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The ongoing conflict in Iran has led to a significant increase in oil prices, with the world's top 100 oil and gas companies reaping enormous profits. In the first month of the war, these companies banked more than $30m every hour in unearned profit, according to exclusive analysis for the Guardian. This translates to estimated windfall profits of $23bn for the month of March, with Saudi Aramco, Gazprom, and ExxonMobil among the biggest beneficiaries.The surge in oil prices to an average of $100 (£74) a barrel has resulted in a substantial increase in profits for these companies. If the oil price continues to average $100, the companies are expected to make $234bn by the end of the year. The analysis uses data from a leading intelligence provider, Rystad Energy, analysed by Global Witness.The excess profits come from the pockets of ordinary people as they pay high prices to fill up their vehicles and power their homes, as well as from businesses incurring higher energy bills. Dozens of countries have cut fuel taxes to help struggling consumers, but this has resulted in reduced revenue for public services.Pressure is growing for windfall taxes on the war profits of oil and gas companies, with the European Commission considering a request from the finance ministers of Germany, Spain, Italy, Portugal, and Austria. The ministers argue that this would help ease the burden on the general public and finance temporary relief measures.Aramco is expected to make a war profit of $25.5bn in 2026 if the oil price averages $100. This is on top of the huge profits habitually made by the majority state-owned Saudi company – $250m a day between 2016 to 2023. ExxonMobil, which has a long record of denying climate change, will take in $11bn in unearned war profits in 2026 if the $100 price endures.The impact of the Iran war is likely to be long lasting, with the head of the International Energy Agency, Fatih Birol, describing it as the biggest shock ever to the global energy market. The UN's climate chief, Simon Stiell, warned that fossil fuel dependency is ripping away national security and sovereignty, and replacing it with subservience and rising costs.

The UK government is facing pressure to increase its military budget to ensure national security during a period of global volatility. A Treasury minister has argued that balancing welfare and defence spending is not a zero-sum game, suggesting that it is possible to increase investment in both areas.James Murray, the chancellor's deputy, stated that the government is committed to the biggest sustained increase in defence investments since the cold war. However, he did not provide a timeline for the publication of the delayed defence investment plan.Former defence secretary and head of Nato, George Robertson, has accused the Treasury of 'vandalism' for not sufficiently boosting the armed forces. He suggested that defence should be prioritized over welfare spending, warning that the UK cannot defend itself with an ever-expanding welfare budget.The government has committed to reaching 2.5% of GDP on defence from April next year and 3% in the next parliament. However, military chiefs believe there is still a £28bn shortfall after years of the armed forces being hollowed out by successive administrations.Murray countered Robertson's views, stating that the welfare system is not a fixed entity and includes targeted measures like the removal of the two-child benefit cap, which helps hundreds of thousands of children out of poverty.The debate over public spending cuts to fund defence has sparked an angry reaction on the left, with veteran MP Diane Abbott accusing Robertson of prioritizing 'guns over butter' and warning that such an approach could cost Labour votes.

Cuba is on the brink of transforming its energy landscape with a bold plan to invest $8bn in renewable energy, which could reduce its reliance on fossil fuels and pave the way for energy independence from the US. The proposal, put forth by the Common Wealth thinktank's Transition Security Project (TSP), suggests that this investment could cover 93.4% of Cuba's electricity generation needs.The US has imposed a crippling energy blockade on Cuba, severely limiting the island nation's access to oil. Since January, Cuba has received only one shipment of oil, from Russia, and its national electric grid has collapsed, leading to repeated blackouts and widespread disruptions.The TSP analysis outlines four different scenarios for Cuba's transition to renewable energy, with costs ranging from $5bn to $19.2bn. The most ambitious proposal would see three-quarters of electricity generation provided by solar power, with wind, hydropower, and bioenergy making up the remainder.The report argues that electricity costs would decrease in every renewable investment scenario, with the cost per unit of energy falling from 14.3¢ per kWh in the baseline scenario to 6.5¢ with $8bn of investment. The transition would require a society-wide transformation, but Cuba has demonstrated its ability to adapt in the past, such as its rapid shift to agroecology and self-sufficiency in the 1990s.The question remains: who would pay for this transition? The report suggests that financing should be understood as "reparative climate finance", with Cubans able to pay back investments through savings on cheaper energy. The transformation would not only benefit Cuba but also set an important example of a rapid energy transition under conditions of external constraint.

