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The LeadThe United States-Israel war on Iran is not the result of a sudden escalation but the culmination of a long-term Israeli agenda to violently reshape the Middle East, former Qatari Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim Al Thani tells Al Jazeera. Netanyahu's 'Illusion' and the US MisstepSheikh Hamad had warned of an impending conflict last year and urged Gulf states to push for a diplomatic resolution to resolve the crisis with Iran and prevent military strikes. He identified a push for a conflict with Iran and blamed it on a 'hardline faction' within Israel led by Netanyahu, who he said had been trying to drag the US into a war over Tehran's nuclear programme since President Bill Clinton's administration in the 1990s. The Strait of Hormuz: A New Global FlashpointAssessing Tehran's strategy, Sheikh Hamad said Iran successfully absorbed the initial military strikes of the war and subsequently dragged its feet on a settlement after realising it could leverage a new strategic advantage: the Strait of Hormuz. Calling the weaponisation of the waterway the 'most dangerous outcome' of the war, he warned that Iran is now treating the vital international chokepoint as its own sovereign territory. A Call for a 'Gulf NATO'In one of his most blunt assessments, Sheikh Hamad declared that the greatest threat to the Gulf is neither Iran, Israel nor foreign military bases but internal Gulf disunity. To counter this, he proposed the creation of a 'Gulf NATO', a joint political and defence project starting with a core group of strategically aligned Gulf nations with Saudi Arabia serving as its natural backbone. Gaza, Normalisation and a Late-1990s SecretTurning to the issue of Palestine, Sheikh Hamad condemned the killing of civilians on all sides but accused Israel of committing a 'moral and political disaster' in Gaza, where more than 72,500 Palestinians have been killed since Israel's genocidal war began in October 2023.

The LeadKenya is hosting the Africa Forward 2026 summit in partnership with France, the first of its kind held outside a Francophone country. This significant diplomatic move comes as France seeks to strengthen its presence in Anglophone Africa while Kenya positions itself as the most stable and accessible country in the region.The Strategic AllianceSince President William Ruto took office, Kenya has opened itself up to partnerships with Western countries, positioning itself as the most stable and accessible country in the region. France's colonial past continues to haunt Paris as it has lost influence in several former colonies in West Africa. In response, French President Emmanuel Macron turned to Kenya, a country known for its openness to European investment.The Defence Agreement AnalysisFrance and Kenya signed a defence cooperation agreement in April 2026, preceded by the arrival of 800 French troops in Kenya's coastal city of Mombasa for joint training exercises. The automatic five-year renewable deal includes partnerships in maritime security, intelligence, peacekeeping, and humanitarian assistance. The agreement grants French forces diplomatic-style immunity in Kenya and requires disputes to be resolved through diplomatic channels rather than Kenyan courts.Critics warn that Kenya could risk falling under the influence of a neo-colonial power, citing France's history of unequal partnerships in West Africa. The agreement allows convicted French personnel to serve sentences in France and gives Paris primary jurisdiction over offences committed by its soldiers on Kenyan soil.The Economic ImpactFor France, Kenya offers political stability, economic opportunities, and strategic access to the Western Indian Ocean. For Kenya, the partnership promises investment, infrastructure development, security cooperation, and increased international influence.France is currently Kenya's fourth-largest foreign direct investment partner. According to Kenyan government data, Kenya is the largest consumer of French products in East Africa. France ranks among the largest investors in Kenya, having invested 1.8 billion euros ($2.1bn) over the past decade. As of 2026, at least 140 French companies operate in Kenya, up from 40 in 2013, showing growing interest in the Kenyan economy.The Sovereignty DebateCritics argue that while French businesses have easy access to the Kenyan market and French nationals have visa-free entry to Kenya, Kenyan citizens are not afforded the same privileges, casting doubt on whether the partnership is truly equal.Kenyan politician Caleb Hamisi told Al Jazeera that the defence agreement leaves Kenya vulnerable as a proxy in international disputes, and has become highly unpopular among Kenyans. He pointed to the risk that foreign forces stationed in the country could involve Kenya in military operations or disputes that serve the strategic interests of other powers, rather than Kenya's national priorities.The Future OutlookThe France-Kenya summit is expected to mark a significant turning point in relations between the two countries and, potentially, in France's engagement with Anglophone Africa. With growing French investment, expanding military cooperation, and deepening diplomatic engagement, both countries seem determined to strengthen ties at a time when global powers are competing for influence in Africa.However, the success of this partnership may depend on whether future agreements deliver mutual benefit, transparency, and respect for Kenya's national interests, rather than creating another chapter of foreign influence in Africa, disguised as cooperation. As Kenya faces political unrest and potential protests ahead of its budget season, the government must carefully balance strategic partnerships with national sovereignty concerns.

