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Europe is projected to run out of jet fuel in about six weeks, according to the head of the International Energy Agency, raising the spectre of widespread flight cancellations.Fatih Birol told the Associated Press that without a rapid restoration of oil shipments from the Middle East, airlines could soon be forced to drop routes, warning that “some flights from city A to city B might be cancelled as a result of lack of jet fuel.”The shortage stems from the US‑Israel war on Iran, which has snarled global energy markets since the initial strikes in late February. In retaliation, Iran has effectively sealed the Strait of Hormuz, a critical artery for Gulf oil exports.Although a two‑week ceasefire was recently brokered, negotiations to end the hostilities have stalled, leaving the supply disruption unresolved.Meanwhile, Brent crude futures are trading more than 30% above pre‑war levels, intensifying pressure on fuel prices and adding to political scrutiny in the United States.Jet‑fuel shipments that departed before the conflict have largely arrived in Europe, but the remaining reserves are rapidly being drawn down, leaving the continent vulnerable.Airports Council International Europe has warned EU energy and transport commissioners that the region could face fuel shortages within three weeks, echoing industry norms that typically maintain about six weeks of fuel on hand.Birol warned that the situation represents a “dire strait” with serious ramifications for the global economy, noting that prolonged disruption would exacerbate inflation and dampen growth worldwide.The anticipated fallout includes higher petrol, gas and electricity prices, with the impact expected to be uneven across different regions.Airlines are already scrapping marginally profitable routes, especially those without robust hedging strategies, and even carriers with hedged fuel costs may need to reconsider schedules.Despite the broader concerns, British low‑cost carrier easyJet asserted it has sufficient fuel visibility through mid‑May and does not anticipate supply‑related issues in the near term.

Sudan, one of the world's most impoverished countries, has been ravaged by a civil war that began in 2023. The conflict, driven by a power struggle between the army and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), has left the nation unrecognizable. Over 40,000 people have been killed, and about 14 million – a quarter of the population – have been forced to flee their homes. Civilian infrastructure across the country has been extensively damaged.“We are not just facing a crisis – we are witnessing the systematic erosion of a country’s future,” Luca Renda, the United Nations Development Programme’s (UNDP’s) resident representative in Sudan, told Al Jazeera. A report by the UNDP and the Institute for Security Studies highlights the scale of Sudan’s economic collapse. Even under the most optimistic scenario of peace being achieved in 2026, Sudan would still lose an estimated $18.8 billion in gross domestic product (GDP) by 2043.The war has had a devastating impact on Sudan's infrastructure and basic services. $6.4 billion was lost in GDP in 2023 alone, reflecting a simultaneous collapse across all major parts of Sudan’s economy. The destruction of infrastructure has triggered displacement and made it difficult for people to secure adequate housing or access basic services. Up to 40 percent of power generation capacity has been lost, and key water infrastructure has been destroyed or seized, cutting communities off from clean water and sanitation.The labor market has also been severely affected, with agriculture – once the backbone of Sudan’s economy – severely hit. Cultivated land has shrunk, adversely impacting rural livelihoods. Average incomes have fallen back to levels last seen in 1992. About 90 percent of manufacturing activity has been destroyed in key economic hubs, eliminating thousands of jobs.The oil industry has suffered significantly, with oil output falling amid widespread instability and infrastructure damage. The Khartoum refinery, which previously processed up to 100,000 barrels per day, has been out of operation since July 2023. Key infrastructure, including pipeline routes carrying crude to Port Sudan, has been hit.The collapse of the Sudanese pound and supply chains has caused a sharp rise in living costs. Food prices have surged, with four pieces of bread now costing about 1,000 pounds, an amount that had previously bought six pieces. Wages have failed to catch up with inflation, leaving many households without access to necessities. Nearly half the population is now experiencing acute food shortages.The economic collapse has had a profound impact on Sudan's people, with 34 million people in need of assistance and 19 million facing acute food shortages. The war has caused death, trauma, and profound loss, casting a long shadow over Sudan’s future and dimming the prospects of a generation whose lives are being shaped by violence. If the conflict continues to 2030, Sudan’s economy in 2043 would be about $34.5 billion smaller than it would have been without the war, and GDP per capita would drop by roughly $1,700.

