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Russia's campaign to recruit Central Asian migrants to fight in Ukraine has been marked by coercion and deception. Tens of thousands of labour migrants from countries such as Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and Kyrgyzstan have been forced to sign up for military service, often under threat of deportation or with promises of financial incentives.Hushruzjon Salohidinov, a 26-year-old Tajik man, is one such migrant who was arrested and threatened with rape in a Russian prison unless he 'volunteered' to fight in Ukraine. He was promised a sign-up bonus of 2 million rubles ($26,200) and a monthly salary of 200,000 rubles ($2,620), but was poorly trained and equipped for combat.Salohidinov was captured by Ukrainian forces in January and is now being held in a prisoner of war facility. He says he is glad to have been captured as it saved him from certain death on the front line. His case is just one of many reported instances of Central Asian migrants being coerced into fighting for Russia in Ukraine.Human rights groups and experts say that Russia's recruitment of migrant soldiers is a deliberate tactic to target vulnerable individuals who are often subject to xenophobia and Islamophobia in Russia. The Kremlin's campaign has been marked by derogatory language and abuse towards migrants, with some officials using threats of deportation to force them into military service.The life expectancy of migrant soldiers on the front line is reportedly just four months, with losses being catastrophic. Despite this, Russia is expected to continue recruiting migrant soldiers to make up for a shortage of willing Russian recruits.

Russian forces launched a rocket strike on Ukraine’s capital, Kyiv, resulting in the death of a 12‑year‑old child and leaving at least ten people injured, among them several doctors, as reported by Mayor Vitaliy Klitschko.The fatality occurred early Thursday in the Podilskyi district, where rocket fragments struck a 16‑storey residential building, triggering a blaze that engulfed the structure. Klitschko shared the details in a Telegram post.Rescue crews also managed to extract another child and her mother from the rubble in the same district, highlighting the ongoing humanitarian toll.Simultaneously, the attack hit Kyiv’s Obolonsky district, where falling debris sparked a large fire at a non‑residential building and set several cars alight, further compounding the damage.The mayor indicated that additional information will be provided as the situation develops.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves cautioned that the push to raise Britain’s defence budget will likely demand reductions in other spending areas, notably welfare, as the nation confronts escalating geopolitical pressures. She emphasized that the government is exploring a range of options but aims to avoid new taxes or extra borrowing, noting that “we already spend £1 in every £10 on servicing the debt.” Reeves highlighted her willingness to challenge party orthodoxy, pointing to last year’s budget moves that freed additional funds for defence, and said, “I’m willing to make difficult choices for national security.” Speaking on the sidelines of the International Monetary Fund spring meetings in Washington, she referenced the government’s 10‑year defence investment plan and stressed the importance of allocating resources appropriately. While refusing to detail which welfare programmes might be trimmed, Reeves reaffirmed that “national security always comes first” and confirmed that Labour will keep its manifesto pledge to retain the pension triple‑lock. Her stance mirrors Health Secretary Wes Streeting, who earlier warned that welfare reforms could be required to meet “the challenge of the world we face.” The Starmer administration faces mounting pressure from opposition MPs and senior military figures, especially after US President Donald Trump’s threats to withdraw the United States from NATO and the ongoing Iran‑Israel and Russia‑Ukraine conflicts. Current forecasts show UK defence spending reaching 2.6 % of GDP by April 2027, surpassing targets set by both Labour and the opposition before the 2024 general election. Reeves proudly noted that her previous budgets delivered “the biggest uplift in defence spending since the end of the Cold War,” arguing that a robust economy depends on strong national security. The IMF warned that a further escalation in the Middle‑East could trigger a global recession, with the UK potentially hit hardest among G7 nations, and cautioned that government debt is on track to hit its highest level since World War II. To fund household and business support without widening the fiscal gap, Reeves suggested reprioritising other budgets, criticizing the blanket subsidies of the previous Conservative government that cost over £100 billion and contributed to higher inflation and interest rates. She concluded that “the best way to help families and businesses is to keep prices, costs and interest rates down,” underscoring the fiscal balancing act ahead.

