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Sports May 21, 2026

Ash Moloney's Olympic Journey: From Decathlon Glory to Hurdles Challenge

Australian Olympic bronze medalist Ash Moloney has transitioned from the decathlon to the 400m hurd…
The Olympic LegacyAsh Moloney briefly became the face of Australian athletics after securing the country's first Olympic decathlon medal in dramatic circumstances at the Tokyo 2021 Games. The 26-year-old surged home in the 1500m, egged on by teammate Cedric Dubler, to claim bronze in a moment that inspired a nation. This achievement represented the pinnacle of his decade-long career in the grueling 10-discipline event.The TransitionAfter years of injury recovery, a new coaching relationship, and what he admits was sheer boredom with the decathlon, Moloney has made a bold and risky transformation. He has abandoned the event that brought him glory to pursue a new career in the 400m hurdles. "It's just fun, it's a completely different challenge," Moloney explains of his switch. "I've been ambidextrous my whole life, I can sprint hurdle on both legs. It almost just seemed like why not? Why not give it a try? Get that question out of my head."The Performance DataMoloney's rapid improvement in his new event is remarkable. Since his first competitive 400m hurdles in February, when he finished in 57 seconds, he has consistently lowered his times. Two weeks later in Hobart he ran sub-53s, before recording two times under 52s before nationals in April. At the national championships, he ran under 50 seconds for the first time, finishing third in the final. "I believe I can make Comm Games," Moloney says. "I believe I can go 48 [seconds]."The Impact on Australian AthleticsMoloney's transition comes at a significant moment for Australian athletics. Before the emergence of new generation athletes like Gout Gout and Lachie Kennedy leading Australia's charge towards Brisbane 2032, Moloney represented the future of the sport. His move to hurdles adds depth to Australia's middle-distance and hurdles program, complementing the emergence of sprint stars like Lachie Kennedy, who is now also his coach.The Relationship EvolutionThe decathlon teammates' relationship was tested in the aftermath of Tokyo, with Moloney previously suggesting that the public's interest in Dubler's contribution sometimes overshadowed his own achievement. While Moloney offers only a "no comment" when asked to elaborate on their current relationship, Dubler maintains there's no bad blood. "It's just a change of situation, a change of coaches and perspective," Dubler explains. The two athletes have chosen different paths since the Games, with Dubler continuing to compete in decathlon while targeting his own Commonwealth Games selection.The Future OutlookWith Moloney and Dubler now competing in different events, Australian athletics stands to benefit from their specialized focus. Moloney's renewed enthusiasm for his new event, freed from the physical toll of ten disciplines, has given him a fresh perspective on competition. "Honestly, I was bored with decathlon, I just wanted a new challenge," he admits. As he prepares for the Oceania championship showdown in Darwin and potentially the Commonwealth Games, the former Olympic bronze medalist is proving that reinvention can be as rewarding as achieving initial success.
#Ash Moloney #Cedric Dubler #Olympics
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Politics May 21, 2026

One Nation's Climate Science Denial: Why Australia's Populist Party Is Out of Step With Evidence

