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Ryanair's Jet Fuel Assurance Ryanair is “confident” it will not face a jet fuel shortage this summer amid fears over widespread cancellations linked to the Iran war, but warned holidaymakers booking their flights later this year could face higher fares. Impact of Middle East Conflict on Fares Neil Sorahan, the chief financial officer at the budget airline, said he was “increasingly confident that we will not see any supply shocks this summer”. The airline said fares had fallen in recent weeks due to uncertainty around conflict in the Middle East, with prices expected to fall by a “mid-single digit percentage” in the three months ended in June. Future Fare Projections The company also cut its outlook for fares this summer, with prices now expected to be “broadly flat” on last summer, after a previous forecast of a modest increase in the peak travel season. “Demand is still strong, but people are leaving it longer to book so we do not have the visibility that we normally have for July to September,” Sorahan said. Jet Fuel Supply and Costs The travel industry has been hit by worries around jet fuel supply this summer, as shipping through the strait of Hormuz remains restricted. Ryanair said Europe is well stocked with fuel thanks to shipments from west Africa, Norway and the Americas. The airline reported a record profit after tax of €2.26bn (£2bn) in its financial year ended in March. Future Outlook and Guidance However, it suspended guidance for its 2027 financial year, saying it was “far too early” to provide forecasts owing to potential increases in fuel, environmental taxes and wage bills. While Ryanair has hedged 80% of its jet fuel requirements to April 2027 at about $67 a barrel, unit costs on fuel could still rise if prices remained higher, it said.

The Wedding TragedyDrone strikes by Mali's army have killed at least 10 civilians as they prepared to celebrate a wedding in the central region of San, marking another escalation in the conflict since armed groups launched a widespread coordinated assault late last month. The strikes on Sunday occurred during a security crisis after attacks on the military government's positions last month by fighters from the al-Qaeda-linked Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) and Tuareg separatists known as the Azawad Liberation Front (FLA).A resident of the Tene locality, where the strikes took place, told the AFP news agency that "10 of our children" were killed. "What was supposed to be a moment of joy in the village turned into immense sorrow," he said, speaking on condition of anonymity. "The tragedy occurred as the villagers were preparing the second edition of this traditional collective wedding, a major cultural event for this community," a security source who requested anonymity for safety reasons told AFP.The Escalating ConflictMali has been in a critical security situation since JNIM teamed up with rebels in the FLA in April. A deadly offensive on April 25 and 26 targeted strategic towns and killed the country's influential defence minister. Kidal and other towns and villages in the north have been captured and are now controlled by the FLA and JNIM, who have since imposed a blockade on the capital, Bamako.Another wave of attacks by al-Qaeda-affiliated fighters was also reported on May 7, killing at least 30 people in central Mali. The villages of Korikori and Gomossogou in the Mopti region were targeted. Mali, which is rich in gold and other valuable minerals, has been dealing with unrest since 2012. It has faced a deepening security crisis driven by the FLA, JNIM and the Africa Corps, a Russian government-controlled paramilitary that replaced the private Wagner Group.International InvolvementMali's former colonial ruler, France, and the United Nations had deployed soldiers and peacekeepers to the country to try to control the violence by armed groups, but Bamako expelled their forces after military coups in 2020 and 2021 and is now using Russian fighters instead. Al Jazeera's Nicolas Haque, who has reported extensively from Mali, had said, according to military sources, "the fighters involved in this coordinated attack are targeting military armed compounds", adding that "there is an unprecedented level of panic" in the military ranks.Haque told Al Jazeera he learned from witnesses that Russian mercenaries were "fighting in Bamako, around the airport, where they have one of their headquarters". Alex Vines, Africa director at the European Council on Foreign Relations, told Al Jazeera that Malian authorities appear to have been caught off guard by the latest wave of attacks.

