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Global financial markets experienced a significant shift on Wednesday as oil prices plummeted and stock markets rallied following comments from US President Donald Trump. He suggested that the conflict in Iran would be resolved within 'two to three weeks'.The international benchmark for oil, Brent crude, fell as low as $98.35 a barrel, marking a decline of over 15% from the previous day and its lowest level in a week. It later recovered slightly, trading down 2.5% at $101.Stock markets in Asia saw substantial gains, with Japan's Nikkei surging 5%, South Korea's Kospi jumping 8%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng rising 2%, and China's CSI 300 index up 1.7%. European markets also followed suit, with the UK's FTSE 100 up 1.8% and the Europe Stoxx 600 index rising 2.2%.Trump's comments on Tuesday sparked a relief rally in the US stock market, with the S&P; 500 rising 2.9%. He stated, 'Now we're finishing the job. I think in two weeks or maybe a few days longer, we'll do the job. We want to knock out everything they've got.'Market analysts are cautiously optimistic, with Emma Wall, chief investment strategist at Hargreaves Lansdown, noting that markets are 'choosing to believe the optimism from the White House.' However, she also warned that energy disruptions could continue for months, impacting inflation and economic growth.The prospect of interest rate rises in the UK has diminished, with money markets pricing in about 41 basis points of increases to the UK bank rate by the end of 2026, down from 66 basis points anticipated on Tuesday.The price of gold rose to its highest level in almost two weeks, up 0.8% to more than $4,700 an ounce.

President Donald Trump is reportedly weighing a request for Arab countries to fund the U.S.–Israel war on Iran, White House spokesperson Karoline Leavitt told reporters on Monday. Leavitt said the president is "quite interested" in calling on regional partners to share the expense.The idea mirrors the financing arrangement of the 1990‑91 Gulf War, when a coalition of Arab and Western nations covered roughly 88% of the $61 billion cost, leaving the United States to foot only about 12%.Trump also hinted that, even if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, other export‑dependent partners should manage the crisis. The strait carries about 20% of the world’s oil and LNG shipments; its shutdown has pushed Brent crude to **$116 per barrel**, up from pre‑war levels near **$65**.Iran, meanwhile, has demanded that the United States pay reparations to Iranian victims as a precondition for any cease‑fire.So far, there is no clear commitment from Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) members—countries that have themselves been hit by Iranian strikes—to finance the conflict. Analysts estimate the total bill could run into tens of billions of dollars, though exact figures remain uncertain.Experts note a shift in regional attitudes: GCC states opposed the war before it began and continue to call for diplomacy, according to Zeidon Alkinani of the Arab Perspectives Institute. He added that Israel appears to be the primary driver pushing the United States into the confrontation.History shows the United States has repeatedly sought external funding for wars it leads. During the Gulf War, Saudi Arabia contributed $16.8 billion (27% of total costs) and Kuwait $16 billion (26%). Japan, Germany, the UAE and South Korea also supplied sizable sums.Post‑World War II, the U.S. administered the Marshall Plan, providing over $13 billion to rebuild Europe, while Germany and Japan paid reparations and later funded the upkeep of U.S. bases—about $1 billion annually each.In the ongoing Ukraine war, the United States once delivered the largest aid package—€114.64 billion (≈$134 billion) by mid‑2025. Since Trump returned to office in 2025, he has withdrawn **99% of U.S. support**, shifting the financial load to European allies and turning the U.S. into a major arms supplier, with weapons sales reaching a record **$318.7 billion in 2024**. Recent deals, such as a $10 billion weapons package for Ukraine financed by European partners, illustrate this new model.These precedents underscore a pattern: when U.S. leadership faces costly overseas engagements, it often looks to allies—especially those with strategic interests—to share or assume the fiscal burden.

