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The United Nations refugee agency has revealed that nearly 900 Rohingya refugees were reported dead or missing in the Bay of Bengal and the Andaman Sea in 2025. This was the deadliest year on record for maritime movements in South and South East Asia.Thousands of people continue to make the dangerous journeys in 2026, with the UNHCR describing the area as an “unmarked graveyard for thousands of desperate Rohingya refugees”. Over the last decade, some 5,000 Rohingya are thought to have drowned at sea.Hundreds of thousands of Rohingya refugees began fleeing Myanmar in 2017 amid an ethnic cleansing campaign. They largely settled in refugee camps in Bangladesh, which continues to give refuge to those fleeing today. However, humanitarian aid in the country has been reduced due to funding shortfalls, and there is limited access to education and opportunities in the camps, prompting people to attempt the dangerous sea crossings.More than 2,800 Rohingya have made the sea journeys this year, with the majority leaving from Cox’s Bazar in Bangladesh or Rakhine State in Myanmar in the hope of reaching Malaysia or Indonesia. The UNHCR hopes that highlighting the record death toll will make people aware of “what the Rohingyas are going through inside Myanmar and in the refugee camps and in the wider region” and prompt solutions to avoid another record toll in 2026.

France and the United Kingdom are convening dozens of countries to advance plans for a multinational maritime force to secure the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway that has been closed since Iran imposed a blockade on February 28.The meeting, taking place at the Elysee presidential palace in Paris, is being chaired by French President Emmanuel Macron and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, with around 30 to 40 countries participating in person or by video conference.The talks will focus on the Strait of Hormuz Maritime Freedom of Navigation Initiative, a defensive mission aimed at restoring free passage through the waterway once a lasting ceasefire in the US-Israel war on Iran is in place.European leaders have warned that the ongoing closure threatens consumers with higher inflation, food shortages, and flight cancellations as jet fuel supplies dwindle. Over 20,000 seafarers are trapped on board hundreds of vessels caught in the blockade.“The unconditional and immediate reopening of the strait is a global responsibility, and we need to act to get global energy and trade flowing freely again,” Starmer said, accusing Iran of “holding the world’s economy to ransom”.The initiative mirrors Europe’s earlier efforts to assemble a security force for Ukraine and carries similar conditions: deployment only when the conflict ends and security conditions allow.A French presidential official stated that allies would need “an Iranian commitment not to fire on passing ships and a US commitment not to block any ships leaving or entering the Strait of Hormuz” before any mission could proceed.Washington’s absence from the discussions is deliberate, with Macron emphasizing that the mission to provide security for shipping through the strait would be “strictly defensive” and limited to non-belligerent countries.

Iran’s foreign minister Abbas Araghchi posted on X that, in line with the 10‑day Israel‑Lebanon ceasefire, the Strait of Hormuz is "completely open" for all commercial vessels for the remainder of the truce. The declaration follows a fragile agreement between Israel and Lebanon, whose acceptance by Hezbollah remains uncertain. The Iranian Ports and Maritime Organisation has already outlined a coordinated routing system for vessels, ensuring that traffic proceeds under strict supervision by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy, which will permit only non‑military ships. U.S. President Donald Trump echoed the openness of the strait in a social‑media post, emphasizing that it is "ready for business and full passage." However, he added that the U.S. naval blockade will continue "until Iran reaches a deal with the United States to end the war," signalling that commercial freedom does not equate to a lift of sanctions. Trump also claimed that Iran has pledged to "never close the Strait of Hormuz again," describing the waterway’s previous use as a "weapon against the world." A senior Iranian military official clarified that this promise applies solely to non‑military vessels, with IRGC Navy oversight. The conflict, which began on 28 February, has already claimed over 3,000 lives and saw Iran previously block the strait—a chokepoint through which roughly 20% of global oil and LNG shipments flow. After stalled U.S.–Iran talks in Pakistan, the United States expanded its blockade to Iranian ports in the Gulf. In Washington, Trump reiterated his administration’s pressure on Tehran to abandon its nuclear ambitions. He suggested a potential "cash‑for‑uranium" deal worth $20 billion, later describing the prospect of acquiring Iran’s "nuclear dust" without payment—a claim dismissed by Iran’s state media, which said no such negotiations ever occurred. Trump also announced that Israel is now "prohibited" from bombing Lebanon, stating that any U.S.–Iran agreement is not contingent on developments in Lebanon. UN peacekeepers reported no air attacks since midnight, though they accused Israeli forces of violating Lebanese airspace and conducting artillery fire. According to the U.S. Department of State, Israel may act in self‑defence against imminent threats but is barred from offensive operations in southern Lebanon. Senior analyst Mairav Zonszein of the International Crisis Group described the direct talks between Lebanon and Israel as a "potential breakthrough," while cautioning that a durable settlement remains distant. He noted that a diplomatic track strengthening the Lebanese government could gradually diminish Hezbollah’s political influence. Overall, the simultaneous declaration of an open strait and the continuation of a U.S. blockade underscores the complex interplay of commercial interests, regional security, and the broader quest for a diplomatic resolution to the Middle‑East conflict.

