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The Imminent El Niño Event Australia should prepare for an imminent El Niño, with the Bureau of Meteorology and other agencies forecasting that the weather phenomenon is likely to develop in the coming months. “The models are really aligning now,” Felicity Gamble, a senior BoM climatologist, said. “We are expecting a transition to El Niño sometime during winter.” El Niño's Impact on Australia The World Meteorological Organization said on Tuesday there was a 90% chance of an El Niño developing in the Pacific before November – a phenomenon that historically has increased the likelihood of hotter and drier conditions for Australia’s east. El Niño is the warm phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (Enso), one of the key drivers affecting global climate. During an El Niño, sea surface temperatures in a central region of the equatorial Pacific become warmer than average, resulting in a shift in atmospheric circulation. Historical Context and Climate Change In Australia, El Niño has tended to result in warmer-than-average temperatures across most of the south of the country, and been linked with an increased risk of drought, heatwaves, bushfires and coral bleaching. For eastern Australia, nine of the 10 driest winter-spring periods on record have occurred during El Niño years. Dr Andrew Watkins, a Climate Councillor and former head of climate prediction at the BoM, said: “Climate change and El Niño are a very dangerous double act. Climate change is already pushing us to more time in drought, more bushfire weather and extreme heat. Climate pollution is reinforcing some of these impacts from El Niño.” Future Outlook The BoM last week said that models indicated the forecast El Niño – the first since spring 2023 – would be “at least moderate in strength, with the possibility of a strong event”. However, Gamble emphasised that the strength of an El Niño does not “necessarily correlate exactly with the strength of the impacts in Australia”, as there were other climate patterns that influenced weather locally, such as the Indian Ocean dipole and the southern annular mode.

The E-Tricycle Initiative In May 2024, 40 women in Hauna, Zimbabwe, received e-tricycles, known as Hamba, to run a small transport business. The e-tricycles, powered by lithium batteries and reaching a maximum speed of 25km per hour, were introduced to empower women in rural areas. Source of Income Daires Mutamangira, one of the women, uses her e-tricycle to transport goods for a fee. In a good month, she makes a profit of about $250, which helps her support her family. Mutamangira's husband is unemployed, and she is the breadwinner. She pays all the household bills and feeds and clothes their four children. Police Crackdown Crippling Women's Businesses In February 2025, the police started impounding e-tricycles, demanding registration and driving licences. The women are struggling to comply with the costly fees, which amount to nearly $500. The police have impounded several e-tricycles, and the women have been forced to stop operations. The women need nearly $500 for a driver's licence, e-tricycle registration fees, vehicle licence, and insurance. Bureaucracies Complicate Women's Lobbying Efforts The women have been lobbying the government to introduce a new law that recognises the benefits of their slow-speed, clean tricycles. However, the process is complicated by multiple government agencies and bureaucracies. The Ministry of Transport regulates highways, while Rural District Councils regulate tertiary roads. The Ministry of Finance sets the licence and vehicle fees. The Future of E-Tricycles in Zimbabwe The women are appealing to the government to fast-track changes to the law so they can operate freely. The world is shifting to green transport, and current transport policies and regulations require review. The founder of Mobility for Africa, Shantha Bloemen, believes that the regulations create barriers to entry for rural communities. The Minister of State for Manicaland Province, Misheck Mugadza, has promised to address the issue.