Executive Summary: 80‑Day War and Trump’s UltimatumPresident Donald Trump posted on Truth Social that Iran must act quickly or face annihilation, while Iran’s defence ministry says its military is "fully prepared" to meet any new US‑Israeli attacks. The standoff has already pushed Brent crude toward $111 per barrel and sparked a cascade of reactions from Gulf states, Israel, and European politicians.Escalation of Threats: Trump’s Warning and Iran’s Military PostureDonald Trump wrote: “For Iran, the Clock is Ticking… TIME IS OF THE ESSENCE!”Iranian Ministry of Defence spokesperson Reza Talaei‑Nik affirmed the armed forces are “fully prepared” for any new aggression.Former IRGC commander Mohsen Rezaei warned the US to lift the port blockade, signalling Tehran’s readiness for confrontation.US politicians Lindsey Graham and former congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene called for harsher strikes, heightening the risk of direct conflict.Oil Market Reaction: Brent Crude Near $111 per BarrelStalled peace talks caused Brent crude to climb to about $111 per barrel, its highest level in weeks.The price surge reflects market anxiety over potential disruptions to Iranian oil exports and broader Middle‑East supply routes.Regional Ripple Effects: Gulf States, Israel, and Global DiplomacySaudi Arabia intercepted three drones and warned of operational measures against violations of its airspace.The UAE reported two additional drone interceptions after a strike hit the Barakah Nuclear Energy Plant, though no radiological release occurred.Israel’s Channel 13 noted the arrival of US cargo planes with ammunition, and Israeli officials hinted at joining any new US strikes on Iranian energy sites.France’s Jean‑Luc Melenchon condemned “European complicity,” while Russia suggested Iran appoint a special envoy to Moscow.Outlook: Potential Scenarios for the Next WeeksIf Washington proceeds with air strikes, the conflict could expand into a broader regional war, further inflating energy prices.Diplomatic channels remain fragile; a renewed cease‑fire extension could temporarily de‑escalate but is unlikely without concrete concessions.Continued drone activity in the Gulf signals that non‑state actors may exploit the chaos, raising security challenges for Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Iraq.

The Leadership Limbo Amid all the backstabbing and plotting in Britain’s beleaguered Labour Party, one crucial fact can easily become lost in the twists and turns of the saga – embattled Prime Minister Keir Starmer has not even faced a formal challenge to his leadership yet. Instead, he is facing a slow-motion coup that could drag on for weeks, with no guarantee that the many Labour MPs who want him to be replaced as PM will succeed. In the meantime, Britain will be adrift in leadership limbo. The Pressure on Starmer Conservative Party leader Kemi Badenoch taunted Starmer last week, declaring: “The PM has shown he is in office but not in power.” This was a deliberate echo of what former chancellor Norman Lamont told Conservative Prime Minister John Major in 1993 in one of many bouts of infighting in the Tory party over the decades. The Conservatives have traditionally been far more efficient at challenging their prime ministers than Labour. Margaret Thatcher, who won three successive elections and dominated British politics in the 1980s, was forced out in 1990, and was photographed weeping as she was driven away from Downing Street. The Data Analysis Labour lost 1,498 local council seats in England on May 7, mainly to Reform and the Greens. Labour lost control of the Welsh Senedd. A YouGov poll earlier this month found Andy Burnham remains the most popular figure among Labour voters and the wider public, with a net favourability rating of +4 compared with -46 for Starmer and -28 for Wes Streeting. The Impact Analysis The differences in institutional culture and rules for a leadership challenge between the Conservatives and Labour provide part of the explanation. Labour requires 20 percent of MPs to endorse a challenger to the PM, which then triggers a leadership election decided by the party membership across the country. This means that Labour leaders can sometimes survive, despite not having the support of most of their MPs, while conversely, Conservative leaders can sometimes be toppled despite still being popular with party members and voters. The Prediction If Andy Burnham does get back into parliament, it is a virtual certainty that he will become Britain’s new prime minister. Several British newspapers have reported that, despite his public statements pledging to fight on, Starmer has privately told allies that he is listening to the voices in the party and considering setting out a timetable for leaving office. “If Andy wins Makerfield he will be carried aloft into the Westminster tearooms on the shoulders of Labour MPs,” a Labour cabinet minister was quoted as saying.