The Cross-Border Attack Afghanistan's Taliban-led government has accused neighbouring Pakistan of killing three civilians in a cross-border attack, which Kabul has condemned as a 'war crime'. The Incident Details The incident on Monday marked the latest test of a fragile ceasefire between the two countries, brokered by China in April, following months of cross-border fighting that left hundreds dead and injured. Afghanistan's deputy government spokesman, Hamdullah Fitrat, said on X that 14 others were injured in the attack. He accused Islamabad of deliberately targeting civilian infrastructure, including homes, schools, a health centre, and mosques in Dangam, Kunar province, which lies along the border with Pakistan. The Diplomatic Fallout Islamabad has dismissed the allegations. The Ministry of Information and Broadcasting suggested Kabul may have staged the destruction, saying in a post on X that images released by Afghanistan showed damage inconsistent with artillery strikes. It said the incident could be part of a 'propaganda effort' to discredit Pakistan, following cross-border attacks in March and April that killed nine people and that Islamabad blamed on its neighbour. The Security Situation The rise in tensions comes as one person was killed late on Monday in Pakistan's Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, near the Afghan border, when security forces foiled a suicide attack at a checkpoint. Several others were injured as security personnel opened fire on the attacker's car, which was packed with explosives and heading towards a military post. The vehicle exploded before reaching its target. The Expert Analysis Director of the Pak Institute for Peace Studies (PIPS) Muhammad Amir Rana told Al Jazeera that Pakistan faces multiple challenges in carrying out cross-border attacks. 'Precision is a real problem for Pakistan when it comes to its cross-border strikes. Effective and foolproof intelligence is the critical missing link – without it, controlling collateral damage becomes the central challenge.' 'What we are also seeing is that Pakistan's security situation has worsened considerably since the war on Iran began on February 28.' The Future Outlook Rana added he was not hopeful of a diplomatic breakthrough anytime soon. 'Pakistan's diplomatic capital is growing and it is not willing to offer any concessions to Kabul, while the Afghan side is asking why it should concede anything.'

The Threat of Escalation Iran's military has issued a stern warning, stating that it will employ 'surprising' methods of warfare if the country is attacked again. This declaration comes at a time when tensions in the Middle East are running high. Details of the Warning The Iranian military's statement was reported by Al Jazeera on May 10, 2026. While specific details about these 'surprising' methods were not provided, the warning is seen as a significant escalation in rhetoric. Regional Context and Implications The Middle East has been a focal point of international concern due to ongoing conflicts and geopolitical tensions. Iran's warning could potentially alter the dynamics of the region, affecting not just local players but also international relations. Future Outlook and Potential Consequences The situation remains fluid, with the international community closely monitoring developments. Any further escalation could have profound implications for global security and stability. Key Facts Source: Al Jazeera Date: May 10, 2026 Location: Iran

The Global Financial Network Behind a Nationalist Party The far-right Reform UK party, led by the firebrand populist Nigel Farage, is on the rise, doubling down on calls for tougher border controls and anti-immigration rhetoric. But a look at its finances tells a different story, with money flowing across borders. While Reform UK says it aims to strengthen the rule of law by prioritising parliamentary sovereignty, cutting immigration, and reducing the influence of international bodies, many of its financial backers, political relationships and ideological allies extend beyond the United Kingdom and into international networks. Within this network is a small number of individual donors, including its largest backer, Thailand-based crypto investor Christopher Harborne. Farage himself is a global networker. In December, he flew to Abu Dhabi at the expense of the United Arab Emirates to attend events and meet officials, despite building a political brand centred on opposition to immigration from regions such as the Middle East. The UK political finance system allows unlimited donations on the condition of openness, Sam Power, an expert in political financing, electoral regulation and corruption at the University of Bristol, told Al Jazeera, noting that "anybody can donate as much as they want as long as they're permissible". While transparency was meant to balance this freedom, in practice, with opaque donations, gifts, and weak lobbying rules undermining scrutiny, the system is "no longer fit for purpose in British electoral law", he said. Duncan Hames, director of policy, Transparency International UK, said in a statement that British democracy is becoming "a plaything for the super-rich". "Political parties are growing ever more dependent on a tiny number of mega-donors, and the impact of that money on our politics is clear: it buys privileged access, political influence, and even seats in the House of Lords," he said. Donations have long been a function of the British political system, Power explained, but what Reform UK has done is that it has "supercharged" the scale. "British politics has always had a bit of a representation problem, in the sense that a small number of wealthy people have an outsized influence, but we have never seen the number this small and the money this big," Hames said. International Donors and Financial Flows Reform UK relies heavily on donations, about two-thirds of which come from wealthy individuals. At the heart of this set-up sits Harborne, a British-Thai billionaire businessman who is currently the largest single donor to a UK political party in history, having contributed more than 22 million pounds ($30m) to Reform. In 2025 alone, he donated 12 million pounds ($16.3m). His relationship with Farage has also been shrouded in controversy. The Guardian recently revealed Reform UK's leader had received a 5 million-pound ($6.8m) gift from Harborne that was not initially declared in early 2024, weeks before Farage announced his bid to become an MP and run in Clacton. Under House of Commons rules, new MPs must register all "registrable benefits" received in the 12 months before their election. The Conservative Party referred Farage to the parliamentary standards commissioner for investigation, questioning why such a large sum was hidden from the public. Farage said the money was gifted to him "so that I would be safe and secure for the rest of my life". Harborne has made much of his fortune from his 12 percent stake in Tether, a cryptocurrency that Farage now regularly promotes on media appearances. Global Travel and Speaking Engagements In December, the UAE paid approximately 1,000 pounds ($1,360) for Farage to visit Abu Dhabi and forked out $9,000 for Paddock passes at the 2025 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix, as shown in the UK Parliament Register of Members' Financial Interests. The Financial Times, quoting people familiar with the matter, reported Reform UK treasurer Nick Candy had arranged the trip as the UAE's leadership "was keen to speak with Reform owing to a shared opposition to the Muslim Brotherhood". Harborne is also estimated to have spent an estimated 25,000 pounds ($33,900) flying Farage out to the Maldives for a three-day trip that the Reform UK leader listed as a "humanitarian aid mission". Farage is also flown around the world to speak at various events. In November, Bassim Haidar, a Lebanese-Nigerian billionaire entrepreneur and prominent donor to Reform UK, spent about 55,000 pounds ($74,528) to fly out Farage and two of his aides to the United States for a "speaking engagement and charity event", according to the register. Haidar uses Dubai as his primary business headquarters, while his main European residential base is in Greece. In February 2025, GB News, a media outlet which has produced biased coverage about Muslims according to a recent study, paid Farage 7,924 pounds ($10,737) to cover the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), an annual gathering of conservatives in the US, organised by the American Conservative Union, at which he also held a speech. CPAC covered the cost of his accommodation. The Future of UK Political Financing Reform UK has committed to doing the "bare minimum to comply with electoral law on transparency", Power said. The party appears "uninterested in giving you information unless they are absolutely forced to", a trend he expects to continue. However, small changes in the law are being applied. After Harborne's gift was revealed, the UK government unveiled a planned 100,000-pound ($135,611) cap on how much British citizens living abroad could donate in a year, as well as a temporary ban on all donations made in cryptocurrencies. Power said ultimately, the system of political donations in the UK will not halt overnight, but some form of compromise needs to be met. He proposed a "democracy backstop" to cap donations at 1 million pounds ($1.35m). "It just moves us towards just taking the poison out a little bit," he said.

