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World Economy Apr 08, 2026

Trump‑Brokered Two‑Week Iran Ceasefire Triggers 15% Oil Collapse and Global Stock Rally

A conditional two‑week ceasefire between the United States and Iran announced by President Trump se…
Oil markets experienced a dramatic correction on Wednesday, with Brent crude falling 13.9% to $94.10 per barrel and U.S. WTI futures sliding almost 16% to $95, marking the steepest daily percentage drop since the COVID‑19 crash of April 2020. Despite the plunge, prices remain well above pre‑conflict levels, when Brent traded below $73.The price shock followed President Donald Trump's announcement of a two‑week, conditional ceasefire with Iran, contingent on Tehran reopening the strategic Strait of Hormuz for oil tankers. Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, confirmed the strait would be managed by the Iranian military during the grace period, while Iran’s national security council accepted the ceasefire on the condition that U.S. attacks be halted.Equity markets reacted positively. The pan‑European Stoxx 600 surged 4%, its biggest one‑day gain in over four years. In the UK, the FTSE 100 climbed nearly 3% to 10,646 points, its highest level since the early days of the Iran war. Travel and leisure stocks led the rally, with Air France up 14.5%, Lufthansa +11%, IAG +9.5% and TUI +12%.Oil majors were the notable laggards; BP and Shell each lost more than 5% as investors priced in continued supply uncertainty. Asian markets also posted strong gains: Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose over 5%, Australia’s S&P;/ASX 200 jumped 2.55%, South Korea’s Kospi surged 7.5%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added 3.1% and China’s CSI300 climbed 3.2%.Bond yields eased on the ceasefire news. The U.S. 10‑year Treasury yield fell to 4.24% from 4.30%, while the UK 10‑year gilt slipped to 4.7% from 4.9%.Safe‑haven assets rallied as well: gold rose more than 2% to $4,812 per ounce, and cryptocurrencies recovered, with Bitcoin up 2.9% to $71,327 and Ether gaining 5.6% to $2,234.Market strategists emphasized the provisional nature of the relief. Jim Reid, Deutsche Bank markets strategist, warned that “investors will be breathing a big sigh of relief, but the durability of the ceasefire remains the key risk.” He noted ongoing Israeli‑Iran strikes and unclear extensions to Lebanon could reignite volatility.Energy analyst Saul Kavonic (MST Financial) described the pause as “an off‑ramp for Trump’s bombastic ultimatum, but not yet an off‑ramp for oil markets or the war.” He expects a limited release of tankers from Hormuz in May, which would ease storage pressure without boosting production.Capital Economics chief economist Neil Shearing highlighted potential transit fees for Hormuz passage, estimating a $1‑2 million charge per tanker—equivalent to roughly $1 per barrel—would have a modest effect on global oil prices but could signal a de‑facto partial nationalisation of the route.TD Securities senior strategist Prashant Newnaha cautioned that “renewed escalation cannot be ruled out, but markets are treating this ceasefire as the real deal, and all parties will sell it as a major win.” He added that oil prices are unlikely to revert to pre‑war levels, keeping inflationary pressures alive.Earlier in the week, U.S. equities swung sharply, with the S&P; 500 dipping 1.2% before rebounding after Pakistan’s prime minister urged Trump to extend the deadline and keep the strait open.The conflict, which began after the U.S. and Israel struck Iranian targets in late February, has choked the Strait of Hormuz—through which about 20% of global oil and LNG supplies flow—fueling a worldwide energy crunch.
#oil #ceasefire #iran
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Us News Apr 08, 2026

Trump Calls Off Threats, Announces Two‑Week Iran Ceasefire as US Leaders Clash Over War Powers

