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Lead: In a stark warning to Moscow, the Tuareg‑led Azawad Liberation Front told French officials in Paris that its primary objective is the permanent withdrawal of Russian mercenaries supporting Mali’s military junta. The statement follows a multi‑city assault that killed Defence Minister Sadio Camara and saw rebels seize key northern towns. The Rebels’ Call for a Permanent Russian Exit Spokesperson Mohamed Elmaouloud Ramadane of the FLA told AFP that the movement’s “objective” is for Russia’s Africa Corps to “withdraw permanently” from Mali. He framed the demand as a response to the junta’s reliance on Russian forces, which he said “supported people who committed serious crimes and massacres.” The rebels emphasized that their grievance is with the regime in Bamako, not with any foreign nation. Casualties and Territorial Shifts Since the Saturday Offensive Defence Minister Sadio Camara killed by a car‑bomb in Kati. Rebel alliance (FLA, JNIM, Fulani and Arab groups) captured Kidal, Sevare, and reported advances toward Gao, Timbuktu and Menaka. Russian fighters were observed leaving Kidal in trucks after a negotiated corridor to Anefis. Malian forces reclaimed Menaka and reported presence in Mopti and Gao. Regional Power Dynamics: France, Algeria, and the Sahel The appeal to France underscores the lingering influence of the former colonial power, which has urged its citizens to evacuate Mali. Algeria’s mediation reportedly facilitated the Russian pull‑out from Kidal, highlighting its role as a regional broker. Meanwhile, the continued presence of Russian mercenaries keeps the Sahel’s security calculus volatile, affecting EU and UN counter‑terrorism initiatives. What the Next Weeks Could Hold for Mali’s Security Landscape If the rebels maintain momentum, they may consolidate control over northern hubs and impose a “moderate form of Sharia law” as outlined by the FLA. A failure to secure a Russian exit could provoke further escalation, prompting renewed French or UN intervention. Analysts anticipate that the junta’s next move will be a decisive military push to “neutralise” armed groups, while diplomatic pressure on Moscow may intensify through Algeria and Western partners.

The Standoff Between US and Iran President Donald Trump says the United States will continue its naval blockade of Iran until a nuclear deal is reached with Tehran. The US president told Axios on Wednesday that he does not want to end his blockade on Iranian ports, apparently rejecting the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz so that US-Iran talks could proceed. Iran's Response to the Blockade Iran has set lifting the siege as a precondition for returning to the talks. According to several media reports, Iran offered a limited deal this week that would end its own blockade on Hormuz in exchange for the end of the siege on its ports. Trump's comments on Wednesday indicate that he turned down the Iranian proposal. Economic Impact of the Blockade The blockade has sent oil prices soaring, fuelling energy inflation in the US, where the price of one gallon of petrol has surpassed $4.22 ($1.11 per litre) – up from less than $3 ($0.79 per litre) before the war. The international benchmark Brent crude oil futures jumped to more than $119 per barrel on Wednesday as Washington and Tehran escalated their rhetoric. Future Outlook Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said on Wednesday that the US is trying to “activate economic pressure and internal division” in the country “to weaken or even collapse us from within”. He promised that Iranians “will defeat this deceptive plan of the enemy” and “achieve a brilliant victory” in the war. Separately, an unidentified senior security source told Iran’s state-owned Press TV that the blockade will soon be met with “practical and unprecedented action”.