The Economic Fallout of the Iran War Southeast Asian leaders have agreed on measures aimed at reducing the impact of the Iran war on their economies, but conceded that the initiatives will take considerable time to come into effect. ASEAN Summit Agreements On Friday, leaders gathered in the Philippines for a summit of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz dominating the agenda. Members agreed to a regional fuel-sharing framework in a bid to ease the economic strain caused by the more than two-month closure of the strategic waterway. Leaders also agreed to develop a regional power grid and fuel stockpile, while reducing their dependence on energy imports from the Middle East. Economic Impact and Future Outlook ASEAN currently imports more than half of its crude oil and 17 percent of its natural gas from the Middle East, according to the bloc’s Centre for Energy. Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr welcomed the outcome, but conceded that the practical arrangements still needed to be clarified. “How is the sharing? Who gets what? How do you pay for it? Do you pay for it? Is it an exchange? … We haven’t done it before,” he said. Marcos warned that the economic consequences of the war in Iran would persist for the foreseeable future. “A few weeks worth of disruptions will take years to be corrected,” he said. Regional Response and Future Challenges The initiative was one of a handful of measures adopted at the summit. Al Jazeera’s Jamela Alindogan reported that the overarching theme was one of unity, with ASEAN countries pledging to continue coordinating their response while safeguarding their national interests. Alindogan added that the bloc was still recovering from tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump last year and was considering how to hedge its relationships with other countries to shield itself from future crises.

The Humanitarian Crisis in the Strait of HormuzStranded at an Iranian port for nearly 10 weeks, Indian seafarer Anish has unintentionally become a firsthand witness to the Iran war. Anish arrived in the Shatt al-Arab waterway on a cargo ship days before United States President Donald Trump launched "Operation Epic Fury" on February 28. He has been stuck on the vessel ever since, facing dangerous conditions and uncertainty about when he can return home.Civilian Crews Caught in Military Crossfire"We've faced the whole situation here, the war, the missiles," Anish, who was granted a pseudonym after agreeing to speak on condition of anonymity, told Al Jazeera. "Our minds are terribly distracted." Some of his fellow Indian seafarers have been able to return home by crossing Iran's 44km land border with Armenia, but many others have remained because they are still waiting to get paid. "Some are stuck because of their Indian agents; they are not getting their salaries," Anish said, referring to the middlemen who recruit seafarers, manage payrolls and take care of other employee matters on behalf of shipping firms.The Scale of the Maritime StandstillAnish's predicament is one faced by an estimated 20,000 seafarers stranded since Iran in effect shut the Strait of Hormuz in retaliation for the United States and Israel's attacks on the country. Before the war, the strait functioned as one of the world's most critical shipping routes, carrying about one-fifth of global oil and gas supplies, and one-third of the seaborne fertiliser trade. Despite the announcement of a tenuous ceasefire between Washington and Tehran on April 7, maritime traffic has remained at a standstill amid recurrent attacks in and around the waterway.Economic and Human Toll of the ConflictThe United Nations International Maritime Organization estimates that at least 10 seafarers have been killed since the start of the war. Iran's merchant marine union reported that at least 44 Iranian seafarers, including dockworkers and fishermen, had been killed as of April 1. While seafarers on board vessels operated by major international shipping lines have been receiving hazard pay and other assistance, some seafarers working with smaller operations are struggling to get paid or have their basic needs met, according to labor groups.Global Supply Chain DisruptionThe strait's closure has created significant disruptions to global supply chains. Lloyd's List reported that at least four commercial ships were fired upon in recent days, while a container ship operated by French company CMA CGM reported coming under attack while crossing the waterway. The longer the war drags on, the higher the risk that ship operators will abandon their vessels without settling all outstanding pay, according to seafarers' advocates.Psychological Impact on SeafarersSteven Jones, the founder of the "Seafarer Happiness Index," said seafarers' self-reported wellbeing score has fallen about 5 percent during the war. Seafarers have described seeing Iranian drones and missiles flying at low altitude. "One told us: 'What scares me the most is the thought of an intercepted drone or missile falling on us,'" Jones said. Other seafarers have reported dwindling food supplies and preparing escape plans.The Legal and Logistical ChallengesCrew rotation has become a major pressure point for ships. Under the 2006 Maritime Labour Convention – an