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The Stumbling Blocks in US-Iran War Talks Future control over the Strait of Hormuz and a demand from Washington that Tehran export its stockpile of highly enriched uranium remain key stumbling blocks, as Pakistani mediators continued to seek a permanent ceasefire they believe is still within reach between the US and Iran. Escalating Tensions and Fear of Surprise Attacks Meanwhile, Israel and Iran each fear the other is about to launch a surprise attack on its territory while the US president, Donald Trump, continues to insist a fresh assault on Iran is an option available to him. Pakistani Mediation Efforts The Pakistani interior minister, Mohsen Naqvi, met the Iranian foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, for the second time in two days in a bid to secure a breakthrough in talks, and it is still possible that a delayed visit to Tehran by Field Marshal Asim Munir, the commander of the Pakistani army, will signal progress is being made. Iran's Conditions for a Ceasefire Iran has emphasised it is seeking to postpone all talks on its nuclear program and focus instead on a permanent cessation of hostilities that it hopes will include a phased lifting of US sanctions, unfreezing of frozen Iranian assets, compensation for US-Israeli war damage, and commitments not to resort to force in future. The Strait of Hormuz Dispute The future management of the strategic Strait of Hormuz is a key point of dispute, with Pakistan floating plans for joint control under UN auspices. Tehran has also proposed that its recently created Persian Gulf Strait Authority take responsibility for the channel, in which fees would be charged and ships would have to follow instructions from over selected transit routes. International Response and Concerns Five Gulf states have written a letter to the International Maritime Authority, a global shipping watchdog, urging merchant and commercial ships not to engage with the PGSA. The list of signatories are Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.

The Pause on Taiwan Arms Sales Linked to Iran ConflictThe United States has temporarily halted foreign military sales to Taiwan to ensure sufficient ammunition for its operations in the Iran war, according to acting Navy secretary Hung Cao during a congressional hearing on Thursday, 22 May 2026. The decision adds a new layer of uncertainty to an already strained US‑Taiwan relationship.Details of the Congressional Hearing and Official StatementsDuring the hearing, Hung Cao was asked about a pending $14 bn (£10.4 bn) weapons package awaiting President Donald Trump's signature. He responded:“Right now we’re doing a pause in order to make sure we have the munitions we need for Epic Fury – which we have plenty.”He added that sales would resume when the administration deems it necessary. Senator Mitch McConnell queried whether the sales would eventually be approved; Cao indicated that the decision rests with Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Pentagon chief Pete Hegseth. Taiwan’s presidential office spokesperson Karen Kuo later said Taipei had received no indication of a permanent adjustment.Financial Scope of the Deferred $14 bn Weapons PackageValue: $14 bn (£10.4 bn) – the largest pending sale for Taiwan this year.Components: Advanced missile systems, air‑defence radars, and naval combat kits (exact inventory not disclosed).Stockpile pressure: US missile reserves have reportedly declined sharply since the Iran war began on 28 February 2026, prompting the “pause” rationale.Strategic Implications for US‑Taiwan Relations and Regional SecurityThe pause comes at a delicate moment:Taiwan’s security: Under the Taiwan Relations Act, the US is obligated to provide sufficient defensive equipment.Beijing’s reaction: China repeatedly condemns US arms sales to the island and warned that mishandling the Taiwan issue could lead to “collision or even conflict” with the United States.Trump’s diplomatic posture: The President has framed the weapons packages as a “negotiating chip” in his recent talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping, suggesting a possible shift in long‑standing policy.These dynamics could reshape the strategic calculus for all three parties, especially if the Iran conflict drags on.Outlook: When Might the Sales Resume?Analysts anticipate that the sales could restart under several conditions:A de‑escalation or cease‑fire in the Iran war that frees up US munitions.Clear political signaling from the Biden administration (or successor) that Taiwan remains a priority.Domestic pressure from Congress and defense contractors to honor the $14 bn commitment.Until those thresholds are met, Taiwan may need to seek alternative sources or interim defensive measures, while Beijing will likely continue to leverage the pause in its diplomatic outreach.