As One Nation surges in Australian polls, the party stands alone in its rejection of established cl…
The Lead: One Nation's Standalone Climate Denial As the populist right-wing One Nation party gains momentum in Australian polls, it maintains a firm stance against decades of climate science evidence showing the planet and Australia are warming. The party claims to be the only political force in Australia questioning climate science, but experts say this position is not only scientifically baseless but increasingly out of step with global trends in climate misinformation. The Event Details: One Nation's Climate Contradictions One Nation's position on climate change is rooted in denial and conspiracy theories, despite overwhelming scientific evidence. The party's energy and climate policies have previously been literal cut-and-pastes from the now-defunct climate denial group the Galileo Movement. Currently, One Nation rejects the scientific consensus that the planet and Australia are warming, claiming extreme weather was more prevalent before 1960—a position climate scientists have compared to believing the Earth is flat. The party also wants Australia to leave the Paris Agreement and would push to close down the federal climate change department "and all related agencies, regulations and programs." They proudly declare: "We are the only political party to question climate science." The Data Analysis: Australia's Unequivocal Warming Trend Despite One Nation's claims, Australia has experienced significant warming since 1910. The Bureau of Meteorology's official long-term climate dataset shows Australia has warmed by 1.5°C since 1910. Temperature readings before this period are not included in the official dataset because they were often taken with non-standardized equipment, making them less reliable. Research into pre-1910 temperature records shows temperatures from 1860 to 1909 were similar to those from 1910 to 1959. Since 1960, both maximum and minimum temperatures have risen significantly. The independent Berkeley Earth group's analysis of historical temperature data confirms Australia has warmed substantially since the 1880s. One Nation points to a single weather station in Newcastle (Nobby's) to claim no pattern of warming exists—a classic example of cherry-picking data while ignoring the broader evidence showing temperatures are warming across Australia. The Impact Analysis: Political Consequences of Climate Denial One Nation's climate denial positions have significant political implications in Australia. Research from CSIRO a decade ago suggested that views on climate change can be influenced by how a person votes, rather than the other way around. This means votes for One Nation could lead more people to reject established climate science. Dr. John Cook, an expert on climate science denial, notes that One Nation is "not only out of touch with the scientific evidence, they're even out of touch with the rest of the climate denial community." Over the past decade, climate misinformation has transitioned from science denial to attacking climate solutions, as the scientific evidence for human-caused global warming has become undeniable. Prof. Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick, a climate scientist at Australian National University, emphasizes: "There's a wealth of evidence that extreme heat events are increasing worldwide since the 1950s. We see increased intensity of droughts and heatwaves and the intensity of tropical cyclones is increasing." The Prediction: Future of Climate Politics in Australia As climate impacts worsen in Australia—with more frequent and intense heatwaves, bushfires, and extreme weather events—One Nation's climate denial stance may become increasingly untenable politically. The party's net zero conspiracies, including claims that climate action is part of a plot to create a "socialist Australia," are based on misinformation and misrepresentations of statements by figures like former World Economic Forum chair Klaus Schwab. One Nation's assertions that renewable energy is causing electricity price increases are also contradicted by experts. Research from CSIRO suggests that if 82% of Australia's electricity came from renewables backed by storage, the cost of generation would be a third less than current prices. The real drivers of rising electricity costs are aging infrastructure and rising international gas prices, not the transition to renewables. As Australia faces increasing climate impacts, political parties that reject established climate science may find themselves increasingly isolated, both scientifically and politically. The future of Australian climate politics may depend on how mainstream parties respond to One Nation's misinformation and whether they can effectively communicate the scientific consensus on climate change.
#One Nation #Climate Change #Australia
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Business May 21, 2026

French Court Convicts Airbus and Air France of Manslaughter Over 2009 AF447 Crash

A French appeals court has found Airbus and Air France guilty of manslaughter for the 2009 AF447 di…
The Paris Court of Appeal ruled Thursday that Airbus and Air France are "solely and entirely responsible" for the June 1, 2009 crash of flight AF447, marking the first manslaughter conviction in the tragedy that claimed 228 lives. The Paris Court of Appeal Convicts Airbus and Air France of Manslaughter The court ordered each victim’s family to receive 225,000 euros (approximately $261,720), the maximum corporate manslaughter fine under French law. While the amount is largely symbolic, the judgment reverses a 2023 lower‑court acquittal and re‑opens the legal battle over responsibility for the disaster. Financial Penalties and Compensation Calculations Fine per victim: €225,000 Total potential payout: €51.3 million (≈ $59 million) for all 228 victims Legal costs: Not disclosed, but both companies face extensive appeal expenses Implications for Aviation Safety Oversight and Corporate Liability The ruling underscores growing pressure on manufacturers and airlines to address known technical flaws—specifically the pitot‑tube sensor issues that contributed to the crash. Prosecutors, led by Rodolphe Juy‑Birmann, argued that both firms were aware of the defect yet failed to mandate high‑altitude training for pilots. Industry observers warn that the decision could trigger stricter regulatory scrutiny across Europe, prompting airlines to reassess training programs and sensor‑replacement schedules. Potential Appeals and Industry Repercussions Ahead Airbus announced it will appeal to France’s highest court, contending that the finding contradicts the 2023 acquittal. An appeal could extend the legal saga for years, keeping the case in the public eye and influencing future litigation strategies for aerospace firms. Should the conviction stand, it may set a precedent for holding manufacturers criminally liable in aviation accidents, potentially reshaping insurance models and prompting more proactive safety investments. Timeline of Key Events June 1 2009 – Flight AF447 disappears over the Atlantic, killing 228 people. 2011‑2015 – Deep‑sea search recovers black boxes; investigations reveal pitot‑tube malfunction. April 2023 – Lower court acquits Airbus and Air France of manslaughter. May 21 2026 – Paris Court of Appeal convicts both companies and imposes fines.
#Airbus #Air France #AF447
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Economy May 21, 2026

