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Entertainment May 15, 2026

Dancing on a Volcano: A Technicolor Glimpse into Pre-War German Musical Landscape

A new album by Ensemble Modern and HK Gruber captures the vibrant, diverse musical landscape of pre…
The LeadEnsemble Modern and HK Gruber's album "Dancing on a Volcano" presents an eclectic snapshot of musical Germany between 1920 and 1933, capturing a creative era that would be suppressed by the Nazi regime. This live recording features works by composers who ultimately fled Germany, their music deemed "too modern, too jazzy, too Jewish" by the rising fascist power.The Musical Landscape of Pre-War GermanyThe album showcases four distinct voices from this turbulent period. Hindemith's Kammermusik No 1, premiered in 1922, was controversially described as having "a lewdness and frivolity only possible for a very special kind of composer." Gruber's performance embraces its neo-classical spikiness and jazz-age energy with almost cartoonish glee.In contrast, Korngold's 1920 music for Shakespeare's Much Ado About Nothing represents Viennese neo-Romanticism, which Gruber leavens with a pinch of acerbic wit. Schoenberg's Accompaniment to a Cinematographic Scene, premiered in 1930 under Klemperer, offers eight minutes of existential angst in Johannes Schöllhorn's lean-textured 1993 chamber version.The Historical Context and Cultural SignificanceThe period represented by this album—1920 to 1933—encompasses the Weimar Republic, a time of extraordinary cultural flourishing in Germany despite economic and political instability. The featured composers represent the diversity of musical expression during this era, from Hindemith's modernism to Korngold's Romanticism to Schoenberg's atonality.What makes this recording particularly significant is how it captures music that would soon be suppressed by the Nazi regime. The album's title itself, "Dancing on a Volcano," evokes the sense of living on the edge of catastrophe that characterized this period.The Legacy of ExileAll four composers featured on this album ultimately left Germany and settled in the United States, forced into exile by the Nazi regime. Their departure represented a profound brain drain for German musical culture, as these composers had been at the forefront of musical innovation.The jewel in the crown of this recording is Gruber and Christian Muthspiel's Kurt Weill Foundation-sanctioned arrangement of The Seven Deadly Sins. Wallis Giunta's performance, more opera diva than Weimar chanteuse, delivers no shortage of bite, while Amarcord's male quartet kvetch and wheedle as her rapacious family. Gruber's razor-sharp yet flexible interpretation drips idiomatic venom.Contemporary Relevance and Musical ResilienceThis album serves as both a historical document and a vibrant musical experience. The works featured demonstrate not only the creativity of this period but also the resilience of art in the face of political oppression. By recording these pieces today, Ensemble Modern and HK Gruber ensure that this important chapter in musical history continues to be heard and appreciated.The recording is available on streaming platforms, making this historically significant music accessible to new audiences who might otherwise never encounter these works. In an era where political polarization once again threatens artistic freedom, this album serves as both a reminder of what was lost and a celebration of what endures.
#Ensemble Modern #HK Gruber #Kurt Weill
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Economy May 14, 2026