The UAE’s Exit from OPEC: A Strategic ShiftAfter decades of membership, the United Arab Emirates announced its departure from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to pursue “national interests” and unrestricted production capacity. The move arrives amid the Iran‑U.S. conflict that has choked the Strait of Hormuz, raising questions about immediate market impact and long‑term Gulf power balances.Why Abu Dhabi Walked Away – Policy Friction and Production AmbitionsThe Emirates has long complained about OPEC’s production caps, which limit its ability to monetize a newly‑expanded capacity of 5 million barrels per day (bpd) by 2027. With a quota of only 3.2 million bpd under the current agreement, the UAE sought freedom to sell the surplus it has built.Decades of OPEC membershipInvestment of billions to raise capacity from 3 to 5 million bpdGeopolitical pressure from the Iran‑U.S. warProduction Capacity vs. Quota: Numbers Behind the DecisionBefore the war, the UAE’s operational capacity stood at 4.8 million bpd, yet it was restricted to 3.2 million bpd. The excess 1.6 million bpd represents roughly 1.5% of global oil supply. In 2025 the country exported 1.7 million bpd via the Fujairah terminal, bypassing the Strait of Hormuz.Global oil supply share: ~33% held by OPEC+Strait of Hormuz carries ~20% of world oil and LNG shipmentsRipple Effects on Gulf Energy Dynamics and Global Oil PricesAnalysts say the immediate market impact will be muted because all Gulf exporters are constrained by the Hormuz blockage. However, if navigation resumes, the UAE could flood the market with its surplus, pressuring prices and giving Abu Dhabi a bargaining chip against Saudi‑led production caps.Saudi Arabia’s senior adviser Mohammad al‑Sabban downplays the exit, noting OPEC+ still comprises 23 members. Yet the split underscores a growing strategic divergence between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi, amplified by differing stances on the Iran conflict.What’s Next? Scenarios for OPEC, the UAE and the Post‑War Oil LandscapeThree plausible paths emerge:Negotiated reopening of the Strait of Hormuz – UAE ramps up exports, OPEC+ faces tighter supply balance.Prolonged blockage – UAE relies on Fujairah and other non‑Hormuz routes, limiting its market share.Long‑term decline in oil demand – UAE accelerates diversification, using its extra capacity as a hedge before a transition to renewables.Energy strategist Kingsmill Bond argues the move is a pre‑emptive hedge against a post‑war world where OPEC’s influence wanes and fossil‑fuel demand peaks.

The Lead: Historic Champions League ShowdownHistory is being made as Mikel Arteta's Arsenal faces Atlético Madrid in the Champions League semi-final first leg. This marks the first time Arsenal has reached consecutive semi-finals in the club's history, representing a remarkable transformation from being the 15th-best team in England to one of Europe's finest.The Defensive Duel: Tactical Battle of TitansThis semi-final features two teams best known for their defensive excellence, creating a fascinating tactical clash. Atlético Madrid, under Diego Simeone, has built a reputation for organized, resilient defending that has taken them to three Champions League finals (1974, 2014, 2016) without ever lifting the trophy. Arsenal, under Mikel Arteta, has developed a similarly robust defensive structure that has been crucial to their European campaign.The Historical Context: Two Teams Seeking First European GloryFor the second consecutive year, Arsenal's semi-final involves arguably the two best teams never to win the European Cup or Champions League. Atlético Madrid holds the record for most appearances in the final without victory, while Arsenal lost their only final to Barcelona 20 years ago. This meeting represents a significant opportunity for either club to break their European hoodoo.The Previous Encounters: A History of Competitive MatchesThis is the fourth meeting between the two clubs. Their previous encounters include:Europa League semi-final 2017-18: Atlético won 2-1 on aggregate with goals from Griezmann and CostaChampions League league phase 2025-26: Arsenal dominated the second half in their previous encounterThe Road to Budapest: Final at StakeBoth teams will be acutely aware that winning this semi-final is just the first step. The victor will advance to the final in Budapest on May 30, where they will have another chance to etch their name in European football history. For either Atlético or Arsenal, reaching the final represents not just sporting achievement but the potential culmination of decades of pursuit of European glory.

