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Iran is grappling with a deepening economic crisis as the costs of a prolonged conflict strain public finances and push the regime toward greater authoritarian measures. Ordinary Iranians are bearing the brunt of soaring prices, a collapsing currency and shrinking job prospects. The Economic Collapse Following the Conflict The war has drained state coffers, forcing the government to divert resources from social programs to military spending. This reallocation has reduced subsidies on essential goods, intensified shortages and heightened public discontent. Quantifying the Crisis: Inflation, Unemployment, and Currency Devaluation Inflation has accelerated sharply, with reports indicating double‑digit growth in consumer prices over the past year. Unemployment, especially among youth, has risen as private sector activity stalls under heavy sanctions and reduced investment. The national currency continues to lose value against major foreign currencies, eroding savings and import purchasing power. Regional and Global Implications of Iran’s Struggling Economy The economic turmoil is reshaping Iran’s regional posture. A financially strained regime may pursue more aggressive foreign policies to rally nationalist support, while neighboring markets feel pressure from disrupted trade flows and refugee movements. Outlook: Prospects for Reform or Further Decline Analysts warn that without substantial fiscal relief or a de‑escalation of hostilities, Iran’s economy could enter a prolonged downturn. Potential pathways include limited market reforms, renewed diplomatic engagement to ease sanctions, or continued reliance on state control, each carrying distinct risks for the population and the regime’s stability.

Rising rates of youth unemployment have created a split at the top of government over how fast it should meet its promise to give young people the full minimum wage.The Manifesto Promise vs. The Reality CheckPeter Kyle, the business secretary, is understood to believe now is not the time to give 18- to 20-year-olds the full minimum wage, which Labour promised to do in its manifesto. Others believe there is little evidence to show that recent pay rises for low-paid workers have had any effect on unemployment.Torsten Bell, a Treasury minister, told the BBC on Friday morning: “If you look at what the Low Pay Commission said in their annual report, they didn’t find evidence that previous increases in the minimum wage for young people had had an effect on their employment.”The £125bn Cost of InactionThe splits have emerged following a landmark government-backed report this week by the former Labour minister Alan Milburn, who found that youth unemployment was costing Britain more than £125bn a year. Milburn’s report revealed the number of young people not working or studying had surpassed a million for the first time in more than a decade, prompting calls to reduce the pace of youth minimum wage increases.Current Youth Rate: £10.85 (up 8.5% this year)Main Minimum Wage: £12.71 (up 4.1% this year)NEETs (Not in Education, Employment, or Training): Over 1 millionThe Hospitality Sector DilemmaMilburn himself told the News Agents podcast this week: “To get the jobs there for them, you’ve got to make sure the employers are willing to take the risk. If you’re in, say, the hospitality sector or the retail sector, margins tend to be very low. These tend to be sectors that were really badly hit by the cost of living, hospitality in particular.”Tony Blair, the former prime minister, warned in an essay this week that policies such as increasing the minimum wage – which he brought in – had created “headwinds, not tailwinds, for businesses.”The October Low Pay Commission VerdictLabour promised in its manifesto to equalise the rates of the minimum wage for 18- to 20-year-olds with those of workers who are 21 and over but did not say how quickly this would be achieved. Bell said on Friday: “We’re committed to our manifesto that we stood on and we will deliver it. But that manifesto did not set out the timeline.”While he and others in the government believe they should slow down the pace of rises in youth rates of the national minimum wage if there is evidence that it has an impact on employment, they do not yet believe that evidence exists.The commission will tell the government in October what it is recommending for the financial year starting on 1 April 2027; some in government privately hope it will give a recommendation significantly lower than this year’s. Earlier this year ministers even changed their guidance to the LPC to reflect the concerns in government over unemployment among young people, telling it to prioritise employment rates instead.

The Soho Society's New Licensing Mandate A society of residents funded by the council could “destroy Soho’s reputation on the international stage” as London’s entertainment district by ferociously objecting to all new bar and restaurant licences, operators in the area have said. The Soho Society, a group of residents established in 1972 aimed at “preserving the character of Soho”, voted in its AGM on Thursday for a new licensing mandate, meaning it will challenge all new applications for bars and restaurants in the area, including renewals of existing licences. The Impact on Businesses and Jobs The society claims the area in central London has seen an intensification of nightlife and unacceptable noise, as well as crime and litter caused by a proliferation of late-night revellers. However, business owners argue that this could strangle small businesses and limit job opportunities for young people. Rupert Power, the owner of Sophie’s, a steak restaurant, and the underground jazz bar Jack Solomons, both on Great Windmill Street, chairs the Soho business alliance, which is made up of 150 small companies. The Data Analysis The Soho Society is estimated to represent about 10% of the district’s residents. A report by the former cabinet minister Alan Milburn said a lack of hospitality jobs was contributing to high youth unemployment in Britain. The UK has the third-highest rate of 16- to 24-year-olds who are not earning or learning among rich European countries. The Impact Analysis The new mandate means it will be very difficult for businesses to open or expand in the area. Philip Kolvin KC, a planning lawyer, said the mandate would cover “pretty much the whole gamut of licence applications, so that rather than promoting innovation and diversity, it stymies it”. This could lead to delayed licensing applications, spiralling legal costs, and development contracts facing expiry. The Prediction Business owners and experts warn that the Soho Society's actions could have a negative impact on Soho's reputation and the local economy. Power added: “It is strangling small businesses, meaning there are less hours and jobs for young people to work. I really worry for young people. To have a minority be in a position of stifling growth that is funded by the council is not ideal.”