UK Gilt Market Faces Energy‑Driven Turbulence Ahead of Labour Leadership Contest

UK gilt yields have risen from 4.2% to 5% since early March, driven mainly by the Iran war and high…
The UK gilt market is unlikely to be swayed solely by the next Labour leadership battle; broader geopolitical and energy factors are the dominant drivers of recent yield spikes. Labour Leadership Uncertainty Meets Gilt Market Volatility Analysts caution against attributing every twitch in UK government debt prices to the upcoming Labour leadership contest. While figures such as Andy Burnham have floated a “strong” fiscal rule and hinted at defence spending “outside of the rules,” the market is waiting for concrete policy actions before adjusting its stance. The memory of the 2022 Liz Truss mini‑budget still looms, prompting candidates to temper rhetoric. Yield Surge Linked to Iran Conflict and Energy Prices Since early March, 10‑year gilt yields have climbed from 4.2% to 5%. The primary catalysts identified are: The ongoing Iran war, which has heightened geopolitical risk premiums. Rising oil and gas prices that feed UK inflation, given the nation imports roughly 40% of its energy. Elevated electricity costs that place the UK among the highest in the western world. Think‑tank Capital Economics notes that “gilts have been more responsive to moves in energy prices than the political headlines of late.” Political Instability Premium and Market Discipline The bond market’s reaction is shaped by a modest but growing “political instability” premium. With a debt‑to‑GDP ratio of 95% and annual debt‑interest payments of about £100bn, investors are vigilant. Simon French, chief economist at Panmure Liberum, warns that financial‑market checks will curb any extreme fiscal promises emerging from a Labour contest. Goldman Sachs reinforces this view, stating that policy choices remain constrained by rising spending pressures and an already elevated tax burden, irrespective of leadership changes. Outlook for UK Debt Markets Amid Potential Leadership Contest Looking ahead, the gilt market is likely to remain “baffled rather than alarmed,” monitoring two key developments: Whether Labour‑aligned think‑tanks, such as the Labour Growth Group, can deliver concrete growth‑oriented policies that address energy scarcity and clean electricity costs. How the government manages the issuance of roughly £250bn of gilts this year without triggering a sharper risk premium. In the short term, the political‑instability premium may linger, but its magnitude will depend on the clarity and fiscal credibility of any new leadership’s agenda.
#UK gilts #Labour Party #Iran conflict
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Sports May 14, 2026

Sam Kerr to Depart Chelsea After Six Trophy-Laden Years

Sam Kerr, Chelsea's all-time leading goalscorer and one of the world's best players, will leave the…
The LeadSam Kerr will leave Chelsea this summer when her contract expires, ending her six-and-a-half-year spell with the English side. The Australia striker is Chelsea's leading goalscorer in the Women's Super League with 64 goals and has scored 115 times for the Londoners in all competitions.A Chelsea LegacyThe 32-year-old has made 177 appearances for Chelsea, making her the fourth-highest player on their all-time appearance list. She will go into Saturday's final league match of the season, at home to Manchester United at Stamford Bridge, just one goal behind Fran Kirby's all-time Chelsea goals record in all competitions.Trophy CollectionDuring her time with Chelsea, Kerr has won five WSL titles, three FA Cups, and three League Cups. Her achievements include winning the WSL's Golden Boot twice and being named as the Football Writers' Association's women's footballer of the year twice in succession in 2022 and 2023. She was also the Ballon d'Or runner-up in 2023.Impact on Women's FootballWhen reflecting on her Chelsea career, Kerr stated: "When I reflect on my Chelsea career, I just feel happy. Happy that it happened, and I feel so grateful to have played for this club for six years and won as many trophies as we could." The club statement thanked Kerr for her "incredible contribution to our success on the pitch and sustained growth off it."What's Next for Kerr and ChelseaThe news comes as Chelsea are understood to be the favourites to secure the signature of the Manchester City striker Khadija Shaw, this season's WSL top scorer. The Guardian revealed earlier in May that Shaw has decided to leave City at the end of her contract this summer, with Chelsea reportedly offering the Jamaica striker a £1m-per-year contract.
#Sam Kerr #Chelsea #Women's Super League
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Sports May 14, 2026

