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The Crossroads of Colombian PoliticsColombia stands at a critical juncture as its electorate prepares to cast ballots in a high-stakes election that promises to define the nation's political trajectory for the coming years. The campaign has crystallized into a stark dichotomy, with voters presented with two fundamentally different blueprints for the country's governance, economy, and social fabric.Defining the Divergent VisionsThe political landscape has narrowed down to a decisive contest between two opposing ideologies. One camp advocates for a transformative approach to social equity and state intervention, while the other champions market-oriented reforms and fiscal conservatism. This is not merely a contest of personalities but a referendum on the direction of the Colombian state.The Stakes of a Binary ChoiceThe polarization reflects deeper societal fractures regarding economic reform, security policies, and the role of the state in addressing inequality. Voters are weighing the risks of radical change against the stability of the status quo, making this one of the most consequential decisions in recent Colombian history.Forecasting the Post-Election LandscapeThe outcome will likely set the tone for regional diplomatic relations and domestic stability, determining whether Colombia moves toward a more progressive or conservative agenda. The result will serve as a bellwether for the broader Latin American political climate.

The Rise of Tim Payne New Zealand defender Tim Payne has become an unlikely star after an influencer from Argentina called on his followers to unite and make the little-known 32-year-old a “hero” of the upcoming World Cup. The Social Media Campaign El Scarso, a football influencer also known as Valen Scarsini, identified Payne as the least-known player at the World Cup in Canada, the United States and Mexico based on his small social media following. Payne had around 4,700 followers on Instagram earlier this week, but his following has grown at a rate of almost 1,000 per minute to more than a million by Friday. The Impact on Payne's Fame Payne’s following is now six times greater than New Zealand’s captain and best-known player, Nottingham Forest forward Chris Wood. Scarsini, who has more than 500,000 followers, implored his base to “start mentioning Tim Payne everywhere.” The Future of Tim Payne's Career Now there is even a song supporting Payne, who recently made his 50th appearance for New Zealand after making his debut at 18. Payne, who plays his club football for Wellington Phoenix in the A-League Men, responded Friday to his new-found social media fandom, expressing his gratitude to Scarsini and his fans.

Glean's Rapid Growth in Enterprise AI Search Glean, a company often described as the Google for enterprise, has reached a significant milestone: $300 million in annual recurring revenue (ARR). This represents a three-fold increase from the $100 million milestone it reached just 15 months ago. The Competitive Landscape of Enterprise AI Search Glean's progress is particularly notable given the increasing competition in the enterprise AI search market. Tech giants such as Google, Microsoft, OpenAI, Anthropic, Salesforce, and Atlassian are building rival products, but Glean's CEO, Arvind Jain, believes that being a first mover in the space provides a significant advantage. Glean's Unique Value Proposition: Context Graph and AI Cost Savings Glean's AI tools have a deep understanding of customers' business needs, achieved through its "context graph" technology. This allows Glean to connect to and learn from enterprises' internal software systems, resulting in AI consuming far fewer tokens compared to direct AI deployment. The Financial Impact of Glean's AI Cost-Cutting Solutions Glean's ARR has grown three-fold in 15 months, reaching $300 million. The company's AI tools help enterprises cut AI computing costs, making it an attractive solution for businesses looking to reduce their AI budgets. Glean offers various pricing structures, including a consumption-based model and a hybrid model. The Future Outlook for Glean and Enterprise AI Search As the enterprise AI search market continues to evolve, Glean's focus on AI cost savings and its unique context graph technology position it well for future growth. With its $300 million ARR milestone, Glean is poised to remain a major player in the industry.

