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The Plant-Based Paradox: Growing Alternatives vs. Meat Dominance Should I tuck into a juicy steak or stick a tofu patty in a bun and call it a burger? Twenty years ago, that question was largely seen as a moral dilemma influenced by grim conditions in factory farms and slaughterhouses. Back then, animal rights activists were the loudest campaigners arguing for people to abstain from meat. They had limited success because vegetarians and vegans made up less than 5% of the population in rich countries – and the best fake meats were bland replicas of real flesh. The word flexitarian had not yet made it into the dictionary. The debate has shifted sharply. The pollution from animal agriculture, which makes up 12-20% of planet-heating gas, is now part of public discourse around eating meat. A dramatic rise in rates of obesity and diseases linked to red meat have made health concerns part of individual decisions to eat less of it. Meanwhile, some plant-based alternatives have improved in texture and taste to the point where even meat lovers struggle to tell that they did not come from an animal. The Rise of Plant-Based Alternatives: Market Transformation In one sense, there is a powerful story of personal action to tell. The tiny market share of vegetarians in the early 2000s provided the demand that companies needed to invest in making substitutes taste better. These alternatives are now helping meat eaters reduce their intake – an easier sell than convincing people to give it up entirely. Add that to a growing awareness about the environmental harm that livestock cause, and a rise in public support for stopping climate breakdown, and you have the ingredients for what could be a major societal shift away from damaging levels of meat-eating. Early signs of the trend are visible in countries such as Germany, a sausage-hungry nation where about one in 10 people are vegan or vegetarian and a further 37% describe themselves as flexitarian. Plant-based alternatives have become so common that a third of the population buy them regularly, a government survey found in November, and discount supermarkets have launched their own brands. Village cafes in far-right regions seem perfectly happy to serve oat milk with coffee. The Meat Consumption Data: Global Trends and Statistics The broader picture, though, is still dominated by animals. Data in a new report from the UN's Food and Agriculture Organisation suggests the average person eats six times as much chicken and twice as much pork as their grandparents did, with global meat supply having risen fourfold in the last 60 years. Much of the growth has taken place in poor countries in which better access to meat has helped counter hunger and malnutrition. But consumption is projected to keep rising, albeit at a slower rate, even in rich countries, where climate scientists and doctors recommend cutting down. Livestock are expected to contribute the vast majority of the projected 7.6% rise in global agricultural emissions over the next decade, at a time when global emissions from other parts of the economy, such as electricity generation, are set to fall. Industry Resistance and Consumer Behavior Patterns It is too early to tell whether the backlash signals a reversal or stalling of efforts to shift diets toward plants. In the UK, YouGov data shows the proportion of people who are vegetarians and vegans peaked in 2021 at 10% and has since fallen to 7%, while survey data in many other European countries suggests little change or even continued growth. The meat industry, meanwhile, is working hard to safeguard its dominance. In March, EU politicians voted to ban meaty names such as steak and bacon for plant-based alternatives. In the US, the "Make America Healthy Again" campaign from the Trump administration has enthusiastically promoted eating more meat, including many cow products such as beef tallow, going against medical advice. The pro-meat movement may also benefit from the protein obsession that has gripped rich countries, as well as growing fears about the health risks of ultra-processed food. Doctors are sceptical of the former – protein deficiencies in rich countries are rare, unlike fibre deficiencies – while there is little evidence to say much about the health impacts of processed plant-based products compared with processed meat ones. Future Outlook: Environmental and Health Implications The calculation is made more concerning by the indirect health impacts of meat-heavy diets, which stretch well beyond the risks to the person following them. Knock-on effects from the livestock industry range from stronger extreme weather events caused by climate breakdown to antimicrobial resistance that spreads superbugs. On Wednesday, an FAO report found that the use of antibiotics on livestock would rise by nearly a third in the next 15 years without government intervention, with potentially disastrous consequences for protection from disease. Health research is full of contradictory studies, and some advocates of meat-free diets have made sweeping claims that are not supported by the science. But what is clear, at a population level, is that people in rich countries are eating more meat and fewer plants than doctors consider healthy. And at a global level, the environmental harm from animal agriculture is likely to rise at a time when the planet needs it to fall.