South Korea’s Stock Market Soars After Samsung Union Calls Off Strike

South Korea’s benchmark KOSPI jumped over 8% after Samsung Electronics and its union reached a tent…
South Korea’s stock market rallied sharply after Samsung Electronics and its labor union struck a tentative agreement that prevented a massive 18‑day strike, sending the KOSPI up more than 8% and boosting major tech and auto stocks.The Tentative Pay Agreement Between Samsung and Its UnionSamsung Electronics and the workers’ union announced a provisional deal on Wednesday night, ending a months‑long standoff over profit‑sharing. The agreement, pending union approval, would allocate 10.5 percent of the firm’s operating profit to its 48,000 employees, sidestepping a planned walkout that threatened global memory‑chip supplies.Market Surge Numbers: KOSPI, Samsung, SK Hynix, AutomakersKOSPI rose 8 percent on the day, extending an 80‑percent year‑to‑date gain.Samsung Electronics shares jumped 7.5 percent.SK Hynix surged 11 percent, reflecting investor confidence in the memory‑chip sector.Hyundai Motor and Kia each climbed about 13 percent, showing spill‑over into non‑tech equities.The chip division’s first‑quarter operating profit hit nearly 54 trillion won (≈$35bn), a near‑50‑fold increase year‑over‑year.Why the Deal Revitalizes South Korea’s Tech‑Driven EconomyThe settlement removes a major labor risk for the world’s largest memory‑chip maker, which commands over one‑third of the global DRAM market and more than a quarter of NAND flash capacity. With AI‑driven demand for chips accelerating, the avoidance of a strike safeguards supply chains and reinforces investor sentiment toward South Korean tech firms, while also buoying related sectors such as automotive manufacturing.Outlook: Labor Relations and AI Chip Demand in 2026‑27Analysts expect continued pressure on Samsung to share a larger slice of its soaring profits, potentially prompting further negotiations. Meanwhile, the AI boom is likely to keep memory‑chip demand high, supporting strong earnings for both Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. Market watchers will monitor whether the tentative agreement holds, as any relapse could reignite volatility in the KOSPI and global chip supply.
#Samsung Electronics #SK Hynix #KOSPI
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Tech May 21, 2026

Nvidia Posts Record $58.3B Profit Amid AI Chip Boom

Nvidia has announced record quarterly profit of $58.3 billion and revenue of $81.6 billion, driven …
The Record-Breaking Quarter Nvidia has announced record quarterly profit and revenue amid explosive demand for its advanced AI chips. The US tech behemoth said on Wednesday that profit soared to $58.3bn for the February-April period, up 37 percent from the previous quarter and more than 200 percent year-on-year. Revenue jumped to $81.6bn, up 20 percent from the prior quarter and 85 percent compared with the same period in 2025. Nvidia forecast revenue for the current quarter to hit $91bn, more than most analysts' estimates. The AI Chip Surge Nvidia's data-centre business was the main driver of growth, with quarterly revenue surging 92 percent year-on-year to $75.2bn. The Santa Clara, California-based chip giant's hardware unit racked up revenue of $6.4bn, up 29 percent from the previous year. In a sweetener for shareholders, the world's most valuable company said it would buy back an additional $80bn in shares and raise its quarterly cash dividend from $0.01 a share to $0.25 per share. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang hailed the "extraordinary" results as proof of the growing utility of AI. "Demand has gone parabolic," Huang said in a conference call with investors and analysts. "The reason is simple. Agentic AI has arrived," Huang said, referring to the advent of semi-autonomous AI models. "AI can now do productive and valuable work." Market Expectations vs Reality Despite once again blasting past analysts' expectations, Nvidia's latest results received a muted market response. Shares in Nvidia fell nearly 1.3 percent in after-hours trading, an indication of the sky-high expectations attached to a company whose blistering growth since 2022 has lifted its market capitalisation to more than $5 trillion. "Expectations are very high, and when a company like Nvidia has been doing as well as it has for so long, it takes a lot for people to get excited," Jay Goldberg, a senior analyst for semiconductors and electronics at Seaport Research, told Al Jazeera. "That's just kind of the nature of Wall Street." "All these stocks have run a lot this year, but a lot of it is driven by press releases," Goldberg said, adding that tech firms have yet to demonstrate a "broad-based consumer case" for AI. The AI Valuation Debate Nvidia's spectacular rise and the sky-high valuations of other tech giants, such as Microsoft and Amazon, have stirred discussion about whether AI is overhyped and creating a massive market bubble. William Rhind, the CEO and founder of New York-based investment firm GraniteShares, said the muted reaction showed that expectations had "caught up to fundamentals." "Nvidia is no longer beating a high bar – it is the bar," Rhind told Al Jazeera. Rhind said the bullish case for Nvidia nonetheless remains strong, pointing to the dividend hike and share buyback scheme as signs of a company with "more cash than it can possibly redeploy into the business". "When the marginal use of capital starts shifting toward buybacks and dividends, you're watching a hypergrowth story begin to mature in real time," he said. "That's not bearish – it's a different kind of bullish." Future Outlook John Belton, a portfolio manager at Gabelli Funds, said Nvidia's latest results should not "dramatically shift the story one way or another". "Overall, another solid earnings," Belton told Al Jazeera, saying the results mirrored the "strong numbers" of previous quarters "albeit without any new earth-shattering developments." As Nvidia continues to dominate the AI chip market, the company faces the challenge of maintaining its extraordinary growth trajectory while navigating increasing scrutiny about whether current valuations reflect sustainable business fundamentals or speculative enthusiasm.
#Nvidia #AI chips #Jensen Huang
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Politics May 21, 2026

