plan has led to the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for Iranian oil shipments. Reeves stated, 'This is a war that we did not start. It was a war that we did not want. I feel very frustrated and angry that the US went into this war without a clear exit plan, without a clear idea of what they were trying to achieve.' She added that the conflict's impact is being felt globally, including in the UK, and that it was sensible for the UK to avoid involvement. The criticism comes after a tumultuous period marked by the collapse of peace talks between the US and Iran in Islamabad and the official start of a US blockade on Iranian ports. The situation has contributed to rising oil prices and threatens to increase inflation worldwide. The IMF has released new forecasts indicating that the UK will experience the biggest economic impact among G7 countries, with GDP growth revised down to 0.8% from 1.3%. Reeves has pledged to support households with energy bills if they rise and is under pressure to reconsider a planned fuel duty increase. Prime Minister Keir Starmer has established a committee to discuss the war's impact on Britain, which met for the first time on Friday. He will also attend an international summit in Paris to address safeguarding shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

The International Monetary Fund has announced that the United Kingdom will grow 0.5 percentage points slower this year than it forecast in January, marking the steepest downgrade among the G7 economies. Against the backdrop of the escalating Iran war, the IMF warned that inflation is climbing toward 4% and that unemployment could hit its highest level in more than ten years, underscoring the widening economic strain on Britain. Labour Chancellor Rachel Reeves is set to attend the IMF and World Bank spring meetings in Washington, where she must navigate both the geopolitical fallout of a conflict not of the UK's making and a domestic fiscal squeeze. Even before the war, the UK entered the year with tepid growth, hampered by lingering tax uncertainties and a cost‑of‑living crisis that left households facing the highest inflation rates in the G7. IMF economic counsellor Pierre‑Olivier Gourinchas highlighted that the country's weak outlook is partly a “shadow effect” of its already sluggish growth, compounded by the war’s impact on global energy supplies—the biggest shock since the 1970s. The United Kingdom’s energy mix remains heavily dependent on gas, much of which is now imported at sharply higher market prices. As Gourinchas explained, higher gas costs are being passed through to wholesale energy prices, even though temporary household protections are in place. Reeves has signalled that her immediate priority at the IMF will be to advocate for de‑escalation of the Iran conflict. At the same time, she must contend with a public‑finance situation characterized by elevated debt and rising borrowing costs, limiting the government’s capacity to respond. Given the pressure on consumers and Labour’s lagging poll numbers ahead of the May local elections, the IMF expects the UK to roll out targeted emergency financial support in the short term. Looking further ahead, the fund urges Britain to insulate itself from future energy shocks by accelerating investment in renewable sources and fostering sustainable economic growth.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has issued a stark warning that a further escalation in the Iran war could lead to a global recession, spiralling inflation, and a sharp backlash in financial markets. The Washington-based fund cited the economic damage from the Middle East conflict as steadily rising, prompting it to cut its growth forecasts for 2026.In its half-yearly update, the IMF predicted that the UK would suffer the sharpest growth downgrade and joint highest inflation rate in the G7 this year. Even if the fallout from soaring energy costs can be contained by the middle of 2026, the fund warned of a close call for a global recession under a worst-case 'severe scenario'.This severe scenario, involving a drawn-out war and persistently higher energy prices, would see the world face a global recession for only the fifth time since 1980. Oil prices jumped back above $100 (£74) a barrel on Monday amid choppy trading in global markets. The IMF's chief economist, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, noted that despite a temporary ceasefire, some damage is already done, and downside risks remain elevated.The IMF set out three possible scenarios for the war in its World Economic Outlook (WEO), including a central 'reference forecast' based on the assumption that disruption to the world economy from the war fades by mid-2026. This forecast predicts global growth would fall from 3.4% last year to 3.1% in 2026, a downgrade of 0.1 percentage points.Under the adverse scenario, with the global oil price remaining at $100 this year before falling back to $75 in 2027, growth would fall to 2.5% this year, and inflation would rise to 5.4%. In the severe scenario, with a lengthier, intensive war keeping the oil price above $110 into 2027, global growth would collapse to about 2%, a threshold widely seen as equivalent to a worldwide recession.The IMF urged countries to stage a coordinated response to the economic fallout from the war and called on central banks to remain vigilant. It also advised governments to focus on temporary and targeted measures to support businesses and households.