international treaty ratified by 111 countries, including China, India, Japan, Australia, and the United Kingdom – the maximum time a seafarer can be required to serve on board is 12 months. While seafarers have a legal right to leave their vessel beyond this period, unstable conditions have made repatriation a complicated and expensive prospect.Mine Warfare in Critical WaterwaysFor the stranded seafarers, there is also the question of finding a safe route out of the strait, where Iran has reportedly laid sea mines. US officials told The New York Times last month that Tehran had laid the mines haphazardly and was unable to locate all of them. "There has been a lot of speculation about more precise numbers, but the fact is that we don't know; uncertainty is central to mine warfare, and creating uncertainty about risk is part of the point of conducting it," Scott Savitz, a senior engineer at the US-based Rand Corporation who has studied naval mine warfare, told Al Jazeera.Uncertain Path Forward for SeafarersEven if the strait were to reopen tomorrow, trade flows would take some time to return to normal due to damaged regional infrastructure, maxed-out storage facilities across the Gulf and a backlog of exports, according to shipping and logistics experts. The IMO announced in late April that it was working on an evacuation plan that prioritizes ships based on humanitarian need, but that "all parties" involved in the conflict would need to refrain from attacks for such an operation to proceed.Personal Stories of Stranded WorkersAnish, the Indian seafarer, said he has not been paid by his Dubai-based agent for nine months. He is supposed to receive a payment in US dollars later this month, but he is worried that his company may withhold the sum. "My contract finish date is the 20th of May," Anish said. "Maybe the company will provide my salary after that," he said. "I don't know."Future Outlook for Global Maritime Trade"It's a very dangerous moment," the ITF's Cotton said. "We're all saying the same – don't transit unless you know it's safe – but I don't think anyone really knows what's safe any more." Savitz said that it would be possible to establish an exit corridor in a few days, but clearing the strait of mines could take weeks or even months. "Iran has stated that it has laid mines in and around the Strait of Hormuz, but it's possible that they have laid them in other areas," Savitz said.

Iran's Diplomatic Move Iran's response to a US proposal to end the war has been sent via mediator Pakistan, Iranian state news agency IRNA has reported. This development marks a significant step in diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict. Details of the Proposed Plan According to IRNA, the proposed plan's first stage will focus on ending hostilities. This initial phase aims to establish a ceasefire, paving the way for further negotiations. Pakistan's Role in Communication Al Jazeera's Kamal Hyder in Islamabad reported that Pakistan has confirmed receipt of the Iranian response. Pakistan's role as a mediator is crucial in facilitating communication between Iran and the US. The Road Ahead With Pakistan in possession of Iran's response, the next step is for it to be communicated to the United States. The reaction from Washington will be critical in determining the future course of diplomatic efforts.

The Lead United States President Donald Trump says the US Navy is acting 'like pirates' as he described an operation about seizing a ship amid the blockade of Iranian ports. Trump's Remarks on US Navy Operations “We … land on top of it and we took over the ship. We took over the cargo, took over the oil. It’s a very profitable business,” Trump said at a rally in Florida on Friday. “We’re like pirates,” he added to cheers from the crowd. “We’re sort of like pirates. But we’re not playing games.” The Background of US-Iran Tensions After the US and Israel attacked Iran on February ‌28, ⁠Tehran retaliated with strikes on Israel and the Gulf states that host US bases. Iran also blocked the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway through which 20 percent of global oil and gas passes. The Current Status of Negotiations A ceasefire between the US and Iran came into effect on April 8, but days later, Trump imposed a blockade of Iranian ports and the Strait of Hormuz on April 13, as negotiations to end the war, mediated by Pakistan, continue. Trump said on Friday he was “not satisfied” with Iran’s latest peace proposal to end the war. The International Reaction Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei said in a post on X that the Americans have an “undeniable right and the solemn duty” to demand accountability from the Trump administration over the US-Israel “war of choice” on Iran. The war is “a clear, unprovoked act of aggression”, and the US public should challenge the government for “waging this illegal war against the nation of Iran and for all the atrocities perpetrated”, Baghaei said. The Future Outlook Trump faced a May 1 deadline under the 1973 War Powers Resolution to secure authorisation of the war on Iran from the US Congress. Douglas Silliman, a former US ambassador to Kuwait and Iraq, told Al Jazeera Trump wants to undermine the legal authority of Congress to weigh in at all on the war.