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Budget airline easyJet has issued a profit warning, citing the impact of the Iran conflict on fuel prices and bookings. The airline has seen fuel costs rise by £25m in the last month alone, driven by the escalating tensions in the Middle East.EasyJet expects to report an increased pre-tax loss of £540-£560m for the six months to March, up from £394m in the first half of 2024-25. The carrier typically generates most of its revenue in the second half of the year, which includes the peak summer period.The airline has hedged 70% of its fuel needs for the rest of the financial year to September, but each $100 movement in the spot price of jet fuel per metric tonne adds £40m in costs for its unhedged supply. Currently, the price is about $800 higher than before the conflict started.Chief executive Kenton Jarvis said demand remained strong in the short term, but customers were leaving it later to book due to economic uncertainty. However, he assured that fuel supplies remained normal and that any talk of having to cancel flights was pure speculation.Jarvis added that there was continued positive demand, but easyJet's financial performance had worsened year on year, impacted by the conflict in the Middle East and the competitive environment in some markets. Shares fell 3% in early trading.

Europe is projected to run out of jet fuel in about six weeks, according to the head of the International Energy Agency, raising the spectre of widespread flight cancellations.Fatih Birol told the Associated Press that without a rapid restoration of oil shipments from the Middle East, airlines could soon be forced to drop routes, warning that “some flights from city A to city B might be cancelled as a result of lack of jet fuel.”The shortage stems from the US‑Israel war on Iran, which has snarled global energy markets since the initial strikes in late February. In retaliation, Iran has effectively sealed the Strait of Hormuz, a critical artery for Gulf oil exports.Although a two‑week ceasefire was recently brokered, negotiations to end the hostilities have stalled, leaving the supply disruption unresolved.Meanwhile, Brent crude futures are trading more than 30% above pre‑war levels, intensifying pressure on fuel prices and adding to political scrutiny in the United States.Jet‑fuel shipments that departed before the conflict have largely arrived in Europe, but the remaining reserves are rapidly being drawn down, leaving the continent vulnerable.Airports Council International Europe has warned EU energy and transport commissioners that the region could face fuel shortages within three weeks, echoing industry norms that typically maintain about six weeks of fuel on hand.Birol warned that the situation represents a “dire strait” with serious ramifications for the global economy, noting that prolonged disruption would exacerbate inflation and dampen growth worldwide.The anticipated fallout includes higher petrol, gas and electricity prices, with the impact expected to be uneven across different regions.Airlines are already scrapping marginally profitable routes, especially those without robust hedging strategies, and even carriers with hedged fuel costs may need to reconsider schedules.Despite the broader concerns, British low‑cost carrier easyJet asserted it has sufficient fuel visibility through mid‑May and does not anticipate supply‑related issues in the near term.

The EU's new entry-exit system (EES) has caused significant delays at several European airports, with travellers waiting up to three hours at border checks. The system, which came into effect on Friday in the Schengen countries, requires passengers from non-EU countries to register their personal information and biometrics at the border.Passengers in airports in countries such as France, Germany, Belgium, Italy, Spain, and Greece are experiencing several hours of waiting at border checks, according to the Airports Council International (ACI) body. Olivier Jankovec, the director of the ACI European division, warned that the situation will be "simply unmanageable" in the coming weeks and peak summer months.The EES has been gradually introduced since October and has already caused long delays at some airports. On Sunday, the BBC reported that more than 100 passengers were unable to board an easyJet flight from Milan to Manchester before it took off due to delays at passport desks.Airport representatives and the European Commission held a meeting to discuss problems with the system on Tuesday. The ACI has asked to extend existing exemptions and the power to fully suspend the new checks. Jankovec told the FT that the ACI needed the ability to "fully suspend EES registration whenever there are excessive waiting times at border control that are just unmanageable".A spokesperson for the European Commission said that the system is working well, with an average registration time of 70 seconds per passenger. However, the ACI has claimed that it can take up to five minutes. The commission said that there were a "few member states where technical issues have been detected" but that they "are being addressed".The EES has registered more than 52m entries and exits, as well as more than 27,000 refusals of entry, since its introduction in October. Almost 700 people were identified as posing a security threat.