The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (Amoc), a critical component of the global climate system, is at risk of collapse, with new research indicating a significantly higher likelihood than previously thought. This current system plays a vital role in regulating global climate patterns, and its collapse would have catastrophic consequences for Europe, Africa, and the Americas.Scientists have long been monitoring the Amoc's decline, which is primarily caused by rising air temperatures in the Arctic due to global heating. The Amoc's slowdown allows more rainfall to accumulate in the salty surface waters, making it less dense and further slowing the sinking, creating a feedback loop.The research, published in Science Advances, combined real-world ocean observations with climate models to determine the most reliable predictions. The findings suggest an estimated slowdown of 42% to 58% by 2100, a level almost certain to end in collapse. This is a concerning development, as a collapse would shift the tropical rainfall belt, plunge western Europe into extreme cold winters and summer droughts, and add 50-100cm to already rising sea levels around the Atlantic.Experts, including Dr. Valentin Portmann and Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf, emphasize the gravity of the situation, with Rahmstorf warning that the 'pessimistic' models, which show a strong weakening of the Amoc by 2100, are unfortunately the realistic ones. He added that he is increasingly worried that the Amoc shutdown tipping point may be passed in the middle of this century, which is quite close.The Amoc's collapse would have severe impacts on global climate patterns, and scientists stress that it must be avoided at all costs. The research highlights the need for urgent action to mitigate the effects of climate change and prevent such a catastrophic event.

Gray whales have historically been a rare sight in the San Francisco Bay. They migrate over 10,000 miles from Mexico's Baja California to the Arctic region, seldom stopping in the busy shipping corridor for prolonged periods. However, in recent years, this has changed in a dire way.A new study published in the journal Frontiers in Marine Science has found that gray whales in the bay have been dying at alarming rates, largely due to collisions with vessels. Eastern North Pacific (ENP) gray whales began to appear more frequently in the well-trafficked maritime corridor around 2018.According to researchers, at least 18% of gray whales that entered the bay from 2018 to 2025 have died. They determined that for more than 40% of the whale carcasses, the cause of death was blunt force trauma consistent with vessel strikes, prompting calls for renewed efforts to help avoid more fatal collisions.“It was historically very unusual for them to enter the bay, especially for longer amounts of time or consistently year after year,” said Josie Slaathaug, lead author of the study. There are whale subgroups known to hunt for food south of the Arctic, but a majority of the recently spotted whales feeding in the bay were not a part of these foraging clusters.A wave of new whale presence had not been observed in the waters since the late 1990s. Researchers have theorized that Arctic warming is disrupting food availability for the whales, driving them to hunt in new places such as the bay, although it remains unclear what exactly they may be eating there.Their potential new feeding corner, though, is a major shipping route. The true mortality rate for whales in the bay may be higher, hovering somewhere from 40% to 50%, Slaathaug said.In recent years, there have been several reports of dead whales that wash up on Bay Area beaches. The ENP gray whale population has been in decline due to malnutrition and starvation from climate-driven prey shifts in the Arctic. The Southwest Fisheries Science Center estimated a population total of about 13,000 whales, its lowest count since 1970.“It’s not unique to their migratory corridor that a lot of whales are dying,” Slaathaug said. “What is unique about San Francisco Bay and this study was that there was such a clear emerging cause of death.”Some local efforts are under way to reduce vessel collisions. The Marine Mammal Center has developed a program called Whale Smart, to educate vessel operators in the San Francisco Bay on how to interpret whale behavior to avoid close encounters.In Alaska, where vessels also pose a threat to the whale population, one fleet company partnered with WhaleSpotter, a company that uses AI and thermal imaging to detect the presence of whales, so they can change course well in advance.Last year, the Center for Biological Diversity, a conservation group, sued the US Coast Guard, which regulates vessel traffic off the California coast, for failing to analyze how vessel routes may harm whales and sea turtles.“This most recent study about the gray whales reaffirms that we have way underestimated the problem and we are not managing human activities well enough to avoid the whales,” said Catherine Kilduff, senior attorney at the center.Federal action is needed to reduce the fatal collisions, Kilduff said. According to the Endangered Species Act, the coast guard should be consulting with the National Marine Fisheries Service when setting shipping lanes to assess impact to marine wildlife.Kilduff also suggested mandatory speed limits for vessels. “There are voluntary speed reductions on the west coast, but there is evidence that those aren’t effective. The compliance rate isn’t high enough,” she said.A 2022 study co-authored by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration found that the average speeds of large vessels had decreased from 2010 to 2019 in voluntary speed reduction zones. But, researchers determined that the cooperation rate of roughly 50% was lower than the amount needed to reduce vessel strike-related mortality to a level that maintains a sustainable whale population.“These whales are using the oceans in such a sophisticated way. We can learn so much from them, and if we can figure out ways to avoid killing them, I know that they’ll come back to healthy population levels,” Kilduff said.