Japan has taken a significant step in its foreign policy by easing its arms export rules, marking a departure from its eight-decade-long pacifist stance. This move comes as trust in US President Donald Trump declines, with him wavering on security commitments to allies and involvement in conflicts in Iran and Ukraine.The Japanese government has approved a record defense budget of $58 billion for 2026, reflecting a push to strengthen military and coastal defenses amid rising global tensions. The new budget forms part of a broader $784 billion national budget for the fiscal year beginning in April 2026.Under the new budget, over $6.2 billion is earmarked to enhance Japan's 'standoff' missile capabilities, including the purchase of domestically produced and upgraded Type-12 surface-to-ship missiles. This move is seen as a response to China's growing military presence in the Asia-Pacific region.Japan's key defense contractors, Toshiba and Mitsubishi Electric, are hiring staff and adding capacity to capitalize on demand for arms. Countries such as the Philippines and Poland are expected to become customers of Japanese arms.The easing of arms export rules is part of Japan's efforts to shape its own security policy and reduce its military dependence on the US. This shift is driven by the need to build defense supply chains in Asia that do not rely on the US, particularly in light of Washington's preoccupation with wars in the Middle East and Ukraine.Japanese companies are eager to boost sales by selling their products abroad, with Toshiba planning to hire 500 people over the next three years and constructing new testing and manufacturing facilities. The company's vice president, Kenji Kobayashi, noted that 'reputational risk is not what it used to be.'The US has welcomed Japan's initiatives to boost defense spending and take regional security into its own hands, with US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth praising Japan's investment in its defense capabilities.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has released its latest World Economic Outlook, warning of a significantly darkened global economic outlook. The report cites the outbreak of war in the Middle East on February 28, 2026, as a major factor in the deteriorating outlook.The IMF's January report was titled “Steady amid Divergent Forces”; whereas the latest outlook is headlined “Global Economy in the Shadow of War”. The IMF now expects the global economy to slow compared to its previous forecast in January.The latest outlook notes that the global outlook has abruptly darkened following the outbreak of war. Far be it for the IMF to gloat, but its suggestion in January that “steady” was not a word to describe the global economy unless you were desperately trying to make the madness of Donald Trump seem normal has aged quite well.The IMF remains unwilling to name Donald Trump, while noting the lingering effects of the persistent rise in energy prices since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. However, it only talks about the Middle East conflict as though it sprang out of nowhere.The IMF warns of three possible scenarios: a bad scenario where Trump, Israel and Iran come to an agreement; an adverse scenario where things carry on for the rest of the year and oil stays around US$100 per barrel; and a severe scenario where nothing is resolved, oil prices reach $125 in 2027, gas prices increase by 200% over the same period, and food prices increase by 5% in 2026 and 10% in 2027.Even under the current bad scenario, the global economy is expected to slow compared to what the IMF forecast in January. But under the adverse and severe scenarios the global economy grows by just 2.0% this year and 2.2% next year.For context, over the past 40 years, the global economy has grown slower than 2.2% only three times – 1992 (global recession), 2009 (the GFC) and 2020 (Covid).The IMF has downgraded Australia’s growth by more than most. Even under the most optimistic scenario growth is 0.5% worse than was forecast last October – a bigger downgrade than all G7 nations.The IMF warns against governments doing popular things like energy caps or subsidies, designed to protect households and firms. It worries that such policies will increase inflation because we’ll all suddenly have so much more money to spend.Gas companies exporting LNG from Australia will be cheering on the war as it keeps gas prices – and their profits – ever higher. The senate is investigating changing the way gas is taxed. An ACTU proposal for a 25% tax on exports would raise roughly $17bn a year.

