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Beirut, Lebanon – On 24 March, Foreign Minister Youssef Raggi announced that Iran’s ambassador to Lebanon, Mohammad Reza Sheibani, was declared persona non grata and ordered to depart by 29 March. Two days after the deadline, the envoy remained in Beirut, refusing to leave. The episode unfolds against a broader conflict that has already claimed more than 1,000 lives and displaced over 1.2 million people within a single month of Israeli military action in Lebanon. It also highlights a deepening schism in Lebanese politics between supporters of the pro‑Iranian Shia militia Hezbollah and those demanding its disarmament. Imad Salamey, a political scientist at the Lebanese American University, told Al Jazeera that the ambassador’s defiance is a symptom of a larger contest over legitimacy and authority. IRGC’s Strategic Role Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) helped forge Hezbollah in 1982 as a response to Israel’s invasion. Over the decades, Tehran’s billions of dollars in funding elevated Hezbollah to Lebanon’s most powerful political and military force. Hezbollah’s popularity peaked in 2000 after driving Israeli forces from south Lebanon, but subsequent engagements—including the 2006 war, the 2008 Beirut street battles, the Syrian civil war, and the 2019 domestic protests—have eroded its broader support. When Hezbollah entered open conflict with Israel on 8 October 2023, it enjoyed limited backing beyond the Shia community. By the November 2024 cease‑fire, the group was at a low point, with Israel having killed more than 4,000 Lebanese, including leader Hassan Nasrallah and much of Hezbollah’s command. International pressure then mounted for Hezbollah’s disarmament, prompting Prime Minister Nawaf Salam and President Joseph Aoun to prioritize the issue. According to several analysts, the IRGC exploited the cease‑fire lull to dispatch officials to Lebanon, restructuring Hezbollah’s command and possibly ordering its re‑entry into the war on 2 March—just days after Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was assassinated. Prime Minister Salam has publicly claimed the IRGC is “managing the military operation in Lebanon” and even accused Tehran of launching an attack on Cyprus. Ambassador Refuses to Exit In response to the perceived IRGC influence, Raggi’s declaration stripped Sheibani of diplomatic immunity. Dania Arayssi, senior analyst at the New Lines Institute, described the move as a “landmark decision” given Iran’s entrenched role in Lebanese politics. Iran’s Foreign Ministry, however, maintains that Sheibani will not depart, and Hezbollah has openly pledged to protect him, warning that any government attempt to disarm the militia will be met with “punishment.” Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri—longtime Hezbollah ally—initially backed the government’s ban on Hezbollah’s military activity after the March re‑entry, illustrating the fluidity of alliances within Lebanon’s power‑sharing system. State Authority Tested Hezbollah’s renewed campaign, which includes dozens of cross‑border attacks and direct engagements with Israeli forces on Lebanese soil, is reshaping the political calculus. The militia’s revived confidence challenges the Lebanese government’s ability to enforce disarmament. While the ambassador remains protected inside the Iranian diplomatic compound—effectively beyond the reach of Lebanese law—critics argue that Tehran’s refusal to honor the expulsion order undermines the state’s authority, already weakened by months of war. Salamey summed up the dilemma: “The state is asserting its authority on paper, but internal divisions and competing claims of legitimacy constrain its practical power, testing the limits of Lebanon’s fragile power‑sharing arrangement.”

Donald Trump has launched a scathing attack on the UK's military capabilities, describing its aircraft carriers as 'toys' compared to those of the US. Speaking at the White House, Trump claimed that the UK had offered to send two aircraft carriers to support US military actions against Iran, but he had rejected the offer, saying 'Don't bother, we don't need it.'The comments have sparked a fresh row between Trump and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, who has refused to engage directly with the US president's repeated insults. Starmer has emphasized his focus on addressing the UK's domestic priorities, including the cost of living crisis, and has reiterated his commitment to defending British interests while avoiding escalation.Tensions between the US and UK have been rising over Nato's role in the conflict with Iran. Trump has expressed disappointment with Nato allies, accusing them of not doing enough to support the US. He also criticized Starmer for not providing sufficient support, saying 'He's not exactly Winston Churchill.'In response, Starmer has reaffirmed the UK's commitment to its Nato allies while emphasizing the need to address the threat posed by Russia. During a visit to Finland, Starmer warned of a 'war on two fronts' – Ukraine and Iran – and highlighted the importance of cooperation between Nato allies to counter these threats.The UK has deployed a warship, HMS Dragon, to the eastern Mediterranean in response to an Iranian-made missile launch from Lebanon at a UK RAF base in Cyprus. Officials are also considering deploying a Royal Navy vessel to support efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for global energy supplies.

The United Kingdom has strongly condemned 'reckless Iranian threats' after reports emerged of a missile launch targeting a joint US-UK military base on the Indian Ocean island of Diego Garcia. However, Iran's Ministry of Foreign Affairs has denied any involvement in the alleged missile launch.According to US media reports, two ballistic missiles were fired at the base, with one reportedly failing mid-flight and the other intercepted by a US warship. The incident occurred approximately 4,000km (2,500 miles) from Iran, raising concerns about Iran's missile capabilities.Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson, Esmaeil Baghaei, described the missile launches as a 'false flag' operation, suggesting that Israel might have been behind them. This denial comes as the conflict between Iran, the US, and Israel continues to escalate.The UK has condemned the alleged attack, with Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper stating that the UK would not be drawn into a wider conflict in the Middle East. The UK's Prime Minister, Keir Starmer, noted that the UK would not use a base in Cyprus for Iran-related operations.Israel's military chief, Eyal Zamir, claimed that Iran used 'a two-stage intercontinental ballistic missile with a range of 4,000km' to target the US-UK base. Zamir stated that these missiles pose a threat to European capitals, including Berlin, Paris, and Rome.The incident has significant implications for the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, with analysts suggesting that Iran's missile capabilities could change the calculus of the war for the US and its allies. The conflict has already led to a rise in global oil prices and increased tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran.

EasyJet's chief executive, Kenton Jarvis, has announced that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East has started to impact flight bookings, with a notable drop in reservations for destinations such as Turkey, Cyprus, and Egypt. Bookings have slowed for summer, with passengers opting for 'usual suspects' like Spain, Greece, and Portugal instead.Jarvis attributed the decline to the Iran war and its effect on consumer confidence. He mentioned that while the airline has hedged much of its fuel into next year, soaring kerosene prices will likely lead to a rise in air fares by the end of the summer.Fuel prices have surged, with easyJet currently paying $700 (£520) a tonne for jet fuel, compared to current spot prices of $1,850. Jarvis noted that while most European airlines are well-hedged, fares will likely increase as the higher costs are passed on to consumers.The airline's hedging strategy means it can still secure a price of $1,000 in six months, but market expectations are that fuel prices will decrease. However, Jarvis warned that the reality is that prices will start feeding into consumer costs over the back end of summer.In related news, easyJet has reopened a base at Newcastle airport, which it closed in 2020 due to Covid-19. The base will bring 140 jobs and support over 1,000 new jobs in the wider north-east region, with plans to fly up to 800,000 holidaymakers out of Newcastle this summer.