Ultimate Sevens Launches as Rugby's £2m Answer to The Hundred

Rugby union is launching the Ultimate Sevens Championship in September, a £2m tournament designed t…
The Lead: Rugby's New Fast-Paced FormatA rugby union version of the Hundred aimed at attracting younger fans to the sport is to be launched in September. The world's leading sevens players have been contracted to play in the Ultimate Sevens Championship which will involve events in Spain, Wales and France followed by a grand final at Brentford's Gtech Community Stadium in west London on 24 September.The Event Details: Innovative Format and Team StructureThe new tournament will feature six men's and women's teams representing different global regions: England, Celtic nations, France, Oceania, North America, and South America/Spain. The top 75 players on the world sevens circuit have already been recruited to represent one of six squads with the aim of attracting future individual franchise investment.The fast-paced concept has been designed to show sevens in a new light via an abbreviated one-day format incorporating some interesting innovations. All games will be sudden death and last just 10 minutes, with each side permitted to call one timeout per game instead of the traditional half-time break. There will also be the opportunity to earn extra points by kicking conversions from wider out rather than in front of the posts to add further jeopardy.The Data Analysis: £2m Investment and Commercial PartnersThe tournament has an initial player salary budget of £2m, with Reebok already in place as official kit partner. The six new team identities are based around global regions, with Australia's Henry Hutchison and England's Abbie Brown among those already committed. There will also be a player draft in July to complete team rosters.The Impact Analysis: Changing Rugby's LandscapeWhile the official HSBC world sevens circuit has been slimmed down in recent years, the shortened form of the game remains a popular Olympic sport, with Antoine Dupont having steered France to gold medal glory in Paris in 2023. The Ultimate Sevens Championship has received the blessing of World Rugby and all the major unions, indicating a significant shift in how rugby sevens is presented and consumed globally.The Prediction: Future Growth and Potential 15s Star InvolvementFor now, the top 15s stars will not be targeted, but managing director Barney Pascall believes big-money investors and box-office names will increasingly be tempted. "We've built this to allow for that to happen. It's for sevens players but if some of the 15s guys turn around and say, 'I like the look of that' that's great. It's good to be able to give people a choice," Pascall stated, emphasizing that "Ultimate Sevens is about elevating rugby sevens as a sport to give its world-class players a global stage to perform on, as well as providing fans with an experience that is fast, bold and culturally relevant."
#Ultimate Sevens #Rugby Union #The Hundred
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Entertainment May 14, 2026

