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The United Nations' weather agency has warned that the planet is on track to experience its hottest year on record by the end of the decade, with climate risks intensifying across the globe.WMO Forecast Signals 86% Likelihood of New Hottest Year Within Five YearsIn a report released on Thursday, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) stated there is an 86% chance that one of the next five years will surpass 2024 as the warmest year since records began. The agency also highlighted a 75% probability that the five‑year average temperature from 2026 to 2030 will exceed the 1.5 °C increase above pre‑industrial levels.Statistical Outlook: Probabilities, Temperature Gaps, and Regional Shifts86% chance of a new record year within the next five years.75% chance that the 2026‑2030 average exceeds 1.5 °C (2.7 °F) above pre‑industrial levels.Arctic winter temperatures projected to be 2.8 °C (5 °F) above the 1991‑2020 average, more than three‑and‑a‑half times the global rate.Rainfall expected to rise in the Sahel, Northern Europe, Alaska and Siberia, while the Amazon is forecast to become drier.Implications for the Paris Agreement and Global Climate PolicyAlmost 200 countries signed the Paris Agreement in 2016, pledging to limit warming to 1.5 °C. The WMO’s findings suggest the target is becoming increasingly unattainable unless emissions are cut dramatically. Michael Jacobs, professor of political economy at the University of Sheffield, warned that nations must accelerate renewable‑energy deployment and electrification. Simon Stiell, the UN climate chief, called recent European heatwaves a “brutal reminder” of the stakes.Looking Ahead: What 2030 Could Mean for Extreme Weather and Mitigation EffortsIf the projected trends materialise, the world can expect more frequent and intense heatwaves, stronger storms, and heightened stress on water resources. Policymakers will face pressure to tighten emissions‑reduction commitments, expand climate‑resilient infrastructure, and secure financing for adaptation in vulnerable regions. The next five years will be a decisive window for translating climate pledges into concrete action before the 2030 temperature threshold is crossed.

The World Meteorological Organization, in a UN‑commissioned report, warns that a record‑breaking hot year is almost certain by 2030, with climate‑driven risks accelerating across the globe.UN WMO Warns of Near‑Certain Record‑Hot Year by 2030The report, produced by the UK Met Office for the WMO, highlights an 86 % chance that at least one year between 2026‑2030 will outstrip 2024 as the hottest on record. An El Niño expected later this year could push the global temperature record as early as 2027. Lead author Dr Leon Hermanson notes the El Niño will raise the odds of a 2027 record year.Probability Metrics Highlight Escalating Heat Risks86 % chance of at least one year 2026‑2030 surpassing 2024’s temperature.75 % chance that the five‑year average (2026‑2030) exceeds 1.5 °C above pre‑industrial levels.Less than 1 % chance of any single year in that span exceeding 2 °C.96 % chance of an El Niño event Dec 2026‑Feb 2027 (NOAA forecast).35 % chance of a “super” El Niño, amplifying heat extremes.Implications for Human Health, Economies and Climate PolicyGlobal heating already claims one life per minute, a toll set to rise without rapid emissions cuts.Extreme heatwaves are battering the UK, Europe, India and broader Asia, threatening lives and economic productivity.The Arctic is projected to warm 2.8 °C above recent averages over the next five winters—more than three times the global rate.Rainfall patterns will shift: northern Europe, the Sahel, Alaska and Siberia likely to become wetter, while the Amazon is expected to dry out.Outlook: El Niño, Policy Action and the Race to Stay Below 2°CUN climate chief Simon Stiell stresses that protecting lives and economies hinges on “kicking the fossil‑fuel addiction much faster.” Clean power is now cheaper than fossil fuels, but scaling it quickly is essential to keep the 2 °C target within reach and to avoid the catastrophic impacts of exceeding 1.5 °C.

The Power of Natural Habitats in Climate Change Mitigation In 2019, a scientific paper published in the journal Science stated that natural forest restoration was the 'best climate change solution' available. This statement sparked controversy, with some arguing that reducing greenhouse gas emissions was the most urgent priority. Understanding Feedback Loops in Nature Feedback loops are processes where the outcome amplifies or dampens the process itself. In the context of climate change, human activities have initiated new feedback loops that exacerbate global warming. However, by understanding and working with nature's feedback loops, we can harness their potential for environmental recovery. Successful Examples of Nature-Based Solutions Examples from around the world illustrate the effectiveness of nature-based solutions. In Argentina's Iberá national park, the reintroduction of jaguars has led to a revival of the local ecosystem, reducing herds of grazing herbivores and allowing wetland plants to recover. This, in turn, has created a 'restoration economy' through ecotourism, employing local people and providing a sustainable incentive for environmental protection. The Importance of Community Engagement The article emphasizes that the success of nature-based solutions depends on improving the livelihoods and wellbeing of local people. When communities are intrinsically motivated to protect their environment, they become an integral part of a natural feedback loop that can drive sustainable change. A Call to Action The author argues that we do not need revolutionary innovation or significant sacrifice to address climate change. Instead, we need to allocate a small fraction of our collective attention and wealth to support rural land stewards and nature restoration efforts. This can have a significant impact, not only in terms of carbon capture but also in reviving hope, joy, and inspiration.