The Comeback That Never MaterializedJust over a year ago, Lizzo appeared on Saturday Night Live, announcing a new album called Love in Real Life in grandstanding style. Wielding an electric guitar, clad in a Trump-baiting T-shirt that read Tariffied, she performed its title track and two other new songs, Still Bad and Don't Make Me Love U. As with her appearance earlier the same week on a late night talkshow – during which she ran into the audience to high-five fans who were yelling "we love you Lizzo!" – it looked very much like a defiant comeback, fit to drag her out of the controversy that erupted at the end of her hugely successful 2023 world tour. Three former backing dancers and a costume designer filed lawsuits against the singer alleging harassment and discrimination: damaging claims given how Lizzo's songs have preached a message of inclusivity, body positivity and self-confidence. Some of the allegations were dismissed by a judge but others are ongoing; Lizzo has refused to settle out of court, saying: "I'm fighting the case because I know that it's not true."The Album That Never WasBut the Love in Real Life single, a pivot towards rock that owed a little to Tom Petty's American Girls – or the Strokes' American Girls-indebted Last Nite if you prefer – failed to make the charts, a far cry from the period between 2018 and 2022 when Lizzo's singles seemed to go multi-platinum as a matter of course. The same fate befell Still Bad, a track much more in the vein of her big hits, prompting a rethink. The album was pulled, Lizzo apparently taking control of her own destiny – "I need to do shit my way". A mixtape that returned her more-or-less to where she started, before pop stardom came calling – punchy hip-hop, albeit tricked out with guest appearances from Doja Cat and SZA – appeared in its place: My Face Hurts from Smiling received mixed reviews and underwhelming streaming figures.A Career at a CrossroadsAll of which means that Bitch, her fifth album proper, lands at a deeply peculiar juncture in Lizzo's career. Given that the public apparently don't want her going rock, nor rapping in the style of her 2013 debut Lizzobangers, nor indeed making the kind of music they were buying in their millions three years ago, the question of what they actually do want has presumably hung heavy over its making.Musical Identity CrisisLizzo hasn't come up with a definitive answer. Bitch tries a bit of everything, from pastiching Tame Impala on Happy 2 Be to making clipped new-wave rock decorated with Cure-like guitars on She Stole My Man; Sexy Ladies is a girls-night-out-soundtracking reiteration of the old body positivity message. This scatter-gun approach makes Bitch a disjointed listen.The Subdued ToneMoreover, there's something oddly subdued about its tone, whether it's dabbling in 80s retro – Don't Make Me Love U brings to mind the arena-rousing keyboard hook from Tina Turner's The Best, but renders it into a distant, affectless backing vocal – or delving into jazzy R&B; on Too Nice. The vibraphone-heavy beat on the latter is fantastic, rich in small-hours atmosphere, but the actual song feels nondescript: it only really comes to life in its dying moments, when Lizzo stops singing and starts playing a flute solo. The title track interpolates the chorus from Meredith Brooks' 1997 pop-grunge hit of the same name, but somehow flattens it in the process. Crooned over smooth, G-funky R&B;, it feels stripped of its fiery power, less of a snarl and more of a shrug.Equivocal LyricsThe lyrics often seem similarly equivocal. You don't want for apparent references to Lizzo's recent woes – "I hope it makes you happy to hurt somebody else", "the thing about depression, you think your life is over", "you'd still be working at the mall if it wasn't for me" – but they ultimately feel neither pugilistic nor racked, just confused and sore: "I have feelings too," she sings on piano ballad A Toast.Highlights Amidst the StruggleNot everything here is underwhelming: Whose Hair Is This is a great southern soul pastiche, home to an impressively raw vocal and a snappy plot twist at the end of the lyrics; That Grrrl employs an old-school Chicago house bassline to energising effect. But what's definitely lacking is an unequivocal pop smash, the kind of thing that Lizzo once seemed to be able to write to order.A Changing Cultural LandscapePerhaps that's inevitable. One of the reasons Lizzo hit so big in the first place was that she made pop music that perfectly captured a zeitgeist, and that zeitgeist has moved on: the era of body positivity has been displaced by the era of Ozempic and Mounjaro; the kind of post-pandemic, post-Trump optimism embodied on 2022's About Damn Time now sounds like a transmission from a distant lost age. We're living in a different world now, and Bitch suggests Lizzo has yet to work out how to respond to it: "I'm doing my best," she sings on A Toast, which feels like the most telling lyric of all.