Lead: A Dog‑Led Camera Takes on the Third ReichThe short film Blondi premiered in Brixton, using a seven‑month‑old German shepherd, Lexie, as the on‑set cinematographer. Producer Pablo Álvarez‑Hornia and director Jack Salvadori strapped a camera to the dog’s back, creating a uniquely unsettling perspective on the final days of the Nazi regime.Lexie the German Shepherd Becomes the World’s First CinemadographerFor the first time in cinema history, a non‑human animal operated the camera, capturing shaky, low‑angle shots that mirror the chaos of the bunker. Salvadori described the result as “freaky angles” that make viewers feel uncomfortable, a deliberate choice to reflect the grim reality of the era.Film title: BlondiDirector: Jack Salvadori (29, Italian‑born)Producer: Pablo Álvarez‑Hornia (27, Spanish‑born)Dog‑cinematographer: Lexie, a seven‑month‑old German shepherdScript writer: Peter GreenawayCinematography advisor: Roger DeakinsHow a Dog‑Led Camera Challenges Conventional FilmmakingThe experiment forces actors to react to an unpredictable, animal‑driven lens, stripping away traditional blocking and creating a theatre‑like spontaneity. It also raises ethical questions about using a living creature to convey historical horror, while highlighting the dog’s ability to “capture energies” that human operators might miss.What This Experiment Means for Future Documentary TechniquesBy handing visual control to an animal, the filmmakers suggest a new frontier where subjectivity is literal rather than metaphorical. If audiences respond to the visceral discomfort, we may see more projects that embed cameras in unconventional carriers—animals, drones, or even wearable tech—to achieve raw, unmediated perspectives.

The Economic Crisis in War-Torn LebanonBeirut, Lebanon – Mario Habib, a 51-year-old barber who opened his shop in 2006 just before war broke out between Israel and Hezbollah, is now living through another conflict. Twenty years later, his business in Furn el-Shebbak neighborhood is struggling as Lebanon's economy deteriorates under the weight of renewed war and global fuel crisis. "The price of running the generator is killing me," Habib said. "Everything has gotten more expensive, the price of petrol doubled, the supermarket is more expensive, even the products [I use for my business] got more expensive."Regional Conflict Disrupts Fuel Supplies and Economic GrowthIsrael's war on Lebanon and the broader US-Israel war on Iran are severely damaging Lebanon's fragile economy. Supply issues have particularly affected oil from the Gulf region, which has largely stopped flowing since the US and Iran blockaded the Strait of Hormuz. In Lebanon, which was already suffering from a severe economic crisis, there is less work and people are losing their jobs at an alarming rate.Despite Lebanon's government expressing optimism about the country's economy in 2025, with the World Bank recording a modest 3.5 percent GDP growth that year, the renewed conflict has erased those gains. In March 2026, inflation reached an 18-month high in Lebanon. Lebanon's Bank Audi now predicts that there will be 0 percent GDP growth in 2026 if the war continues.Economic Indicators Show Deteriorating ConditionsInflation reached an 18-month high in March 2026Bank Audi projects 0% GDP growth for 2026 if war continuesLebanon had recorded 3.5% GDP growth in 2025Reconstruction and recovery costs estimated at $11bn by World BankWar-related losses in 2026 estimated at $3bn (with more expected)Oil prices have increased approximately 65% since MarchCompounding Crises Create Perfect Economic StormLebanon's current economic crisis is not solely the result of recent conflicts. The country has been facing multiple compounding crises for years:2019: Financial mismanagement led to a banking crisis, cutting people off from their savings2020: Beirut port explosion killed 218 people and devastated infrastructure2021-2022: Worsening state services and mass emigration2023-2024: Hezbollah-Israel war displaced thousands of Lebanese2024: Israel intensified attacks, displacing more than one million people2026: Renewed Israeli attacks have displaced over 1.2 million people"This is a war that comes after a war," said Sami Zoughaib, an economist and research manager at The Policy Institute, a Beirut-based think tank. "It comes after institutional collapse. It comes after one of the worst financial crises in history."Societal Impact and Economic VulnerabilityThe economic crisis is disproportionately affecting Lebanon's most vulnerable populations. According to the World Bank, agriculture, commerce, and tourism—sectors accounting for 77 percent of economic losses—are key income sources for low-wage and informal workers now at significant risk.Remittances, which were approximately $6.6bn in 2023, are expected to drop significantly in 2026 due to rising oil prices. The 65% increase in oil prices since March particularly affects remittances from Gulf countries, which are crucial to Lebanon's economy.The displacement crisis has mostly impacted Lebanon's Shia community, from which Hezbollah draws its support. However, economists warn that the economic fallout could exacerbate societal divisions, with political elites potentially scapegoating displaced people for the country's economic problems—a pattern seen in the past with Syrians and Palestinians.Future Outlook: Economic Collapse or Recovery?Should the current pattern of conflict continue, Lebanon's economy could soon become unviable, with many investors deciding that opening or operating businesses is not worth the potential returns. The impact has been felt across the country, with no community left untouched by the economic consequences of war.While some areas have been hit harder than others, economist Sami Zoughaib warns that Lebanon may be reaching a point of no return. "That is, for me, very dangerous," Zoughaib said, referring to the potential for political elites to exploit economic divisions for their own gain.For ordinary Lebanese citizens like Mario Habib, the immediate concern is survival. Despite rising costs and reduced business, Habib refuses to raise his prices. "I always prefer that the person who comes here is comfortable," he said. "A lot of things are more expensive, but I prefer to be conservative on this. I feel like if you come to me, you want to be happy and relaxed."