President Donald Trump halted a looming attack on Iran by announcing a provisional two‑week ceasefi…
Political leaders across Washington breathed a collective sigh of relief on Tuesday evening when President Donald Trump announced a provisional two‑week ceasefire with Iran, ending a 24‑hour standoff that had seen him threaten to annihilate Iran’s “whole civilization” if Tehran failed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz by his self‑imposed deadline.The ceasefire declaration arrived just 90 minutes before the 8 p.m. ET deadline at which Trump had pledged to bomb Iranian power plants and bridges – a move scholars warned would constitute a war crime. A last‑minute diplomatic push by Pakistan persuaded the president to suspend the ultimatum, buying a narrow window for de‑escalation.In a post on Tuesday night, Trump wrote: “Subject to the Islamic Republic of Iran agreeing to the COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING of the Strait of Hormuz, I agree to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks.”Iran’s foreign minister quickly responded, stating that the strait would remain open for the next fourteen days under Iranian military management, effectively meeting the condition set by the United States.The president’s earlier warning – that a “whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again” – drew swift condemnation from Democrats, longtime allies who have broken with Trump over the crisis, and even Pope Francis, the first American pontiff.Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer labeled Trump’s retreat as “desperately searching for any sort of exit ramp from his ridiculous bluster,” adding that the president had previously been called “an extremely sick person” waging a “wanton war of choice.”House Democrats, including former Speaker Nancy Pelosi, called for Trump’s removal via impeachment or the 25th Amendment, arguing that his conduct amounted to a threat of genocide against the Iranian people. Progressive Representative Alexandria Ocasio‑Cortez echoed this sentiment, saying the two‑week deal “changes nothing” and urging Congress to act.House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries described Trump’s behavior as “unhinged, unpresidential and unconscionable,” and warned that the American public “strongly opposes this reckless war of choice.” He announced that Democrats would push Speaker Mike Johnson to reconvene the House and move a war‑powers resolution to secure a permanent end to hostilities.Republican reactions were more nuanced. Senator Rick Scott praised the ceasefire as “a strong first step toward holding Iran accountable,” while Senator Lindsey Graham expressed hope that diplomacy could “end the reign of terror of the Iranian regime,” cautioning that Iran should not be rewarded for its earlier attacks on the strait.Conversely, Rep. Dan Crenshaw, a Texas Republican known for breaking with Trump, dismissed critics as “pearl‑clutching,” arguing that the president’s “language of POWER” is what adversaries understand, and that diplomatic niceties alone achieve little.The episode underscores a volatile moment in US‑Iran relations, where a single diplomatic pivot averted an imminent escalation, yet left Congress divided over the president’s authority to wage war and the need for a lasting legislative solution.
#iran #ceasefire #pakistan
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News Apr 08, 2026

Trump Halts Iran Bombing Plan for Two Weeks After Pakistan-Mediated Talks

US President Donald Trump has suspended a planned bombing of Iran for two weeks following mediation…
US President Donald Trump has suspended a planned bombing of Iran for two weeks following mediation by Pakistan. The decision was announced on Tuesday evening, hours before the planned attack.Trump took to his social media platform Truth Social to reveal that, based on conversations with Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir, he had agreed to hold off the attack on the condition that Iran re-open the Strait of Hormuz.“Based on conversations with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir, of Pakistan, and wherein they requested that I hold off the destructive force being sent tonight to Iran, and subject to the Islamic Republic of Iran agreeing to the COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING of the Strait of Hormuz, I agree to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks,” Trump wrote.The announcement came just under one and a half hours before Trump’s 8pm (00:00 GMT) deadline for the attack. Earlier in the day, Trump had posted a menacing message on social media, stating, “A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again. I don’t want that to happen, but it probably will.”Trump claimed victory against Iran, stating that Tehran had delivered a feasible ceasefire proposal. He described it as a “double sided CEASEFIRE” and mentioned that the US had “already met and exceeded all Military objectives.”Despite the temporary halt, it remains unclear to what extent Trump will pursue his military offensive, which had previously included threats to target power plants, bridges, and other civilian infrastructure.
#trump #iran #his
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News Apr 08, 2026

Iranian Embassies Flood Social Media with Satire After Trump's Threat to Bomb Iranian Infrastructure