Opening new oil and gas fields in the North Sea would send a shock wave around the world, senior climate diplomats warned, saying the move would imperil international climate targets, erode the United Kingdom’s reputation as a climate leader and embolden developing countries to exploit their own fossil‑fuel reserves.The UK government faces intense lobbying from the oil industry, Conservative MPs, Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party, certain trade unions and factions within the Treasury. Yet research shows that new drilling would do little to lower energy prices and would have almost no impact on gas imports.Two of the remaining large North Sea prospects – the Rosebank and Jackdaw fields – sit in a basin that is over 90% depleted and increasingly costly to develop. Even if fully exploited, they would displace only about 1% and 2% of the UK’s gas imports respectively, according to recent analysis.Senior figures in international climate diplomacy described the prospect of new drilling as dangerous for global emissions‑reduction efforts and a step back from the phase‑out of fossil fuels.Lord Nicolas Stern, professor at the London School of Economics, warned that “new drilling and a slowdown in climate action would be bad for growth and for energy security in the UK, and a damaging signal for the world.” He added that the UK’s pioneering climate legislation and its role as the first G7 nation to commit to net‑zero by 2050 give its actions “extra weight” on the global stage.An anonymous senior African negotiator reacted angrily to the proposal, stating that Africa would “reject any proposal for the UK to expand oil drilling” because it is “fundamentally inconsistent with both the letter and spirit of the Paris Agreement” and would “weaken trust with climate‑vulnerable nations”.Christiana Figueres, former UN climate chief and co‑founder of the Global Optimism think‑tank, argued that true energy independence lies in “scaling clean, domestic energy, not in extending the life of declining industries”. She cautioned that reverting to old‑fashioned oil expansion would lock in infrastructure at odds with the direction of the global energy system.The UK has been a vocal supporter of an upcoming conference in Colombia on the “transition away from fossil fuels”, a pledge made three years ago at COP28 that remains largely unfulfilled. However, the Guardian learned that Ed Miliband, the UK secretary of state for energy security and net‑zero, will not attend; the government’s climate envoy, Rachel Kyte, will travel in his place.Campaigners had urged Miliband’s presence, citing his pivotal role in securing a last‑minute deal at COP30 in Brazil last November.Experts caution that licensing new fields before the Colombian summit could undermine progress in persuading developing nations to forgo fossil‑fuel‑based economies and adopt cleaner energy pathways.Mohamed Adow, director of the Power Shift Africa think‑tank, warned that a UK approval would “send a shock wave around the world that short‑term interests are being prioritised over long‑term responsibility”. He stressed that many African countries are being asked to leapfrog to clean energy with limited financial support, and that wealthy nations continuing to invest in fossil fuels “undermine this message and diminish their credibility”.Several developing‑country officials echoed this concern, asking, “Why shouldn’t we tap into our own fossil‑fuel resources if the UK is doing so?” They argued that leadership on climate must be consistent with actions.An ally of Miliband praised the UK’s stance, calling “no new exploration licences” a “landmark global leadership position” that shows a major oil‑producing country can align policy with climate science to avoid a 3‑4°C warming scenario.A government spokesperson reaffirmed the administration’s commitment, stating that the UK has placed “clean energy and climate at the heart of its agenda”, and that it will continue to “stop issuing licences to explore new fields, in line with the science and in securing a just transition in the North Sea”.