California is taking a significant step in regulating the artificial intelligence (AI) industry by introducing new standards for companies seeking to do business with the state. This move directly contradicts former President Donald Trump's stance on keeping the industry as deregulated as possible. Governor Gavin Newsom signed an executive order on March 30, giving the state four months to develop AI policies that prioritize public safety. Companies hoping to secure contracts with California will be required to demonstrate policies that prevent AI from distributing child sexual abuse material and violent pornography. They must also show how their models avoid incorporating “harmful bias” and detail policies aimed at avoiding “unlawful discrimination, detention, and surveillance”. The order also directs the state to come up with best practices for watermarking AI-generated or -manipulated images and videos. Newsom emphasized California's commitment to innovation while ensuring that companies protect people's rights and do not exploit or put them in harm's way. California's actions are part of a broader trend of state-level attempts to regulate an AI industry that has raised public safety concerns and worries about the potential for job displacement due to automation. According to the New York Times, states have passed more than 100 laws to shield children from chatbots and to block AI companies from using copyright-protected material. The White House issued a national policy framework for AI in December that discouraged states from passing such regulations, with Trump's executive order calling for minimal regulation to allow U.S. AI companies to innovate freely. In response, the Justice Department established an “AI Litigation Task Force” to challenge state AI regulations.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has assured that the Strait of Hormuz will reopen after the ongoing conflict with Iran. In an exclusive interview with Al Jazeera, Rubio emphasized that the strait will be reopened either with Iran's consent or through an international coalition including the US.The conflict began on February 28 with US-Israeli strikes on Iran. Despite US President Donald Trump stating that the US is pursuing diplomacy, Rubio mentioned ongoing direct talks between the US and Iran, primarily through intermediaries. Iran has denied these talks are happening.Rubio called on Iran to take concrete steps to end its nuclear programme and cease manufacturing drones and missiles. He accused Iran of seeking nuclear weapons to threaten and blackmail the world, which Tehran denies.The situation remains volatile, with speculation about a possible US troop deployment in Iran. Rubio warned of severe consequences if Iran keeps the strait closed after the conflict ends. The White House has considered various military options, including a special forces operation to seize enriched uranium stored in Iran.

Spain has taken a firm stance against the US-Israel war on Iran by closing its airspace to US military aircraft involved in attacks. This decision, confirmed by Defence Minister Margarita Robles, underscores Spain's position as a leading critic of the conflict in Europe. The move forces military planes, including those based in the UK and other European countries, to bypass Spain when heading to targets in the Middle East, except in emergency situations. This development comes after Spain denied the US permission to use its military bases for operations related to the war. “We don’t authorise either the use of military bases or the use of airspace for actions related to the war in Iran,” Robles stated, emphasising Spain's clear stance. She described the war as “profoundly illegal and profoundly unjust.” Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has been vocal in his opposition to the war, calling for the US, Israel, and Iran to cease hostilities. His statements have previously drawn criticism from former US President Donald Trump, who threatened to cut off trade with Spain. The decision to restrict airspace access could potentially worsen Spain's already strained relations with the White House. However, Economy Minister Carlos Cuerpo reiterated that Spain's stance is part of its broader refusal to participate in or contribute to a war initiated unilaterally and against international law. While US military aircraft can still use Spanish bases for logistics support under a bilateral agreement, 15 American KC-135 refuelling planes were recently diverted from bases in Spain to those in France and Germany.

Actor and comedian Rob Schneider has urged the US to reinstate the military draft for young citizens, amid the ongoing conflict with Iran. In a post on X, Schneider suggested that all American citizens should serve two years of military service at the age of 18.He argued that this would promote unity and a sense of responsibility among young people, regardless of their background. "Being a citizen of the United States gives us unparalleled Freedoms and opportunities that are the envy of the world. However, these Freedoms that we cherish do not come without a cost," he wrote.Schneider, who has not served in the military himself, believes that compulsory military service would provide young Americans with valuable skills and discipline. "Unlike in today’s universities," he said, "the military would teach them how truly great their country is."The US ended its most recent draft in 1972, during the Vietnam War. Currently, male citizens between 18 and 25 are required to register with the Selective Service system. 79 countries, including Russia, Brazil, and South Korea, have some form of conscription in place.Schneider’s comments come as the US conflict with Iran continues. The White House has stated that reinstating the draft is not part of the current plan, but President Trump is keeping his options open.

