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Mark Carney, Canada’s prime minister, called for a renewed US‑Canada partnership in a New York speech, framing it as a way to “help make America great again” and to boost Canada’s strategic autonomy ahead of the USMCA review.Carney Proposes a “True Partnership” in New York SpeechSpeaking in New York on Thursday, Carney said the two nations need a “true partnership” that re‑imagines cooperation in sectors under intense global competition. He argued that diversification away from the United States must be balanced with deeper collaboration on shared challenges.Trade Numbers Highlight Canada’s Strategic ValueCarney backed his call with striking statistics that underscore Canada’s importance to the U.S. economy:Canadian aluminium exports to the U.S. equal the energy output of 10 Hoover dams.Canada supplies 99% of U.S. natural‑gas imports, 85% of electricity imports and 60% of crude‑oil imports.Canada is the United States’ biggest customer for automobiles, outpacing China, Japan and Germany combined.Canada holds vast reserves of potash, nickel, copper and uranium, critical for food security, defence and AI‑driven energy demand.Implications for North American Trade and GeopoliticsThe speech signals a shift from confrontational rhetoric—exemplified by former President Donald Trump’s trade war and talk of annexation—to a strategic alignment that could reshape North‑American supply chains. By positioning Canada as a reliable source of critical minerals and energy, Carney aims to reduce U.S. vulnerability to “weaponised integration” and to counteract the “American hegemony” narrative he raised at Davos.What the Next USMCA Review Could Mean for Bilateral TiesThe mandatory USMCA review in July will test whether the proposed partnership can translate into concrete policy changes. If Canada’s proposals on aluminium, steel, automotive integration and critical minerals are embraced, the agreement could evolve into a deeper economic bloc, strengthening both nations’ competitiveness against China and other global rivals. Conversely, a failure to reach consensus may reignite tariff disputes and weaken the “strategic autonomy” Carney seeks.

New Coalition Takes Shape Amid Drone ControversyLatvia’s parliament has confirmed a fresh governing alliance after the previous cabinet fell apart over disagreements on anti‑drone defenses. The vote marks a decisive step toward stabilising a nation that has been rattled by several wayward Ukrainian drones crossing its borders.Parliament Votes 66‑34 to Install Andris Kulbergs as Prime MinisterBy a margin of 66 deputies out of a 100‑seat assembly, lawmakers endorsed Andris Kulbergs, a 47‑year‑old centrist, as Latvia’s next prime minister. He will lead the country until the scheduled parliamentary elections on October 3. The new cabinet retains outgoing foreign minister Baiba Braze and appoints Colonel Raivis Melnis as defence minister.Numbers Behind the Power Shift: Seats, Votes, and Demographics66 votes in favour, 34 against.Latvia’s population: roughly 1.8 million people.The coalition comprises four parties, giving it a “healthy majority” in the Saeima.Previous prime minister Evika Silina resigned in mid‑May after losing coalition support.Implications for Latvia’s Security and EU/NATO AlignmentThe new government has pledged to reinforce military and border security, a stance echoed by political scientist Nils Muiznieks who noted a “broad consensus on foreign‑policy priorities.” With NATO and EU membership, Latvia is likely to maintain strong solidarity with Ukraine, especially as President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has offered expert assistance for air‑defence upgrades.What Lies Ahead: Policy Priorities and Regional StabilityAnalysts expect the coalition to focus on:Accelerating anti‑drone and air‑defence capabilities.Ensuring economic and energy security amid regional tensions.Deepening cooperation with NATO allies and the EU.Preparing for the upcoming elections while maintaining a pro‑Ukraine stance.

The Lead-Up to the By-Election In a scenario few could have predicted, voters in a northern English market town near Manchester could determine the United Kingdom’s future political leadership. The surprise resignation of the Labour Party’s Ashton-in-Makerfield MP Josh Simons in late February left the supposedly safe seat open, paving the way for the popular mayor of Manchester, Andy Burnham, to step in. The Event Details If he wins the seat in a crucial by-election set for June 18, he could ultimately topple embattled Prime Minister Keir Starmer. Standing in his way are the voters, many of whom Burnham has yet to convince of his credentials for the job, and the right-wing insurgent Reform UK party, which has promised to “throw everything” at the election in a bid to block Burnham’s path to the UK Parliament. The Data Analysis Makerfield has been a safe Labour seat since its creation in 1983, but Starmer’s party lost all eight of its local council seats there to Reform in May during local elections. Recent local council elections in May 2026 saw a shift, with Reform UK winning 49.8% of the area's vote compared to Labour's 24.3%. The Impact Analysis The constituency is difficult to categorise, political scientists said. It neither fits the stereotype of the declining industrial towns of northern England nor carries much of the metropolitan optimism typified in the soaring glass tower blocks of the nearby Manchester city centre. Instead, it is best understood as “a place in-between”, political science Professor Rob Ford wrote in his blog last week. The Prediction Few observers have been brave enough to call the current contest. However, while political scientists are puzzled, 61-year-old resident Tracy Walker, who works in a charity shop, is resolute. “I want Andy Burnham. … I think we should give him a go. He’s from the north,” she said, contrasting Burnham with the long line of premiers from the country’s south.