Donald Trump's open threats to commit war crimes in Iran have raised concerns about his impunity. The US Supreme Court's recent ruling in Trump v United States has given him reason to believe he can act with impunity within the US. However, there are international options for prosecution that lie beyond the court's lawless license.Trump's plan to bomb Iran and destroy civilian infrastructure, such as desalination plants, electrical-generating facilities, and bridges, would violate international humanitarian law's rule of proportionality. The destruction of civilian infrastructure would have a disproportionate impact on civilians, and therefore, it is not justified.The International Criminal Court (ICC) has charged Russian military commanders with war crimes for attacking electrical infrastructure in Ukraine. Similarly, Trump's actions could be prosecuted as war crimes. However, the ICC has no jurisdiction over crimes committed on Iranian territory since Iran is not a member of the ICC.There are alternative routes for prosecution. The Iranian government could join the ICC and grant it retroactive jurisdiction, similar to what Ukraine did to allow prosecution of Russian war crimes. Additionally, under the concept of universal jurisdiction, governments can use their national courts to prosecute certain crimes even if committed by non-nationals abroad.A group of countries, such as the European Union, NATO, or the G7, could establish an international tribunal to address crimes committed in Iran, including war crimes and aggression. This would allow Trump to be prosecuted as soon as the tribunal is established, without waiting for him to leave office.

The Group of Seven (G7) countries have committed to taking all necessary measures to stabilize the energy market, which has been roiled by the ongoing conflict between the US and Iran. In a statement released after a teleconference organized by France, the G7 emphasized its readiness to preserve the stability and security of the energy market in close coordination with its partners. The meeting came as Brent crude prices surged above $116 a barrel due to Iran's retaliatory actions against Gulf oil producers and the effective blockade of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. The G7, comprising the US, Canada, Japan, Britain, France, Germany, and Italy, also called on countries to refrain from imposing unjustified export restrictions on oil, gas, and related products. The International Energy Agency (IEA) had earlier agreed to release a record 400 million barrels of oil from strategic stockpiles to combat spiking global crude prices. The G7 central banks have committed to maintaining price stability, with monetary policy to be based on data. The conflict has raised fears of further escalation that could drive oil and natural gas prices even higher.

Rachel Reeves, the UK Chancellor, is set to warn G7 nations that they must move faster on clean energy to insulate economies against global price shocks from oil and gas. This comes as she and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband meet with G7 finance and energy ministers.Reeves will emphasize that long-term energy security from renewables and nuclear is the only way to prevent future crises, in a rebuke to the Conservatives and Reform who have urged her to end the ban on new oil and gas licenses.“As we move faster on renewables and nuclear, our partners in the G7 must do the same – because staying stuck on the rollercoaster of global oil and gas prices will help nobody,” Reeves stated.Reeves will argue that the G7 nations should not “shift pressure on to partners or weaken collective resilience” – a veiled warning about easing sanctions on Russian energy or on new trade barriers.The UK government plans to implement the Fingleton review this year to speed up the delivery of new nuclear power.Reeves rejected calls from the Conservatives to issue new oil and gas licenses in the North Sea, stating they would not insulate the UK from further energy shocks or bring down UK consumers’ bills.

The US and Israel are intensifying their military campaign against Iran, with Senator Marco Rubio stating that the operation is expected to conclude in 'weeks, not months'. The conflict escalated with a surprise strike on 28 February that killed Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei.Despite Iran's defiance and denial of negotiations, the US and Israel continue to target Iran's nuclear facilities and military sites. Israel's defence minister, Israel Katz, warned that attacks against Iran will 'escalate and expand' to additional targets and areas that assist the regime in building and operating weapons against Israeli citizens.The conflict has significant economic implications, with the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic waterway through which a fifth of the world's oil is usually shipped, being a key point of contention. The US has ordered thousands of marines and elite airborne troops to the region, possibly in preparation for a military effort to forcibly reopen the waterway.Iran has threatened to attack Saudi Arabia's Red Sea port of Yanbu and the Fujairah oil complex in the United Arab Emirates if a ground invasion takes place. The US president, Donald Trump, has issued an ultimatum to Iran, demanding that it allow free passage of shipping through the strait by 6 April or face the destruction of its energy plants.The conflict has resulted in significant casualties, with over 1,900 people killed and 20,000 injured in Iran, and 19 people killed in Israel. The humanitarian crisis in Lebanon has worsened, with a fifth of the population displaced and nearly 1,100 people killed.The G7 foreign ministers have reiterated the need for safe and toll-free freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz and called for an immediate cessation of attacks against civilians and civilian infrastructure.