The Climate Policy Reversal in Blue States Democratic-led states are eroding their climate policies, as red states are scaling up their clean energy deployment. California on Friday scaled back its cap-and-invest program, offering more than $3bn in free pollution allowances to polluting companies. Earlier the same week, New York weakened its groundbreaking climate law, delaying a plan to regulate carbon from 2024 until 2028 and reducing emissions-slashing targets. Rhode Island's governor, meanwhile, is attempting to roll back aggressive clean-energy programs. The Economic Justification vs. Climate Imperative The moves come as Donald Trump's administration withdraws clean energy incentives and energy savings programs, and as energy prices spike across the country amid trade disruptions stemming from the US-Israeli war on Iran. Proponents have said the changes are necessary to suppress electricity costs, but climate advocates say that view is short-sighted and misguided. "Using affordability as a cudgel to weaken climate policy is a major error that will not solve either crisis, ultimately amplifying both," said Johanna Bozuwa, executive director of the Climate and Community Institute, a left-leaning thinktank. "Extreme weather and fossil-fuel dependency directly inflate costs – for food, energy, transportation, housing, and health – across the economy for working people." American Public Opinion on Climate Change Polls show most Americans are concerned about the climate crisis. An annual poll from Gallup, published in April, shows that 44% of American adults say they worry "a great deal" about global warming – one of the highest levels of concern since 1989, when the poll was first conducted, behind only 2020 and 2017. About 65% of registered voters in the US also think global heating is driving up the cost of living, according to a report published in December by Yale University and George Mason University. Red States Lead Clean Energy Buildout In contrast to many Democratic-led jurisdictions, red states have tended to dominate renewable energy deployment in recent years. In terms of growth of utility-scale renewables, states that voted for Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential election made up eight of the top 10 in the year to March, according to Energy Information Administration data. Indiana tops the list of states with the most clean energy capacity growth in that timeframe, followed by Kentucky and Utah. More broadly, though, it is Texas that has emerged as the country's leading clean energy superpower, despite its strong ties to the oil and gas industry and unsuccessful attempts within the Republican-led legislature to curb the growth of wind and solar. Texas leads the country in wind energy production, followed by fellow red states Iowa, Oklahoma and Kansas, and in March overtook California in utility-scale solar, too. The Paradox of Climate Leadership Meanwhile, the states scaling back their emissions-cutting policies have long called themselves climate leaders. When Governor Gavin Newsom of California extended his state's cap-and-invest program last year, he said: "We're doubling down on our best tool to combat Trump's assaults on clean air … by making polluters pay for projects that support our most impacted communities." The changes could end up giving more money to the fossil fuel producers and distributors who have been increasing consumers' energy prices amid the Iran war, said Bahram Fazeli, Policy Director with Communities for a Better Environment, a grassroots organization in California. "There's no reason to think that giving them more free allowances will actually help motivate them to lower gas prices more," he said. Long-Term Economic Implications New York advocates are also skeptical about whether the weakening of the 2019 Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act – which the state touted as among the strongest climate laws the country – will deliver long-term benefits. The state legislature last week reached a deal with Governor Kathy Hochul to remove a 2030 mandate to cut planet-warming pollution by 40% from 1990 levels, instead including language to aim for a 60% by 2040 if it is "feasible and cost effective" to do so. "Even though you might see bill savings initially, that's going to come at the cost of locked-in, higher energy costs in the future, as the grid has to procure more energy that would otherwise have been saved," Anna Johnson, a senior policy manager State at American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy, told Baltimore's NPR affiliate WYPR; she estimates that the moves could ultimately increase households' electricity costs by $592m. The True Cost of Inaction The climate crisis itself also costs for working people, said Mar Zepeda Salazar, legislative director of the national environmental justice coalition Climate Justice Alliance. "You can lower costs on paper by weakening protections, but the bill still comes due," she said. "It just shows up in emergency rooms, insurance premiums, utility bills, lost wages, and disaster recovery – that families pay, not industry."

