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London, 17 April 2026 – The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has advised the Bank of England (BoE) to keep its policy rate at 3.75% for the remainder of the year, warning that the ongoing Iran war is fuelling inflation and could shave 0.5 % off euro‑area growth.Alfred Kammer, director of the IMF’s European Department, told reporters in Washington that the BoE should maintain “a restrictive monetary policy stance” and keep the rate unchanged, stating: “That means keeping the policy rate unchanged for the remainder of the year, i.e., not proceeding with the expected cuts.”BoE Governor Andrew Bailey echoed a cautious tone, saying the bank would not “rush to judgments” on how to respond to an inflation shock driven by higher energy prices – a shock the central bank cannot directly offset with rate moves. Money markets are already pricing in at least one quarter‑point rate rise later in 2026, despite the current hold.The IMF also signalled a similar stance for the European Central Bank, urging a “neutral monetary policy stance” that would involve two quarter‑point hikes in 2026, with the possibility of reversal in 2027 if conditions improve.These monetary‑policy warnings come as the live‑blog highlighted broader economic stress: Chicago wheat futures have surged 4.5 % this week, the biggest weekly jump since February, driven by dry weather in the U.S. Plains and the Iran war’s impact on fertilizer and diesel costs. Humanitarian group Mercy Corps warned that fuel, fertilizer and shipping disruptions are already locking in food‑insecurity risks for fragile economies in Somalia, Ethiopia and Pakistan.Analysts note that the IMF’s advice underscores the delicate balance the BoE faces between curbing inflation and avoiding a premature rate cut that could undermine credibility. With inflationary pressures from energy and food still elevated, a hold‑and‑monitor approach may preserve policy flexibility, but markets will watch closely for any shift toward tightening if inflation proves stickier than anticipated.

From my home in Hawai‘i, the reef is more than a backdrop—it feeds families, shields shorelines, and anchors our culture. Today that vital connection is under unprecedented threat. Scientists report the most extensive coral‑bleaching episode ever recorded, persisting for 33 months into 2025. At a projected 1.5 °C rise in global temperatures, the IPCC warns that up to 90% of the world’s coral reefs could disappear. That temperature threshold is not a distant projection; it is looming now. Even if climate targets are eventually met, reefs continue to be battered by plastic waste, coastal development, agricultural runoff, and overfishing. Their degradation weakens natural storm barriers, leaving coastal communities more vulnerable to floods and erosion, jeopardising homes, jobs, and cultural heritage. In Hawai‘i we speak of kuleana—a generational duty to protect what sustains us. That principle must expand to every person on the planet: caring for reefs is caring for ourselves. On the ground, communities in French Polynesia have shown that, when equipped with the right tools, they can actively restore damaged reefs. Likewise, my collaboration with the Global Fund for Coral Reefs and the UN Environment Programme demonstrates how targeted financing can create sustainable livelihoods, boost marine conservation, and help coastal societies rebound after extreme weather. Time, however, is not on our side. The next twelve months could become a defining turning point for coral ecosystems. New scientific findings and a series of high‑profile gatherings—including the Kenya Ocean Conference, the International Coral Reef Symposium in New Zealand, and the upcoming Global Coral Reef Summit—will focus world attention on reef survival. The responsibility now lies with governments, businesses, and individuals alike. Proven actions include: cutting carbon footprints, eliminating plastic leakage, protecting keystone species, supporting reef‑positive enterprises, investing in resilient coastal economies, enacting protective legislation, and amplifying public advocacy. Moments like 2026 are not just about pledges; they are about swift, measurable change. Coral reefs cannot wait for perfect plans—they need us to act now, embodying the spirit of kuleana for the sake of our children and the ocean that sustains us. Jason Momoa is an actor, filmmaker, and UNEP Advocate for Life Below Water, dedicated to protecting oceans and raising global awareness of coral‑reef conservation.

In Tokyo, a group of elderly Japanese people are determined to master smartphones and stay connected in a 4G and 5G world. The class, led by Yasushi Nishioka, a retired programmer, teaches students the basics of smartphone use, including turning their phones on and off, controlling volume, and using cashless payments and QR codes.The students, most of whom are in their 70s, say they are intimidated by their devices, but are eager to learn and not be left behind in an increasingly digital world. Japan's 3G network has been shut down, and telecom companies are encouraging subscribers to switch to 4G and 5G networks.Nishioka guides his students through the basics, including health trackers and weather forecasts, and promises that future sessions will cover entertainment, social media, and photo and video content. The students also express concerns about security, a growing problem in Japan, and Nishioka shares an app that filters out suspicious contacts.The participants' reasons for taking the plunge aren't wildly different to those that keep younger people umbilically attached to their devices: reserving tickets, joining WhatsApp groups, learning a foreign language, and making travel plans. As Nishioka notes, one of the biggest challenges for users of all ages is managing their passwords.