Wall Street climbed to a fresh all‑time high on Wednesday as investor confidence rose on the prospect that the US‑Israel war with Iran could soon end.The benchmark S&P 500 closed at 7,022.95, breaking the 7,000‑point barrier for the first time and posting a 0.8% gain. The tech‑heavy Nasdaq surged 1.6% to 24,016.02, also a record, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average remained broadly flat.This rally has erased the steep losses recorded during the early weeks of the conflict, buoyed by the two‑week cease‑fire deal announced last week between the United States and Iran.In a Wednesday interview, former President Donald Trump told Fox Business the war was “very close to over,” a statement that lifted trader sentiment.The White House later clarified it had not requested an extension to the cease‑fire, which is set to expire on 22 April, but said negotiations were “productive and ongoing.”Quarterly earnings from Bank of America and Morgan Stanley beat market estimates, reinforcing confidence in the economy. Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan highlighted strong consumer spending, improving credit quality, and increased corporate line usage.Despite reports that the United States is preparing a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz—a chokepoint for roughly a fifth of the world’s oil and gas shipments—the markets stayed upbeat. The Pentagon has deployed 15 warships and thousands of service members to enforce the restriction.Oil markets reacted positively to the cease‑fire news, with Brent crude falling about 10% to around $95 a barrel, though this price remains roughly 35% above pre‑conflict levels.

Pet owners in Britain may soon be barred from purchasing flea‑control products for cats and dogs at local shops. The government has opened an eight‑week public consultation to consider restricting sales to veterinarians or pharmacists, arguing that professional oversight will ensure correct usage and reduce environmental harm. Current regulations allow these topical treatments—containing potent insecticides such as fipronil and imidacloprid—to be bought in any pet store. Once applied, the chemicals disperse into the animal’s fur, enter waterways through washing or swimming, and have been linked to songbird nest failures and massive bee mortality. Water minister Emma Hardy emphasized the government’s commitment to “restore nature and clean up our rivers,” noting that while the products are vital for pet health, their distribution should be limited to professionals who can advise on safe application. Research funded by the Veterinary Medicines Directorate (VMD) found that pet owners’ use of these treatments contributes to detectable levels of fipronil and imidacloprid in rivers and lakes. Environment Agency data reveal fipronil residues in 98% of water samples and imidacloprid in 66%, often exceeding toxicity thresholds for aquatic insects. One monthly flea treatment for a large dog contains enough imidacloprid to kill 25 million bees, underscoring the broader impact on pollinator populations. In the UK, fipronil is an ingredient in 66 veterinary products, while imidacloprid appears in 21. Abigail Seager, chief executive of the Veterinary Medicines Directive, acknowledged the dual role of these chemicals in protecting pets and people from parasites, but warned that “they are entering our waterways and may be having wider environmental impacts.” She called for diverse stakeholder input to balance medicine availability with ecological protection. The consultation follows a recent governmental pledge to ban imidacloprid and two other neonicotinoids—clothianidin and thiamethoxam—from agricultural use, reflecting a broader strategy to safeguard biodiversity.