The Lead Mohamed Salah is expected to play again for Liverpool before the end of his farewell season after being diagnosed with a minor muscle injury. The 33-year-old Egypt international was substituted in the 59th minute of Liverpool's 3-1 win over Crystal Palace on Saturday with a hamstring problem. The Injury Details Salah's reaction at the time – applauding all four sides of Anfield before heading straight down the tunnel – raised concerns that he was facing a lengthy spell on the sidelines and might have played his final game for the club. Liverpool have allayed those fears, however, in a statement that confirmed: "Mohamed Salah is expected to be available to play again before the end of this season." The statement added: "The issue that caused his withdrawal has now been confirmed as a minor muscle injury. It is, however, anticipated Salah will return to action ahead of 2025-26's conclusion and his departure from the Reds this summer." The Season Impact Arne Slot's side have only four games remaining this season – against Manchester United, Chelsea, Aston Villa and Brentford – as they attempt to secure qualification for next season's Champions League. No timeframe has been placed on Salah's absence but he appears certain to miss Sunday's visit to Old Trafford and Chelsea's trip to Anfield on 9 May. The Farewell Context The Liverpool great announced last month that he would be leaving the club after nine years at the end of the season despite having 12 months remaining on his contract. There will be an opportunity for Salah to end his illustrious Liverpool career with a home game against Brentford on the final day of the season.

Shaun Murphy has delivered a masterclass in resilience, defeating defending champion Zhao Xintong 13-10 to reach the semi-finals of the World Snooker Championship. The Englishman's victory marks a significant milestone in his career, positioning him just two wins away from a second world title. The Crucible Comeback: From 3-0 Down to the Verge of Glory The quarter-final clash was a dramatic battle of nerves and precision. Despite Zhao Xintong establishing an early 3-0 lead, Murphy refused to buckle under the pressure. The match was tied 8-8 after the second session, but Murphy took control on Wednesday. Final Session Dominance: Murphy reeled off three consecutive frames with breaks of 98, 80, and 70. Zhao's Response: The defending champion fought back with contributions of 71 and 81, forcing the match to a 23rd frame. The Deciding Frame: Murphy sealed the win with a crucial 69-point break, leaving Zhao unable to secure the snooker needed to prolong the contest. Breaking the 'Curse of the Crucible' Zhao Xintong's exit serves as a reminder of the tournament's unforgiving nature. Since the World Snooker Championship moved to the Crucible Theatre in 1977, no first-time world champion has successfully retained their title the following year. As snooker's first world champion from Asia, Zhao's victory in last year's final was historic. However, the 29-year-old acknowledged the weight of the defending champion's role, stating, 'I felt some pressure [as defending champion] but I still felt alright.' A 21-Year Odyssey for Murphy For Shaun Murphy, this victory is the culmination of a long journey. He first lifted snooker's most prestigious trophy 21 years ago and has been a top contender ever since. The 43-year-old described his performance as 'somewhere near my best,' highlighting his mental fortitude in turning a deficit into a winning position. Murphy's Path to a Second Crown With the quarter-final hurdle cleared, Murphy is now focused on the remaining two matches. He labeled Zhao as the 'best on the planet' earlier in the week, suggesting he views the remaining field with high respect. As he prepares for the semi-finals, Murphy's experience and current form suggest he is a serious contender to end the 21-year gap since his last world title.