The Queen’s Push for Prince Andrew as Trade Envoy: A Misjudged Decision

The Guardian reports that Queen Elizabeth II was “very keen” to appoint Prince Andrew as a trade en…
Queen’s 2001 Push for Prince Andrew as a Trade EnvoyThe late Queen Elizabeth II expressed strong enthusiasm in 2001 for her second son, Prince Andrew, to assume a “prominent role in the promotion of national interests” as a trade envoy. The appointment was intended to give the “spare” heir structure, purpose, and a public‑service narrative after his naval career and early hero status following the Falklands conflict.Absence of Measurable Trade ImpactThe article provides no financial figures or trade statistics linked to Andrew’s brief envoy tenure, indicating that the role failed to generate quantifiable economic benefits. Without data on export growth, investment inflows, or diplomatic agreements, the appointment remains a symbolic gesture rather than a measurable policy success.Repercussions for Monarchical ReputationPublic perception shifted as Andrew’s later scandals, including the 2019 Newsnight interview and ties to Jeffrey Epstein, contrasted sharply with the queen’s early support.Royal commentators suggest the queen’s “blinkered” favoritism may have deepened the family’s vulnerability to criticism.Even after Andrew stepped down as a working royal, the queen continued to offer personal support, such as riding beside him at Windsor Castle.These actions reinforced the view that the monarchy was willing to protect a controversial figure, potentially eroding public trust.Future Outlook for Royal Patronage and Public RolesWith King Charles III now overseeing the family, the precedent set by the queen’s 2001 decision highlights the need for clearer criteria when assigning public duties to senior royals. Analysts anticipate a more cautious approach, limiting official roles to individuals with unblemished records to safeguard the institution’s relevance.
#Queen Elizabeth II #Prince Andrew #Royal Family
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Entertainment May 21, 2026