After President Donald Trump's profane ultimatum to open the Strait of Hormuz or face attacks on Ir…
On April 5, 2026, President Donald Trump posted a vulgar warning on Truth Social and X, demanding that Iran "open the f****** Strait" or face the bombing of its bridges and power plants. The post, framed as a blend of threats and profanity, raised global concerns because the Strait of Hormuz is a critical oil chokepoint. Rather than replying in kind, Iranian diplomatic missions across continents responded with a wave of sarcasm and satire. Embassies from London to Pretoria, New Delhi to Moscow, used short quips, memes, and literary references to ridicule the president’s language and question his mental fitness. The most viral exchange began when the Iranian embassy in Zimbabwe replied on X, "We've lost the keys," to Trump’s demand to open the Strait. The joke quickly spread: the South African mission added, "Shh… the key’s under the flowerpot. Just open for friends," while the embassy in Bulgaria referenced the late convicted pedophile Jeffrey Epstein, writing, "Doors open for friends. Epstein’s friends need keys." These posts coincided with renewed speculation about the Epstein files. Political rivals have suggested that Trump’s aggressive stance serves to distract from the release of millions of documents linking billionaires, academics and politicians to Epstein. Although Trump appears in the files, he denies any wrongdoing, claiming he cut ties with Epstein decades ago. Complicating the political backdrop, U.S. Attorney General Pam Bondi, who oversaw the Epstein investigation, was removed from office on April 2. Analysts argue her dismissal reflected growing pressure on the administration over the handling of the files. Many Iranian missions seized the moment to invoke the 25th Amendment, Section 4, urging U.S. officials to consider removing a president deemed mentally unfit. The South African embassy shared a post by broadcaster Piers Morgan calling Trump’s tweet "embarrassing" and suggesting he had "lost his marbles," and added, "Humanity must know what kind of creatures are leading the American people." Similar sentiments were echoed by the Tajikistan and London missions, the latter posting a Rumi poem about a madman wielding a sword alongside a Mark Twain quote warning against reckless speech. Other embassies took a more direct tone. The Indian mission labeled Trump a "sore loser brats" and urged him to "get a grip," while the Austrian embassy overlaid an "18+" warning on a screenshot of the president’s post, condemning the threats as a potential "War Crime" against civilian infrastructure. Visual satire also featured prominently. In Berlin, the Iranian embassy shared a Der Spiegel cartoon depicting Trump staring into a mirror, imagining himself as an emperor. In Moscow, a Russian illustration portrayed Trump as a delusional Don Quixote charging at a windmill, with a sidekick shouting, "Boss, it’s just a windmill!" All of this digital mockery unfolds as the Middle East braces for Trump’s self‑imposed deadline to reopen the strategic Strait of Hormuz early Wednesday, local time. While geopolitical tensions rise, Iranian diplomatic posts continue to turn the president’s incendiary rhetoric into a global social‑media spectacle, one sarcastic tweet at a time.
#trump #iranian #embassy
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News Apr 08, 2026

Trump vows to wipe out Iran’s civilization if Strait of Hormuz stays closed, prompting bipartisan backlash

President Donald Trump warned that Iran’s civilization could be annihilated if Tehran does not reop…
President Donald Trump issued a stark warning that the United States would eradicate Iran’s “civilisation” unless the regime reopens the Strait of Hormuz and complies with his demands. The statement, posted on his Truth Social account less than twelve hours before the self‑imposed deadline, declared that a whole civilisation could die “tonight, never to be brought back again.” Trump set the cutoff for compliance at 8 p.m. Washington time (00:00 GMT) on Tuesday, framing the moment as a decisive point in what he called a long‑standing struggle against Iranian extortion and corruption. For more than two weeks, the president has threatened to strike Iran’s civilian infrastructure—bridges, power stations, roads and other non‑military assets—if his terms are not met. Legal analysts have warned that such actions would constitute a war crime under international law. “It’s horrific. It’s pure evil. It’s disqualifying,” said Yasmine Taeb, legislative and political director of MPower Change Action Fund, condemning the president’s rhetoric as that of “a deranged, unstable madman.” She called for a stronger response from both U.S. lawmakers and the global community. Democratic leaders reacted forcefully. Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer labeled Trump “an extremely sick person,” while House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries urged Republican colleagues to “put patriotic duty over party and stop the madness,” warning that the conflict could spiral into a world war. Representative Rashida Tlaib suggested invoking the 25th Amendment to remove Trump, citing the recent bombing of a school in Minab that killed over 170 children. Congressional attempts to curb the president’s war powers have stalled; a recent resolution to limit his authority failed to pass, leaving the legal basis for the campaign in question. Critics argue that launching a military operation without congressional approval violates the U.S. Constitution, which reserves the declaration of war to Congress. Republican reactions were muted. Representative Mike Lawler downplayed the threat, stating that any strikes would target only Iran’s energy and civilian infrastructure to cripple the regime’s economy, and affirmed that Trump is acting within his constitutional authority as commander‑in‑chief. The conflict, which began on February 28 when the United States and Israel allegedly killed Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and other senior officials, has already claimed more than 2,000 lives, including civilians in schools, residential blocks and medical facilities. Iran’s retaliatory rocket and drone attacks have hit Israeli and U.S. assets across the Middle East, while Iranian forces have blocked the Strait of Hormuz, driving global energy prices higher. Despite the heavy toll, Iran’s governing structure appears intact, bolstered by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, designated by the United States as a terrorist organization. No major defections or anti‑government protests have emerged, and Khamenei’s son, Mojtaba Khamenei, has assumed a leading role. Trump, while maintaining a hardline stance, left a narrow window for diplomacy, suggesting that “maybe something revolutionary wonderful can happen.” He framed the deadline as “one of the most important moments in the long and complex history of the world,” promising that “47 years of extortion, corruption, and death will finally end.” Vice President J.D. Vance echoed the president’s message, warning Iran that the United States possesses additional, undisclosed tools and will employ them if Tehran does not alter its conduct, emphasizing the U.S. desire for free flow of oil and gas.
#trump #iran #war
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World Economy Apr 08, 2026