The Lead: US-Cuba Relations Reach Critical PointUnited States President Donald Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio have issued new threats of military action against Cuba, escalating tensions between the two nations. The Trump administration, with Cuban-American Rubio at the forefront, has been increasing pressure on the communist-led island in what appears to be an attempt to institute "regime change," including a fuel blockade that has pushed the Cuban economy toward collapse.The Escalation: Military Buildup and Legal ActionsThe push against Cuba has accelerated in recent days, with the US indicting Cuba's former President Raul Castro and gathering military forces in the Caribbean. Since returning to office, Trump has implemented numerous sanctions against Cuba, including a fuel blockade that has caused blackouts and protests across the island.On Thursday, Adys Lastres Morera – sister of a high-ranking executive of the Grupo de Administracion Empresarial SA (GAESA) conglomerate, controlled by Cuba's military – was arrested. The US military has also announced that several navy ships, including an aircraft carrier, have arrived in the Caribbean to participate in maritime exercises with partners in Latin America.The Rationale: National Security ConcernsRubio told reporters that Cuba has been a national security threat for years due to its ties with US adversaries Russia and China. Rejecting suggestions of "nation building," Rubio emphasized that the issue is one of "national security." While stating that a negotiated agreement is the US "preference," he indicated that the path of diplomacy with Cuba is "not high.""Their economic system doesn't work. It's broken, and you can't fix it with the current political system that's in place," Rubio said. He added that Cuba has historically "bought time and waited out" previous administrations, but "they're not going to be able to wait us out or buy time. We're very serious, we're very focused."The Presidential Stance: Trump's Personal CommitmentPresident Donald Trump separately told reporters that US presidents have considered intervening in Cuba for decades, but that he appears likely to be "the one that does it." Trump expressed willingness to take action, stating he would be "happy" to intervene militarily in Cuba if necessary.International Response: Condemnation and SupportIn response to the US actions, Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodriguez criticized Rubio for falsely labeling Cuba a threat. "The US secretary of state lies once again to instigate a military aggression that would provoke the shedding of Cuban and American blood," Rodriguez said.Both China and Russia have criticized the US pressure on Cuba. China stated it "firmly supports" Cuba and urged the US to de-escalate tensions and "stop threatening force." Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov commented that "under no circumstances should such methods – which border on violence – be used against either former or current heads of state."Historical Context: The Venezuela PrecedentAnalysts suggest that Trump and Rubio may be considering a similar approach in Cuba to the regime change operation conducted in Venezuela earlier in 2026. In January, Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife were kidnapped in a military operation and brought to the US, where Maduro was charged with "narcoterrorism."Future Outlook: Aid Offers and Potential EscalationRubio noted that Cuba had tentatively accepted an offer of $100 million in aid in return for reforms, though it remains unclear if the US would accept Cuba's terms, as Washington insists on circumventing the military-backed conglomerate GAESA. The situation remains volatile, with both sides digging in their positions as the US continues its military buildup in the region.

