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Economy May 28, 2026

The Milburn Report: Warning of a 1.25 Million NEET Crisis in the UK Economy

A landmark review led by former Labour cabinet minister Alan Milburn warns that the number of young…
The Lead: Milburn's Stark Warning on UK Youth EmploymentA landmark review led by former Labour cabinet minister Alan Milburn has issued a stark warning regarding the future of the British workforce. The report projects that the number of young people not in work or education could surge to 1.25 million by the early 2030s without immediate intervention. This projection signals a potential deepening of the economic inactivity crisis that has been plaguing the UK for several years.The Event Details: The 'Generational Fault Line' ReportMilburn, leading the review into why so many young people are economically inactive, argues that the UK risks opening up a 'generational fault line' between young and old. He contends that systemic failures are preventing young people from entering the workforce, citing disconnects in schools, the NHS, the welfare system, and the jobs market. The review serves as a call to action for policymakers to address the root causes of youth economic stagnation.The Data Analysis: Projecting the 1.25 Million NEET CrisisProjected Figure: The report warns that the number of NEETs (Not in Education, Employment, or Training) could reach 1.25 million by the early 2030s.Current Context: This figure represents a significant demographic shift, indicating a potential loss of human capital and future economic productivity.Key Driver: The analysis points to a widening gap between the skills young people acquire and the demands of the modern labor market.The Impact Analysis: Economic Inactivity and Social CohesionThe rise in youth inactivity poses a severe threat to social cohesion and economic stability. A large inactive youth population places a heavier burden on the working-age population and the state, potentially leading to reduced economic dynamism and increased social stratification. The report suggests that without addressing the barriers to entry for young people, the UK could face long-term stagnation in its growth potential.The Prediction: Urgent Overhaul of UK Support SystemsTo avert this crisis, the report calls for a comprehensive overhaul of the support systems designed for young people. Future policy must focus on aligning educational outcomes with labor market demands and ensuring that health and welfare systems are accessible and relevant to the youth demographic. The Guardian is now seeking input from young people to better understand their personal experiences and challenges in the job market.
#Alan Milburn #UK Economy #Youth Unemployment
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Politics May 27, 2026

UK Ministers Urged to Proceed with Zero-Hours Contracts Ban Despite Business Warnings

Campaigners are urging UK ministers to proceed with banning zero-hours contracts despite business w…
The Lead: Zero-Hours Contracts Divide Ministers and BusinessesMinisters should press ahead with a ban on zero-hours contracts, campaigners say, despite claims by business leaders that it would deter hiring and lock more young people out of the labour market. The Child Poverty Action Group and the union umbrella organisation the TUC were among eight signatories to a letter to the department of business and trade calling on the government to "ignore the noise" from businesses, which want zero-hours contracts to remain.The Political Standoff: Campaigners vs. Business LeadersThe debate over zero-hours contracts has created a clear divide between worker advocates and business interests. Campaigners argue that these contracts create insecurity for workers, while business leaders warn that banning them would reduce flexibility and potentially lead to fewer jobs. The British Retail Consortium and UKHospitality have written to Business Secretary Peter Kyle stating that reduced flexibility in work contracts will lead to fewer jobs. Meanwhile, a new report by the Institute of Directors showed that 86% of business leaders believe the Employment Rights Act will have a negative impact on UK economic growth, up from 72% a year ago.The Regulatory Timeline: From Royal Assent to Implementation DelayLast year, the Employment Rights Act gained royal assent, but many of the detailed provisions were left blank, allowing ministers to phase in implementation over a period of years. Peter Kyle, the business secretary, has overseen a delay in the launch of a planned consultation on zero-hours contracts that was due to begin in January. It is understood the department will ask for submissions before the end of the summer, before implementing new rules next year. Business leaders are concerned that delays in the consultation process will not give them time to adjust their workplace practices if new rules are agreed.The Economic Impact: Business Leaders' ConcernsBusiness leaders have expressed significant concerns about the potential economic consequences of banning zero-hours contracts. Lord Wolfson, chair of the retailer Next, stated that while he favours eliminating zero-hours contracts in most sectors, the new rules would prove costly for retailers "because the risk is you then have to contract for those hours for ever." The Institute of Directors report highlighting that 86% of business leaders believe the Employment Rights Act will negatively impact UK economic growth underscores the depth of business concern about this regulatory change.The Worker Perspective: Insecurity and PovertyFrom the workers' perspective, zero-hours contracts create significant financial insecurity. More than a million people in the UK work to a zero-hours contract, from hospitality and warehouses to the NHS. Hundreds of thousands of them have worked for the same employer for years, yet lack guaranteed hours. Paul Nowak, the TUC general secretary, noted that many workers do not know how much they will earn each week, "and lack of security over hours makes it hard for workers to plan their lives, budget and look after their children." Many are unable to get mortgages and other forms of cheap credit when employers can reduce their hours to zero. Alison Garnham, chief executive of the Child Poverty Action Group, emphasized how these contracts affect working parents: "All too often working parents find themselves without enough to make ends meet – as their hours are cut at a moment's notice or they pay for childcare only to find their shifts are cancelled."The Government's Dilemma: Balancing Rights and Business InterestsThe government faces a difficult balancing act between protecting workers' rights and maintaining a business-friendly environment. The upcoming report by former health secretary Alan Milburn is expected to accuse the government of failing to meet the needs of young people out of work, education and training, putting further pressure on Business Secretary Peter Kyle to show that new employment laws will support job creation. The TUC has attempted to address business concerns by noting that the right to a regular-hours contract would not affect holiday jobs as it "is set to be based on a reference period over several months which will even out peaks and troughs." Other signatories to the letter urging action include the women's rights group the Fawcett Society, the employment thinktank the Work Foundation, and the campaigning organisations 38 Degrees and the Young Women's Trust.
#Zero-Hours Contracts #UK Employment Law #TUC
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Economy May 26, 2026