Kevin Morby's 'Little Wide Open': A Midwest Elegy on Life's Complexities

Kevin Morby's eighth album 'Little Wide Open' presents a nuanced exploration of life's complexities…
The Lead Kevin Morby's eighth album "Little Wide Open" presents a contemplative journey through the complexities of life, love, and identity, rooted in his midwestern upbringing. The album showcases Morby's signature Americana style while embracing vulnerability and uncertainty in both lyrics and production. The Musical Landscape of "Little Wide Open" The album opens with "Badlands," a track that juxtaposes the harsh imagery of the American midwest with surprisingly laid-back musical elements. Morby's conversational vocals and gentle guitar riffs create a contrast with lyrics that reference both "the big disaster we call home" and the possibility that "heaven is a place on Earth beneath the golden sky." This duality sets the tone for an album that embraces ambiguity and complexity. Musically, Morby primarily works in introspection and understatement, building on his foundation of Americana influenced by Bob Dylan, Lou Reed, Tom Petty, and Leonard Cohen. While his previous work has touched on soul and jazz elements, "Little Wide Open" returns to his core sound with subtle pleasures rather than flashy moments. Tracks like the title track and "Natural Disaster" both exceed seven minutes, allowing songs to gradually unfold and inviting listeners to sit with the music. The Collaborative Production The genesis of "Little Wide Open" offers insight into Morby's respected position in the music industry. The National's Aaron Dessner, whose production credits include work with Taylor Swift and Noah Kahan, approached Morby to collaborate on the album. Dessner has shared Morby's music "with everyone I've ever worked with," indicating high regard for the artist's craft. The album features an impressive supporting cast, including Justin Vernon of Bon Iver imitating a tornado siren with his voice and alt-country star Lucinda Williams delivering a monologue on "Natural Disaster." Additional contributors come from Muna, Sylvan Esso, Florence + the Machine, and Perfume Genius, creating a rich tapestry of sounds that reinforces Morby's Americana foundation. Themes of Vulnerability and Transition Morby has described "Little Wide Open" as his "most personal and vulnerable album," created as he approaches fatherhood with his partner Katie Crutchfield of Waxahatchee. The album captures the doubts and uncertainties that accompany this life transition, as evidenced in "Javelin" where he questions, "Am I a has-been? Am I a husband?" The album explores the push and pull of one's hometown, balancing comfort and nostalgia with feelings of not quite fitting in. Morby captures this tension in "Cowtown" with the line, "Where no one ever makes a sound except me on this guitar," a bluesy acoustic punctuating the austere sound. Similarly, "Natural Disaster" examines mood swings as either something to be managed through medication or meditation, or simply as natural occurrences like landslides that fuel his songwriting. The Art of Introspective Songwriting "Little Wide Open" demonstrates Morby's mastery of introspective songwriting that embraces uncertainty rather than providing definitive answers. The album creates a "welcome safe space for admitting you're not sure; that things are complicated," particularly valuable in a climate that tends to extremes. Key tracks showcase this approach: the lovely melancholy exhalation of the title track's chorus, the banjo-assisted closer "Field Guide for the Butterflies" that gradually builds from fragility to something tougher, and the beautiful piano and clarinet motif running through "Junebug." Even the more climactic moments, like the maelstrom of noisy guitar in "100,000," serve the album's overall theme of emotional complexity. Legacy and Future Directions While Morby has never achieved massive commercial success or written a breakout crossover hit, "Little Wide Open" reinforces his status as a respected artist within the indie and Americana scenes. The album's critical reception and high-profile collaborators suggest that Morby's thoughtful, introspective approach continues to resonate with both musicians and listeners. As Morby navigates fatherhood and continues to explore life's complexities through his music, "Little Wide Open" stands as a testament to his growth as an artist unafraid to embrace vulnerability and uncertainty. The album's blend of midwestern storytelling, musical craftsmanship, and emotional honesty positions Morby as a distinctive voice in contemporary Americana.
#Kevin Morby #Little Wide Open #Americana
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Business May 14, 2026

US CEOs Join Trump in China: Stakes, Strategies, and Future Outlook

More than a dozen US CEOs, including Elon Musk, Tim Cook and Jensen Huang, accompanied President Do…
Executive Overview: Trump’s China Visit with Top US CEOsPresident Donald Trump arrived in Beijing on Wednesday, flanked by a delegation of more than a dozen senior US executives. The group was presented to President Xi Jinping as “distinguished representatives from the American business community” who “respect and value China,” signaling a joint push to revive trade ties amid a lingering tariff dispute.Who Joined the Delegation and Their Business InterestsElon Musk – CEO of SpaceX, Tesla and owner of XTim Cook – outgoing CEO of AppleDavid Solomon – CEO of Goldman SachsLarry Fink – Chairman and CEO of BlackRockJane Fraser – Chairman and CEO of CitiStephen Schwarzman – CEO and co‑founder of BlackstoneKelly Ortberg – CEO and President of BoeingJensen Huang – CEO of Nvidia (late addition)Other firms represented included Meta, Cargill, Visa, Cisco, Qualcomm, Coherent, Micron, GE Aerospace, Illumina and Mastercard.Financial Figures Highlighting US‑China Trade TiesTariffs imposed during the trade war have exceeded 100 percent on many goods.Tesla’s Shanghai Gigafactory sold 292,876 vehicles in the first four months of 2026, a 26.7 percent year‑over‑year increase.Elon Musk is reportedly seeking to purchase $2.9 billion worth of solar‑panel equipment from Chinese suppliers.Approximately 80 percent of the iPhones sold in the US are manufactured in China.Nvidia controls roughly 95 percent of China’s advanced AI‑chip market, with an estimated Chinese AI market value of $50 billion this year.Strategic Implications for US Companies and Chinese PolicyThe delegation’s presence underscores the dependence of US tech firms on Chinese manufacturing, rare‑earth supplies and market demand. China’s recent restrictions on seven of twelve rare‑earth elements—and a paused second tranche of five—have heightened the urgency for firms like Tesla and Nvidia to secure stable supply lines. CEOs emphasized the need for “mutually beneficial cooperation” and broader market access, while Chinese officials promised “broader prospects” for American companies.What May Follow: Potential Deals and Political RamificationsTrump is seeking a renewed commitment from Beijing to open its economy, potentially easing tariffs and lifting sanctions on Chinese entities in exchange for US concessions. Analysts suggest the visit could yield concrete agreements on aircraft sales for Boeing, expanded chip sales for Nvidia, and further investment commitments that Trump can showcase to his domestic base ahead of the November mid‑term elections. The outcome will likely shape the trajectory of US‑China economic relations for the coming year.
#Donald Trump #Elon Musk #Tim Cook
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Sports May 14, 2026