Lead: A Decade‑Long Warning from BrexitThe Guardian’s Richard Partington argues that the ten‑year legacy of Brexit is a stark reminder that “easy solutions” to deep‑seated issues rarely work. Citing economists such as Nick Bloom and former minister Alan Milburn, the piece highlights the persistent economic drag and the political complexity of any re‑entry plan.Brexit’s Ten‑Year Economic TollTen years after the binary referendum, the UK’s departure from the EU has proven far from the promised panacea. The lack of a clear, implementable vision left businesses in limbo, freezing investment and stalling trade.Quantifying the GDP, Investment, Employment and Productivity GapsGDP per head: up to 8% lower than a remain scenario.Business investment: roughly 18% lower than it would have been.Employment: about 4% lower than under remain.Productivity: down up to 4% relative to a stay‑in‑EU trajectory.These figures come from a paper by Nick Bloom for the US National Bureau of Economic Research, reinforcing the scale of the economic setback.Why the Brexit Experiment Undermines UK Growth ProspectsThe fallout stems from a coalition of libertarian Atlanticists and anti‑globalist voters whose expectations diverged sharply. While the former envisioned a “Singapore‑on‑Thames” low‑tax model, the latter demanded higher public spending, such as the £350 m a week for the NHS. The clash made coherent policy impossible, leading to regulatory duplication, trade friction, and a loss of confidence among investors.Geopolitical shifts—U.S. protectionism under Donald Trump, rising tensions with China, and Middle‑East conflicts—have further exposed the fragility of the UK’s trade‑first strategy, prompting renewed calls for closer EU ties.What the Next Decade Could Hold for Britain’s EU RelationsExperts like former BoE policymaker Danny Blanchflower caution that any move to re‑join the EU would be “far too simplistic” without a detailed, negotiated framework covering regulations, standards, and market access. The political landscape, still influenced by figures such as Nigel Farage and the potential rise of a Reform UK government, adds uncertainty that could keep investment muted.In the absence of a clear, expert‑driven roadmap, the UK risks prolonging the economic drag while grappling with other structural challenges, notably a looming youth unemployment crisis projected to exceed 1 million by the early 2030s.

The Plight of Gaza Patients in Iraq More than two years ago, a group of 46 Palestinians, including 21 patients and 25 family escorts, were flown to Baghdad, Iraq, for medical treatment. However, their journey has turned into a nightmare, as they find themselves trapped in a bureaucratic limbo, thousands of miles away from their homes in Gaza. Confiscated Documents and Suspended Lives Upon their arrival in Iraq, the evacuees had their identification and travel documents confiscated by Iraqi authorities. Despite the Palestinian Embassy in Baghdad issuing new passports, these documents remain unstamped by the Iraqi government, rendering them functionally useless. Dire Conditions and Health Crisis The stranded Palestinians face dire conditions, including material deprivation and psychological distress. They are completely cut off from any monetary stipends, leaving them entirely dependent on the hospital for basic shelter and local citizens for additional charity. The stress of confinement has exacerbated underlying health conditions, and some have developed new health complications. Bureaucratic Runaround and Retaliation Attempts by the evacuees to protest or publicize their predicament have faced swift administrative blowback. When they demanded their right to travel, hospital management retaliated by locking down the ward and banning them from visiting the hospital garden. Iraqi authorities have attributed the issue to a 'political' matter, rather than a health-related one. A Plea for Humanitarian Aid The Palestinians stranded in Baghdad's Medical City complex are pleading for a coordinated effort by a charity or government body to facilitate their travel back to Egypt and eventual return to Gaza. As one patient, Samah Abdul Moati, poignantly stated, 'I am asking for a simple human right: that my family does not remain divided between life and death. Open a safe path, facilitate our family reunification, and let me return to my family before it is too late.'

The LeadA UK resident voluntarily surrendered their driving license to the DVLA after suffering a spinal cord injury in August 2024, only to have the agency revoke it instead. This administrative decision has created significant barriers to regaining driving privileges, as the person now faces a bureaucratic catch-22 where they need a license to get assessed for adaptive driving equipment.The License Revocation DilemmaAfter the spinal injury, the person took the responsible step of voluntarily surrendering their license to the DVLA. However, rather than accepting the surrender, the DVLA revoked the license. This distinction is critical because a revoked license is much more difficult to reinstate than a surrendered one. The person has now submitted three applications to regain their license, with evidence from their spinal consultant and an off-road driving assessment confirming they can drive with hand controls. Despite submitting this documentation two months ago, they still haven't received an update from the DVLA.The Processing BacklogThe DVLA attributes these delays to "exceptionally high demand" from drivers with medical conditions, which has significantly affected processing times. The agency has acknowledged the problem and says it is introducing a new system to address these delays. The person's experience reflects a broader issue, as evidenced by the "long backlogs of reviews of medically revoked licenses" mentioned in the article.The Assessment Catch-22The person now faces a significant bureaucratic hurdle: they need to take a medical driving assessment to get their license back, but they cannot take one without a license. The DVLA eventually sent an application for a provisional disability assessment license, which should have been provided when the person first applied a year ago. The person also needs to be assessed for a vehicle with suitable hand controls but requires a license before they can be assessed for the most suitable options.Recommended SolutionsThe article suggests that Driving Mobility, which provides on-road assessments for drivers with medical conditions, could help with the assessment process. The DVLA should have referred the person to these services earlier in the process. The agency's failure to provide proper guidance and the necessary provisional assessment application has created unnecessary complications for someone already dealing with the challenges of a spinal cord injury.Future OutlookUntil the DVLA's new system is fully implemented and processing times improve, individuals with medical conditions who need to surrender or have their licenses revoked will continue to face significant challenges. The agency needs to improve its communication processes and ensure that applicants receive all necessary information upfront, rather than requiring multiple applications and creating bureaucratic barriers that prevent people from regaining their independence through driving.