Next Boss Warns of 'Dramatic Fall' in UK Entry-Level Jobs as Youth Unemployment Soars

Next's CEO Lord Wolfson has sounded the alarm over a dramatic decline in UK entry-level jobs, with …
The Crisis in Youth EmploymentThe boss of Next, Lord Wolfson, has issued a stark warning about a "dramatic fall" in entry-level jobs across the UK, highlighting how this trend is driving up youth unemployment. The clothing and homeware retailer, where Wolfson has been chief executive since 2001, typically received 10 applications for every job in its shops in 2024, but that number has now surged to 19."That doubling of applicants for shop jobs is indicative of just how big the crisis is in youth unemployment at the moment," Wolfson told the BBC. His comments come as a government-commissioned report is expected to find that Labour has failed to tackle the soaring number of people not in education, employment or training (Neet), with almost a million young people in this category.Changing Retail Landscape and Employment PracticesThe retail industry is undergoing significant transformation, with Next increasingly adopting automation and other technologies such as self-scanning lockers for customer returns, reducing the need for staff on tills. This technological shift is part of a broader trend where entry-level roles are most vulnerable to the advent of artificial intelligence.Wolfson specifically pointed to the upcoming ban on zero-hours contracts, included in the government's Employment Rights Act, as a factor that will make hiring more difficult. "While I am in favour of eliminating zero-hours contracts in most sectors, the new rules are tricky for retail, because the risk is you then have to contract for those hours forever," he explained.More than a million people in the UK are currently working on a zero-hours contract basis, spanning hospitality, warehouses, and even the NHS. The new legislation will require employers to offer guaranteed hours to casual workers, a change Wolfson suggests will make it "much harder" for Next to offer more flexible hours to its staff.Economic Pressures on Businesses and Young WorkersWolfson, who received a record pay package of more than £7m last year and could be paid up to £9.27m this year, called on the government to reverse the rise in national insurance contributions (NICs) employers have to pay, alongside minimum wage increases. These cost pressures, he argued, have led Next to reduce staffing levels in individual stores while its online business continues to thrive."Traditionally, young people often get their first week experience at a shop stacking shelves or serving drink and food in a restaurant, cafe or pub," Wolfson noted. "Because of the cost increases, we have fewer staff in individual shops."A Treasury spokesperson countered: "Cutting wages for the lowest paid during a time of global uncertainty is not the answer. Increasing the national minimum wage boosts pay for over 200,000 young workers, and employer NICs are lower when hiring under‑21s."Industry Transformation and Labor Market ChallengesThe retail sector's evolution reflects broader changes in the UK labor market. Alice Martin, head of research at the Work Foundation at Lancaster University, emphasized that "young people are entering one of the toughest labour markets in years, facing intense competition for a shrinking number of entry-level jobs."Retail and other sectors are changing rapidly, with more online sales and fewer staff needed on the shop floor. This transformation has contributed to a sharp fall in vacancies, leaving many young people facing repeated rejection as they try to enter the workforce."A difficult labour market is no excuse for undermining pay or job security," Martin added. "The ban on exploitative zero-hour contracts is long overdue. One in five workers in the UK is in severely insecure work, without predictable pay or basic protections."Future Outlook for Youth EmploymentWolfson suggested that ultimately, the best way to improve the jobs market is through economic growth. "Youth unemployment is really a symptom of wider problems with employment in the economy, and of course, if you've got fewer jobs, the people who suffer most are the people with the least experience and that is the youngest," he explained.The government's upcoming "system reset" to address the Neet crisis will likely need to address multiple factors simultaneously, including the changing nature of work, technological displacement of entry-level positions, and the need for better pathways for young people into sustainable employment.As Next continues to invest in its online operations while reducing physical store staffing, the company's experience may serve as a microcosm of broader economic shifts that will require innovative solutions to ensure young people can successfully transition into the workforce.
#Next #Lord Wolfson #UK unemployment
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Environment May 25, 2026