US-China Economic Stability to be Key Focus in Trump-Xi Meeting

The United States and China are aiming to maintain stability in their economic and trade relationsh…
The United States and China have settled into a stable economic situation, with the US able to access Chinese rare earth minerals and maintain substantial tariffs on Chinese goods. US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer stated that the goal of the upcoming meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping is to maintain this stability.Greer emphasized that the US is not seeking massive confrontation with China, but rather a stable relationship that allows for continued access to critical minerals. The two countries have been discussing issues related to rare earths, including minerals that pass through third countries before reaching the US.The Trump-Xi summit, postponed from March to mid-May due to the US-Israel war on Iran, will also address the formation of a board of trade mechanism to determine sustainable trade between the two countries. Additionally, there have been discussions about a possible board of investment to address discrete issues related to investments.The US is also working on plurilateral agreements to boost alternative supplies of critical minerals, but these need price floor mechanisms to protect production from potential future predatory price cuts by China. Greer noted that the US and China are working to resolve the rare earths issue at the ministerial and staff levels, hoping to avoid bringing it up at the leaders' meeting.
#greer #chinese #rare
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News Apr 08, 2026

Pakistan Pleads with Trump for Two‑Week Extension on Iran Deal and Urges Tehran to Reopen Hormuz Strait

Pakistan’s prime minister appealed to President Donald Trump for a two‑week extension on the deadli…
In an urgent 11‑hour appeal posted on X, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif asked U.S. President Donald Trump to push back the deadline for his proposed Iran deal by two weeks. Sharif also called on Tehran to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz for the same period, framing the move as a goodwill gesture that could bolster ongoing diplomatic talks aimed at ending the U.S.–Israeli war on Iran. Sharif wrote that “Diplomatic efforts for peaceful settlement of the ongoing war in the Middle East are progressing steadily, strongly and powerfully with the potential to lead to substantive results in the near future,” and added that a temporary cease‑fire across the region would give negotiations a chance to succeed. The White House, through press secretary Karoline Leavitt, confirmed that President Trump is aware of Pakistan’s proposal and that an official response will be forthcoming. Meanwhile, a senior Iranian official told Reuters that Tehran is “positively reviewing” the request. Trump has intensified his rhetoric, warning on Truth Social that the United States would “destroy the Iranian civilization” if Tehran does not fully open the Strait of Hormuz and comply with his terms. Iran has responded by nearly halting maritime traffic through the waterway, which carries about one‑fifth of the world’s oil and LNG shipments, as retaliation for recent U.S.–Israeli strikes on Iranian soil. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps warned it would not hesitate to strike back if U.S. forces target civilian facilities. In parallel, Israel has launched attacks on Iranian railways and bridges, while Iranian forces have struck targets in Bahrain, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. A Pakistani source speaking to Al Jazeera noted that “we’re at a dangerous escalation, but the possibility of diplomacy can’t be ruled out till the last minute,” emphasizing Islamabad’s commitment to keeping all diplomatic channels open despite internal opposition. Legal experts have warned that Trump’s threats to target civilian infrastructure could amount to a war crime. Yale University professor and U.S. legal scholar Oona Hathaway warned that any such action would become “exhibit A” in future war‑crimes tribunals, noting that there is no statute of limitations for these offenses. As the deadline looms, the international community watches to see whether Trump will grant the requested extension, whether Iran will reopen the strategic strait, and whether diplomatic momentum can translate into a lasting cease‑fire in the volatile Middle East.
#iran #trump #war
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Politics Apr 07, 2026

Israel Warns Iranians Against Train Travel as Trump’s Strait of Hormuz Deadline Approaches, Prompting Regional Infrastructure Shutdowns

