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The Economic Crisis in War-Torn LebanonBeirut, Lebanon – Mario Habib, a 51-year-old barber who opened his shop in 2006 just before war broke out between Israel and Hezbollah, is now living through another conflict. Twenty years later, his business in Furn el-Shebbak neighborhood is struggling as Lebanon's economy deteriorates under the weight of renewed war and global fuel crisis. "The price of running the generator is killing me," Habib said. "Everything has gotten more expensive, the price of petrol doubled, the supermarket is more expensive, even the products [I use for my business] got more expensive."Regional Conflict Disrupts Fuel Supplies and Economic GrowthIsrael's war on Lebanon and the broader US-Israel war on Iran are severely damaging Lebanon's fragile economy. Supply issues have particularly affected oil from the Gulf region, which has largely stopped flowing since the US and Iran blockaded the Strait of Hormuz. In Lebanon, which was already suffering from a severe economic crisis, there is less work and people are losing their jobs at an alarming rate.Despite Lebanon's government expressing optimism about the country's economy in 2025, with the World Bank recording a modest 3.5 percent GDP growth that year, the renewed conflict has erased those gains. In March 2026, inflation reached an 18-month high in Lebanon. Lebanon's Bank Audi now predicts that there will be 0 percent GDP growth in 2026 if the war continues.Economic Indicators Show Deteriorating ConditionsInflation reached an 18-month high in March 2026Bank Audi projects 0% GDP growth for 2026 if war continuesLebanon had recorded 3.5% GDP growth in 2025Reconstruction and recovery costs estimated at $11bn by World BankWar-related losses in 2026 estimated at $3bn (with more expected)Oil prices have increased approximately 65% since MarchCompounding Crises Create Perfect Economic StormLebanon's current economic crisis is not solely the result of recent conflicts. The country has been facing multiple compounding crises for years:2019: Financial mismanagement led to a banking crisis, cutting people off from their savings2020: Beirut port explosion killed 218 people and devastated infrastructure2021-2022: Worsening state services and mass emigration2023-2024: Hezbollah-Israel war displaced thousands of Lebanese2024: Israel intensified attacks, displacing more than one million people2026: Renewed Israeli attacks have displaced over 1.2 million people"This is a war that comes after a war," said Sami Zoughaib, an economist and research manager at The Policy Institute, a Beirut-based think tank. "It comes after institutional collapse. It comes after one of the worst financial crises in history."Societal Impact and Economic VulnerabilityThe economic crisis is disproportionately affecting Lebanon's most vulnerable populations. According to the World Bank, agriculture, commerce, and tourism—sectors accounting for 77 percent of economic losses—are key income sources for low-wage and informal workers now at significant risk.Remittances, which were approximately $6.6bn in 2023, are expected to drop significantly in 2026 due to rising oil prices. The 65% increase in oil prices since March particularly affects remittances from Gulf countries, which are crucial to Lebanon's economy.The displacement crisis has mostly impacted Lebanon's Shia community, from which Hezbollah draws its support. However, economists warn that the economic fallout could exacerbate societal divisions, with political elites potentially scapegoating displaced people for the country's economic problems—a pattern seen in the past with Syrians and Palestinians.Future Outlook: Economic Collapse or Recovery?Should the current pattern of conflict continue, Lebanon's economy could soon become unviable, with many investors deciding that opening or operating businesses is not worth the potential returns. The impact has been felt across the country, with no community left untouched by the economic consequences of war.While some areas have been hit harder than others, economist Sami Zoughaib warns that Lebanon may be reaching a point of no return. "That is, for me, very dangerous," Zoughaib said, referring to the potential for political elites to exploit economic divisions for their own gain.For ordinary Lebanese citizens like Mario Habib, the immediate concern is survival. Despite rising costs and reduced business, Habib refuses to raise his prices. "I always prefer that the person who comes here is comfortable," he said. "A lot of things are more expensive, but I prefer to be conservative on this. I feel like if you come to me, you want to be happy and relaxed."