The Investigation Wise, the UK-based international money transfer service and darling of the London fintech scene, has confirmed it is answering questions from Belgian prosecutors investigating money laundering, sending its shares tumbling. Details of the Investigation In a statement to the stock market, Wise said it was “currently working with the Brussels prosecutor to respond to queries about our business, as we routinely do with regulators and law-enforcement authorities. “His office’s inquiries are still incomplete and no specific findings have been shared with us to date.” Market Impact Shares in the company plunged by more than 10% by early afternoon, as investors digested official confirmation of discussions with the Belgian prosecutor’s office. Background and Allegations The London-based firm, which has 19 million customers, processes 4.7m transactions a day and is valued at more than £8bn, issued the statement in response to a report by The Bureau of Investigative Journalism (TBIJ). The report claimed that Belgian authorities are investigating whether Wise accounts have been “used by criminals to launder the proceeds of fraud, corruption and drug trafficking”. Prosecutors in Belgium reportedly opened the investigation last year, on the basis that Wise accounts had featured in hundreds of requests for cross-border help in criminal proceedings from more than 30 countries across Europe. The transactions under investigation amounted to €500m (£433m). Wise's Response and Compliance “Like every financial institution, we face the reality of increasingly sophisticated bad actors attempting to exploit our platform, and we continually invest in tech-enabled systems and teams to stay ahead of ever-evolving threats,” Wise told investors. “We start by verifying customers before they open an account and continue monitoring hundreds of data points in real time as customers use our products, with teams reviewing transactions, offboarding customers when needed, and proactively reporting suspicious activity to law enforcement. “We take our responsibility incredibly seriously. Around one-third of Wise’s global team is dedicated to protecting our customers from financial crime and this focus is shared across all of our teams.”

The U.S. Department of Commerce has issued new guidance confirming that its export‑control licensing requirements for advanced AI chips apply to any company with a headquarters or parent in China, effectively re‑imposing the ban on shipments to Chinese subsidiaries operating outside mainland China.Clarification Extends Licensing Rules to All China‑Headquartered EntitiesThe Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) released the notice on Sunday, stating that the existing licence regime now covers subsidiaries of Chinese firms wherever they are located. The clarification responds to questions about enforcement after the Trump administration scrapped the Biden‑era AI Diffusion Framework, which had proposed a global licensing system for AI chips. Nvidia confirmed its sales process already aligns with the clarified rules, while competitors AMD, Intel and contract manufacturer TSMC have not commented.Financial Stakes Highlighted by Nvidia’s Blackwell GPU BanThe guidance reaffirms that Nvidia’s top‑tier Blackwell GPUs remain prohibited for export to any entity linked to a Chinese parent. Nvidia also noted that its H200 chip, while not the most advanced, is roughly six times as powerful as the previously allowed H20 chip. These restrictions directly affect revenue streams tied to high‑end AI hardware sales to the Chinese market.Implications for U.S.–China AI Competition and Supply ChainsAnalysts view the move as a response to perceived loopholes that allowed Chinese firms to acquire export‑controlled chips abroad. Former State Department official Chris McGuire warned that the lack of clear enforcement had enabled large‑scale purchases, potentially eroding U.S. strategic advantage. The reaffirmed ban signals a tightening of the technology frontier, pressuring chip designers and foundries to reassess cross‑border supply chains.Outlook: Potential Tightening of Export Controls and Industry AdjustmentsWith the clarification now in place, the U.S. may monitor compliance more closely and consider additional restrictions if illegal shipments are identified. Companies operating in the AI‑chip ecosystem are likely to enhance vetting procedures and may shift focus toward markets deemed lower‑risk, while Chinese firms could accelerate domestic development to offset reduced access to U.S. technology.