The Biofuel Demand SurgeDemand for biofuels is likely to leap by nearly a third this year as countries seek alternatives to expensive oil. The US, Indonesia, Brazil, Thailand and others have opted to increase biofuel use as the price of oil has jumped to nearly $100 a barrel after the US-Israeli attacks on Iran and the closure of the strait of Hormuz.Projected Growth and Environmental ConcernsIf oil supplies remain constrained, demand for biofuels could increase by 70% by 2030, according to estimates from the Transport & Environment (T&E;) thinktank. Biofuels, from oil-bearing crops and grains, currently supply about 4% of the world's transport energy demand. Expanding biofuel production without competing with food crops for land and fertiliser would be difficult to achieve, and reaching 20% of global road fuel from biofuels would require an area the size of South Africa.The Food Security ImpactThe expansion of biofuels comes at a time when fertilizer supply has been constrained by the war and prices have soared, leading to rises in the price of staple foods for some of the poorest people in many parts of the world. Biofuels compete with food crops for land, while globally about one in every 20 tonnes of fertiliser is used to produce crops for fuel. In some countries it is a lot more: a tenth of fertiliser use in the US is for biofuels, and a fifth in Indonesia.Historical Precedents and Future ProjectionsThough it is not possible to say exactly how far the expansion of biofuels could lift food prices, experts suggest it could be significant. In the food crises of 2007-08, the UN's Food and Agriculture Organization estimated that biofuel use contributed between 40% and 70% of the increase in maize and soya bean prices. The US is already forecasting that food prices will rise this year by between 2.2% and 4.7%, largely owing to the impacts of the war in Iran.Sustainable AlternativesEncouraging the switch to electric vehicles could reduce demand for biofuels, as generating renewable energy is a far more efficient use of land than growing crops for fuel. Solar panels covering just 3% of the land currently used for biofuel production would generate the same amount of energy, and because of the higher efficiency of electric vehicles, that would be enough to power a third of the global car fleet.

The Intersection of AI and Classical Music The disquiet and distrust surrounding artificial intelligence among artists and creatives remain real and consequential, and the language used by leading arts commentators is often apocalyptic: AI will decimate the arts, it is evil, it is the devil. Like many emerging technologies, AI has been driven by the corporations at the forefront of its creation. Introduced to the public at a rapid rate and continuously evolving, machine learning has become closely entwined with fear, antipathy and foreboding. The RBO/SHIFT Festival: Exploring AI in Opera The upcoming RBO/SHIFT festival at the Royal Opera House aims to interrogate all sides of this fast-evolving landscape to enable artists, performers, creatives and audiences to think deeply and widely about where we are now, and where we may be tomorrow. Machine learning represents a seismic shift, both in society and in the arts, and we need storytellers, artists, teachers and thinkers in this space to help determine the direction of that shift and help us navigate this unfamiliar territory. The Data Analysis: Understanding AI's Impact on Opera Opera is a particularly good place from which to examine technology. It synthesises multiple art forms – music, visual arts, architecture, poetry, dance, theatre and film – making it both niche and remarkably broad. Opera has also always engaged with technology. From its emergence around 1600, opera makers embraced the latest inventions: pyrotechnics, automata, flying machinery and trapdoors. Later came electric lighting, film, digital media and advanced acoustics. The Impact Analysis: Collaboration and Creativity Having spent the past year discussing AI with makers, coders, researchers, composers and performers, I am not sure it is possible for this technology to decimate the arts. The most written-about aspect of machine learning – generative AI creating images, words and music – is, in many ways, the least interesting. There have been operas created with and by AI for decades by researchers and musicians, yet these have had little impact on the creation of new work more broadly. The Prediction: A Future of Collaboration AI appears to have emerged suddenly, but in reality it is part of a continual expansion of technology that has unfolded over centuries. It is also a space in which differing artistic and imaginative voices are essential. RBO/SHIFT asks two questions: what can AI do for creatives, and what can creatives do for the world in the age of AI? As our interaction with machines becomes ever more prevalent, it may be that, rather than decimating the arts, AI will lead us to value them even more highly, protect and preserve them.