The Lead: Japan's World Cup AmbitionsJapan have been late bloomers in terms of World Cups, only reaching the tournament for the first time in 1998 – but since then they have been at every edition. While they have never gotten past the last 16, their current crop of players is surely the most talented in the national side's history.Statement Victory: Japan's Rising International StatusJapan were the first team – outside the hosts – to qualify for the 2026 World Cup. The Samurai Blue have beaten Germany, Brazil, England and Spain since 2022. Their recent 1-0 win at Wembley against England in March, courtesy of a Kaoru Mitoma goal, sent a clear statement about their growing international prowess.Key Players: Mitoma's Absence and Kubo's PromiseJapan's preparations were dealt a blow with star player Kaoru Mitoma missing the tournament due to a hamstring injury. However, Japanese right-winger Takefusa Kubo has promised to fill the void. The 24-year-old has had a fantastic season at Real Sociedad, where he has tormented the best defences of La Liga and helped his side lift the Copa del Rey.Team Structure: Strong Backbone and Tactical FlexibilityWhile coach Hajime Moriyasu's side relish unleashing their attacking talent when possible, they can be pragmatic when needed – playing a low block and keeping things tight – and have a strong backbone. Former Arsenal defender Takehiro Tomiyasu has made the 26-man squad, despite not playing for the Samurai Blue for almost two years due to injuries. In midfield, Wataru Endo offers versatility alongside his leadership and defensive screening, while Daichi Kamada of Crystal Palace offers creativity in the middle of the park.Group Analysis: Path Through Group FJapan will surely qualify from Group F, with their opener against the Netherlands likely to be the stiffest test but also an opportunity to send a statement about their intentions. Tunisia and Sweden will probably not have enough quality to contain the Japanese, but the Blue Samurai certainly will not want to be getting complacent.Future Outlook: Breaking the Last 16 BarrierJapan may well break their last 16 hex – but the last eight will likely be as far as it goes for a side whose limitations will probably catch up with them. The psychological weight of so many last 16 exits is something the Blue Samurai will have to find a way to shrug off if they are to achieve greater success in 2026.Squad Breakdown: Key Names to KnowGoalkeepers: Zion Suzuki, Keisuke Osako, Tomoki Hayakawa.Defenders: Yuto Nagatomo, Shogo Taniguchi, Ko Itakura, Tsuyoshi Watanabe, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Hiroki Ito, Ayumu Seko, Yukinari Sugawara, Junnosuke Suzuki.Midfielders: Wataru Endo, Junya Ito, Daichi Kamada, Ritsu Doan, Ao Tanaka, Kaishu Sano, Takefusa Kubo, Yuito Suzuki.Forwards: Daizen Maeda, Koki Ogawa, Ayase Ueda, Keito Nakamura, Kento Shiogai, Keisuke Goto.

The LeadA friend of mine was recently left in tears after filling up the car she relies on to drive to work. Thanks to the US-Israeli attacks on Iran, prices at the pumps have soared. She wasn't sure how her family was going to make it to the next paycheck.It is a personal story and a distressing one, but the big picture is truly obscene. Fossil fuel companies are raking in monstrous, unearned war profits taken from the pockets of people like you, me, my friend, and any of us who fills up a vehicle or pays an energy bill.The War-Profits Bonanza$30m an hour: that's the pure, unearned profits banked by the world's top 100 oil and gas companies in the first month of the conflict in Iran, purely due to the spike in the oil price. Now the first numbers are in, and that $30m may have been a major underestimate.Shell's profit for the first three months of 2026 more than doubled to $6.9bn, as did BP's, to $3.2bn. TotalEnergies profits also surged by more than 50%, up to $5.8bn. Even in the Gulf itself, where the flow of oil through the strait of Hormuz has been heavily restricted, some companies have still flourished. Aramco, the state oil company of Saudi Arabia, saw its profits soar by 26% to $33.6bn in the first quarter.The Financial Impact on ConsumersThose four companies alone, benefiting not just from the oil price hike but also bumper oil-trading profits, made $23m an hour for the whole of January, February and March. And the Iran conflict only started on 28 February.To get some idea of the scale of this, imagine I gave you $6,200. What would you do? Pay off a loan? Book a fancy holiday? A second later, I give you another $6,200; then again, for hours, weeks and months. That is the rate of profit of just those four companies.There is plenty more to come for the industry. Oil and gas supplies will take months to return to prewar levels, and reserves are getting dangerously low. Even if the oil price remains at today's level of about $100 a barrel, those 100 companies will make $234bn by the end of the year. Remember, the companies, and petrostates such as Russia, have done no extra work for this, just ridden a soaring oil price. Also remember, you are paying for this. Where I live in the UK, household energy bills are about to jump by £209 ($280) a year for the average home.The Industry's Climate ObstructionThe profits are extreme, but not new: big oil and gas has been wildly profitable for decades. It has made an average $1tn a year in pure profit for about 50 years. The fossil fuel sector also benefits from explicit subsidies that totalled $1.3tn in 2022, according to the International Monetary Fund.These riches have funded the lobbying and campaigns that block climate action and have done so for years, long after the science became crystal clear. As an example of the consequences, the UK's official climate advisers said on Tuesday that all care homes and hospitals will need air conditioning within the coming 10 years, to stop the heat killing people.The Green Transition AccelerationBut here's that silver lining I promised: these peak profits contain the seeds of their own downfall. Sky-high fossil fuel prices are pushing people, companies and nations to supercharge their rush towards green power for the simple reason that it is now cheaper and more reliable. Solar power does not need to transit through the strait of Hormuz, as Bill McKibben has observed.The numbers on the surge in renewable energy deployment, already exponential, are not yet in, but they will almost certainly be huge. Green funds are already attracting billions of dollars in new investments and one consultancy estimates that an oil price of $100 a barrel will drive $4tn of extra green investment by 2030.Big oil remains a formidable political force but, on the ground, people are already voting with their feet. Sales of new electric cars in the UK leapt by 59% in April, for example. The pain and anger of today's energy crisis may yet become a critical turning point in confronting the climate crisis.