Oil prices jumped back above $100 a barrel and global stocks fell after weekend talks between the US and Iran ended without an agreement and Donald Trump imposed a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. The US president announced the blockade on Sunday, targeting Iranian vessels and ships that have paid a toll to Iran for passage through the strait, in an attempt to choke off the flow of Iranian oil.US Central Command said it would start at 10am ET (5.30pm in Iran and 3pm in the UK), blocking all Iranian Gulf ports and coastal areas, in effect seizing control of maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. The news drove oil and gas prices sharply higher again, after the two-week ceasefire between the US and Iran announced on Wednesday prompted a sharp fall in energy prices, and crude ended the week below the psychological $100 a barrel threshold.Brent crude rose by nearly 7% to $101.74 a barrel on Monday morning, while US crude is up more than 8% to $104.69 a barrel. Gas prices also increased, with the British wholesale gas contract for May soaring by 11.7% to 122.5p a therm. Analysts at JPMorgan Chase said last week they expected oil prices to stay high in the second quarter, above $100 a barrel, before easing in the second half of the year.Most Asian stock markets fell on Monday, with Japan’s Nikkei down 0.7% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index losing 1%, while Chinese stocks rose slightly. Sentiment was helped by Beijing’s announcement of a 10-initiative strategy aimed at deepening ties with Taiwan. European stocks also fell, led by airlines including Lufthansa, Wizz Air, easyJet and British Airways parent IAG. The FTSE 100 index in London lost 0.4%, dropping 45 points to 10,555. Germany’s Dax fell 1%, Italy’s FTSE MiB slipped 0.7% and Spain’s Ibex was down 1.1%. With oil and gas prices rising sharply higher, energy companies such as BP and Shell are rallying.Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at the broker Phillip Nova, said: “In today’s environment, every barrel of risk added to oil markets carries an inflation price tag for the global economy.” She added: “The market reaction underscores a simple but powerful reality: Hormuz risk is not theoretical; it is structural, and it is real.”Interest rate expectations have shifted again; investors now see an 84% chance of two rate increases from the Bank of England this year to tackle rising inflation, up from 60% on Friday. Before the Iran war, the central bank was expected to cut rates. The price of gold fell 0.4% to $4,730.75 an ounce as the blockade fuelled inflation concerns, prompting traders to scale back expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts this year.

Ryanair is paying airport ground staff €2.50 (£2.20) for every oversized cabin bag they confiscate, a tactic championed by CEO Michael O’Leary to enforce the airline’s strict baggage limits.The airline defines an oversized bag as any item exceeding 40 cm × 30 cm × 20 cm. Passengers who cannot fit their luggage into the gate‑side cage must pay a levy of up to £75 to travel with the bag.O’Leary says the bounty program has been “very successful,” noting a dramatic drop in the number of passengers attempting to board with oversized items. He even increased the bounty by an additional euro last year, stating he “makes no apology for the policy.”While Ryanair’s dimensions are stricter than many rivals—EasyJet, for example, allows bags up to 45 cm × 36 cm × 20 cm—the airline’s limits are actually 33% larger than the EU’s minimum free‑bag size of 40 cm × 30 cm × 15 cm, after a recent 20% volume increase.Travelers who exceed the limits can purchase a Ryanair‑approved cabin bag for £40‑£50 or pay a fee to carry a larger bag on board, ranging from £12 to £36 depending on the route—sometimes exceeding the cost of the seat itself.The aggressive enforcement has sparked criticism over “draconian” interpretation of the rules, but O’Leary dismisses the backlash, arguing the approach protects the airline’s low‑cost model and deters passengers from exploiting loopholes.Industry observers note that Ryanair’s bounty scheme illustrates a broader trend of airlines monetising ancillary services, raising questions about consumer rights and the need for clearer, possibly regulated, cabin‑baggage standards across Europe.