Kingfisher Audiobook Review: Love, Desire and Power in Rozie Kelly’s Debut

Rozie Kelly’s debut novel *Kingfisher*, narrated by Dan Bottomley, examines an age‑gap relationship…
Snapshot of Kingfisher’s Audiobook AppealThe Guardian’s review frames *Kingfisher* as a smart, reflective audiobook that delves into an unconventional romance while interrogating power dynamics and familial trauma. Narrated by Dan Bottomley, the 6hr 1min production offers listeners a lyrical journey through the protagonist’s obsession and the poet’s fragile world.Plot and Character Dynamics UnpackedThe story follows an unnamed creative‑writing academic who becomes infatuated with an Irish poet, seventeen years his senior and celebrated for her bird‑themed novels. Their meetings on a riverbank bench evolve from casual lunches to a caregiving partnership when the poet is diagnosed with breast cancer, contrasting sharply with the protagonist’s strained relationship with his mother, Hetty, and his long‑term partner, Michael.Unnamed academic – narrator and central viewpoint.Irish poet – the object of desire, author of bird stories.Michael – gym‑owner boyfriend, representing the protagonist’s ordinary life.Hetty – mother whose disapproval of her son’s sexuality adds familial tension.Runtime and Production MetricsThe audiobook runs 6 hours 1 minute, a length that allows for deep immersion without overstaying its narrative arc. Dan Bottomley’s narration is praised for its deft guidance, balancing the novel’s lyrical prose with the emotional weight of the characters’ experiences.Literary and Societal Implications of the StoryBeyond its plot, *Kingfisher* offers a fresh perspective on age‑gap relationships, positioning desire as a conduit for both empowerment and vulnerability. The review notes the novel’s commentary on parental influence, particularly how Hetty’s disapproval shapes the protagonist’s identity and choices, echoing broader conversations about LGBTQ+ acceptance and intergenerational trauma.Future Prospects for Rozie Kelly and Age‑Gap NarrativesHaving been shortlisted for this year’s Women’s Prize for Fiction, Kelly’s debut positions her as a compelling new voice in contemporary literature. The Guardian suggests that her nuanced handling of love, power, and caregiving could set a precedent for more complex age‑gap stories, and anticipates heightened interest in her next project, whether in print or audio format.
#Rozie Kelly #Kingfisher #Guardian
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Business May 21, 2026

BT Warns of Smartphone Price Rises Due to Chip Shortages from AI Boom

BT warns that smartphone prices may rise due to chip shortages caused by the boom in artificial int…
The Impact of AI on Chip Supply Chains BT has warned that the cost of smartphones could rise as technology companies buy up semiconductor chips due to the boom in artificial intelligence, putting pressure on supply chains. Chip Shortages and Price Increases The telecoms company’s chief executive, Allison Kirkby, said she was anticipating shortages as tech firms bought large quantities of memory chips to power the datacentres relied on by AI. Kirkby added that price increases would mainly hit smartphone handsets, but could also affect the cost of routers. The Data Analysis Memory chips are essential for almost every modern item of electronics and are also used in other important components such as graphics cards. The largest manufacturers of laptops and phones, including Microsoft, Samsung and Dell, have already begun to put up prices in response to the chip shortages and have pulled cheaper models from the market. Sony has also hiked the price of its PlayStation 5 consoles, including a $100 (£75) increase in the US, while Nintendo has confirmed a price rise for its Switch 2. The Impact Analysis A global investment spree in AI has led to a huge expansion of server farms, enormous banks of computers filled with high-end memory chips. These requirements are not only consuming the world’s current supply of chips, but also production capacity for the coming years, creating shortages and driving up the cost of electronics. The Prediction Kirkby said she had not yet seen price increases from premium handset manufacturers, but expected companies such as Apple to pass higher costs on to customers. BT plans to cut costs by a further £700m over the next four years and reported flat full-year earnings and falling revenues.
#BT #Artificial Intelligence #Chip Shortage
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Economy May 21, 2026