Half of UK Adults Spend Less Than Three Hours a Week in Nature, Survey Finds

A new poll of 2,000 UK adults shows that almost half now spend under three hours per week in natura…
New research commissioned by the Wildlife Trusts reveals that while 90% of UK adults cherish memories of outdoor play, nearly 50% now spend less than three hours a week in nature, with 10% getting under an hour. The findings highlight a growing gap between childhood experiences and adult reality, prompting calls for policy action and community programmes. Survey Reveals Declining Adult Time in Nature The poll surveyed 2,000 adults across the United Kingdom. Respondents were asked about current weekly time spent in gardens, parks, fields or woods and compared it with their childhood outdoor habits. Almost half of adults (≈48%) now spend <3 hours per week outdoors. One in ten (≈10%) reports less than one hour weekly. In contrast, ≈66% of adults recalled spending more than half of their free time outside as children. Key Numbers: Hours, Memories, and Health Savings Beyond the time‑use figures, the survey touches on broader health economics: Regular green‑space access can cut GP visits by 28%. Potential NHS savings from increased nature exposure are estimated at £2 bn per year. Two‑thirds of respondents said childhood memories make them more likely to reconnect with nature. Why Reduced Outdoor Time Matters for Public Health and Equality Spending time outdoors is linked to physical and mental well‑being. The decline is especially acute in deprived areas, where one in five households lack a green space within a 15‑minute walk, despite the government’s pledge to ensure universal access. Experts such as Dom Higgins, head of health and education at the Wildlife Trusts, warn that limited access could exacerbate health inequalities and erode community cohesion. What Could Reverse the Trend? Policy and Community Initiatives Several levers may help close the gap: Accelerating funding for local parks and the 30 Days Wild challenge, which already engages 3 million participants. Implementing the government’s plan for new national forests and nine regional river walks. Ensuring councils receive sustainable financing to protect discretionary services like parks, as highlighted by Julie Jones‑Evans of the Local Government Association. By combining policy commitment with community‑driven programmes, the UK can aim to restore the childhood‑level connection to nature for adults and improve public health outcomes.
#Wildlife Trusts #Dom Higgins #UK adults
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Entertainment May 23, 2026

Game of Thrones' Hannah Murray on Being Sectioned: 'I Am Not Concerned'