The Art of Provocation T Venkanna's paintings are like a sucker-punch. His first institutional solo show at London's Studio Voltaire features an overbearing altarpiece, modified by two squat side panels, depicting an orgasmic thicket of desire. The artwork is a commentary on the disparity between puritanical religious doctrine and licentious reality. The Intersection of Myth and Reality Venkanna's work is a way to consider many things, including the myth of religions. He draws inspiration from ancient Indian temples, where people touch the breasts of sculptures, making them smooth and shiny over time. His paintings are not about shocking, but about showing things around us. The Impact of Upbringing Venkanna's childhood in a small town in south-central India, where his father was a Hindu priest, had a significant impact on his work. He grew up in a one-room home with five other family members, and village people would come to ask about rituals and expectations of appropriate behavior. However, Venkanna discovered that these rules had a convenient degree of flexibility. The Evolution of Style Venkanna's artistic journey began with painting and drawing naked figures at home. He was sent to train as a drawing teacher and later enrolled in a fine art college, where he learned printmaking, miniature painting, and how to make and work with tempera. His early work was met with criticism, but he has since gained recognition, including a gold medal and support from teachers who donated their spare materials. The Future of Art Venkanna's work continues to push boundaries, exploring themes of intimacy, isolation, consent, and violation. His paintings are a counterpoint to gender inequality and prejudice, foregrounding women's experiences and depicting them as satiating their sexual appetite. As Venkanna says, 'I don't want to shock. What I'm showing are things around us.' T Venkanna: Sculpture Garden is at Studio Voltaire, London, until 23 August

The Series Begins England starts their T20 World Cup build-up with a challenging series against India, the 50-over world champions, after a 2-1 series win over New Zealand. India as Strong Contenders India is considered one of the top favorites to win the World Cup, making this series a significant test for both teams. The series will help determine the final XI for both teams before the World Cup. Key Takeaways The series begins at Chelmsford and will conclude at Taunton on Tuesday. England's recent win over New Zealand was a positive start, but India provides a tougher challenge. The match starts at 6:30 PM. Implications for the World Cup This series is crucial for both England and India as they finalize their teams for the upcoming T20 World Cup. Coaches Charlotte Edwards and Amol Muzumdar will closely watch the performances to decide on their starting XI. What to Expect The series promises to be an intriguing contest between two strong teams. With places up for grabs in both teams, individual performances will be critical.

The LeadThe United States has escalated its threats against Oman, warning that it would "aggressively" impose sanctions if the Gulf ally helps Iran establish a tolling system in the Strait of Hormuz. This intensifies President Donald Trump's recent threats against Oman, including a warning to "blow them up" if they don't comply with US demands regarding the strategic waterway.US Treasury's Aggressive StanceUS Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated on Thursday that Washington will "not tolerate" either country imposing fees on commercial ships in the strategic waterway. "Oman, in particular, should know that the US Treasury will aggressively target any actors involved — directly or indirectly — in facilitating tolls for the Strait and any willing partners will be penalized," Bessent said in a social media post."All nations should reject outright any efforts by Iran to disrupt the free flow of commerce. Tehran's days of terrorizing the region and the world are over."Global Energy Security at RiskAbout 20 percent of the world's oil flowed through Hormuz before the conflict, making the Iranian blockade a major strain on global energy supplies. The closure has sent oil prices soaring and threatens economic stability worldwide. The strait's critical importance to global energy markets makes any disruption a matter of international concern.Regional Power Dynamics ShiftThe statement comes less than 24 hours after President Trump threatened to bomb Oman, a key US ally known for its neutrality and mediation efforts in regional crises. This unprecedented threat against a close security and economic partner signals a significant shift in US foreign policy in the Middle East.While Iran has suggested joint Iranian-Omani management of the Hormuz Strait, Oman has not explicitly stated it is seeking control over the waterway, parts of which flow through its territory.Future Outlook for Hormuz StraitThe US and Iran have been indirectly negotiating to reach an agreement for a comprehensive end to the war, with control over the Hormuz Strait emerging as a major point of disagreement. Trump has stressed that the strait must remain a free passageway for international commerce.Ali Bagheri Kani, deputy secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, countered that Tehran will not allow Hormuz to be a source of insecurity for the country, stating that "the powers that have used this passage against Iran's security must be held accountable." The standoff continues as both nations dig in on their positions regarding control of this vital waterway.