The Houston Comets: How the WNBA's First Dynasty Changed Women's Basketball

The Houston Comets defied expectations by winning the WNBA's first four championships, creating a d…
The Rise of a Dynasty: Houston's Unexpected WNBA Reign Fran Harris remembers a late-night dinner in Sacramento. Her Houston Comets squad had just dispatched the lowly Monarchs by 10 points. To celebrate, she and a few teammates, including Cynthia Cooper, Tammy Jackson and Kim Perrot, decided to grab a bite. Cooper had scored 44 in the 25 July 1997 contest, and her talents dazzled even her dinner companions. "I said to Cynthia, 'I just cannot believe how great you're playing – and I know how great you are!'" Harris tells the Guardian. "And she goes, 'I know!' She was just, like, Yeah, I'm the motherfucker! I was like, 'You absolutely are!'" From Underdogs to Champions: The Comets' Unexpected Journey Cooper, an eventual two-time WNBA MVP and four-time champion, was not supposed to be the league's top player. She'd played in Europe for a number of seasons after winning college championships at USC in the mid-1980s. But when the WNBA began in the summer of 1997, she was already 34. In fact, her entire Houston Comets team, who would win the league's first championship – as well as the next three – were predicted to finish last by many ahead of the inaugural campaign. (They could get a chance to add to their tally: on Wednesday the WNBA confirmed a franchise will return to Houston in 2027, 19 years after the original Comets folded.) "They were very unimpressed with our roster for some reason," says Harris, now a television analyst for the WNBA's Dallas Wings. "When we read that, we were like, 'This shit is funny! That is hilarious.'" The League's Precarious Foundation: Women's Basketball Before the WNBA When the WNBA began, professional women's basketball was in a precarious state. The WBL, the first pro women's league in the US, started nearly 20 years prior. But it folded within three years. After that, several more leagues popped up, including the ABL, which launched in 1996. That year, the US boasted an all-time Olympic team, and the league wanted to capitalize on the enthusiasm around their gold medal. But things didn't go to plan for the ABL. Harris, who had won a NCAA championship in 1986 with Texas, had heard about the ABL and was interested, but a former teammate working as a college coach warned her against joining, with the NBA getting ready to launch the WNBA. Harris took note. The ABL, without big-money backing, folded after two seasons. Building a Team: Tryouts and Team Chemistry Tryouts for the Comets' inaugural season kicked off on Mother's Day weekend. "It was just survival of the fittest," says Yolanda Moore. "It was a free-for-all. We did your basic three-man-wave – that kind of stuff. But really we were just put into teams and played basketball. And at the end of every session, they would make cuts." The Comets' first coach was Van Chancellor. A veteran of the college ranks, he'd been Moore's coach at Mississippi. Still, he told her that she had a "snowball's chance in hell" to make the Comets, she says. Moore, who graduated with a degree in journalism, initially wanted to be "Robin Roberts Jr". When she heard about the WNBA, though, she had to jump for it. She also didn't listen to her coach's negative attitude. Moore's perseverance landed her a spot on the Comets' practice team, and later one on the main roster. The Legacy of the Comets: Paving the Way for Future Generations Thinking back on the year, Harris vividly remembers the Comets' first regular-season game. It was on the road in Cleveland with an official attendance of 11,455. "It was sold out," she says. "I was like: 'Woah!' The crowd for that moment was a big deal." In a way, Harris says, that entire first year was like a dream. The WNBA marked the first time longtime women's basketball stars could play against one another professionally in the US. "We had all played against each other in college," Harris says. "Now, here we were playing against each other in a pro league. It was incredibly surreal." "Not only were we trying to prove ourselves in the league," says Moore, a bench player in her first season before blossoming into a top backup center, "but we were women trying to prove ourselves to this sport, that we deserved to have this space. We were proving that this was our time." The Return of the Comets: Houston's WNBA Future The announcement that a WNBA franchise will return to Houston in 2027 marks a significant moment for the league and the city. The original Comets folded in 2008 after winning four championships in the league's first four years. The return of professional women's basketball to Houston comes nearly two decades later, reflecting both the growth of the WNBA and the enduring legacy of the original team. As the league approaches its 30th season, the return to Houston symbolizes how far women's professional basketball has come since the Comets' early dominance. The team's legacy continues to inspire new generations of players and fans, proving that the electric atmosphere the Comets created in Houston can be reignited in the coming years.
#Houston Comets #WNBA #Cynthia Cooper
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Sports May 14, 2026