Crystal Palace turned a daunting 3‑0 first‑leg deficit into a triumphant advance after fending off a determined Fiorentina side in the second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League quarter‑final. The match began with Ismaïla Sarr opening the scoring early, giving the South London fans a glimmer of hope. Despite losing Adam Wharton and Maxence Lacroix to injuries before the break, Palace maintained composure and kept Fiorentina at bay. Fiorentina, managed by Paolo Vanoli, reduced the aggregate gap to two goals with about thirty minutes remaining, sparking a tense period. However, Palace’s defence, anchored by David de Gea in goal, held firm, denying further breakthroughs. Key moments included a penalty conversion by Albert Gudmundsson and a crucial save from de Gea after a wayward strike by Daniel Muñoz. Palace also benefited from a disciplined performance by goalkeeper Dean Henderson, who thwarted several Fiorentina attempts, including a long‑range effort from Cher Ndour. In the second half, manager Oliver Glasner introduced Norwegian striker Jørgen Strand Larsen, who replaced Jean‑Philippe Mateta, adding fresh impetus to the attack. Although Fiorentina pressed hard, Palace’s makeshift defence weathered the storm, and a late header from Roberto Piccoli sailed over the crossbar, sealing the result. With the aggregate score favoring Palace, the club now prepares for a semi‑final clash against Shakhtar Donetsk, marking a remarkable milestone for a side that, just a year ago, was still awaiting its first major trophy. Fans celebrated the achievement under the Tuscan sun, with vibrant displays of red and blue flags and flares organized by the Holmesdale Fanatics, highlighting the growing passion surrounding Palace’s European adventure.

Haiti has entered a period of national mourning following a tragic stampede at the historic Citadelle Laferriere in the northern part of the country. At least 25 people lost their lives in the chaos that erupted at the entrance of the citadel on Saturday, as a mix of visitors attempted to exit and enter the site.The Ministry of Culture and Communication has taken swift action, firing two government officials in the aftermath of the disaster. One, a director at the Institute for the Preservation of National Heritage, was accused of 'serious negligence,' while the other, a Ministry employee, was criticized for 'biased passivity.'The government has stated that it believes the tragedy was the result of administrative negligence and has vowed to 'fully assume its responsibilities.' The event has sparked widespread outrage and highlights the multiple crises facing the Haitian government ahead of its general elections later this year.The stampede was exacerbated by stormy weather conditions, with heavy rain battering northern Haiti and prompting event participants to seek shelter. The inclement weather also caused flooding in other parts of the country, resulting in approximately 12 additional deaths and 900 homes being inundated.This tragedy is the latest challenge for Haiti, which has been grappling with gang violence and political instability, particularly since the assassination of President Jovenel Moise in 2021. The situation has led to 16,000 deaths and 1.5 million displaced since 2022, according to UN reports.

Nelson Mandela once claimed sport could spark hope where despair prevailed – a sentiment that now feels overly optimistic as climate change threatens every arena, from football pitches to alpine slopes.Extreme weather events are already cancelling competitions and rendering venues unplayable through floods, wildfires and storms. Rising heat and air‑pollution expose athletes to heat‑related illnesses, asthma and cardiovascular strain, while also increasing injury risk and diminishing performance for officials and spectators alike.Countries most vulnerable to climate impacts face the harshest sporting challenges. As Barbados Prime Minister Mia Mottley warned, athletes must compete on the conditions that exist, not on idealised pitches, while wealthier nations and governing bodies often look the other way.Historian David Goldblatt estimates sport’s carbon footprint rivals that of a small‑ to medium‑sized nation – roughly the emissions of Cuba to Poland. Yet the industry continues to chase growth, attracting sponsorship from fossil‑fuel giants and even entities reminiscent of the tobacco era.A 2024 “Dirty Money” report by the New Weather Institute revealed that state‑owned and private fossil‑fuel companies have poured at least $5.6 billion (£4.2 billion) into global sport across 205 active deals. The recent Milan‑Cortina Winter Olympics relied on oil major Eni to fund artificial snow, while the upcoming men’s football World Cup – labelled the “most polluting ever” by Scientists for Global Responsibility – will be plastered with ads from Aramco, the world’s largest corporate greenhouse‑gas emitter, with emissions projected to be 92 % higher than typical tournaments between 2010‑2022.Fans and grassroots organisations are pushing back. Groups such as Surfers Against Sewage, Fossil Free Football, FrontRunners and Protect Our Winters are mobilising, while clubs like Forest Green Rovers and athletes such as Australian cricket captain Pat Cummins are publicly denouncing fossil‑fuel ties.Alternative sponsorships are emerging: Northern Rail backs the Rugby Super League, Metrobank partners with cricket, and Oxford United’s limited‑edition shirt celebrates John Ruskin’s “Study of a Wild Rose,” linking sport to environmental heritage.“The Hotspot” aims to surface the most compelling stories, analyse data, and chart a path forward for sport in a warming world. As the planet races toward a climatic finish line, sport must deliver its own last‑second victory.This excerpt is from the inaugural issue of The Hotspot newsletter. To subscribe, visit this page and follow the instructions.