The Lead Anita Rani's new podcast celebrates 'awesome women on the planet right now'. Her first guest is Meera Syal, and future guests include Gisèle Pelicot and Adjoa Andoh. Anita Rani's Sisters of Defiance Anita Rani's podcast, 'Sisters of Defiance', features discussions with 'awesome women' on various topics, including empty-nest life, Goodness Gracious Me, and divorce. The podcast is widely available, with episodes released weekly from Tuesday, 26 May. Slow Burn: Becoming Justice Gorsuch Slate's anthology series, 'Slow Burn', dissects the life of US Supreme Court Justice Neil Gorsuch in its 11th season. The podcast is widely available, with episodes released weekly. Drilled: Carbon Cowboys The climate crisis-themed podcast 'Drilled' explores the carbon capture trade through the story of Republican megadonor and Iowa entrepreneur Bruce Rastetter. The podcast is widely available, with episodes released weekly. Passages: On Morrison This podcast series follows Harvard professor Namwali Serpell as she discusses Toni Morrison's work with various guests, including critic Vinson Cunningham and former US poet laureate Tracy K Smith. The podcast is widely available, with episodes released weekly. To Catch a King Journalist Sue Mitchell and ex-soldier Rob Lawrie team up to investigate a man believed to be responsible for thousands of illegal cross-channel journeys. The podcast is widely available, with episodes released weekly.

The Graduation Contrast: Celebration vs. RealityFor decades, the ritual of graduation in New York City’s Washington Square Park symbolized a seamless transition from academia to the workforce. However, for the class of 2026, that transition has become a precarious journey. While the visual spectacle of caps and gowns remains, the underlying economic reality has shifted dramatically. The joy of the ceremony is increasingly dampened by a 'no-hire, no-fire' environment where the churn of the labor market has stalled, leaving millions of new graduates competing for a shrinking pool of entry-level opportunities.The 'No-Hire, No-Fire' Labor StagnationThe current economic climate is defined by a paradox: there are still millions of open jobs, but the barrier to entry for new graduates has never been higher. According to the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics, while there are 6.9 million open jobs in March, hirings only increased marginally by 655,000 to 5.6 million. This stagnation suggests that the labor market is effectively frozen for new entrants.Job Growth Slowdown: The US economy added an average of 68,000 jobs per month in 2026, a sharp decline from 186,000 in 2024 and 251,000 in 2023.Sectoral Shifts: While healthcare and retail saw growth, white-collar sectors like financial activities and information services shed jobs.The Churn Rate: The quits rate is down, indicating that workers are staying in their positions rather than switching, which leaves little room for new graduates to move up.The Federal Workforce ShrinkageA critical factor exacerbating the shortage of entry-level roles is the drastic contraction of the federal government workforce. Since October 2024, the federal workforce has declined by 348,000, with an additional 9,000 jobs lost in April alone. This exodus is largely driven by government funding cuts, including a $4bn reduction in research funds from the National Institutes of Health (NIH).These cuts have forced major universities, including Duke University and Harvard University, to implement hiring freezes. Consequently, recent graduates like Julie Patel and Molly Howard are not only competing with their peers but also with experienced professionals displaced by these funding cuts, creating a 'last-in, first-out' dynamic in the public health and research sectors.AI as the New GatekeeperPerhaps the most disruptive force reshaping the entry-level landscape is artificial intelligence. The analysis from the Stanford Digital Economy Lab reveals a 16 percent decline in relative employment for early-career workers, particularly in software engineering and customer service. This trend is expected to intensify, with Goldman Sachs forecasting an average of 16,000 jobs cut monthly due to AI advancements.The impact is twofold: entry-level roles are being eliminated and replaced by automation, while demand for experienced workers remains stable. Furthermore, the hiring process itself has become a minefield. Applicants are now facing AI recruiters and an influx of 'fake applicants,' leading to response rates as low as 10 to 12 percent for recent graduates applying to 60 roles.Navigating the Post-Pandemic CycleDespite the grim outlook, experts argue that this is not uncharted territory. The unemployment rate for recent college graduates is currently at 5.6 percent, higher than the general population's 4.2 percent, but historically manageable compared to the 13.4 percent peak during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, underemployment remains a persistent issue at 41 percent.The consensus among university leaders is that while the structural challenges of AI and political uncertainty are new, the resilience of graduates is not. As Christopher Davis of LeMoyne-Owen College notes, the degree may secure an interview, but it is the 'soft skills'—particularly in-person networking—that will ultimately determine success in this hyper-competitive market.