Executive Summary: A Misfire in Netflix’s Nostalgia PushThe streaming giant Netflix has revived a dated British comedy formula with *Ladies First*, but the Guardian finds the result an excruciatingly unfunny, high‑concept experiment that wastes the star power of Rosamund Pike and Sacha Baron Cohen.Plot Premise and Critical ReceptionThe film imagines a world where gender roles are reversed: the protagonist Damien Sachs (played by Sacha Baron Cohen) wakes up to find women dominating the workplace while men struggle for relevance. Rosamund Pike portrays a ruthless executive version of her character, yet even her performance cannot rescue the script, which the reviewer describes as a “criminal waste of talent.”Runtime and Production ContextAt a brief 84‑minute length, the movie attempts to pack a “what‑if” scenario alongside references to other gender‑swap comedies such as *I Feel Pretty* and *Isn’t It Romantic*. The review notes that the film is a remake of a French comedy, highlighting Netflix’s strategy of repurposing existing IP rather than investing in original, high‑quality content.Implications for Netflix’s Comedy PortfolioThe negative appraisal suggests that Netflix’s reliance on nostalgic, low‑budget comedies may erode its reputation for delivering fresh, engaging humor. By prioritising cheap concepts over substantive storytelling, the streamer risks alienating both talent and audiences seeking smarter satire.Future Outlook for Gender‑Satire FilmsGiven the film’s failure to blend humor with insightful commentary on workplace gender dynamics, the review predicts a cautious approach from studios and streaming platforms when green‑lighting similar gender‑swap premises. Success will likely depend on sharper writing and more nuanced performances rather than repetitive, one‑joke setups.

The Unlikely Union of Mabe Fratti and Bill Orcutt This dreamlike, intimate album unites one of experimental music's current stars with one of its most prolific veterans. During an interview promoting 2024's acclaimed Sentir Que No Sabes, 34-year-old Guatemalan cellist Mabe Fratti praised Bill Orcutt, the 64-year-old US guitarist whose disjointed, aggressive four-string playing – honed in 90s noise-rock band Harry Pussy – graces more than 100 records. Orcutt reached out, and they started sharing files. While their friendship is new, Almost Waking reveals a deep kinship between these true originals. The Album's Conversational Duets The album centres on conversational duets between Fratti's cello and Orcutt's guitar. On the overdriven Forced & Forced & Forced, Orcutt's trademark string-snapping plucking is matched by Fratti's fragmented, agitated bow-scraping. Just as both players can wrestle with their instruments, they know how to make them feel like voices. On Steps of the Sun, the cello and guitar harmonise tenderly and take turns as lead, performed with the complex phrasing and dynamism of a sung duet. Vocal Appearances and Musical Chemistry Fratti's soaring vocals appear on two tracks. El Inicio Es Cuestión De Suerte is a stately ballad set to a looping guitar melody, while Todo Puede Ser Error has more showmanship, featuring a jangling Orcutt solo. If the instrumentals reveal how naturally Fratti fits in Orcutt's spidery world – her lusher, warped art-pop shaped by the same fragmentation – these tracks prove his adversarial style can work in more melodic settings. While Almost Waking feels like an aside for Fratti and Orcutt, both are reframed in this wonderfully alive-sounding album.

The Childcare Crisis in BritainThe number of childminders in England has roughly halved over the past decade, with many citing rising costs, low pay and increasing paperwork as reasons for leaving the profession. Campaigners warn the decline is making it harder for families to find flexible and affordable childcare.Seeking Parent ExperiencesWe want to hear from parents and carers whose childminder has recently closed their business, stopped accepting certain age groups such those over three-year-olds or reduced the number of children they look after.Impact on FamiliesHow did it affect your family? Did you struggle to find alternative childcare? Have you been forced to move your child into a nursery setting despite feeling they were better suited to a smaller, home-from-home environment?Share Your StoryThe Guardian is collecting experiences from parents affected by the decline in childminding services. If you're 18 or over, you can share your story anonymously if you wish. Your responses are secure as the form is encrypted and only The Guardian has access to your contributions.Call for ActionAs the childcare landscape continues to change, it's crucial to understand how these changes are affecting families across the UK. By sharing your experiences, you can help highlight the challenges and potential solutions in the childcare sector.