The British foreign secretary, Yvette Cooper, will urge Sudan's warring parties to 'cease bloodshed' during a major conference on Wednesday, which analysts believe is unlikely to deliver a significant step towards peace.The talks in Berlin – held on the third anniversary of the start of Sudan's ruinous war – are expected to help address a catastrophic funding shortfall that is compounding the world's worst humanitarian crisis.Overall, just 16% of the humanitarian funding needed for Sudan this year has been provided by the international community as the crisis in Iran continues to dominate diplomatic channels.Britain is among the countries attending the conference that are set to announce new funding for Sudan. Cooper will unveil a doubling of UK aid to £15m for Sudanese frontline responders such as the grassroots volunteer network known as Emergency Response Rooms.With the war now entering its fourth year, and with no sign of hostilities abating between the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese army, latest assessments indicate more than 19 million people face acute hunger as a result of the fighting, while some areas are at risk of famine.The latest assessment from the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) found 'emergency' levels of hunger across much of North Kordofan, West Kordofan, South Kordofan and North Darfur, while levels in some communities remained 'catastrophic'.It added that emergency levels of hunger were expected to spread over the coming months and that the number of people needing humanitarian aid was expected to reach 22-23 million.Despite the scale of the suffering, Cooper hopes that an end to the fighting is achievable. 'Today, in Berlin, I will call for the international community to join in a shared resolve: to secure a ceasefire and a diplomatic solution, to stop the suffering, and allow the people of Sudan to determine their own peaceful future,' she said.

The United States' recent move to impose a naval blockade on Iran is poised to intensify the ongoing global energy crisis. By restricting Iran's ability to export oil, the blockade could further tighten an already constrained supply chain, potentially pushing oil prices higher and increasing volatility in international markets. Analysts warn that the measure may have ripple effects beyond the Middle East, affecting nations that rely on Iranian crude to meet domestic demand. With global fuel inventories already low, any additional disruption could heighten inflationary pressures and strain economies still recovering from recent shocks. While the blockade aims to achieve strategic objectives, its broader economic implications underscore the delicate balance between geopolitical actions and energy security. Stakeholders across the energy sector are closely monitoring the situation, anticipating possible policy responses to mitigate the impact on consumers and industries worldwide.

A tragic incident unfolded in Gaza after an Israeli strike hit a police car, claiming the life of a child. The event has sparked concern over the ongoing conflict in the region.The airstrike, which occurred on April 14, 2026, has raised questions about the safety and security of civilians in Gaza. Details about the circumstances surrounding the strike and the child's identity have not been disclosed.The incident is a stark reminder of the humanitarian crisis unfolding in Gaza, with civilians often caught in the crossfire of the conflict. International efforts to broker peace and provide humanitarian aid continue amidst the escalating tensions.

The Israeli ambassador publicly declared that Lebanon aims to be liberated from Hezbollah, suggesting a shift in the country's internal power balance. While the ambassador did not provide detailed evidence, the remark underscores ongoing tensions between Israel and Hezbollah‑dominated factions in Lebanon.Analysts note that such a statement may influence diplomatic engagements, potentially prompting both Israeli and Lebanese officials to reassess their strategies in the volatile Levant region. If Lebanon indeed pursues a path away from Hezbollah's dominance, it could open avenues for new political alignments and affect security calculations across the Middle East.

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has expressed hope that talks on the Iran war are likely to restart, indicating a potential breakthrough in diplomatic negotiations. The development comes as global powers continue to navigate complex geopolitical dynamics in the region.Guterres' statement suggests a renewed commitment to finding a peaceful resolution to the conflict, which has significant implications for regional stability and global security. The UN chief's optimism about restarting talks underscores the importance of diplomatic engagement in addressing the crisis.

Approximately 250 Rohingya refugees and Bangladeshi nationals are now unaccounted for following the capsizing of an overcrowded vessel in the Andaman Sea, the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) announced on Tuesday. The boat, packed with men, women and children, succumbed to heavy winds, rough seas and severe overcrowding, according to the UNHCR statement. The disaster underscores the perilous journeys many Rohingya undertake to escape persecution in Myanmar. Bangladesh Coast Guard (BCG) officials reported that a patrol ship en route to Indonesia rescued nine individuals on April 9, including one woman. Lieutenant Commander Sabbir Alam Sujan described how the crew spotted survivors clinging to drums and logs and pulled them from deep water. Among the rescued, six have been identified as alleged traffickers and are now in police custody, as reported by the Andalou news agency. Survivor testimony paints a grim picture. Rafiqul Islam, who was lured onto the boat with promises of employment in Malaysia, recounted that passengers were confined in a holding area where some died. He said the vessel leaked oil, causing burns, and that it drifted for four days before capsizing. "We floated for nearly 36 hours before a ship rescued us," he said, estimating that 25 to 30 people died from suffocation and the crush of overcrowding. The UNHCR warned that the tragedy reflects the "dire consequences of protracted displacement and the absence of durable solutions for the Rohingya." With the Andaman Sea bordering Myanmar, Thailand and the Malay Peninsula, the region remains a hazardous corridor for smuggling networks. Malaysia continues to be a favored destination for Rohingya migrants, drawn by its Muslim-majority population and existing diaspora. However, the journey often involves dangerous sea voyages facilitated by traffickers. Since the 2017 military offensive in Myanmar that forced over 730,000 Rohingya into Bangladesh, thousands have risked their lives each year to flee ongoing violence, repression and the lack of safe, legal pathways. International observers stress that without coordinated regional action and stronger protection mechanisms, such maritime disasters are likely to recur, compounding the humanitarian crisis and destabilizing coastal security.