UK drivers are being urged to hunt for the cheapest petrol as they prepare for an estimated 21.7 million journeys over the Easter bank‑holiday weekend – the busiest on the roads since 2022. Data from the RAC shows that the average price of a litre of unleaded petrol jumped 20p in March, rising from 132.83p on 1 April to 152.83p on 31 April. This is the fastest monthly increase on record, eclipsing the previous high of 16.6p recorded in June 2022 after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. RAC policy chief Simon Williams called the rise “unprecedented” but stressed that travellers should fill up as usual and seek the cheapest forecourts nearby ahead of the holiday rush. To ease congestion, National Highways will temporarily suspend 1,500 miles (2,400 km) of roadworks on motorways and major A‑roads in England from Thursday through Easter Monday. The AA predicts this will accommodate roughly 1 million additional trips compared with last year, with traffic expected to peak on Thursday when schools break up. Analysts warn that the sharp fuel‑price surge may curb spending on trips. Susannah Streeter, chief investment strategist at the Wealth Club, noted that shorter journeys and fewer on‑the‑road purchases, such as chocolate treats, are likely. AA survey data shows that just over half of travellers plan to drive less than 50 miles, 5 % expect journeys of 50‑100 miles, about 1 % aim for 100‑200 miles, and fewer than 1 % anticipate trips beyond 200 miles. Rail disruptions are set to push more motorists onto the motorways. Engineering works will suspend west‑coast mainline services between London Euston and Milton Keynes from Good Friday to 8 April, and there will be no trains on several routes—including Preston to Lancaster (4‑5 April), Winchester to Southampton, and Herne Bay to Ramsgate—while services between London Waterloo and Clapham Junction will be reduced. Despite domestic challenges, the travel trade body ABTA estimates that 2 million UK residents will travel abroad this weekend. EasyJet is gearing up for its busiest Easter period yet, planning to operate 16,000 flights from UK airports over the two‑week school break. Passengers heading to the European Union should also prepare for potential two‑hour delays due to the rollout of the EU’s Entry‑Exit System, which requires third‑country nationals, including UK travellers, to submit photographs and fingerprints before entering the Schengen area.

Travelers to the EU are facing significant challenges due to the new entry/exit system (EES), which has led to delays and missed flights. The EES requires non-EU travelers to have their photo and fingerprints taken, causing 70% increase in security processing times, according to Airports Council International.A family of four recently missed their easyJet flight from Málaga due to long queues at the airport, despite arriving three hours before departure. The bag drop-off didn't open until two hours before the flight, leaving only 53 minutes to clear security and reach the gate.The issue is not limited to Málaga, as Lisbon airport was forced to suspend the system in December when waits reached seven hours. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has warned that the full rollout of the EES poses an operational risk before the summer peak.To avoid delays, travelers are advised to squeeze all packing into a cabin bag and skip luggage check-in. The airlines and airports are urged to take measures to mitigate the delays, including extending the possibility of partly or fully suspending EES at peak periods and reinforcing staffing.

EasyJet's chief executive, Kenton Jarvis, has announced that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East has started to impact flight bookings, with a notable drop in reservations for destinations such as Turkey, Cyprus, and Egypt. Bookings have slowed for summer, with passengers opting for 'usual suspects' like Spain, Greece, and Portugal instead.Jarvis attributed the decline to the Iran war and its effect on consumer confidence. He mentioned that while the airline has hedged much of its fuel into next year, soaring kerosene prices will likely lead to a rise in air fares by the end of the summer.Fuel prices have surged, with easyJet currently paying $700 (£520) a tonne for jet fuel, compared to current spot prices of $1,850. Jarvis noted that while most European airlines are well-hedged, fares will likely increase as the higher costs are passed on to consumers.The airline's hedging strategy means it can still secure a price of $1,000 in six months, but market expectations are that fuel prices will decrease. However, Jarvis warned that the reality is that prices will start feeding into consumer costs over the back end of summer.In related news, easyJet has reopened a base at Newcastle airport, which it closed in 2020 due to Covid-19. The base will bring 140 jobs and support over 1,000 new jobs in the wider north-east region, with plans to fly up to 800,000 holidaymakers out of Newcastle this summer.