The Rise of Recursive Self-Improvement in AIThe word "recursion" is the latest buzzword in AI circles. Two separate startups have taken on the name, and many more have started referencing recursive self-improvement (RSI) in their roadmaps. Like AGI before it, RSI has become a three-letter byword for a cataclysmic AI takeoff – even if there's still a little disagreement about what it exactly means.In basic terms, RSI refers to an AI system that can continuously upgrade itself. Once AI systems can manage the upgrade cycle better than humans, the process can become a closed loop, limited only by the compute power they can access, and humans are no longer necessary or even helpful.Scary or not, that's a vision that a lot of AI labs are eager to chase.Key Players Pursuing Recursive SystemsEarlier this month, well-known AI researcher Richard Socher launched the aptly named Recursive Superintelligence with RSI as an explicit goal. "Our main focus is to build truly recursive, self-improving superintelligence at scale," Socher told TechCrunch at launch, "which means that the entire process of ideation, implementation, and validation of research ideas would be automatic."A number of other prominent researchers are already chasing that same goal, hoping for a breakthrough that will make recursive self-improvement possible.One of the most prominent is Andrej Karpathy, a legendary figure from Tesla and OpenAI, who is using agent swarms to train LLMs on simple tasks for a project he calls Auto-Research. Karpathy has been unusually open about the project, tweeting about milestones regularly and making the building blocks available through a public GitHub repo. So far, the work has mostly been confined to making minor improvements on a GPT-2 scale model — as Karpathy noted in March, "It's not novel, ground-breaking 'research' (yet)" — but it's been enough to convince lots of other researchers to follow the RSI dream. And with Karpathy now working on pre-training at Anthropic, he will have plenty of opportunity to apply the idea at a larger scale.Adaption — founded by Cohere and Google alum Sara Hooker — recently launched a similar tool called AutoScientist in an effort to automate frontier training. Like Karpathy's auto-researchers, the system trains agents to make incremental improvements — but for Adaption, the goal is to make it easier to train a full-scale frontier model. If those same researchers start to push the frontier forward, the system could quickly spiral into something very much like RSI.Disarray founder Doris Xin drew more specific RSI interest when her self-trained machine learning agent took home 28 medals in a recent Kaggle competition, beating out many human-trained agents. As she sees it, the major challenge is reliability."I would argue, given infinite compute and infinite time horizon, we are already there," Xin told me. "I want to make an argument that this is not a creative endeavor, really. It's just a lot of meat-and-potatoes engineering."The Current State of Self-Improving AIThere's also plenty of evidence that the AI industry isn't very close to recursive systems in any meaningful way — and is still grappling with talking to a wary public about its progress. So Google CEO Sundar Pichai basically admitted in a recent podcast interview."It's a continuum, and we are all definitely making progress," Pichai said. "But in the way people describe RSI, that would represent a next level of acceleration and would have a lot of implications, but we aren't quite there yet."But the continuum includes an awful lot of self-improving AI systems.In January, one of Anthropic's lead programmers for Claude Code estimated that "close to 100%" of his team's code was written by the tool — a frank admission that Claude Code was literally writing itself.Just because engineers are using an AI tool doesn't mean the tool can replace them — but Anthropic seems to be getting close to replacing engineers too. In a recent survey tied to the Mythos preview, five out of 18 Anthropic engineers believed that, with harness improvements, this version of Mythos could soon substitute for an L4 engineer — a midlevel programmer who can take on involved projects without supervision.Still, there were some of the same weaknesses you might expect."Some of Claude's major reported weaknesses compared to an L4 include: self-managing week-long ambiguous tasks, understanding org priorities, taste, verification, instruction-following, and epistemics," the report reads.In other words, its weaknesses are everything involved with self-direction, which is the cornerstone for RSI. But sure, for everything else, Claude is ready to step right in.Expert Perspectives on RSI TimelinesJust like the AGI term before it, the AI industry also can't tell us how far away it is from showcasing a meaningful recursive system. When Georgetown's Center for Security and Emerging Technology assembled a group of experts to study RSI last year, the group found a major split in assessments — some expecting an imminent "superintelligence" style explosion while others expected slower progress and an eventual plateau. But all agreed that recursion made the future especially difficult to predict.Helen Toner, director of CSET and a former board member at OpenAI, told TechCrunch that simply using AI tools to do AI research isn't enough to qualify as RSI. "They're just using AI for as much as they can," Toner told TechCrunch. "And I think that is different from the classic definition of RSI, which is really that there are no humans needed."Toner pointed to a recent post by METR's Ajeya Cotra, which distinguishes different milestones on the path to the AI research takeover. One step, which Cotra calls "adequacy," would come when the system can still perform research after all humans are removed — even if the resulting research isn't as valuable or efficient. "Parity" comes when an AI-only system is as good at research as a human-only system. "Supremacy," the final stage, comes when an AI-only system outperforms a collaborative system between humans and AI.Ultimately, Cotra concludes that AI is very close to the adequacy threshold of being able to produce some work on its own — similar to the incremental changes made by Karpathy's Auto-Research system. "I wouldn't be totally shocked if you told me this milestone had already passed, and I expect it to happen in the next couple years," Cotra wrote.She was less clear on when parity will come, but once it does, she thinks it would "massively accelerate the pace of AI progress, leading to AI research supremacy within another year."The Challenges Ahead for Recursive AIWith so much of AI built on scaling laws, there's a strong tendency to think RSI will follow the same curve. Toner thinks that many of those pursuing AI research and development via RSI "think of it as a pretty smooth ladder, where you can just keep scaling up."But even if AI researchers are able to make incremental improvements like Karpathy's auto-researchers, there will be larger challenges in handing off the whole process of research. Toner put it in terms of the history of computing, which has seen human beings handing off more and more of the process while still directing things from the top."We went from machine languages to assembly language and compiled languages; you're getting further and further from the guts of the computer," Toner said. "But the human is still, in some intuitive sense, running the show."Moving beyond that paradigm will take significant challenges, both in engineering and alignment. But even with the massive investments happening, there's no infinite compute available — and the basic trade-off between human labor and machine intelligence will be hard to overcome.The Future of Recursive Self-ImprovementAs for a total recursive AI system of apocalyptic visions? The only thing researchers essentially agree on is that, like AGI, it's not here yet.