The Historic All-English European Showdown Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest are set to clash in what promises to be a thrilling Europa League semi-final, marking the first major European semi-final between English sides since Manchester United overcame Arsenal in the Champions League in 2009. This all-Premier League encounter at the City Ground represents not just a chance for silverware but also a milestone in both clubs' European journeys. Team Evolution and Management Contrasts Under Unai Emery, Aston Villa has experienced transformative success, with eight of the current starting XI having been part of the squad since before Emery's arrival. This stability has been crucial to Villa's rise, with Emery given complete autonomy and supported by director of football Damian Vidagany. In contrast, Nottingham Forest have cycled through four managers across the past nine months, though Vítor Pereira's appointment has proven a masterstroke, guiding the team to European success while Premier League survival remains in sight. Historical Context and Recent Encounters The teams' history includes a memorable Championship classic in 2018, a topsy-turvy 5-5 draw at Villa Park where Tammy Abraham scored four goals. While this is their first top-flight meeting this millennium, they drew 1-1 earlier this month, with both teams missing chances to capitalize. That match came during one of Forest's flattest performances under Pereira, who has since implemented a more effective 4-4-2 formation featuring Chris Wood. Current Form and Key Players Forest are unbeaten in eight matches and, since Pereira's arrival in February, have scored more goals than anyone in the Premier League. Morgan Gibbs-White has been particularly impressive, scoring 10 goals this calendar year – more than any other player. Villa, meanwhile, are on course to qualify for the Champions League for the second time in three seasons, with Ollie Watkins hitting double figures in each of his six seasons at the club. European Ambitions and Domestic Pressures For Villa, this tie represents a third straight major semi-final in three years, with the team determined to overcome past disappointments. As captain John McGinn noted, they have "that determination in the back of our heads to prove this team we have built over the past five or six years is worth more than a quarter-final, worth more than a semi-final." Forest, meanwhile, are somewhat liberated in Europe due to their focus on avoiding relegation, having blown away Fenerbahce and overcome Porto in previous rounds. Trophy Dreams and Legacy Building Villa are chasing their first trophy in 30 years, with Watkins admitting envy for teammates who have previously won silverware. "That feeling of getting Champions League football a few years ago was unbelievable, but to lift a trophy... personally I have never done it," he said. For Forest, this is their fourth major European semi-final and first since 1984, with Pereira inspired by the legacy of former manager Brian Clough, whose statue in the city center serves as a reminder of what's possible. The Path to Istanbul Should Villa prevail, they would be favorites to end their 30-year trophy drought next month in Istanbul. Emery is hunting a record fifth Europa League title, having previously won the competition four times with Sevilla. For Forest, a European final would represent the culmination of an incredible season that has seen them transform from relegation candidates to European contenders under Pereira's guidance.

The LeadMadagascar has taken significant diplomatic and legal actions against French nationals, detaining a former French serviceman and expelling a French embassy agent over allegations of a destabilization plot against the island nation. The move has escalated tensions between Madagascar and France, the country's former colonial power.The Event DetailsAccording to Deputy Prosecutor Nomenarinera Mihamintsoa Ramanantsoa, the former French national serviceman, Guy Baret, has been placed in pretrial detention at Tsiafahy maximum-security prison. A Malagasy army officer, Colonel Patrick Rakotomamonjy, and other alleged accomplices have also been implicated in the plot.The suspects are accused of planning actions initially set for April 18, targeting the stability of Madagascar's government led by President Michael Randrianirina, who seized power in October 2025 following protests against his predecessor.The Legal ChargesProsecutors have formally charged the suspects with several serious offenses:Spreading false information to disturb public orderPlotting to sabotage infrastructure including power lines and thermal plants operated by state utility JiramaHarboring wanted individualsCriminal conspiracyRakotomamonjy is awaiting presentation before an investigating judge, while two other suspects have been placed under judicial supervision, with prosecutors indicating they were not the masterminds of the conspiracy.The Diplomatic ResponseFrance has strongly rejected the accusations, summoning the charge d'affaires of the Madagascan embassy in Paris "to vigorously protest" the expulsion of the diplomatic official. French Foreign Ministry spokesman Pascal Confavreux stated that France "categorically rejected any accusation of destabilising the Refoundation regime of the Republic of Madagascar," calling the accusations "unfounded" and "incomprehensible."In response, Madagascar's Foreign Ministry confirmed that French Ambassador Arnaud Guillois had been summoned and informed of the decision regarding the embassy agent, though the agent's identity and specific alleged acts were not disclosed.The Regional ContextThe incident occurs against a backdrop of political instability in Madagascar, a former French colony that maintains close political ties to France. The country has experienced multiple power changes in recent decades, with President Randrianirina taking control after youth-led protests forced his predecessor, Andry Rajoelina, from power in October 2025. Notably, France assisted Rajoelina's departure during the escalating protests over water and energy shortages.This diplomatic confrontation adds to regional tensions in the Indian Ocean and Africa, where former colonial powers and African nations continue to navigate complex post-colonial relationships.

Champions League Semifinal Showdown Spain’s Atletico Madrid host Arsenal of England in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League semifinal. The match at Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid, Spain, kicks off at 9pm (19:00 GMT).