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The Gulf Cooperation Council is reassessing its security model after the brief but intense US‑Israel campaign against Iran. With American bases on Gulf soil turning the region into a target for Tehran’s missile and drone barrage, Gulf capitals are looking to diversify their defence partners beyond the United States. Iran’s lingering missile arsenal and its demand to retain control of the Strait of Hormuz remain the central security dilemma. The strait channels the bulk of Gulf oil trade, and Tehran’s insistence on keeping a foothold there was a sticking point in the cease‑fire talks scheduled to begin in Islamabad. Gulf air defences boasted a high interception rate, claiming to have neutralised more than 90% of the 2,256 drones and 563 missiles that struck the United Arab Emirates, the hardest‑hit member of the bloc. Nevertheless, the Gulf is split on how to engage Iran moving forward. A hawkish bloc led by the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain favours a tougher stance, while Saudi Arabia, Qatar and others are open to restoring diplomatic ties. In a rare development, Saudi Arabia and Iran held their first official conversation since the conflict began, with foreign ministers discussing measures to lower tensions and restore regional stability. Security scholars such as Bader Mousa Al‑Saif of Kuwait University argue that Gulf states must broaden their security network, forging alliances with regional powers like Turkey and Pakistan rather than relying solely on the United States. He warned that the region needs a model that shields it from a perpetual state of war. Pre‑war trends are now accelerating: Saudi Arabia recently signed a defence pact with Pakistan, the UAE announced a partnership with India, and all three Gulf states – Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar – entered rapid defence agreements with Ukraine to counter Iranian drone threats. Talks of a “Muslim NATO” have largely faded, but a new alignment dubbed “Step”, involving Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Egypt and Pakistan, is taking shape. The coalition’s purpose remains ambiguous, oscillating between counter‑Iran and counter‑Israel objectives, and internal rivalries complicate cohesion. The United Kingdom, which helped protect Gulf airspace during the hostilities, is also seeking deeper defence‑industrial cooperation with Saudi Arabia, as discussed by Prime Minister Keir Starmer in Jeddah. UAE political scientist Abdulkhaleq Abdulla predicts tighter security ties with the United States and a growing willingness among Gulf states to engage with Israel on military and intelligence fronts. Analysts such as Yasmine Farouk of the International Crisis Group note that Saudi Arabia’s extensive oil infrastructure, Red Sea ports and sheer geographic size give it a strategic advantage in post‑war reconstruction, though the cost of rebuilding could strain its Vision 2030 diversification agenda. Looking ahead, the Gulf is expected to layer additional security partnerships—particularly with European nations—while investing heavily in air and missile defence, hardened ports, desalination facilities, maritime surveillance and alternative export routes. As Andreas Krieg of King’s College London observes, the United States remains the only power with a full‑scale military architecture in the Gulf, but its bases are increasingly viewed as “tripwires” rather than protective shields.

Iran has declared that the Strait of Hormuz, a vital passage for global oil shipments, is open but with certain limitations. The strait, which connects the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman, is a crucial route for oil exports from countries such as Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.The new restrictions come amid heightened tensions in the region, with Iran seeking to assert its control over the strategic waterway. Despite the limitations, shipping and trade activities are expected to continue, albeit with increased scrutiny and regulation.

Residents of Sidon are recalling the traumatic experience of Israeli airstrikes that targeted their area, following a recent ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran. The strikes had caused significant fear and destruction, leaving a lasting impact on the local community. The ceasefire has brought a sense of relief, but the memories of the intense violence and fear for their safety continue to linger among the residents. The incident has underscored the fragile nature of peace in the region and the ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran.

A fresh assessment released after the latest wave of Israeli airstrikes confirms that Beirut has endured extensive structural damage. The report, sourced from local authorities, outlines the breadth of destruction across residential districts and key infrastructure.While precise casualty figures remain unconfirmed, officials emphasize that the scale of the devastation will require substantial reconstruction efforts and could exacerbate the humanitarian situation in the capital.International observers note that the heightened damage underscores the escalating intensity of the conflict in the region, raising concerns about further destabilisation and the need for coordinated relief responses.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has announced that his government is ready to hold direct talks with Lebanon, following a series of devastating Israeli attacks that killed over 300 people and threatened a fragile US-Iran ceasefire.In a statement released on Thursday, Netanyahu said that the negotiations will focus on disarming Hezbollah and establishing peaceful relations between Israel and Lebanon. This move comes a day after Israeli attacks across Lebanon resulted in significant casualties and raised concerns about the stability of the region.The Israeli attacks have killed at least 303 people and wounded over 1,000 in central Beirut and other areas of Lebanon. Lebanon's Prime Minister, Nawaf Salam, has declared Thursday a 'national day of mourning' in response to the attacks.Netanyahu's announcement comes as Hezbollah has rejected direct negotiations with Israel, stating that the Lebanese government should demand a ceasefire as a precondition before further steps. An official source has also confirmed that there will be no talks before a ceasefire is secured.The situation remains volatile, with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian warning that Israeli strikes on Lebanon would render negotiations meaningless. The US and Iran are set to meet in Islamabad, Pakistan on Saturday for talks on ending the war, with concerns growing about the impact of the conflict on the fragile ceasefire deal.