Iran's Foreign Minister, Abbas Araghchi, has announced that the Strait of Hormuz will be completely open to all commercial vessels for the remaining period of the ceasefire. This decision was shared via a post on social media platform X.The passage through the strait will follow a coordinated route as announced by the Ports and Maritime Organisation of Iran, according to Araghchi. This development comes amidst ongoing efforts to ease tensions in the region.The move is seen as a significant step towards facilitating trade and reducing tensions in the area. The Strait of Hormuz is a critical waterway for global oil shipments, and any disruption can have far-reaching impacts on the global economy.

Iran’s foreign minister Abbas Araghchi announced that the Strait of Hormuz is now fully open to commercial vessels, a statement that raised hopes for de‑escalation in the Middle‑East conflict and sent global oil prices tumbling. President Donald Trump took to social media to celebrate the news, proclaiming it a "great and brilliant day for the world" and asserting that Iran had pledged never to shut the strategic waterway again. Trump also claimed that Tehran had agreed to suspend its nuclear programme indefinitely and would forfeit any frozen U.S. funds, suggesting that a deal‑making session could occur over the upcoming weekend. In contrast, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) offered only qualified support for Araghchi’s declaration, indicating that commercial traffic would be permitted only along a prescribed route and under IRGC naval permission. The United States, however, signalled that its naval blockade of Iranian ports will remain in force until all transactions are completed, warning that few vessels are likely to risk passage under the current uncertainty. Oil markets reacted swiftly: Brent crude slipped below $90 per barrel, easing inflationary pressures that had surged after the strait’s earlier closure. Simultaneously, a ten‑day truce in Lebanon entered its second day, temporarily halting Israeli airstrikes against Hezbollah‑aligned forces and offering a brief respite to civilians after weeks of intense fighting. Despite the truce, an Israeli drone strike in southern Lebanon killed a civilian, and Defence Minister Israel Katz reiterated that the Israeli Defence Forces were not withdrawing and could resume operations. In Paris, representatives from roughly 40 nations gathered at a conference co‑chaired by France and the United Kingdom to discuss a coordinated plan for safeguarding the strait, which historically carries about one‑fifth of the world’s oil and gas shipments. French President Emmanuel Macron welcomed Araghchi’s statement but urged a "full, unconditional reopening" by all parties, while UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer called for any reopening plan to be "lasting and workable". The International Maritime Organization’s secretary‑general, Arsenio Domínguez, said the agency is reviewing the announcement to ensure it complies with the principle of free navigation for all merchant vessels. Pakistan’s army chief Field Marshal Asim Munir, acting as a key mediator, arrived in Tehran to advance negotiations for a more durable peace, underscoring Pakistan’s growing diplomatic role in the region. Overall, while the Hormuz opening has eased immediate market pressures, the broader geopolitical landscape remains volatile, with the U.S.–Iran cease‑fire set to expire soon and regional actors still poised for further confrontation.

Iran has deployed small surface vessels to lay mines in parts of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for global shipping. The exact number of mines laid is unknown, but Iran has left a path open to ships that are prepared to pay a toll.According to US officials, Iran has indicated that it cannot locate all of the mines that it has laid and lacks the capability to remove them. The mines are part of an array of offensive options available to Iran in the strait, including cheap drones, anti-ship missiles, and fast-attack small vessels.Iran is thought to have deployed two main types of mine: the Maham 3 and the Maham 7. The Maham 3 is an anchored, 300kg mine that can be used in waters as deep as 100 meters, while the Maham 7 is a bottom-resting 220kg mine for use in shallower waters.The US plans to use uncrewed marine mine-hunting vehicles, such as the Knifefish undersea mine hunter, to clear the mines. The US could also deploy the AN/ASQ-235 (Archerfish) airborne mine neutralization system from an MH 60S helicopter.The global economy's reliance on maritime trade gives countries deploying mines an outsized leverage compared with the relatively low cost of laying the mines. It takes only a small number of mines to close sea lanes, not least because some mines can be set to detonate after a certain number of ships have passed over, creating uncertainty.

The United States is set to move **over 10,000 additional service members** into the Middle East before the end of April, according to officials speaking anonymously to The Washington Post. The reinforcement is intended to heighten pressure on Iran while the current cease‑fire, declared a week ago, remains in force until April 22. Approximately 6,000 troops will embark aboard the USS George H.W. Bush carrier and its escort vessels, which are transiting around Africa to join the existing carrier presence. An additional 4,200 personnel from the Boxer Amphibious Ready Group and the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit are expected to arrive later in the month. These deployments bring the total number of U.S. forces engaged in the conflict since its start on February 28 to roughly 50,000 troops. With the arrival of the George H.W. Bush, the region will host three U.S. carriers: the newly arrived vessel, the USS Abraham Lincoln, and the USS Gerald Ford, all of which have already taken part in combat operations against Iran. Concurrently, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) announced on social media that its naval blockade of Iranian maritime trade is "fully implemented" and that American forces have "completely halted economic trade" to and from Iran by sea. However, maritime‑tracking data released on Tuesday showed several ships departing Iranian ports and navigating the Strait of Hormuz, suggesting the blockade’s effectiveness may be limited. Amid the military buildup, diplomatic channels remain active. President Donald Trump told The New York Post that a new round of negotiations with Iran could be convened in Pakistan within two days, following a marathon session in Islamabad that ended without a breakthrough. The previous high‑stakes talks failed to secure a lasting peace agreement, and the cease‑fire is slated to expire on April 22. According to the Washington Post sources, the fresh troop influx is designed to give the U.S. administration leverage in ongoing talks while preserving the option for "additional strikes or ground operations" if negotiations falter. This dual strategy underscores Washington’s intent to maintain both diplomatic and kinetic pressure on Tehran as the regional conflict evolves.