Donald Trump has issued a stark warning to Iran, threatening to "obliterate" its power stations and fresh water plants if a peace deal is not reached soon. This comes as the US and Israel's joint war against Iran enters its second month, with Tehran remaining defiant in the face of US peace proposals.The conflict has already had significant repercussions, including a record monthly rise in oil prices and concerns over a potential US ground operation to seize Kharg Island. Trump's threat to destroy civilian infrastructure, such as power and water facilities, has been condemned by human rights groups as a potential war crime.The White House has also suggested that Arab countries may be asked to help foot the bill for the war, adding a new dimension to the conflict. "It's an idea that I know that he has," said White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt.International pressure is mounting, with Spain closing its airspace to US planes involved in the conflict and the UK's prime minister reiterating that "this is not our war and we are not going to get dragged into it". Egypt's president, Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, has called on Trump to end the war, warning that "no one will be able to stop the war in our region".The conflict threatens to plunge the global economy into recession and trigger shortages of food and pharmaceuticals. The International Monetary Fund has warned that "all roads lead to higher prices and slower growth worldwide" if the conflict continues.

The recent half-billion-dollar bet on oil prices just before Donald Trump's announcement of 'productive talks' with Iran has raised eyebrows. It appears that some traders had prior knowledge of the event, allowing them to make a profitable wager. This incident is not an isolated case. Suspiciously timed trades have been observed on Polymarket, an online prediction market, before major events like the US attack on Iran and the Venezuelan coup. A single account made over $400,000 in a short period, sparking concerns about insider trading and conflicts of interest within the Trump administration. The White House denies any wrongdoing, but the Trump family's cryptocurrency ventures and $1.5 billion in earnings during Trump's second term have fueled speculation. The lack of regulation in betting markets, which use cryptocurrency and are decentralized, makes it difficult to track and shut down these activities. The article highlights a broader cultural shift towards monetizing everything, including politics, and the glorification of being one's own boss. This environment has created a culture of unscrupulous greed, where politicians and influencers promote dubious investment platforms and side hustles. The author suggests that Trump's actions represent an acceleration of existing dynamics, rather than a new phenomenon. The blurring of lines between politics and entertainment has turned politics into a global get-rich scheme. While we may never know if Trump directly benefited from these suspicious trades, it is clear that he is well adapted to this deregulated, rapacious, speculative culture.

The ongoing conflict in Iran has caused significant turmoil in the global oil markets, with Brent crude oil prices climbing 51% since the start of March, according to LSEG data. This surge has put Brent crude on track for its biggest monthly gain on record, surpassing the previous record of 46% set in September 1990 during the first Gulf War.On Friday, Brent crude closed at $112.57 a barrel, up from $72.48 a barrel on February 27, the day before the US-Israeli war on Iran began. The price of Brent crude traded as high as $119.50 a barrel during March, its highest level since June 2022, after Iran largely closed the Strait of Hormuz, a critical passage for a fifth of global oil and gas.Despite a coordinated release of 400m barrels of oil from emergency reserves announced on March 11, oil prices continued to climb throughout the month. Analysts at BloombergNEF estimate that 9m barrels of oil per day have been knocked off global oil supply due to the Middle East conflict.The conflict has also had a ripple effect on other assets, with gold prices falling by almost 15% since the start of March, on track for its worst month since 2008. The spot price of gold has been under pressure from the sale of about $3bn of bullion by the Turkish Central Bank last week, which cut its reserves by almost 50 tonnes to 772 tonnes to fund efforts to stabilize the Turkish lira.The Dow Jones industrial average has also been impacted, entering a correction at the end of last week, more than 10% below its record high. Stocks fell despite US President Donald Trump's latest extension on planned strikes against Iran's energy infrastructure, as investors anticipated prolonged disruption to oil from the Gulf.“Markets appear to be placing less weight on White House jawboning and focusing more on the underlying supply risks,” said Fawad Razaqzada, an analyst at City Index. Britain's stock market also had a poor month, with the FTSE 100 index falling more than 8% – on track for its worst month since March 2020, when Covid-19 rocked financial markets.