Game of Thrones actress Hannah Murray shares her experience of being sectioned in a psychiatric hos…
The LeadGame of Thrones actress Hannah Murray shares her experience of being sectioned in a psychiatric hospital in her new memoir "The Make-Believe: A Memoir of Magic and Madness." The actress describes her mental health journey and the experience of being involuntarily admitted under the Mental Health Act.The Hospital ExperienceThe door to the room opens. A man enters the room. He is a Black man, bald and overweight. He is dressed in uniform. Blue uniform, a blue lanyard that reads "NHS". But I know Steve, the leader of the organisation that introduced me to magic, is a magician. I know he can appear in disguise.I approach the man and try to kiss him.He does not let me kiss him. Then no. It is not Steve.The man has brought me a plate of toast. He has brought me a cup of tea. I add sugar to the tea, which I would never have done in my former life, but a spoonful of sugar helps the medicine go down!I am a Ritual Master. And this, drinking my own urine, is a powerful ritual. This is all I need now to survive … I will never need to eat again. I survive on liquids and air and lightI do not eat the toast. I drink the tea. I am alone in the room again and I urinate into the cup and drink that too.I am a Ritual Master. And this, drinking my own urine, is a powerful ritual. This is all I need now to survive. It is the most potent of potions I can drink. I am a self-contained, utterly self-sufficient being. I will never need to eat again. I survive on liquids and air and light.I decide to explore outside the room. Outside my sanctuary. He has not come. So maybe I need to go searching for him …The Phone CallTime jumps. I am in a corridor lit by overhead strip lights. The electric light is pale yellow in tone. I am sat on one of three chairs in a row against the wall. The chairs are purple, curved plastic. I am still waiting for him to appear.There are two doors in front of me. One is the door to the blue room with the blue sofa and chair. Behind the other door is an office of some kind, and there is a woman in there, shuffling papers and talking on the phone.The woman comes out of the office. She is holding out my phone. My only possession now – the one artefact from my previous life. There is someone she wants me to speak to.Him.When I hold the phone to my ear, I hear a voice I recognise.But the voice belongs to my mother."Hannah?" she says. "Where are you? What's going on?"There is distress in her voice. Her voice is trembling with pain and anxiety.I do not want to hear it.This is a test. A horrible test, certainly, but one that I can pass. They are trying to tempt me back into the human. They are trying to lure me back into the past.I hang up the phone.But, after a moment, it starts to ring. The word Mum lights up the screen."Talk to her," says the woman.I answer the call.My mother sounds different now. Calmer. She asks again what's going on but gently, even cheerfully. I tell her everything's OK. That I'm fine. I tell her not to worry. I'm in a good place.This is the last time I will ever hear her voice, I think. This is the way I say goodbye.The DiagnosisThey tell me I am being sectioned.The words jar with my beliefs."Section 2 … the Mental Health Act … 28 days … right to appeal … "I cock my head.This does not fit at all. It does not fit in the world of Steve, of Ritual Master, of Shambhala and the invention of magic.I am not concerned. I am concerned only with the energy I can feel spiralling up through my body and the voices I can hear in my head.I pace the hospital corridors, delivering a tearful monologue, delivering the greatest performance of my life. A phrase comes to me. The Girl With All the Gifts. The title of a post-apocalyptic horror film released in 2016, starring Gemma Arterton.I am a magician. I am an actress. I am a writer. I have superhuman strength. I can fly. Anything that can be imagined, I can perform it. Every skill and every ability is mine.The film came out as a warning, and a prophecy.And because of me, the apocalypse has been averted.I am the saviour of the planet. I am the girl with all the gifts.The Journey to RecoveryIt was very hard, the journey to get here. It took 27 years. The path was twisting and full of setbacks, there were challenges and so much pain. There were times I wanted to give up. It was very hard. Everyone will have to make their own journey, and their journeys will be their own, unique as snowflakes or fingerprints. That is the beauty of it, the joy of it. Everyone has to figure it out for themselves.But I have laid the groundwork. I have walked the path. It starts with the energy healing, and it goes on and on through the seven dimensions, through increasingly magical planes. It goes on and on until you meet your soulmate, like I met mine.I was in a TV show called Game of Thrones, hidden in plain sight in the midst of a cultural phenomenon. I, the key to the world's salvation, wore the face of a character called Gilly, but really I played every role. Then I worked on a film called Detroit in Boston. David Benioff and Dan Weiss and Kathryn Bigelow were the four horsemen of the apocalypse. Numbers are irrelevant. Three counts as four. David and Dan and Kathryn cast me in the roles that brought about my destiny. The end and beginning of the world.I am the Ur-actress. I am every actress. Every performance ever given has been animated by my energy, my talent, by the gestures and facial expressions I am performing here and now.The Memoir and BeyondThis is an edited extract from The Make-Believe: A Memoir of Magic and Madness by Hannah Murray, published by Cornerstone (£18.99). To support the Guardian, order your copy at guardianbookshop.com. Delivery charges may apply.Hannah Murray will be in conversation with Jessie Cave at Kings Place in London on 5 June.
#Hannah Murray #Game of Thrones #Mental Health
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Politics May 22, 2026