The Weekend's Football Action: Key Talking PointsThe latest round of Premier League matches and the FA Cup final provided plenty of talking points for football fans, from Manchester City's cup triumph to Liverpool's injury concerns and the ongoing VAR controversies that continue to divide opinion.Shaw's World Cup Hopes After Impressive SeasonLuke Shaw's first goal in over three years for Manchester United was a further reminder of the left-back's capabilities. This has been his best season at Old Trafford having featured in all 37 league games thus far, leaving his injury-prone past forgotten. Considering Shaw's experience and quality, he should be considered for a spot at the World Cup. Thomas Tuchel does not have a vast array of riches in the position and Shaw's consistency has been key to Michael Carrick's turnaround at Old Trafford. "He deserves to go," said Carrick after the win against Nottingham Forest. "His consistency, his performances, his experience, his qualities. He's an excellent full-back." Nico O'Reilly is the current first choice for England and he has a very different profile from Shaw, having converted from playing as a central midfielder under Pep Guardiola. Tuchel may want to take Shaw to provide variety and reliability, which would be a sensible approach.VAR Controversy Continues to Plague the GameAnother weekend of football brought another VAR controversy, this time at Old Trafford. Let's get this out of the way, it was handball. In a game with more on the line this latest VAR aberration would be hoisted up by abolitionists as another egregious example of why football is no better for the involvement of Stockley Park. "I think we need to have a meeting together to understand when it is a handball," said a measured Vítor Pereira post-match. We need a meeting to understand what good process is. Accidental handball was the final ruling; not sure that matters when it leads to a goal, but whatever. From the original incorrect decision to award the goal, it took the VAR three minutes to look at the ball clearly striking Bryan Mbeumo's hand, then another 60 seconds for the referee, Michael Salisbury, to go over to the screen and look at it again, only to ignore the referral and decide he was right the first time. That is far too long to make the wrong call. Pereira neatly summed it up with another damning understatement: "A lot of the time we don't understand the decisions."West Ham's Fight Against RelegationWhile it was hard to argue with Nuno Espírito Santo's assessment that West Ham had "a bad performance and a bad day" at St James' Park, his team are not Championship-bound just yet. Tottenham only need a point against Chelsea on Tuesday to effectively ensure their survival owing to their far superior goal difference, but they last took a point at Stamford Bridge four years ago. Their record against Chelsea is not reassuring: they have lost their past five meetings on the bounce by an aggregate scoreline of 12-4, with eight defeats from their last 10. Chelsea's players will have the added motivation of auditioning for the newly appointed Xabi Alonso, not that they need another reason to make their opponents' lives miserable. It could still easily come down to the final day, when Spurs face another difficult fixture against Everton. Nuno can only grit his teeth, hope Chelsea do his side a favour and, assuming Spurs's horrible run in west London continues, rally his troops for a desperate last stand against Leeds.Liverpool's Injury Woes ContinueAston Villa's season high represented another sobering low for Liverpool. Arne Slot's side failed to hurt Villa and were weak in defence, leaking two more goals at set pieces. Liverpool were without nine first-team players, including Alexander Isak, their £125m marquee signing who was not risked with a minor problem but could return against Brentford on the last day. Isak's season has been symptomatic of Liverpool's struggles. Is it just bad fortune or have Slot and his side simply underperformed? The truth is probably somewhere in the middle. "I don't think it could come to anyone as a surprise that if you miss your pre-season and then break your leg that minor injuries can occur if you then start into Premier League games in that intensity," Slot said. "Just a bit of bad luck for him that in a moment of time he comes back, then Hugo [Ekitiké] gets injured and we need him more."Guardiola's Warning Against ComplacencyAfter Saturday's FA Cup triumph over Chelsea, the 17th major trophy of Pep Guardiola's decade leading Manchester City, he reminded his players to never be complacent. "The most important thing is that [winning] trophies is good. Know what it takes to compete and win but don't take it for granted," the City manager said. "You start to believe that you are special, you will not win the FA Cup. Special we are not. The moment that we think [that], we will not be in these places. That is one of the things that through the years, we were OK with: knowing how difficult it is to win."Chelsea's Wembley Woes ContinueChelsea's