The LeadUnited States President Donald Trump has threatened longtime ally Oman with military force if it gets involved in the dispute over shipping access to the Strait of Hormuz, as Washington's war on Iran once again risks engulfing the Middle East. Trump's threat to "blow up" Oman came as Muscat reportedly held talks with Iran about overseeing passage through the strategic waterway that handles more than 20 percent of the world's global oil traffic.Trump's Unprecedented Threat Against a Key Ally"Nobody is going to control it," Trump said of the strait during a cabinet meeting in Washington. "It's international waters, and Oman will behave just like everybody else, or we will have to blow them up." This direct threat against a country with which Washington has had relations for more than 200 years has sent shockwaves across the region and drawn international criticism.While Hormuz is an international strait, most of it is located solely in Iranian and Omani territorial waters – not international waters – with parts of its outlying areas reaching United Arab Emirates (UAE) territorial waters. This geographical reality complicates Trump's assertion that the waterway is purely international.The Strategic Importance of the Strait of HormuzAs the only route for Gulf oil producers to ship exports to the open ocean, the strait has served as a free international maritime route for decades. Following the US-Israeli joint attacks on Iran on February 28, however, Tehran closed the waterway and began to assert sovereignty over it, including charging tolls of as much as $2m per ship at times.Under international maritime law, countries are not permitted to charge tolls to shipping passing through natural straits such as Hormuz, even where they are not in international waters. Countries can, however, provide services to shippers, such as insurance, maintenance and docking assistance.Regional Implications of Trump's ThreatShortly before Trump's comment, Iran's state television reported that Iran and the United States were close to agreeing on a memorandum of understanding (MOU) under which Tehran and Muscat would jointly control the strait. The proposal designates payments for passing vessels, framed as "fees for services" rather than "tolls."While the Trump administration has called the claims of such an MoU "a complete fabrication," analysts say his threat suggests that an understanding between Iran and Oman is precisely what the US president is trying to avoid."What Washington wants to prevent is the normalisation of Iranian control over Hormuz, dressed in administrative and legal clothing and given Arab cover by a US ally," Muhanad Seloom, non-resident senior fellow at the Middle East Council on Global Affairs, told Al Jazeera.International Reaction and Legal ConcernsCritics called the threat reckless. Raed Jarrar, the advocacy director at the US-based rights group DAWN, likened the US president's comments to those of a "mafia boss.""The UN Charter prohibits the threat of force against any state, and that prohibition binds the United States exactly as it binds everyone else," Jarrar told Al Jazeera. "Threatening to 'blow up' an Arab country because its waters happen to sit along an oil route Washington wants reopened is the same lawless logic that produced this war in February."Samir Puri, a visiting lecturer in war studies at King's College in London, said Trump's threat to Oman was "really surprising" and warned that it would "send shockwaves across the region."Oman's Diplomatic Role in the US-Iran ConflictOman has played a unique role in the region as a mediator between the US and Iran. Omani Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi was a key mediator in US-Iran nuclear talks before the war on Iran began. Just before the US-Israeli joint attack on Tehran in February, Albusaidi had been meeting US officials, including Vice President JD Vance, to facilitate negotiations about the future of Tehran's nuclear programme.Unlike other US allies in the Gulf, such as Qatar, Bahrain and the UAE, Oman does not host US forces. It was nevertheless dragged into the conflict when Iran launched attacks on US military assets and energy infrastructure across the Gulf region in the early days of the war.Future Outlook for the RegionSeloom, from the Middle East Council on Global Affairs, said Oman is "one Gulf state that is simultaneously a US security partner and Iran's most trusted Arab interlocutor.""In peacetime, that ambiguity is an asset. In wartime, it becomes a liability, which is precisely the inversion now playing out," he told Al Jazeera.The analyst argued that joint Iran-Oman control over Hormuz was "more posture than probability." "Oman's real interest is not co-owning Iran's blockade; it is brokering the strait's reopening," he said.Still, according to Seloom, the prospect of Iran and Oman jointly shaping the future of the Strait of Hormuz alarms the US president for three reasons: "It would turn Iran's grip on the chokepoint into a permanent post-war fact rather than a temporary act of war; it would set a precedent that littoral states can metre and monetise an international waterway, eroding the freedom-of-navigation principle the United States underwrites worldwide; and it would hand Tehran a strategic win that outlasts any ceasefire."