Palantir Slams Sadiq Khan Over Blocked £50m Met Police AI Deal

Palantir has accused London mayor Sadiq Khan of putting politics ahead of public safety after he ha…
Palantir Accuses Mayor of Prioritising Politics Over SafetyPalantir says London mayor Sadiq Khan is “politicising procurement” by blocking a two‑year, £50 million AI contract for the Metropolitan Police, arguing the move jeopardises public safety.Mayor Blocks £50m AI Procurement Deal with Met PoliceKhan’s office cited a “clear and serious breach” of procurement rules and rejected the plan for the Met to use Palantir’s AI to process intelligence in criminal investigations. The decision was first reported by the Guardian on 21 May 2026.Financial Stakes: £50m Contract and Wider Government Deals£50 million – value of the blocked Met Police contract.£330 million – NHS England deal with Palantir.£240 million – Ministry of Defence agreement.Less than £500,000 – earlier separate AI pilot with the Met to detect rogue officers.Political Fallout and Policing Implications in LondonThe move has split Labour MPs: Rosena Allin‑Khan and Clive Lewis praised the block, while Stella Creasy condemned Palantir’s CEO for “using sexual‑abuse allegations to attack the mayor”. The Metropolitan Police Federation called the AI system “big brother”. Business Secretary Peter Kyle defended Palantir’s capabilities and urged Khan to explain his decision.Future of AI Procurement and Domestic Tech AlternativesKhan’s stance may encourage a shift toward British‑owned AI solutions, echoing Kyle’s call for more investment in domestic firms. Ongoing debates about foreign AI providers could reshape how UK public services adopt advanced technology, with potential impacts on policing effectiveness and public trust.
#Palantir #Sadiq Khan #Metropolitan Police
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Health May 22, 2026

UK Melanoma Diagnoses Surge Past 20,000, Forecasts 26,500 Annual Cases by 2040

Cancer Research UK reports a record 20,980 melanoma diagnoses in 2022, the first time UK cases have…
The latest analysis by Cancer Research UK reveals that melanoma, the most serious form of skin cancer, hit a historic high in the United Kingdom last year, with 20,980 diagnoses in 2022. Experts warn that without stronger prevention measures, annual cases could climb to 26,500 by 2040, coinciding with hotter summers and an ageing demographic. Record Melanoma Diagnoses in 2022 For the first time, UK melanoma cases have exceeded the 20,000 mark. The surge reflects broader trends in skin‑cancer incidence and underscores the urgency of public‑health interventions. Projected Growth to 26,500 Cases by 2040 Forecasted annual cases for 2040: 26,500 Increase of 23% among men Increase of 26% among women Drivers: ageing population, higher UV exposure, and lifestyle factors Public Health Implications Amid Heatwave Alerts Heat health alerts have been issued for the upcoming bank‑holiday weekend, with temperatures expected to reach up to 30°C in parts of England. Elevated UV levels amplify the risk of sunburn and, consequently, melanoma development, especially for vulnerable groups. Preventive Strategies and Policy Recommendations Key voices—including Michelle Mitchell, CEO of Cancer Research UK, and Prof Peter Johnson, NHS England’s national clinical director for cancer—stress the importance of: Seeking shade during peak sun hours Wearing protective clothing, hats, and sunglasses Applying broad‑spectrum sunscreen with at least SPF 30 and reapplying regularly Promptly consulting a GP about new or changing moles, sores, or skin patches Outlook for Sun Safety and Cancer Prevention If the public adopts these preventive measures, the rise in melanoma cases could be mitigated despite demographic pressures and hotter summers. Ongoing education, stronger sunscreen regulations, and targeted campaigns during heatwaves are likely to shape the trajectory of skin‑cancer incidence in the UK over the next two decades.
#Cancer Research UK #Melanoma #NHS England
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Politics May 21, 2026