Senate Delays Immigration Enforcement Vote Amid Internal GOP PushbackThe Republican‑led Senate put off a vote on a $72 bn immigration enforcement package ahead of a long holiday weekend, marking a rare public rebuke of President Donald Trump from within his own party.Trump’s $1.776 bn “Anti‑Weaponisation” Settlement Sparks Senate ScrutinyOn Monday the administration announced a settlement that earmarked nearly $1.776 bn for an “anti‑weaponisation” fund intended to compensate parties the government allegedly treated unfairly. The settlement arose from Trump’s lawsuit against the Internal Revenue Service over a 2019 tax‑refund leak. Senate Republicans summoned acting Attorney General Todd Blanche to question the use of Justice Department money that normally bypasses congressional approval.Senators voiced concern:Don Bacon (Nebraska) warned that the move “smells” of conflict of interest and has eroded Trump’s Senate backing.Thom Tillis (North Carolina) called the fund “stupid on stilts” and predicted public rejection.Fiscal Numbers: $72 bn Immigration Bill vs. $1.8 bn Settlement and $1 bn Ballroom Request$72 bn – total amount of the immigration enforcement bill slated for vote.$1.776 bn – allocated to the anti‑weaponisation fund.$1 bn – Trump’s proposed addition for a White House ballroom, later removed from the bill.The ballroom addition would have blocked the use of budget reconciliation, a streamlined voting process that requires only a simple majority.Political Ramifications for Trump and the Republican CaucusThe internal dissent highlights a fracture in GOP loyalty. Senate Majority Leader John Thune described the bill’s evolution as “more complicated than it should be,” noting that the ballroom request forced leaders to reconsider the legislative strategy.House Republicans also delayed a war‑powers resolution on the US‑Israeli conflict with Iran, further illustrating coordinated maneuvering ahead of the Memorial Day recess.What’s Next: Legislative Outlook After the Memorial Day RecessThe Senate reconvenes in June. Thune signaled that Republicans will “pick up where we left off,” suggesting the immigration bill may return without the ballroom provision, preserving the reconciliation pathway.Key questions moving forward:Will the anti‑weaponisation fund be re‑approved or redirected?Can Trump secure alternative funding for the ballroom without jeopardising the immigration package?How will the Senate’s internal pushback affect Trump’s broader legislative agenda ahead of the 2026 midterms?

The US Stance on Sanctions Against Francesca Albanese The United States has denied that the cancellation of sanctions against Francesca Albanese, the United Nations special rapporteur for the Palestinian territory, constitutes a change in the government’s policy. Court Ruling Leads to Sanctions Removal On Thursday, the Department of State clarified that the administration of President Donald Trump only removed Albanese from a sanctions list due to a recent court ruling. Intention to Reimpose Sanctions “The Government has appealed the court’s order,” the State Department added in its statement, before reaffirming its intention to return Albanese to the list of Specially Designated Nationals (SDNs). The US government intends to restore Ms Albanese’s name to the SDN List if the DC Circuit stays or overturns the court order. Background on Sanctions Against Albanese The Trump administration targeted Albanese with sanctions in July 2025, after she recommended that the International Criminal Court (ICC) issue arrest warrants for Israeli officials, including Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Impact of Sanctions on Albanese Albanese, a human rights expert, has been outspoken in her criticism of Israeli policies towards Palestinians, and she has issued reports documenting Israel’s ongoing genocide in Gaza. The Palestinian death toll in the narrow territory is estimated to exceed 75,000. Future Outlook While Albanese is Italian, her daughter is a US citizen, and she has assets in the country. In February, her family filed a civil complaint in a US federal court in Washington, DC, seeking to overturn the sanctions as a violation of Albanese’s constitutional rights, including the right to free speech.