The Misguided 'Green Datacentres' Policy A Scottish government policy aimed at attracting datacentres to build in Scotland has been criticized for ignoring the emissions impact of AI developments. The policy, which encourages 'green datacentres', lacks a clear definition of what constitutes a 'green datacentre', potentially allowing developers to claim their projects are environmentally friendly despite significant emissions. The Problem with Unclear Definitions The Scottish charity Action to Protect Rural Scotland (APRS) has raised concerns that the policy's lack of clarity could lead to developers receiving favourable treatment from local authorities, even if their projects have substantial emissions. APRS found that a datacentre in Edinburgh was able to argue it was a 'green datacentre' despite including 200 diesel backup generators, equivalent to 100,000 idling cars. The Data Analysis More than a dozen datacentres in Scotland are in the process of getting planning permission, including an AI growth zone in Lanarkshire, near Glasgow, which claims to be backed by £8.2bn in private investment. Collectively, they stand to use roughly 6.2GW of power – one-and-a-half times more than the peak power use of all of Scotland in the winter. The Impact Analysis The APRS has criticized the Scottish government's approach, saying that the underlying analysis used to support the policy was done in 2022, before the release of ChatGPT, and has not been updated since. This analysis concluded that any increase in emissions caused by datacentre use would be counterbalanced by a decrease in emissions as people travelled less, but it does not take into account the development of AI or its potentially massive energy consumption. The Prediction As the demand for datacentres continues to grow, driven in part by the development of AI, Scotland's policy on 'green datacentres' is likely to face increasing scrutiny. With more than 100 datacentre projects requesting gas connections, indicating they plan to burn gas to power themselves, the UK's climate goals may be at risk. The Scottish government will need to revisit its policy and provide clearer definitions and guidelines for what constitutes a 'green datacentre' to ensure that its ambitions for economic growth align with its net zero ambitions.

The Shift in BHP's Climate Strategy BHP, the world's largest miner, has been a significant player in the global mining industry. However, recent internal documents leaked to the Guardian and the ABC's Four Corners program have revealed that the company is backtracking on its climate action plans. The Leaked Documents The leaked documents, dubbed the BHP files, show that the company has halted or delayed several key projects aimed at reducing emissions. These projects include: A 50-megawatt solar farm and 20MW battery at its Jimblebar mine, which was effectively shelved soon after being approved and funded by the board in mid-2023. A huge system of almost 500MW solar, wind and battery that could power a small city, which has been significantly delayed and will not progress in its current form until 2031 at the earliest. An iron ore processing plant that could have prevented 1.7m tonnes of emissions a year, which was dumped despite being described as 'well-aligned' with its climate transition action plan. The Impact on Climate Goals BHP's decision to backtrack on its climate action plans has raised concerns among experts and environmental groups. The company's failure to urgently decarbonize could put national climate targets, including a 43% cut below 2005 levels by 2030, in doubt. The Future Outlook BHP has stated that it is still focused on its emissions reductions goals and has reduced emissions by 36% on 2020 levels. However, experts argue that the company's actions are not in line with its public commitments, and it needs to take more drastic measures to achieve its climate goals.

BHP Acknowledges Delay in WA Iron‑Ore Decarbonisation PlanA senior BHP executive admitted that the company’s push to cut emissions in Western Australia has been postponed. Tim Day, head of BHP’s WA iron‑ore operations, cited slow progress in electric trucking and rail technology as the main obstacle to replacing diesel, the biggest source of the mine’s emissions.Emission Reduction Targets and Financial Incentives1.7m tonnes of CO₂ could have been avoided each year by a scrapped iron‑ore processing plant – roughly the impact of 350,000 cars.BHP’s internal memo notes a “low probability of success” for its net‑zero by 2050 goal, despite a 36% drop in global emissions driven largely by projects outside Australia.The company received $622m in diesel tax concessions from the federal government, while paying under $9m for excess emissions under the safeguard mechanism last year.Implications for Australia’s Climate Goals and Mining LicenceThe slowdown threatens Australia’s national emissions‑reduction targets, as BHP’s WA operations remain a major diesel‑intensive source. Internal documents stress that rapid decarbonisation is “effectively underpins [WA iron ore’s] licence to operate, sustain and grow.” Premier Roger Cook warned that big miners have an “important moral obligation” to decarbonise, linking climate action to the social licence to operate.Future Outlook for BHP’s Net‑Zero RoadmapInternal scenarios consider initiating a transition as late as 2035 or 2040, highlighting the risk of reputational damage and potential derailment of the net‑zero pledge. Analysts note that BHP has done little to curb emissions from its Australian assets, suggesting that without stronger policy pressure or a shift in government subsidies, the company may continue to rely on diesel‑fuelled haulage for years to come.