The Veto on Palantir: Sadiq Khan Blocks £50m Met Police Deal

London Mayor Sadiq Khan has halted a £50m contract with Palantir, citing procurement breaches and c…
The Veto on Palantir's £50m Policing ContractLondon Mayor Sadiq Khan has intervened to block a flagship £50m deal between the Metropolitan Police and the controversial US data analytics firm Palantir. The decision, made by the Mayor’s Office for Policing and Crime (Mopac), was driven by a "clear and serious breach" of procurement rules, effectively halting the Met's plans to use Palantir's AI to automate intelligence analysis in criminal investigations.Procurement Breaches and Cost ConcernsThe blockage highlights significant administrative failures in the Met's approach. Mopac found that the force had engaged with only one potential supplier, Palantir, rather than testing the market to ensure value for money.Financial Discrepancy: The Met originally costed the contract at £15m-£25m a year, but the proposed deal was at the top of that range.Legal Risks: Deputy Mayor Kaya Comer-Schwartz warned the process created "legal and reputation risks" for both the Met and the Mayor.Previous Controversy: A previous trial of Palantir's AI to monitor officer behavior was awarded directly without open competition.Political Values vs. Public Safety EfficiencyThe decision reflects a growing tension between the efficiency of AI tools and the political values of public procurement. Palantir, co-founded by Peter Thiel and linked to the Trump administration and ICE, has faced intense scrutiny over its work with the NHS (£330m contract) and the Ministry of Defence.While other forces like Bedfordshire Police have praised Palantir for helping dismantle organized crime gangs, Khan’s office emphasized that Londoners expect public money to go to companies that "share the values of our city."The Future of AI in UK Policing under Political ScrutinyKhan's move is a blow to the Labour government's push for AI in policing. Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood has called for police to "ramp up use of AI," and the government is investing £115m in a national "Police.AI" centre.However, this veto suggests that future contracts will face much higher hurdles. With public petitions and MP criticism mounting, the government may struggle to balance the drive for technological modernization with the political necessity of ethical procurement.
#Sadiq Khan #Palantir #Met Police
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Health May 20, 2026

Art Cure Review: How the Arts Could Become Medicine’s Next Prescription

In her debut book Art Cure, UCL professor Daisy Fancourt makes a scientific case that artistic acti…
The Lead: A New Prescription from the ArtsDaisy Fancourt’s debut for a popular audience, Art Cure, argues that artistic engagement can be as therapeutic as conventional medicine, drawing on personal experience of singing to her premature daughter and a growing body of research.Dissecting Art: The “Active Ingredients” FrameworkFancourt, a professor of psychobiology and epidemiology at University College London, breaks down every arts experience into measurable components—noise buffering, neurological stimulation, human contact and stress reduction—and suggests these can be prescribed like a drug cocktail.Quantifying the Benefits: Evidence and EconomicsStudies show singing to infants in intensive care lowers heart rate, improves breathing and boosts feeding.Creative activities reduce stress and pain, improve balance in Parkinson’s disease, and help ventilated patients breathe unaided.Economic analysis estimates a £1,500 pay‑rise per employee from wellbeing gains and a potential £1.5 bn annual saving for the NHS by delaying dementia.Arts funding in UK schools fell to £9.40 per pupil in 2022, and creative‑degree funding was halved in 2021.Policy and Cultural Implications: From “Seatbelt Moment” to Systemic ChangeFancourt warns of “artistic passivity” and calls for a collective “seatbelt moment” to recognise arts deprivation as a public‑health issue, urging policymakers to protect school arts programmes and integrate creative prescriptions into care pathways.Future Outlook: Embedding Creativity in HealthcareIf health systems adopt Fancourt’s framework, art could move from a peripheral luxury to a core component of preventive and therapeutic strategies, reshaping how clinicians address “what matters to patients” rather than merely “what’s wrong with them”.
#Daisy Fancourt #Art Cure #University College London
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