The Proposed Suspension of Carbon Tax Ministers are in discussions about suspending a carbon tax on fertilisers, due to come into effect early next year, in an effort to curb food inflation. The move would be part of a package of measures, including the suspension of import tariffs on a range of foods including bread, biscuits and bananas. Impact on Farmers and Food Inflation Government sources said they were looking at suspending tariffs on a range of fertilisers in order to discourage farmers from leaving fields fallow. Farmers have been considering leaving their fields fallow because rising costs mean they risk selling their 2027 crop at a loss. This would increase food inflation, which is already expected to rise sharply as the conflict in Iran raises fuel and fertiliser prices. Fertiliser Costs and Global Supply Chain Fertiliser costs have soared since the beginning of the Iran conflict, during which the strait of Hormuz has been closed. About 35% of the world’s fertiliser passes through the waterway and, since the conflict broke out in late January, about 1m tonnes of fertiliser have been stranded in the Gulf. Fertiliser producers said they expected the new tariffs, which were being put in place to match an existing EU scheme, could add £100 per tonne to costs. The Future Outlook Ministers are also cutting fuel taxes for farmers. The rate for red diesel and rebated biodiesel has been cut by more than a third, which the Treasury said made it the lowest in more than two decades. According to analysis from the Central Association for Agricultural Valuers, a 500-acre wheat farm could make a loss of £70,000 in 2027 because of higher costs caused by the Iran war. With farmers making decisions about 2027 cropping now, the economic outlook means they could be making difficult decisions such as leaving fields fallow.

Former Prime Minister Tony Blair has called for the UK to scrap its 2050 net‑zero goal and ramp up North Sea oil and gas drilling, prompting a swift backlash from climate experts who label the suggestion “bizarre” amid a historic heatwave and rising energy costs. Blair’s Call to Re‑Open North Sea Oil and Gas E3G programme director Ed Matthew warned that abandoning net zero during the “worst May heatwave on record” would be a “massive setback” for the UK, emphasizing that clean energy is cheaper and has near‑zero operating costs. Economic Stakes: £200 million Heatwave Losses and Fossil‑Fuel Costs Heat stress on livestock and crops is projected to cost the UK economy over £200 million this year. The International Energy Agency’s Fatih Birol notes that new oil fields would have “little impact” on domestic fuel prices. Renewable‑energy growth, especially record‑breaking solar generation, is already reducing household energy bills. Why Renewables Outperform Fossil Fuel Revival in the UK Analysts such as Jess Ralston (Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit) argue that expanding solar and other clean‑power technologies shields consumers from volatile fossil‑fuel markets and supports energy security as the North Sea declines. Comparisons to Spain’s renewable‑driven price stability reinforce the case for electrification as the “obvious route” to lower bills. What the Next Steps Mean for UK Energy Policy Government spokespersons confirm that no new exploration licences will be granted, focusing instead on managing existing fields for the remainder of their lifespan while accelerating the clean‑power mission championed by Energy Secretary Ed Miliband. If the current trajectory holds, the UK is likely to cement its position as a leader in renewable deployment, rendering calls to revive North Sea drilling increasingly marginal in policy debates.