The Disappearance of Indonesia's 'Eternity Glaciers' An expedition to document the end days of the last tropical glaciers in Oceania has revealed sombre footage of “planetary destruction on fast-forward”. The State of Puncak Jaya's Glaciers The once-mighty ice sheets on Puncak Jaya, a mountain surrounded by dense rainforests in West Papua, Indonesia, have survived beyond projections they would disappear by 2026 but have shrunk to a fraction of their original size. The most significant of the two remaining glaciers, which are known locally as “eternal snow” and referred to in English as the “eternity glaciers”, has lost 95% of its area since 2002, the expedition found. The Data Behind the Disappearance Papua’s tropical glaciers lost 97% of their ice mass between 1980 and 2024, Indonesian researchers found in a study published last month. Four of its six glaciers have completely disappeared, and they project the final two will be gone by the end of the decade. 97% of ice mass lost between 1980 and 2024 4 out of 6 glaciers have completely disappeared The remaining 2 glaciers are expected to disappear by the end of the decade The Impact of Climate Change Carbon pollution and the destruction of nature has heated the planet by about 1.4C since preindustrial times, making it less hospitable to human life. Glaciers are projected to lose a quarter of their global mass by 2100, even in a best-case scenario for cutting emissions, with devastating consequences for drinking water and food security. The Future Outlook “The ice will be gone: it’s not a question of if, it’s a question of when,” said Klaus Thymann, a Danish explorer and the founder of Project Pressure, an environmental charity. “And ‘when’ is coming very, very soon.”

The LeadBHP, one of the world's largest mining companies, faces increasing scrutiny over its environmental commitments as part of The Guardian's "The BHP Files" series. The article questions whether the mining giant's sustainability initiatives match its actual operations, particularly in the context of the ongoing climate crisis.The Environmental Claims vs. RealityThe cartoon illustration by Fiona Katauskas visually represents the tension between BHP's public environmental commitments and its actual practices. The artwork suggests that despite the company's "green" branding, its core operations continue to contribute significantly to environmental degradation. This visual commentary highlights the skepticism many environmentalists feel toward large corporations' sustainability claims.The Mining Industry's Environmental ImpactBHP's operations span multiple continents and extract various resources, including coal, iron ore, copper, and petroleum. The mining industry as a whole faces significant criticism for its contribution to carbon emissions, habitat destruction, and water pollution. Despite increasing pressure from investors, regulators, and environmental groups, the pace of meaningful change in the sector remains slow.Investor and Regulatory PressureRecent years have seen growing pressure on BHP and other mining companies to address their environmental impact. Shareholder resolutions demanding stronger climate action have gained traction, while regulators in some jurisdictions have implemented stricter environmental standards. However, the company's continued investment in fossil fuel projects has raised questions about the sincerity of its environmental commitments.The Future of Sustainable MiningThe article comes at a critical time for the mining industry, which faces the dual challenge of meeting global resource demand while transitioning to more sustainable practices. BHP has announced various initiatives to reduce its carbon footprint, including investments in renewable energy and plans to reduce emissions from its operations. However, critics argue these measures are insufficient given the scale of the company's environmental impact.

The Record-Breaking Temperature The UK has recorded its highest-ever May temperature for the second consecutive day, with thermometers hitting 35C (95F) at Heathrow and Kew Gardens in London, the Met Office said. Previous Records and Weather Warnings The previous May peak of 32.8C had stood since 1922. The Met Office issued a yellow weather warning for thunderstorms across England earlier on Tuesday, with forecasters warning of isolated storms with lightning, hail, and gusty winds. Heatwave Threshold and Regional Impacts Many areas across England and Wales will reach the heatwave threshold on Tuesday, and some will have experienced such conditions for five days by Wednesday, the Met office's senior meteorologist, Becky Mitchell, said. The highest heatwave threshold in the UK at this time of year is 28C, which applies to London and areas north of the capital towards Cambridgeshire. Health and Safety Concerns An amber health warning was extended by 24 hours for several regions in England, including the south-west, south-east, London, East and West Midlands, and the west of England. Police reported two deaths over the bank holiday weekend, with a 13-year-old boy dying after getting into difficulty in a West Yorkshire reservoir. Future Outlook and Climate Context Temperatures are forecast to start to decline from the middle of the week, but it is still expected to be largely dry with sunny spells. A previous Met Office study found breaking the May record was "around three times more likely now in our current climate than it would have been in a natural climate not impacted by greenhouse gas emissions".