Ukraine and Germany have agreed on a strategic defence partnership that will enhance cooperation in drone production and bolster Kyiv's air defences. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz announced the deal at a news conference in Berlin.The partnership will grant Germany access to Ukraine's advanced drone technology, developed during its conflict with Russia, in exchange for additional military support from Germany. This cooperation will cover various types of drones, missiles, software, and modern defence systems.In a joint declaration, the two countries stated they will strengthen cooperation in the air defence field. Germany will support Ukraine's drone industry and establish drone co-production ventures. The German defence ministry has agreed to fund contracts for several hundred Patriot missiles from the United States, which Ukraine urgently needs to counter nightly Russian drone and missile attacks.Ukrainian Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov expressed gratitude to his German counterpart, Boris Pistorius, for the package, which he valued at four billion euros ($4.7 billion). This funding will provide a massive boost for Ukraine's air defence, protecting its cities and critical infrastructure.Ukraine currently has the production capacity to manufacture twice as much military equipment as it is deploying but lacks the necessary funding. President Zelenskyy emphasized that financial constraints hinder Ukraine's ability to scale up production.German Chancellor Merz noted that the deal is mutually beneficial, citing Ukraine's battle-tested military as a valuable asset for European security. The agreement also includes the exchange of digital combat data for developing new weapons systems.The announcement comes as hopes rise that the European Union may soon provide Ukraine with a 90-billion-euro ($105bn) loan, which was blocked by Hungary last month. With the recent election of Peter Magyar in Hungary, who is expected to reverse this stance, Ukraine's financial prospects are improving.The urgency of Ukraine's need for additional arms was highlighted by a missile attack on the city of Dnipro, which killed four people and injured at least 21. Russian troops have also captured territory in the Dnipropetrovsk region and launched attacks in the city of Kherson.

Sergey Lavrov touched down in Beijing as Washington intensified its pressure on Iran by attempting to block the Strait of Hormuz, a waterway that carries roughly one‑third of China’s oil imports. The Russian foreign minister was greeted with a red‑carpet reception, according to photos released by Russia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Both Beijing and Moscow condemned the United States and Israel over their involvement in the ongoing war on Iran, noting that the conflict has already strained China’s energy supplies. China, a major purchaser of Iranian crude, denounced a newly announced U.S. plan to prohibit vessels from entering or leaving Iranian ports and coastal waters, calling the measure an unjustified interference with international trade. “The Strait of Hormuz is a vital international trade route for goods and energy, and its security and uninterrupted flow serve the common interest of the global community,” Chinese MFA spokesman Guo Jiakun said on Monday. According to Al Jazeera’s Alan Fisher, the U.S. hopes that by choking Iran’s trade it can force China to pressure Tehran into returning to negotiations, given that Beijing imports about a third of its oil from Iran. Lavrov also held a telephone conversation with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, emphasizing the need to prevent any resurgence of hostilities in the Middle East and reiterating Russia’s “unwavering readiness” to assist in a diplomatic settlement. Araghchi relayed details of recent U.S.–Iran talks in Pakistan, which ended without a breakthrough, underscoring the limited diplomatic progress on the issue. The visit comes as China‑Russia relations have deepened since Russia’s full‑scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Earlier in the week, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi spoke with Lavrov, agreeing that the two capitals would cooperate to de‑escalate tensions in the region. Beijing’s diplomatic calendar this week also featured meetings with Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, United Arab Emirates President Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, and an upcoming visit by Vietnamese President To Lam, highlighting China’s active role in global diplomacy despite its low‑profile stance on the Iran conflict. Analysts note that China’s restrained approach allows it to position itself as a “reliable, stable and predictable partner” for states seeking alternatives to U.S. influence, especially given its extensive trade ties with Tehran. Former U.S. President Donald Trump, slated to visit Beijing next month, warned he would impose a 50 percent tariff on Chinese goods if China provides military assistance to Iran. The claim followed a CNN report citing U.S. intelligence that China might deliver new air‑defence systems to Tehran. Chinese officials dismissed the report as “completely fabricated” and warned of “resolute counter‑measures” should the United States use it as a pretext for additional tariffs.