The Economic Dilemma Facing Jamaica's Energy Future Jamaica stands at a critical juncture in its energy policy, with preliminary tests off the south coast suggesting the presence of crude oil in the Walton-Morant basin. This potential discovery comes at a time when the island is grappling with the dual pressures of post-pandemic recovery and the escalating costs of climate adaptation. Testing the Waters in the Walton-Morant Basin United Oil & Gas, a UK-based company, holds the exclusive exploration license for the 22,400sq km block. Recent seabed sampling has identified hydrocarbons, a development that energy minister Daryl Vaz has described as "very positive." However, experts caution that even with confirmation, commercial production is unlikely until the mid-2030s. Balancing the Books: Fuel Imports vs. Climate Costs The financial calculus behind this potential shift is stark. Jamaica currently imports all its fuel, a cost that fluctuates between $1.5bn and $2bn annually. While the island generated $4.3bn from tourism in 2024, the economic strain is compounded by the $12bn bill for damage caused by Hurricane Melissa. This financial vulnerability is driving the government's cautious optimism toward oil exploration. The Regional Race for Fossil Fuels Jamaica is not alone in this pursuit. The Caribbean and Latin America are witnessing a resurgence in fossil fuel interest, following Brazil's deep-water discoveries in the 2000s. The region is now joined by Suriname and Guyana as emerging producers, creating a competitive landscape where nations are weighing immediate economic relief against long-term environmental stability. A Green Pledge at Odds with Survival? The environmental implications are significant. Theresa Rodriguez-Moodie of the Jamaica Environment Trust argues that pursuing oil exploration contradicts the island's moral standing to demand climate assistance. "If we want to have any kind of moral high ground... we cannot be considering expanding the fossil fuel industry," she stated. As Jamaica navigates this complex path, it faces the challenge of reconciling its Paris Agreement commitments with the immediate economic survival of its population.

The Scope of the UK’s Youth Exclusion CrisisAlan Milburn, the Blair-era cabinet minister turned social mobility adviser, has delivered the first part of his government-commissioned report on why increasing numbers of people aged 16 to 24 are not in education, employment or training (Neet). The 217-page document paints a damning picture of a 'record of failure' that is letting down a generation.The report highlights that about 1 million young people across the UK are not in jobs, training or education—roughly one in eight. It notes that the UK’s Neet rate is now worse than all but one EU nation, with only Romania ranking lower. The issue is also becoming more entrenched, with six in 10 Neet young people having never held a single job.Economic Cost and Regional DisparitiesMilburn warns of a 'lost generation' with severe economic consequences. The cumulative cost of this issue is estimated at £125bn. The report also reveals stark geographical divides; for example, 1% of 16- and 17-year-olds in Barnet, north London, are Neet, compared to 21.5% in Dudley, West Midlands. Of the top 10 local authorities with the highest Neet rates, eight are in the north or Midlands.Structural Inequality and the Health CrisisThe analysis identifies structural inequality as a primary driver, linking Neet status to background, geography, and ethnicity. Health issues, particularly mental health, are described as central to the problem. Young people in this state are now more likely to be economically inactive (53%) than unemployed (47%). The report criticizes the NHS for categorizing young people as unable to work rather than helping them return to it, singling out the 'fit note' system as a failure.Systemic Reforms Needed to Break the CycleThe report suggests that the social security system is failing to support reintegration, noting that for every £25 spent on benefits, only £1 goes toward helping young people back into work. Furthermore, the labour market is becoming hostile to young entrants due to AI recruitment filters and a lack of entry-level roles. To prevent a permanent underclass, the government must address the fragmented support system and housing instability.

Britain faces a looming fiscal shock of roughly £125 bn each year if the surge in youth worklessness is not tackled, according to a landmark review led by former Labour minister Alan Milburn.The Milburn Review Highlights a £125bn Fiscal DrainThe report, commissioned by the government, labels the growing cohort of young people outside school, work or training as a “lost generation”. It argues that the current trajectory is no longer affordable and may become unsustainable for public finances.Numbers Behind the Crisis: Over 1 Million NEETs and £8.1bn Benefits SpendNEET count in the three months to March 2026: 1,012,000 (first breach of 1 m since 2013).Average lifetime earnings loss per NEET (age 18‑24): £52,000 per year.Annual benefits cost for young people: £8.1 bn, with £4.4 bn directly linked to NEETs.Potential GDP boost if all NEETs were employed: £38 bn extra output.Estimated lifetime public‑finance impact per NEET: £29,000.Why the Growing NEET Population Undermines the UK EconomyThe surge coincides with the highest overall unemployment levels since the Covid pandemic and comes amid broader economic pressures from tax hikes and the fallout of the Iran war. The report warns that the longer a young person remains out of work or study, the costlier the intervention becomes, creating a multibillion‑pound “financial black hole”.Policy Paths and the Likelihood of ReformMilburn calls for a “fundamental reset” of policies across schools, the NHS and the welfare state, arguing that simply expanding work programmes will not address deep‑rooted issues. He estimates that £3.2 bn could be saved if NEETs were in work and earning above benefit thresholds. However, any new welfare reforms may face political resistance after recent controversial benefit changes.