The Lead: Trump's Wartime Coal Funding InitiativePresident Donald Trump is utilizing the Defense Production Act, a cold war-era statute typically reserved for national emergencies, to allocate $700 million in grants to coal-fired power plants across the United States. This move represents the latest effort by the administration to bolster what Trump calls "clean, beautiful coal," despite scientific consensus that coal remains the dirtiest of fossil fuels and a leading contributor to climate change.The Defense Production Act: A Novel Application for CoalTrump's announcement came during a White House press conference where he detailed how the $700 million investment would protect 14 coal plants and 42 coal mines across 10 states that all voted for him in the previous election. The funds will also finance the construction of two new coal plants in Alaska and West Virginia, as well as a new coal export terminal in Oakland, California, and the restart of an existing facility in Maryland."As a result of the $700m investment that I'm announcing today, we will protect 14 coal plants and 42 coalmines, a tremendous number, and build two new coal plants and one massive new export terminal," Trump stated.The administration's attempts to provide a cuddly rebranding to coal have even extended to creating a new mascot with giant eyes, called Coalie, and gushing social media posts that include an image of a lump of coal wearing sunglasses as if it were on the TV show Love Island."You're not allowed to say 'coal' within the Trump administration unless it's preceded by the words 'clean, beautiful,'" Trump said on Thursday. "Complicates our life, but it's good."Financial Implications: Cost of Coal vs. RenewablesDespite Trump's claims that the initiative will lower energy costs, energy experts maintain that coal plants are more expensive to build and operate than renewable power sources. The administration has previously doled out hundreds of millions of dollars to the coal industry, signed orders forcing ratepayers to pay extra for aging plants to remain operational, and dismantled environmental regulations limiting toxins from coal.The coal industry, however, applauded the new order, with Rich Nolan, chief executive of the National Mining Association, arguing that "coal generation shields consumers from the impacts of volatile energy prices and supply challenges" and will help meet increased electricity demand from the artificial intelligence sector.Environmental and Health ConsequencesEnvironmental groups have strongly criticized the administration's latest aid for coal, with Patrick Drupp of the Sierra Club calling it "disgusting and reprehensible" that taxpayer dollars are being given to "deadly and expensive coal plants that will make Americans sicker and drive up electricity prices even more."Scientific evidence shows coal is the most carbon-dense fossil fuel and a leading cause of the climate crisis when burned. Research has estimated that as many as 460,000 deaths in the US from 1999 to 2020 were attributable to air pollution from coal plants alone, which releases tiny toxic particles that sicken miners and trigger widespread respiratory and heart health problems.Future Outlook: Coal's Declining Market ShareDespite Trump's efforts to revive the coal industry, the sector continues to face significant headwinds. US coal production is currently less than half of what it was in 2008, with coal declining as both a fuel for electricity and as an input for manufacturing materials. The number of people working in coal has declined by more than 90% in the past century, with more people now employed at Waffle House restaurants across the US than in coal mining.Environmental advocates question the long-term viability of Trump's coal strategy, with Kit Kennedy of the Natural Resources Defense Council asking, "What's next, a taxpayer bailout to build new phone booths?" She characterized the move as "going to mean higher bills and dirtier air," calling it "a waste" of taxpayer resources.

The Lead Billings reservoir, Brazil's largest urban water source, is facing a critical environmental crisis that threatens the water supply for 22 million people in São Paulo. Despite its vital importance for energy generation, flood control, and drinking water, decades of pollution and mismanagement have pushed this crucial ecosystem to the brink of collapse. The Environmental Crisis at Billings Biologist Marta Marcondes and community activist Wesley Silvestre Rosa navigate the polluted waters of Billings reservoir, monitoring contamination levels and documenting the environmental degradation. Large areas of the reservoir are contaminated with household and industrial waste, pharmaceutical residues, microplastics, and fecal matter, creating what Marcondes describes as a smell that "you could die if you drank this." The Scale of Contamination At 127 sq km (49 sq miles), Billings reservoir serves as a critical water source for the 22 million people living in São Paulo's metropolitan area. Despite its importance, urban planners attribute the contamination to neglect by local authorities, flawed water management policies, and uncontrolled urban expansion. The reservoir also generates energy via a hydroelectric dam and plays crucial roles in flood control, irrigation, and providing cooling during extreme heat. The Human Impact Roughly 1.5 million people live around Billings, many in favelas or other irregular housing settlements. In January, residents blamed São Paulo's water utility, Sabesp, for dumping waste into the reservoir, resulting in environmental fines. Sabesp attributed the incident to "irregular entry of rainwater into the sewage network" and "hydraulic overload of the system" intensified by heavy rains. The Historical Context Built to power São Paulo's growing industrial base via the Henry Borden hydroelectric plant, Billings reservoir marked its 100th anniversary last year. Urban planner Nabil Bonduki suggests that the redirection of polluted water from the Pinheiros and Tietê rivers to supply the plant has turned Billings into an "environmental sacrifice zone," prioritizing energy production over environmental health. The Path Forward Marcondes warns that without immediate action, the risk of a "collapsed system" is imminent. Community activists and scientists continue monitoring the reservoir's condition, collecting samples, and documenting pollution sources. The ongoing crisis highlights the urgent need for comprehensive water management reforms and sustainable urban planning to protect this vital resource for future generations.