The Sea of Azov, once a cherished destination for Ukrainians, has become a casualty of the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia. The 2022 invasion resulted in Russia seizing the entire sea, creating a 'land bridge' to safeguard its control of Crimea. For Ukrainians like Mariya Bubnova, the sea holds fond memories of sailing and family traditions.Bubnova, a displaced person and mother of two, recalls the warm and barely salty waters of the Azov, where she and her friends would rent sailboats. However, the Russian invasion destroyed her family's business, and they were forced to flee to the Netherlands. The loss of Azov has had a devastating impact on Ukraine's economy, with estimated losses of 10-12% of its GDP and $12.4 trillion in resources, including coal mines, metals, and rare earth minerals.While Russia has gained control of Azov, the victory is considered a Pyrrhic one, with destroyed industrial assets and infrastructure rendering the area largely unusable. The steel plants of Mariupol, once a major industrial hub, lie in ruins, and the seawater is polluted due to the destroyed sewage system and shelling. Furthermore, Russia's gains in terms of industrial assets are estimated to be 'almost zero', as Moscow can only utilize the industrial area of the city of Melitopol.The conflict has also led to a significant brain drain, with refugees from the area settling in other parts of Ukraine or in the West. Bubnova and her family have had to adapt to a new life in Slavutych, a former company town north of Kyiv. Despite the challenges, she and her husband have started a new company to produce canned soups, and her daughter has developed a new recipe for borscht.A possible development that could dramatically boost Azov's geopolitical status is the proposed canal between Azov and the Caspian Sea, which would give Caspian nations access to the Black Sea and the Mediterranean. However, this project would rival the Suez Canal and bolster Russia's role in the region, potentially working against China, Türkiye, and Iran.

"Bloody unacceptable" – those were the words of UN humanitarian chief Denise Brown as she condemned the failure to halt a war that has now entered its fourth year. The conflict, which began with rival generals overthrowing Sudan’s civilian leadership, has eclipsed global crises in Ukraine, Gaza and Iran, yet remains largely ignored. The Berlin‑hosted international conference aims to inject urgency into a situation where tens of thousands have been killed, four million have fled abroad, and millions more are internally displaced. Roughly 30 million Sudanese – more than half the population – now face acute food insecurity, and large swathes of Khartoum lie in ruins. Violence has not abated. The paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), led by Gen. Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, have established a rival administration in western Sudan. In the siege of El Fasher, an estimated 10,000 civilians were massacred – a UN mission described the atrocity as bearing the hallmarks of genocide. Both the RSF and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) under Gen. Abdel Fattah al‑Burhan have deliberately targeted civilians, carried out summary executions, tortured detainees and increasingly employed drones to devastate urban areas. Gen. Burhan, whose government enjoys international recognition, refuses any compromise, insisting the RSF must first disarm and retreat to camps before any national dialogue. The RSF, meanwhile, demands a new federal system and the removal of Islamist elements – a stance that directly challenges Burhan’s coalition. In September, a US‑led mediation team that included Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Egypt outlined a tentative roadmap: a humanitarian truce leading to a cease‑fire and subsequent political talks. Yet the United States has shown little appetite to prioritize Sudan, and the plan sidestepped the most contentious issues. The deeper scandal, according to diplomats and analysts, is the role of external actors in sustaining the war. Despite denials, the UAE is widely reported as the principal backer of the RSF, while Saudi Arabia and Egypt back Burhan’s forces. Recent Yale research points to Ethiopian collusion with the RSF, raising fears of a broader regional conflagration. European states, which previously funded Sudanese security to curb migration, have inadvertently strengthened the RSF and supplied weapons now used on the battlefield. The ongoing Iran‑Israel conflict further hampers relief efforts, inflating costs and limiting aid deliveries. Community kitchens that once fed countless families are disappearing – more than 40 % have closed in the past six months. The Berlin delegates must therefore boost support for Sudan’s grassroots mutual‑aid networks, but humanitarian assistance cannot replace a durable peace. Pressure on the UAE and other geopolitically motivated actors is essential if the international community hopes to halt the suffering of millions of Sudanese.