Sunak’s Financial Literacy Initiative Stirs ControversyPrime Minister Rishi Sunak has called for a nationwide push to teach children how to handle money, insisting that the UK lags behind countries such as Germany. His broader vision ties financial literacy to an ambitious plan to keep maths in the classroom until the age of 18, sparking a heated debate among educators, former ministers and commentators.Proposed Extension of Maths to Age 18 and Its RationaleSunak’s proposal frames mathematics as the gateway to sound financial decisions. He argues that without a solid grounding in arithmetic, percentages and interest rates, young people cannot navigate inflation, assess risk or detect scams. The plan would make advanced maths a compulsory subject through the end of secondary education, effectively reshaping the national curriculum.Youth Unemployment and Education Gaps: The Numbers Behind the DebateApproximately 1 million 16‑24‑year‑olds are currently not in education, training or employment – roughly one in seven of them hold university degrees.This inactivity rate is double that of Ireland and three times higher than the Netherlands.Recent government measures aim to create 200,000 new apprenticeships, yet the overall transition support for school leavers remains weak.Why the Curriculum Push Could Reshape UK Education and EconomyThe emphasis on compulsory financial numeracy challenges the long‑standing “academic‑first” model of British schooling, which prioritises examinations over practical life skills. Critics warn that making advanced maths mandatory may marginalise students who would benefit more from broader competencies such as health literacy, civic engagement and basic budgeting. If adopted, the policy could influence employer expectations, apprenticeship uptake and long‑term economic productivity.What the Next Five Years May Hold for Financial Literacy in SchoolsShould the government follow through, we can expect a phased rollout of new curricula, teacher training programmes and assessment frameworks centred on real‑world financial scenarios. However, resistance from teachers’ unions and concerns over curriculum overload could delay implementation. In the medium term, successful integration may lower youth financial insecurity and improve labour‑market readiness, while failure could reinforce the gap between academic qualifications and employability.

What sparked the latest anti‑migrant unrest in South Africa?In late May 2026, demonstrations erupted in Johannesburg, Cape Town and Durban, quickly turning violent as crowds targeted foreign nationals from other African countries. Protesters cited soaring unemployment, perceived competition for jobs and a surge in crime as justification for their anger.Key statistics behind the tensionUnemployment: The national unemployment rate remains above 34%, the highest in decades.Crime perception: Recent surveys show that 68% of South Africans believe crime has increased over the past year.Foreign‑born population: Approximately 2.5 million migrants reside in South Africa, many employed in informal sectors.How the protests are reshaping South Africa’s social landscapeThe unrest has reignited long‑standing xenophobic sentiments, prompting community leaders to call for dialogue while businesses warn of a decline in tourism and foreign investment. Police have deployed additional units and declared a temporary state of emergency in affected municipalities.What the government and civil society are doing nextPresident Cyril Ramaphosa’s administration announced a task force to address the root causes of xenophobia, focusing on job creation, crime reduction and public education campaigns. NGOs are mobilising volunteers to protect vulnerable migrants and to mediate between communities.Outlook: Can South Africa defuse the crisis?Analysts suggest that lasting stability will depend on tangible economic improvements and a coordinated effort to counter hate rhetoric. If the government can deliver measurable job growth and enforce law‑and‑order measures, the risk of further anti‑migrant violence may diminish; otherwise, the country could face prolonged social unrest.

The Guardian editorial argues that the UK must treat the plight of NEETs as a national priority, linking rising youth unemployment to inadequate training, housing costs and a fragmented policy framework.Milburn Commission Highlights Over 1 Million UK NEETsThe commission’s report, due in the autumn, shines a bright light on the 1 million young people aged 16‑24 who are not in education, employment or training. It criticises political attacks on welfare and “kids‑these‑days” rhetoric, insisting that the problem is fundamentally a policy failure.The Scale of the Crisis: Over 1 Million Young People Out of Work or Study1 million NEETs – roughly one in eight of the 16‑24 cohort.60 % are economically inactive, meaning they are not actively seeking work.Health‑related universal credit claims have risen in regions with fewer entry‑level jobs.Apprenticeship starts have fallen 35 % over the past decade.Why the UK Is Falling Behind Europe on Youth EmploymentCompared with other wealthy European nations, the UK records one of the highest rates of young people not in work or study. Contributing factors include:Housing inflation limiting independent living for young adults.Restrictive GCSE combinations that disadvantage less academic pupils.Chaotic further‑education reforms and the poorly‑implemented apprenticeship levy.Automation and AI‑driven profit growth that do not translate into entry‑level opportunities.A National Participation System: Pathway to Re‑engaging Young WorkersThe report proposes a new “participation system” that would coordinate work and pensions, health, education and business departments to pull young people into the labour market. While ambitious, the editorial stresses that without a clear, cross‑departmental mission the UK will continue to lose a generation to inactivity.