The Economics of Hormuz: Calculating the Cost of Iran's Transit Toll

As the Strait of Hormuz remains closed eleven weeks into the Iran war, this analysis examines wheth…
The LeadEleven weeks after the start of the Iran war, the Strait of Hormuz has remained closed to naval traffic, bleeding the global economy far beyond the Gulf. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) maintains an iron grip over this narrow, strategic waterway, while a corresponding United States naval blockade on Iranian ports has failed to reopen it.Before the war began, between 120 and 140 ships travelled through the strait each day, about half of them oil tankers carrying some 20 million barrels of oil between them. Now, only a few vessels whose owners have negotiated with the IRGC are permitted to pass.The Strategic Control of HormuzOn Wednesday, Iran said it coordinated the transit of 26 vessels through the Strait of Hormuz in 24 hours, two days after announcing the formation of the Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA), a new body to provide "real-time updates" on operations in the strait.Since the announcement of a temporary ceasefire between the US and Iran in April, Iran has been working on formalising a mechanism to charge a transit fee from ships crossing the critical chokepoint, through which 20 percent of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) are shipped during peacetime.Tehran has reportedly already charged fees as high as $2m per ship for transit since the war started. Even though countries opposing Tehran say this is illegal, it may still be less expensive than the overall cost of the closure of the strait each day.The Economic Cost of BlockadeNearly one-fifth of global oil and LNG exports were shipped by Gulf producers through the Strait of Hormuz before the US and Israel bombed Iran on February 28, triggering the Iranian closure of the waterway. The strait is the only waterway linking Gulf producers to the open ocean – there is no other route through which they can ship exports.About 20.3 million barrels per day of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz in peacetime – nearly 27 percent of global maritime oil trade. The lion's share of that crude went to Asian markets.Global LNG trade has been similarly hard hit. On the day before the war broke out, Brent crude – the global benchmark for oil prices – closed at $72.48 per barrel. After Iran closed the waterway on March 4 and began attacks on vessels attempting to sail through, traffic came to a standstill, stranding about 2,000 ships on either side of the strait.In terms of lost oil revenues, this amounts to $114.8bn of losses per day. About 10 billion cubic feet of LNG per day also used to pass through the strait, worth a further $7.8bn.The Cost-Benefit Analysis of Transit FeesFor hundreds of ships stranded in the Gulf with thousands of sailors on board, the cost of remaining anchored is steep, including crew wages, loan repayments, repair and management, coupled with inflated war risk premiums.In turn, Iran has reportedly been charging up to $2m for authorisation to pass. Experts say many will see this as worthwhile purely in terms of monetary cost."There is no doubt that paying Iran is cheaper than a continuous blockade because a sitting tanker bleeds money," said Nader Habibi, an Iranian American economist."It makes sense from an economic point of view, but it is not politically feasible," he added. "The companies are under pressure from the US sanctions and not to make arrangements with Iran. This is not just a purely economic cost-benefit analysis, but long-term considerations that are taken into account."International Legal PerspectivesInternational law protects free transit through strategic waters such as natural straits like Hormuz, barring countries from imposing passage tolls even where the waterways fall entirely into territorial waters, like in the case of Hormuz.However, services such as security controls, inspections and insurance regimes can be charged for. Chargeable fees also partly depend on whether a waterway is a man-made passageway or a natural one.These are three different precedents in maritime traffic flow:Panama Canal: An artificial waterway connecting the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. Vessels pass through a unique system of locks that raise and lower vessels across elevated terrain. Since Panama built, maintains and operates the canal, it can charge transit fees based on vessel size, cargo capacity and booking priority. These range from several hundred thousand dollars per transit to some slots sold for millions of dollars.Suez Canal: Another artificial canal, linking the Mediterranean and Red seas. Egypt charges transit fees for the use of canal infrastructure, maintenance and traffic management services through the narrow waterway. Container ships and oil tankers pay from several hundred thousand dollars to more than one million dollars per voyage.Turkiye's Bosporus Strait and Dardanelles: These are different because they are natural straits, rather than man-made canals. Turkiye charges for navigation-related services such as lighthouse operations, rescue readiness, medical support and traffic management – and tightly controls ship scheduling and navigation.Regional Cooperation PossibilitiesIran's newly-formed PGSA published a new map of Hormuz, stretching from Kuh-e Mubarak in Iran to south of Fujairah, in the UAE, at the eastern entrance of the strait, and from the tip of Qeshm Island to Umm al-Quwain at the western entrance.Given how the Iran war has spilled over into the Gulf region – with the UAE taking the brunt of Iranian strikes – economist Mohammad Reza Farzanegan said "regional cooperation with Iran is the most realistic path to stable transit through the Strait of Hormuz."The UAE, Oman, Qatar and Iran will have to work together because their economies require it, he argued. A workable arrangement could include a joint maritime authority, shared monitoring, emergency coordination, environmental protection and service-based contributions for maintaining safe passage."This would give Iran a recognised role in the security of the waterway while giving Persian Gulf economies more predictability," Farzanegan added. "Such a framework is also more realistic than relying on external military enforcement, which has been more a source of trouble for these states."The Future OutlookWhile it may seem that the economics of the closure of the strait are currently skewed towards Iran, Aniseh Tabrizi, an associate fellow on the Middle East and North Africa Programme at think tank Chatham House, noted that "the economics by itself is not going to be the driver to change calculation or move from the current standpoint."She emphasized that Iran and the US need to reach a "diplomatic compromise, with other calculations linked in to the economic factor", before there can be an end to the energy supply crisis.Farzanegan added that if the world expects stable access to the Strait of Hormuz, then paying Iran could well be accepted as the price of keeping the vital waterway predictable. "From an economic perspective, a negotiated transit arrangement [with Iran] now makes more sense than continued closure," he concluded.
#Iran #Strait of Hormuz #Oil Prices
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