Rory McIlroy has revealed that weeks of preparation at 'home course' Augusta National played a crucial role in his successful Masters defence. The Northern Irish golfer spent considerable time at Augusta in the lead-up to the Masters, rather than participating in PGA Tour events, despite struggling with a back injury.McIlroy's preparation involved simulating a tournament by playing with a single ball, a strategy inspired by advice from golf legend Jack Nicklaus. This approach allowed him to feel comfortable with the course and make informed decisions about his shots.After securing his sixth major win, McIlroy expressed his satisfaction with his preparation, stating, “I joked last week that this place feels like my home course”. He emphasized the importance of getting to know the course and being prepared for various situations.McIlroy's victory joins an exclusive group of golfers who have retained the Green Jacket, including Jack Nicklaus, Nick Faldo, and Tiger Woods. With this win, McIlroy believes he can focus on playing his game and increasing his chances of winning more majors.The article also mentions Scottie Scheffler's comments on the course conditions, particularly on Friday afternoon when McIlroy birdied six out of Augusta's closing seven holes. Scheffler suggested that the firmness of the course was not equal on Thursday and Friday, but acknowledged that the weather and wind conditions also played a role.

The ongoing global finance talks between the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) have taken a contentious turn. Governments are being urged not to mention climate change, despite its growing impacts and the pressing need for climate finance.The climate crisis has significant implications for developing countries, which are already paying billions to repair damage from droughts, floods, and storms. The World Bank Group aims to devote 35% of its funding to climate-related activities, but US pressure may hinder these efforts.US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has demanded the removal of some climate finance targets from the World Bank's aims, insisting on an 'all-of-the-above approach to energy' that includes financing for gas, oil, and coal. This move has sparked alarm among other countries, including large developed economies.Experts warn that sidelining climate change discussions would be disastrous for the developing world. Mohamed Adow, director of the Power Shift Africa thinktank, described the situation as 'beyond absurd', emphasizing that fossil fuels and the climate emergency are inextricably linked.The World Bank is the biggest single source of climate funding, and many donor countries channel their climate finance largely through the multilateral development banks. At the Cop29 UN climate summit in Azerbaijan in 2024, countries agreed that at least $1.3tn a year should flow to the developing world by 2035 to help countries cut greenhouse gas emissions and cope with the impacts of extreme weather.Lord Stern, a former World Bank chief economist, suggested that much could still be achieved without formally labelling projects as climate-related, emphasizing that investing in low-carbon infrastructure and energy systems is crucial for sustainable development.

Experts are closely monitoring climate patterns in the Pacific Ocean, which indicate a high chance of El Niño developing this summer. A strong El Niño event could lead to severe weather conditions, including super-charged rainstorms and droughts, depending on the region. A 'super El Niño' could push 2027 to break global heat records, according to climate scientists. This phenomenon occurs when ocean surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean warm up, leading to significant impacts on global weather patterns. El Niño is characterized by warming of the ocean surface in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. It's one of three states scientists observe: La Niña, conversely, happens when sea surface temperatures are below average, and neutral conditions are defined when neither El Niño or La Niña are present and surface temperatures are about average. The 'El Niño-southern oscillation' (Enso) tends to develop during spring in the northern hemisphere and shifts every three to seven years. Warming and cooling at sea surface during El Niño and La Niña can range from 1C to 3C, and have enormous effects on precipitation, drought, heat, and climate disasters in different regions. Conditions are currently shifting from La Niña to a neutral pattern, according to the latest outlook from the US Climate Prediction Center. Models show a 62% chance El Niño will emerge this summer and linger until at least the end of the year. A super El Niño that occurred in 2015 brought severe drought in Ethiopia, water supply shortages in Puerto Rico, and smashed records after unleashing a vicious hurricane season in the central North Pacific. A 'super' El Niño means one that is stronger, typically defined by sea surface temperatures spiking up to at least 2C. Noaa scientists have given a 1 in 4 chance that this could happen by fall or winter, with the caveat that spring forecasts are sometimes muddled. Transitions in conditions that happen in the spring can make outcomes a bit harder to predict. Experts warn that a strong or super El Niño could lead to drought and heat across Australia, southern and central Africa, India, and parts of South America. Heavy precipitation, meanwhile, could hit the southern tier of the US, parts of the Middle East, and south-central Asia.