Escalation of Violence in Mogadishu Amid Election DelayGovernment forces and militias allied with the opposition opened fire in Somalia’s capital, Mogadishu, after President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud announced an extension of his term despite its expiry in May. The unrest forced residents to flee, damaged buildings and halted a planned anti‑government protest.Clash Between Government Forces and Opposition MilitiasWednesday: Fighting broke out in several neighbourhoods.Thursday morning: Heavy security presence; police described the attacks as “organised”.9:30 am Thursday (06:30 GMT): Violence subsided as talks began.Key participants included government troops, opposition‑aligned militias, and civilian demonstrators calling for a peaceful protest.Humanitarian Toll and Infrastructure DamageWhile official casualty figures remain unconfirmed, witnesses reported:Mortar shells striking residential houses, injuring at least one civilian.Armoured vehicles set ablaze.Deliberate disruption of electrical supplies.Photographs showed government forces positioned among civilians at a street junction, underscoring the proximity of combat to populated areas.Members of Somali government forces stand among civilians at an intersection before a planned protest against President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud over his decision to remain in office after his term expired last month [Feisal Omar/Reuters]Regional and International RepercussionsThe African Union, European Union and the U.S. embassy in Mogadishu issued statements urging restraint and expressing deep concern over the clashes in residential districts. The violence revives memories of previous term‑extension disputes, such as former President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo’s 2021 overstay, which also sparked international condemnation.Outlook for Somalia’s Political StabilityWith talks underway but no clear resolution, analysts warn that continued use of heavy weaponry against civilians could further erode public trust and embolden insurgent groups like Al‑Shabaab. The next steps—whether a negotiated settlement or renewed repression—will shape Somalia’s trajectory toward either renewed conflict or a fragile political settlement.

UK car registrations in May 2026 rose 7% to 160,662, marking the strongest monthly total since before the Covid pandemic and highlighting the accelerating shift toward electric vehicles.Chinese EV Brands BYD and Chery Lead the RecoverySales from Chinese manufacturers powered the overall increase, with BYD delivering 5,200 cars and Chery selling 8,200 across its Chery, Jaecoo and Omoda lines. Other Chinese‑owned brands also posted notable gains:MG (SAIC) – ~7,500 units, up 13%Leapmotor – 900 units (nearly zero a year earlier)Geely – 1,100 units (nearly zero a year earlier)Numbers Reveal a 7% Rise and EVs Capture Over 27% of the MarketTotal registrations: 160,662 (+7% month‑on‑month)Battery‑electric cars: > 27% of all salesTesla’s UK sales jumped 45% in May, though annual growth is only 3%Why the UK Market Is Favoring Chinese Imports and Electric VehiclesThe UK has not imposed punitive tariffs on Chinese car imports, allowing manufacturers to price competitively. At the same time, consumer demand for low‑emission vehicles has been boosted by:Government EV grants introduced in July 2025Rising fuel prices linked to geopolitical tensions (US‑Israeli war in Iran)Private buyers, rather than corporate fleets, driving the strongest May increase since 2019Future Outlook: Chinese EV Momentum and UK Emissions TargetsAnalysts expect the Chinese EV surge to continue, pressuring the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) and the government to revisit the zero‑emission vehicle (ZEV) sales targets. While the official target sits at 33% of new sales, industry think‑tank New AutoMotive estimates a realistic goal of 24.6% due to built‑in flexibilities. Ongoing lobbying for weaker targets suggests a potential policy shift, but strong consumer momentum is likely to keep electric‑vehicle market share on an upward trajectory.