President Donald Trump declared that the war with Iran is "very close to over," even as Washington maintains a naval blockade of the strategic Strait of Hormuz. In Washington, D.C., Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors convened for uncommon direct talks, seeking a cease‑fire while Israel pressed for Hezbollah’s disarmament. Trump also hinted at a possible second round of negotiations with Tehran, suggesting talks could resume in Pakistan within days. The United States, however, is set to let a temporary sanctions waiver on stranded Iranian oil expire, tightening economic pressure on Tehran. The International Committee of the Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies delivered its first shipment of medical supplies and humanitarian aid into Iran since hostilities began, offering a modest lifeline to civilians. Inside Tehran, minor explosions caused limited damage and injuries, underscoring ongoing instability. Iran estimates its war‑related losses at $270 billion and plans to seek reparations. On the diplomatic front, the United Nations' IAEA chief Rafael Grossi noted that the duration of any uranium‑enrichment moratorium would be a political decision, reflecting the delicate balance of future negotiations. In the United States, the Senate is poised to vote as early as Wednesday on a Democratic initiative to restrict the president’s war powers, signaling growing congressional scrutiny of the conflict. Former defence official David Sedney warned that the Hormuz blockade is backfiring, increasing pressure on Washington as global trade routes are disrupted and domestic support wanes. Meanwhile, CENTCOM Commander Admiral Brad Cooper affirmed that the blockade of Iranian ports is fully operational and that U.S. forces retain maritime superiority in the region. President Trump publicly rebuked Italy’s Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni for not joining U.S. actions against Iran, describing her stance as lacking courage. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced that American forces will intercept Chinese tankers carrying Iranian oil through the Hormuz Strait, effectively cutting off Iran’s oil exports while allowing non‑Iranian cargo to pass. Israel has proposed a long‑term troop presence extending up to 8 km into southern Lebanon until Hezbollah is dismantled, and continues air strikes aimed at encircling the strategic town of Bint Jbeil. Former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Jeffrey Feltman highlighted a growing divergence between U.S. and Israeli priorities, noting Israel’s heightened concern over Iran’s ballistic‑missile program. In Lebanon, Israeli raids have resulted in multiple civilian casualties, with reports of villages being razed in a manner likened to Gaza. Hezbollah has rejected the ongoing Israel‑Lebanon talks, while public opinion remains split between hopes for peace and opposition to negotiations. The International Monetary Fund warned that any further escalation could push the global economy toward recession. It cut its 2026 growth forecast for the Middle East and North Africa to 1.1 % from 3.9 %, citing disruptions to Gulf oil and gas exports. On the markets, stock indices rose while oil prices slipped, reflecting renewed optimism for a diplomatic resolution and the reopening of the Hormuz Strait.

The United States military announced on Tuesday that a missile strike carried out by U.S. Southern Command (SOUTHCOM) killed four people aboard a stationary vessel in the eastern Pacific Ocean. The attack, captured in a video showing a boat engulfed in flames, represents the fourth lethal engagement in the region within a four‑day span. SOUTHCOM, which oversees U.S. operations across Latin America and the Caribbean, labeled the deceased as “narco‑terrorists.” No evidence was provided to substantiate this claim, and the command offered only vague intelligence indicating the boat was traveling along known drug‑trafficking routes. This latest strike raises the cumulative death toll from the campaign to at least 175 individuals since early September, when former President Donald Trump authorized the operation to disrupt alleged cartel shipments to the United States. In the preceding 48 hours, two people were killed in a Monday strike and five more in two separate Saturday attacks, also targeting vessels in the eastern Pacific. The U.S. Coast Guard has reportedly halted the search for a survivor from the Saturday incidents. International legal scholars and human‑rights organizations argue that the U.S. actions constitute extrajudicial killings in international waters, often targeting civilian fishing boats rather than confirmed drug‑smuggling vessels. Legal experts stress that, even if some boats are involved in narcotics transport, the appropriate response should be prosecution under the rule of law, not lethal force. Critics also highlight the limited impact of the strikes on the U.S. fentanyl crisis, noting that the majority of the drug enters the United States via overland routes from Mexico, with precursors sourced from China and India. As the controversy deepens, questions linger about the legality, efficacy, and broader geopolitical ramifications of the U.S. maritime campaign against alleged narco‑terrorist activity in the Pacific.