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The Proposed Suspension of Carbon Tax Ministers are in discussions about suspending a carbon tax on fertilisers, due to come into effect early next year, in an effort to curb food inflation. The move would be part of a package of measures, including the suspension of import tariffs on a range of foods including bread, biscuits and bananas. Impact on Farmers and Food Inflation Government sources said they were looking at suspending tariffs on a range of fertilisers in order to discourage farmers from leaving fields fallow. Farmers have been considering leaving their fields fallow because rising costs mean they risk selling their 2027 crop at a loss. This would increase food inflation, which is already expected to rise sharply as the conflict in Iran raises fuel and fertiliser prices. Fertiliser Costs and Global Supply Chain Fertiliser costs have soared since the beginning of the Iran conflict, during which the strait of Hormuz has been closed. About 35% of the world’s fertiliser passes through the waterway and, since the conflict broke out in late January, about 1m tonnes of fertiliser have been stranded in the Gulf. Fertiliser producers said they expected the new tariffs, which were being put in place to match an existing EU scheme, could add £100 per tonne to costs. The Future Outlook Ministers are also cutting fuel taxes for farmers. The rate for red diesel and rebated biodiesel has been cut by more than a third, which the Treasury said made it the lowest in more than two decades. According to analysis from the Central Association for Agricultural Valuers, a 500-acre wheat farm could make a loss of £70,000 in 2027 because of higher costs caused by the Iran war. With farmers making decisions about 2027 cropping now, the economic outlook means they could be making difficult decisions such as leaving fields fallow.