A group of US Democrats has strongly condemned Israel's intensifying attacks on Lebanon, warning that the escalation threatens to undermine the fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran. The attacks, which have killed at least 303 people in Lebanon, have sparked concerns that the ceasefire may not hold if Israel continues its aggression.Congress members, including centrist and progressive Democrats, have urged President Donald Trump to take action to rein in his ally, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and ensure that the ceasefire applies to Lebanon. They argue that Netanyahu's actions are not aligned with US interests and risk drawing America into a broader regional war.Pakistan, which mediated the ceasefire, had explicitly stated that the truce applies to Lebanon. However, Israel and the US have contradicted this account, with Trump and his aides denying that Lebanon is part of the deal. This has sparked concerns about the viability of the ceasefire and the potential for further conflict in the region.Democrats on the House Foreign Affairs Committee have slammed the US response, saying that such a misunderstanding during high-stakes negotiations would be a sign of incompetence. They are calling on Trump to pressure Israel to stop its attacks on Lebanon and ensure that the ceasefire holds.

The United Kingdom's Defence Minister, John Healey, announced that British forces had successfully tracked and deterred three Russian submarines in a covert operation within UK waters in the High North maritime region. This area is strategically important due to its proximity to key shipping routes and crucial undersea cables.Healey revealed that the month-long operation, which involved British warships and military aircraft, did not find evidence of Russian vessels damaging undersea infrastructure. However, the decision to publicly disclose the operation was made to 'call out' Russian activity and send a clear message to Russian President Vladimir Putin.“We see you, we see your activity over our cables and pipelines. And you should know that any attempt to damage them will not be tolerated, and will have serious consequences,” Healey stated. The British Defence Ministry identified the submarines as an Akula-class Russian nuclear-powered attack submarine and two specialist submarines from Russia's Main Directorate of Deep Sea Research (GUGI), which defence experts consider one of Moscow's most secret facilities.The Russian embassy in London rejected the British government's claims that its submarines posed a threat to undersea cables. According to Healey, the Russian attack submarine was likely a decoy to distract from the two specialist vessels designed to survey underwater infrastructure during peacetime and sabotage it in conflict. The operation highlights growing concerns about threats to undersea cables, which connect about 99 percent of global internet traffic, with the UK having 60 cables near its waters.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi warned on Thursday that it would be "dumb" for the United States to permit Israel to jeopardise the newly‑declared regional ceasefire by persisting with its intense bombardment of Lebanon, a campaign that has already claimed hundreds of lives. Araghchi noted that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s corruption trial is set to resume on Sunday, suggesting the prime minister may have ulterior motives for sustaining the fighting. He wrote on social media that a ceasefire encompassing Lebanon would "hasten his jailing," implying that the truce could pressure Netanyahu’s legal woes. Addressing Washington directly, Araghchi said: "If the US wishes to crater its economy by letting Netanyahu kill diplomacy, that would ultimately be its choice. We think that would be dumb but are prepared for it." The statement echoes language used by U.S. Vice President JD Vance the previous day, who warned that Iran would find it "dumb" to let the ceasefire collapse over Lebanon, yet framed it as a choice for Tehran. Since the ceasefire was announced on Tuesday, the dispute over whether it applies to Lebanon has become a central obstacle to sustaining the truce. Iranian officials and media have hinted that Tehran could respond militarily to Israel’s assault on Lebanon or even block the Strait of Hormuz to enforce a Lebanon‑wide ceasefire. President Donald Trump told NBC News that he had spoken with Netanyahu and urged the Israeli government to "scale back" its operations in Lebanon, describing the approach as "low‑key." Vance also reported that Israeli officials had agreed to "check themselves a little bit in Lebanon." Despite these diplomatic overtures, the violence shows no sign of abating. The death toll from recent Israeli strikes in Lebanon has already surpassed 300, marking one of the deadliest days in the country’s recent history. On Thursday, Israel launched several new attacks, including a strike that killed four rescuers in the southern town of Borj Qalaouiye, and issued a displacement order for Beirut’s Jnah district, home to two major hospitals and tens of thousands of residents and displaced persons. The United States has a track record of asserting that Israel will curb its military actions, only to witness continued strikes. In 2024, the Biden administration insisted that Israel’s operation in Rafah was "limited," yet the Israeli military ultimately razed nearly every structure in the city, a tactic now hinted at for southern Lebanon. The Lebanese conflict escalated into full‑scale war in early March after Hezbollah fired rockets in retaliation for Israeli strikes and following the killing of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on February 28. Since a separate November 2024 ceasefire, Israel has maintained near‑daily attacks on Lebanon, targeting civilian infrastructure and deepening the humanitarian crisis.

Thousands of Iranians have gathered nationwide to honour the memory of former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, who governed the nation for nearly 40 years until his death in recent US-Israeli strikes that sparked the latest Middle East conflict.The national tribute commenced at 9:40am (06:10 GMT), the exact time Ali Khamenei was killed on February 28 at his Tehran residence, along with several other senior Iranian officials.State television broadcast footage showing thousands participating in memorial rallies across Iran on Thursday, with many carrying portraits of the late leader in cities including Urmia in the northwest, Gorgan in the northeast, and the capital Tehran.His successor, son Mojtaba Khamenei, has remained out of public view since before the war began, and was not expected to attend the nationwide commemorative events held Thursday.The attack initiated the Middle East conflict that has since engulfed the region, with Iran responding by targeting US assets and allies across the Gulf and launching strikes against Israel.Due to the ongoing war, a formal state funeral for the late supreme leader has yet to be held.