Why More VAR Won’t Save Football’s Golden Goose

The Guardian piece argues that the increasing reliance on video‑assistant referees (VAR) is unlikel…
The Lead: VAR’s Growing Role in a High‑Stakes Premier League ClashDuring a decisive West Ham‑Arsenal match, Darren England repeatedly urged referee Chris Kavanagh to delay the decision, turning a routine goal‑line check into a 155‑second drama. The episode highlights how VAR, originally intended to reduce errors, is now a central narrative driver in top‑flight football.Inside the West Ham‑Arsenal VAR Review: Timing, Process, and the 155‑Second DecisionThe replay sequence unfolded as follows:Ball crossed the line – 2 min 35 sec later England pressed the red button.Kavanagh entered the review room and examined 17 separate replays of Pablo Sanchez’s foul on David Raya.Multiple angle requests (“second angle”, “split screen”) extended the review to a total of 155 seconds.Final verdict: foul confirmed, goal disallowed.The VAR team operated in a silent control room at Stockley Park, insulated from crowd noise, emphasizing a clinical but detached decision‑making environment.Why the Prolonged VAR Process Threatens Football’s Entertainment ValueFootball thrives on fluidity and spontaneous drama. Lengthy VAR checks introduce a parallel “screen‑watching” spectacle that can eclipse the on‑field action, turning a four‑minute interval into a “more watchable” segment than many live minutes of play. Critics argue this undermines the sport’s tacit consensus and the referee’s contextual judgment, eroding the organic flow that fans cherish.What the Future Holds for VAR: More Technology, More Delays?Chief referee Howard Webb defended the process, citing diligence and respect for the game. However, the trend suggests a feedback loop: as governing bodies add layers of technology and legislation, the demand for even more detailed reviews will likely grow, potentially leading to longer interruptions unless procedural reforms are introduced.
#VAR #Premier League #West Ham
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Economy May 14, 2026

Bond Market Fears as UK Political Turbulence Raises Spectre of Another 'Liz Truss Moment'