dressing room and boardroom have been in a constant state of flux since Todd Boehly's BlueCo bought the club in 2022, but one thing has remained the same: they have a dire recent record in cup finals at Wembley. In the first decade after the stadium reopened in 2007, Chelsea won five of their six cup finals under the arch. Saturday's 1-0 defeat to Manchester City was their eighth loss in nine finals since 2017. Scoring goals at Wembley has also proven hard going, particularly since the departure of Didier Drogba (five goals in his five Wembley cup final starts). Christian Pulisic was the last Chelsea player to score in a domestic cup final, against Arsenal in front of empty stands in 2020. That's five finals in a row without a goal. It is a dry spell that can be tied to a young squad's relative lack of experience, but that argument does not stand up if you take into account the seven goals fired in against Paris Saint-Germain and Real Betis in the Club World Cup and Conference League finals just last year. Xabi Alonso is unlikely to have European football to play with next season, putting even more emphasis on Chelsea ending their Wembley drought and filling their silverware quota in domestic competitions.What's Next in the Premier League RaceWith the season drawing to a close, several key fixtures remain that could determine the final standings. Tottenham's survival hopes hinge on their match against Chelsea, while Liverpool will be hoping to end their injury-hit season on a positive note against Brentford. Manchester City, meanwhile, will be looking to build on their cup success as they continue their pursuit of more silverware in the final weeks of the season.

The Growing Threat of Business Crime in the UKUK business leaders are issuing a stark warning that crime has become an increasingly "serious barrier" to growing Britain's economy, with two-fifths of companies experiencing some form of criminal activity in the past year. The British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) is calling on the government to provide "a step change in the support businesses can count on" as businesses face rising levels of theft, fraud, and cyber-attacks.Rising Crime Statistics Across Business SectorsThe BCC's research, based on a survey of 1,411 firms, reveals that crime against businesses is widespread and growing. Key findings include:Two-fifths of companies experienced some form of crime in the past yearOne-fifth of companies faced fraud or scams21% experienced cyber-attacks50% of manufacturing companies reported business crime, making it the hardest hit sectorLarger companies are more vulnerable, with 58% of firms employing more than 250 people experiencing crime, compared to 32% of microbusinessesRetail businesses have been particularly affected by shoplifting, with police-recorded incidents rising 20% year on year to reach 516,971 offences in the year to December 2024, exceeding 530,000 by March 2025.Financial Impact on Major CompaniesThe financial consequences of business crime have been substantial, with several high-profile companies suffering significant losses. The hack of Jaguar Land Rover alone is estimated to have cost the UK economy £1.9bn, potentially making it the most costly cyber-attack in British history. Marks & Spencer took a £324m hit to profits after being forced to close its website to orders for more than six weeks following a damaging cyber-attack. Other major companies affected include the Co-op and Booking.com.Industry-Wide Consequences and Economic ImpactCrime against businesses is creating "structural barriers to growth" according to the BCC, forcing companies to divert crucial time and money away from expansion and investment. The impact spans across sectors, from retail and manufacturing to tradespeople experiencing surging tool thefts that threaten their ability to operate. As Ellis Shelton, a policy manager at the BCC, noted, "Bosses are being forced to divert crucial time and money to tackling this anchor on growth."The rising sophistication of criminal activities, particularly in cybercrime and fraud, has left many businesses struggling to keep pace with security measures, especially small and medium-sized enterprises with limited resources.Call for Government Action and Future OutlookIn response to the growing threat, the BCC has called for several specific measures from the government:Creation of a cyber-attack reporting system for companiesEstablishment of regional business crime hubs bringing together police and business crime reduction partnershipsExpansion of cyber and fraud resilience support for small and medium-sized businessesMore incentives for companies to invest in securityWithout decisive action, business crime is likely to continue hampering UK economic growth, with the most sophisticated threats potentially targeting larger companies with greater resources. The BCC's warning suggests that addressing business crime must become a priority for policymakers if the UK is to overcome this "serious barrier" to economic expansion.