Spanish archaeologists have made a groundbreaking discovery in the Bay of Gibraltar, uncovering the wrecks of over 30 ships. The three-year project led by the University of Cádiz has identified 151 archaeological sites, including 134 shipwrecks, providing a unique glimpse into the region's rich maritime history.The bay, situated at the north end of the Strait of Gibraltar, has been a strategic waterway for thousands of years, with various cultures and nations contributing to its rich history. The oldest shipwreck discovered dates back to the fifth century BC, while other finds include 23 Roman ships, two late Roman ships, four medieval ships, and 24 vessels from the early modern period.The sunken items tell the story of war, trade, exploration, and settlement in and around one of the most strategically important waterways in the world. The wreck of the Puent Mayorga IV, a small, late 18th-century Spanish gunboat, is one of the most exciting finds. This type of boat was used for rapid, stealthy attacks on British ships of the line around Gibraltar.Researchers are now working to preserve and protect the sites, which are at risk from port development, dredging, and dock construction. The climate emergency is also a threat, bringing both rising sea levels and an invasive algae that grows over rocks and wrecks alike.To share their findings and raise awareness, the researchers have created virtual models and 360-degree videos of the sites, which are available online and in local museums and town halls. This effort aims to educate the public about the importance of preserving these archaeological sites and the rich history they hold.

The United States is grappling with unprecedented levels of income and wealth inequality. The average household income in New York City stands at $131,000, yet this figure belies the stark reality that a small elite captures a disproportionate amount of wealth, leaving millions struggling to make ends meet. This extreme inequality has far-reaching economic, political, and social consequences, eroding trust in institutions and leading people to believe that the system is rigged. The issue is not unique to the U.S., as nearly one-fifth of the world's super-rich live in New York, but it is more pronounced in the U.S. than in almost any other advanced economy. A recent global inequality report found that between 2000 and 2024, the richest 1% captured 41% of all new wealth, while the bottom half of humanity received just 1%. The concentration of wealth is staggering, with billionaires now owning 16% of global GDP, up from 3% in 1987. The main driver of this trend is the failure to effectively tax the super-rich. Research has shown that in the 1960s, the 400 richest Americans paid about 50% of their income in taxes, but today they pay around 24%. This pattern is not unique to the U.S., as similar trends have been observed in Europe and other countries. Experts argue that a progressive tax system is necessary to address this issue. A minimum tax of 2% on the wealth of the super-rich has been proposed as a straightforward way to ensure they meet their obligations to society. Several countries, including Spain and Brazil, have committed to implementing this tax, and other nations are considering similar measures. In the U.S., there are signs of a paradigm shift. California voters will consider a tax on billionaire wealth this November, and Washington state has approved a 9.9% income tax on million-dollar incomes. In New York, there are calls to increase taxes on the rich and large corporations to fund essential public services. The authors of the article, Joseph E. Stiglitz, Zohran Mamdani, and Gabriel Zucman, emphasize that the idea of billionaires paying higher tax rates than working people is not radical, but rather a necessary step towards restoring a basic social principle: that those with the most should contribute their fair share so that everyone can live with dignity.

The IMF has cautioned that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, particularly the escalation of tensions between Iran and Israel, poses a substantial risk to global economic stability. The fund's half-yearly fiscal monitor report highlights that global debt levels are on track to increase due to the war's impact on energy and food prices, higher government borrowing costs, and slower economic growth.Against this volatile backdrop, the IMF has warned that governments may be forced to choose between cushioning the cost of living shock and maintaining sound public finances. The fund's report notes that global debt levels have already risen to almost 94% of GDP and are projected to reach 100% by 2029, a level not seen since the aftermath of World War II.The IMF emphasizes that any energy support schemes to shield households and businesses from the impact of higher energy prices should be targeted and temporary, focusing on those most exposed and least able to absorb price increases. The fund also cautions against using further borrowing to cushion the blow, suggesting that governments should instead reallocate spending within existing limits and prioritize crisis-related spending.The report highlights the risks associated with higher debt and interest costs, which could eventually force governments to make tougher choices or destabilize debt markets. The IMF points to the UK's experience with Liz Truss's 2022 mini-budget as an example of how market confidence can be lost when fiscal policies are perceived as unsustainable.