Political uncertainty in the UK has triggered a sell-off in government bonds, with yields reaching …
The Lead: Political Uncertainty Triggers Bond Market JittersAs Keir Starmer faces a potential leadership challenge, the spectre of the bond market looms large over Westminster. The prospect of Britain switching prime ministers for a sixth time in seven years has fuelled a sharp sell-off in the market for UK government debt, with investors warning of a potential repeat of the 2022 "Liz Truss moment" that sent shockwaves through the UK's financial system.The Bond Market Reaction: Yields at 28-Year HighsAs Starmer's grip on power appeared to be slipping away, the yield on 30-year government bonds, or gilts, briefly reached 5.8% on Tuesday, the highest level since 1998, before slipping back after a challenge failed to immediately materialise. However, selling pressure has been maintained on the UK government's bonds relative to its G7 peers, with investors fearing a return to political instability in Britain and a leftwing shift by Labour involving higher levels of borrowing."The markets hate uncertainty, but they hate a political vacuum even more," said Nigel Green, the chief executive of deVere Group. "A cabinet resignation followed by a leadership fight would signal that the government is losing control of itself while investors are already questioning the country's fiscal direction."The Economic Backdrop: Mounting Debt PressuresBritain has elevated levels of borrowing and debt. After a succession of economic shocks, years of lacklustre growth, and rising pressure to repair battered public services and to support an ageing population, the UK's national debt stands at almost 100% of GDP – the highest level since the 1960s.Meanwhile, with the rise in interest rates worldwide amid the inflation pressures unleashed after the Covid pandemic, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and now the Iran war, the cost of servicing the country's debts has also risen. If someone were to replace Starmer, they would face the same challenges, analysts at Goldman Sachs wrote in a note to clients. "Policy choices will remain constrained by the challenging backdrop of rising spending pressures and an already elevated tax burden irrespective of any changes in leadership."The Political Calculations: Labour's Internal DilemmaWithin Labour ranks many MPs are sanguine, reflecting frustration at a tight approach to tax and spending under Starmer, despite the party's plunging poll ratings and dire showing in elections across Britain last week. The prime minister's allies have sought to argue that avoiding bond market provocation should be reason enough to save him. Others appear willing to put the City's warnings to the test.The Merseyside MP Paula Barker, an ally of Andy Burnham, has suggested financial markets would "have to fall into line" should the Greater Manchester mayor find a route to Downing Street. Meanwhile, the leftwing grandee Diane Abbott suggested that MPs "might as well go home" if bond market considerations trumped other priorities.The Market Warning: Risk of Another Truss MomentInvestors warn that a contest ignoring the fragile state of the public finances and realpolitik of the markets could prove fatal for any candidate to be prime minister – highlighting Liz Truss's short-lived premiership."If the political leadership [were to] change or if the current leaders [were to] opt to call for substantially more fiscal loosening, the risk is high that we would see another Liz Truss moment," said Reto Cueni, chief economist at Syz Group. "Markets can cope with ideology of any stripe if it is disciplined and coherent. They recoil from programmes that imply materially higher borrowing without a credible growth engine."Still, investors say further borrowing – on top of planned bond sales worth £252bn to fund the government's activities this year – would risk driving gilt yields higher. This would add to Britain's already £100bn-a-year debt interest bill – a sum representing about £1 out of every £10 spent by the Treasury.The Future Outlook: Balancing Act for LabourMark Dowding, the chief investment officer at the hedge fund RBC BlueBay, said: "It starts to become a very material element of your overall tax revenues. It becomes a bigger element of government spending; and as that moves higher it starts looking unsustainable. As it starts looking unsustainable, you enter a vicious spiral where the fear of it going higher drives borrowing costs even higher. There is almost a tipping point you fear might exist."Ahead of any leadership race, most City investors expect those vying to replace Starmer will attempt to strike a balance between shifting direction and keeping the bond market onside. This week, Louise Haigh, the powerful co-chair of the soft-left Tribune group of Labour MPs, set out a plan for the economy that would involve allowing higher levels of borrowing by overhauling the chancellor Rachel Reeves's current fiscal rules. However, the former cabinet minister warned any changes would have to wait until after Labour has met Reeves's main target of balancing day-to-day spending with tax receipts.
#UK Politics #Bond Markets #Keir Starmer
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