The Celestial DisplayKeep an eye on the western sky after sunset this week to watch a beautiful sequence unfold over several evenings. A young crescent moon moves first past Venus and then Jupiter, creating a chance to track the moon's movement through its orbit around the Earth.The Lunar JourneyThe chart shows the view on May 18 looking west from London at 22:00. The moon will be just 2.4 days old, and just 6.2% of its visible surface will be illuminated. Close to this slim arc of light, Venus will be shining brightly, unmistakable even in twilight.Jupiter sits a little higher and dimmer, but is still prominent. Finally, dimmest of all are the stars of Gemini; the twins, Castor and Pollux. Over the next few nights, the moon moves eastward, towards Jupiter, growing in percentage illumination as the angle it makes to the sun changes night after night.Optimal Viewing ConditionsFor the best chance of seeing the alignment, choose a viewpoint with an unobstructed western horizon. The crescent moon and planets will be visible to the naked eye, but binoculars may enhance the viewing experience by revealing more details of the moon's surface and the surrounding stars.A Global PerspectiveFrom the southern hemisphere, the view will be a little easier to see. At this time of the year, the ecliptic, the path followed by the sun, moon and planets, is tilted upwards more steeply from the horizon. This will place the conjunction higher in the sky at sunset, making it more accessible for observers in southern latitudes.

Israel Resumes Airstrikes on Southern Lebanon Amid Extended Ceasefire At 02:50 UTC on May 18, 2026, the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) launched a series of missile strikes targeting positions in southern Lebanon. The operation came less than 24 hours after both sides agreed to extend a fragile ceasefire that had been in place since early May. Targeted sites: alleged Hezbollah command and logistics facilities near the town of Marjayoun. Method: precision‑guided munitions deployed from aircraft and drones. Official statements: The IDF claimed the strikes were a response to recent cross‑border fire from Hezbollah. Casualties and Military Assets Reported Both parties have been tight‑lipped about exact figures. The IDF has not released a casualty count, while Lebanese health officials have indicated that the number of injured is “still being assessed.” No civilian infrastructure was reported as destroyed, but the potential for collateral damage remains high. Regional Tensions Rise as Diplomatic Channels Stumble The renewed hostilities undermine the recent diplomatic push led by the United Nations and the United States to stabilize the Israel‑Lebanon frontier. Analysts note that: The ceasefire extension was seen as a confidence‑building measure; its breach erodes trust. Hezbollah’s political wing may face internal pressure to respond, risking a broader escalation. Neighboring countries, especially Syria and Jordan, are likely to increase security alerts along their borders. Potential Trajectory of the Israel‑Lebanon Front Looking ahead, experts outline three possible scenarios: Limited retaliation: Hezbollah conducts measured rocket fire, prompting a short‑term Israeli response and a return to negotiations. Escalation spiral: Both sides intensify attacks, drawing in regional actors and potentially expanding the conflict beyond the border. International mediation: Renewed UN or US diplomatic intervention forces a temporary halt and opens a new round of talks. For now, the situation remains fluid, and the international community is watching closely to see whether diplomatic channels can re‑establish a sustainable ceasefire before the conflict widens.

Immediate Aftermath of the Idaho Air Show CollisionEvent date: 2026-05-18Location: Idaho, United StatesAir show performances were suspended pending emergency response.Details of the Mid‑air CollisionTwo Navy aircraft collided while executing a maneuver during the show.Emergency services were dispatched to the scene immediately.Authorities have secured the area and are gathering witness statements.Quantitative Data Currently UnavailableNo official casualty figures have been released at the time of reporting.Aircraft types and exact flight paths have not been disclosed.Financial impact assessments are pending.Implications for Aviation Safety and Event ManagementThe incident underscores the need for rigorous safety reviews of public aviation displays.Regulatory bodies may revisit clearance procedures for military demonstrations at civilian venues.Event organizers could face heightened scrutiny and insurance requirements.What to Expect in the Ongoing InvestigationThe US Navy and the Federal Aviation Administration have opened a joint investigation.Preliminary reports are expected within weeks, focusing on pilot actions and mechanical integrity.Findings may influence future policy on military participation in civilian air shows.