Israel’s military has cautioned Iranians to avoid trains and railways, signaling possible strikes b…
Israel’s armed forces posted a stark warning on X, urging Iranians to refrain from using trains or approaching railway lines until 21:00 Iran time (17:30 GMT). The message, issued on the military’s Persian‑language account, framed the advisory as a safety measure, hinting at imminent strikes on civilian rail infrastructure before U.S. President Donald Trump’s deadline to reopen the Strait of Hormuz lapses. Trump has publicly threatened to bomb Iran’s bridges and power plants if the strategic waterway remains closed, setting a deadline of Tuesday 8 p.m. EST (01:00 GMT Wednesday). In response, Tehran has pledged “devastating” retaliation against any attacks on its civilian targets. Recent Israeli air operations have intensified. New strikes hit Tehran’s residential districts and a nearby synagogue, and a petrochemical facility on Iran’s side of the South Pars gasfield—shared with Qatar—was also targeted. According to Iran’s Ministry of Health, the conflict, which began on 28 February, has claimed at least 2,076 Iranian lives over more than five weeks. Amid the escalating rhetoric, the King Fahd Causeway linking Saudi Arabia and Bahrain was suspended as a precaution against potential Iranian attacks on Saudi Arabia’s Eastern Province. The 25 km (16 mi) bridge is the sole road link for Bahrain, which hosts the U.S. Navy’s 5th Fleet. Gulf states report heightened alert levels: alarms sounded in Bahrain and the UAE, and the Saudi Ministry of Defense said it intercepted seven ballistic missiles in its eastern sector. Al Jazeera’s correspondent noted that the Gulf region has borne the brunt of the conflict. On the diplomatic front, the UN Security Council is slated to vote on a watered‑down resolution aimed at unblocking the Strait of Hormuz. The draft, seen by AFP, omits any language authorising force, but Russia and China retain the power to veto. Iran’s blockade has already rattled global energy markets, driving oil and gas prices to record highs and forcing nations to adopt austerity measures. Analysts such as Trita Parsi, vice‑president of the Quincy Institute, argue that President Trump retains the flexibility to extend the deadline without losing credibility, given his historically limited diplomatic leverage. As the deadline looms, the convergence of military warnings, infrastructure closures, and diplomatic maneuvering highlights the fragile balance between coercive pressure and the risk of broader regional escalation.
#Israel Defense Forces #Iran #Strait of Hormuz
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Politics Apr 07, 2026

Australian Ex‑Special Forces Officer Ben Roberts‑Smith Charged with Five Afghanistan War Crimes

Former Australian special‑forces soldier Ben Roberts‑Smith was arrested at Sydney Airport and faces…
Ben Roberts‑Smith, a former Australian special‑forces operative, was taken into custody at Sydney Airport on Tuesday after the Australian Federal Police (AFP) announced he faces five separate war‑crime counts linked to the killing of five individuals in Afghanistan from 2009 to 2012. The charges, each punishable by life imprisonment, allege that the victims were unarmed civilians who were not engaged in hostilities at the time of their deaths. AFP Commissioner Krissy Barrett told reporters that the prosecution will argue the victims were shot either directly by Roberts‑Smith or by subordinates acting on his orders while he was present. Barrett emphasized that the accusations stem from a "complex" investigation conducted jointly by the AFP and the Office of the Special Investigator, a probe that began in 2021. The New South Wales Local Court has scheduled a bail hearing for Roberts‑Smith on Wednesday, where he will appear before a magistrate. This arrest follows a high‑profile legal defeat for Roberts‑Smith: an Australian judge in 2023 ruled that journalists who reported he was "complicit in and responsible for the murder" of unarmed Afghan men had not defamed him, a decision upheld by the Full Court of the Federal Court in May of the previous year. Rawan Arraf, executive director of the Australian Centre for International Justice, described the development as a "significant and long‑awaited step for victims and affected communities" in Afghanistan. She added that prosecuting alleged war crimes by Australian special‑forces personnel is essential for delivering justice and for Australia to meet its international law obligations. Since the 2001 NATO‑led intervention, roughly 39,000 Australian soldiers have served in Afghanistan, supporting operations against the Taliban and other armed groups. Roberts‑Smith, who previously received the Victoria Cross for his fifth tour, was regarded as the most‑decorated living Australian war veteran before the charges. The case also revives attention on former army lawyer David McBride, who remains incarcerated for disclosing information about alleged Australian war crimes in Afghanistan. In response to Roberts‑Smith’s arrest, Senator David Shoebridge posted a brief message on X urging the release of McBride.
#Ben Roberts‑Smith #Australian Defence Force #Afghanistan War
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