The LeadThe West Bank is grappling with a critical youth unemployment crisis that threatens economic stability and social cohesion in the region. With limited job opportunities and political uncertainties, young Palestinians face an increasingly challenging future.The Economic LandscapeYouth unemployment in the West Bank has reached alarming levels, with estimates suggesting that nearly 40% of young people aged 15-29 are without formal employment. This crisis is exacerbated by restricted movement, limited access to international markets, and an economy heavily dependent on foreign aid.The Social ImpactThe prolonged unemployment crisis has profound social consequences, including increased poverty rates, brain drain as educated youth seek opportunities abroad, and heightened social tensions. Young people report feelings of hopelessness and frustration about their future prospects.Policy ResponsesVarious international organizations and local authorities have attempted to address the crisis through vocational training programs, small business initiatives, and foreign investment projects. However, these efforts have been hampered by political instability and resource constraints.Future OutlookWithout significant intervention and political progress, the youth unemployment crisis in the West Bank is expected to worsen, potentially leading to increased social unrest and further economic decline. Addressing this challenge requires coordinated efforts to improve the business environment, create sustainable jobs, and resolve underlying political issues.

Britain faces a looming fiscal shock of roughly £125 bn each year if the surge in youth worklessness is not tackled, according to a landmark review led by former Labour minister Alan Milburn.The Milburn Review Highlights a £125bn Fiscal DrainThe report, commissioned by the government, labels the growing cohort of young people outside school, work or training as a “lost generation”. It argues that the current trajectory is no longer affordable and may become unsustainable for public finances.Numbers Behind the Crisis: Over 1 Million NEETs and £8.1bn Benefits SpendNEET count in the three months to March 2026: 1,012,000 (first breach of 1 m since 2013).Average lifetime earnings loss per NEET (age 18‑24): £52,000 per year.Annual benefits cost for young people: £8.1 bn, with £4.4 bn directly linked to NEETs.Potential GDP boost if all NEETs were employed: £38 bn extra output.Estimated lifetime public‑finance impact per NEET: £29,000.Why the Growing NEET Population Undermines the UK EconomyThe surge coincides with the highest overall unemployment levels since the Covid pandemic and comes amid broader economic pressures from tax hikes and the fallout of the Iran war. The report warns that the longer a young person remains out of work or study, the costlier the intervention becomes, creating a multibillion‑pound “financial black hole”.Policy Paths and the Likelihood of ReformMilburn calls for a “fundamental reset” of policies across schools, the NHS and the welfare state, arguing that simply expanding work programmes will not address deep‑rooted issues. He estimates that £3.2 bn could be saved if NEETs were in work and earning above benefit thresholds. However, any new welfare reforms may face political resistance after recent controversial benefit changes.

The UK's Dual Economic Crisis: A Lost Generation and Housing FreezeThe UK economy is currently navigating a precarious convergence of two distinct but equally damaging trends: a looming youth unemployment crisis and a housing market that has become virtually inaccessible to first-time buyers. These issues threaten to create a 'lost generation' of young people, trapping them between economic inactivity and the inability to build the financial foundations necessary for adulthood.The Milburn Review: Systemic Failure vs. Youth InactivityFormer Health Secretary Alan Milburn has released a scathing review of the UK's labour market, pinning the blame for rising youth unemployment squarely on systemic failures rather than individual shortcomings. His analysis warns that unless urgent intervention occurs, one in six young people (1.25 million) could be classified as NEET (Not in Education, Employment, or Training) within five years.Milburn's Argument: He asserts that the current system is 'stuck in the past' and fails to enable youth participation in the labour market, often pushing young people onto benefits instead of jobs.The Decline of Entry-Level Roles: The review highlights the collapse of the 'Saturday job' culture and a significant drop in apprenticeship starts over the last decade.The 'Catch-22' Barrier: Milburn calls for employer incentives to break the cycle where employers demand work experience before offering employment.Housing Affordability: A Crisis Comparable to 2008Simultaneously, the housing market presents a formidable barrier to entry for young adults. David Thomas, the outgoing CEO of Barratt Redrow, has warned that first-time buyers are facing their toughest challenge since the 2008 financial crisis. Thomas attributes this to a 'perfect storm' of rising interest rates, student loan deductions, and stagnant real wages.'Certainly it’s going to be close to where we were [after] the great financial crisis... We’re now facing challenges around affordability with no government support scheme in place.'The Future Outlook: A Risk of Permanent ScarcityIf these trends continue unchecked, the UK risks entrenching a permanent underclass of economically inactive youth. The combination of a welfare state that may be exacerbating inactivity and a housing market devoid of government support schemes suggests a bleak trajectory for the next generation's economic mobility.