The Lead: US-Cuba Relations Reach Critical PointUnited States President Donald Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio have issued new threats of military action against Cuba, escalating tensions between the two nations. The Trump administration, with Cuban-American Rubio at the forefront, has been increasing pressure on the communist-led island in what appears to be an attempt to institute "regime change," including a fuel blockade that has pushed the Cuban economy toward collapse.The Escalation: Military Buildup and Legal ActionsThe push against Cuba has accelerated in recent days, with the US indicting Cuba's former President Raul Castro and gathering military forces in the Caribbean. Since returning to office, Trump has implemented numerous sanctions against Cuba, including a fuel blockade that has caused blackouts and protests across the island.On Thursday, Adys Lastres Morera – sister of a high-ranking executive of the Grupo de Administracion Empresarial SA (GAESA) conglomerate, controlled by Cuba's military – was arrested. The US military has also announced that several navy ships, including an aircraft carrier, have arrived in the Caribbean to participate in maritime exercises with partners in Latin America.The Rationale: National Security ConcernsRubio told reporters that Cuba has been a national security threat for years due to its ties with US adversaries Russia and China. Rejecting suggestions of "nation building," Rubio emphasized that the issue is one of "national security." While stating that a negotiated agreement is the US "preference," he indicated that the path of diplomacy with Cuba is "not high.""Their economic system doesn't work. It's broken, and you can't fix it with the current political system that's in place," Rubio said. He added that Cuba has historically "bought time and waited out" previous administrations, but "they're not going to be able to wait us out or buy time. We're very serious, we're very focused."The Presidential Stance: Trump's Personal CommitmentPresident Donald Trump separately told reporters that US presidents have considered intervening in Cuba for decades, but that he appears likely to be "the one that does it." Trump expressed willingness to take action, stating he would be "happy" to intervene militarily in Cuba if necessary.International Response: Condemnation and SupportIn response to the US actions, Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodriguez criticized Rubio for falsely labeling Cuba a threat. "The US secretary of state lies once again to instigate a military aggression that would provoke the shedding of Cuban and American blood," Rodriguez said.Both China and Russia have criticized the US pressure on Cuba. China stated it "firmly supports" Cuba and urged the US to de-escalate tensions and "stop threatening force." Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov commented that "under no circumstances should such methods – which border on violence – be used against either former or current heads of state."Historical Context: The Venezuela PrecedentAnalysts suggest that Trump and Rubio may be considering a similar approach in Cuba to the regime change operation conducted in Venezuela earlier in 2026. In January, Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife were kidnapped in a military operation and brought to the US, where Maduro was charged with "narcoterrorism."Future Outlook: Aid Offers and Potential EscalationRubio noted that Cuba had tentatively accepted an offer of $100 million in aid in return for reforms, though it remains unclear if the US would accept Cuba's terms, as Washington insists on circumventing the military-backed conglomerate GAESA. The situation remains volatile, with both sides digging in their positions as the US continues its military buildup in the region.

Lead: A Bold Fusion of Realism and HorrorClaire Fuller returns with Hunger and Thirst, a novel that fuses the gritty texture of social realism with the unsettling atmosphere of gothic horror. Set in 1987, the story follows Ursula, a young woman haunted by the deaths of her mother and a later, more sinister companion, while the narrative oscillates between documentary‑style observation and nightmarish spectacle.Fuller Blends Social Realism with Gothic Horror in 'Hunger and Thirst'The novel opens with Ursula’s traumatic childhood—spending two days trapped in a Moroccan bathroom by her mother’s corpse after a dengue fever death. By sixteen, she drifts through seven children’s homes before landing a postroom job at Winchester School of Art, where she meets the volatile Sue and her boyfriend Vince. Their obsession with horror films like The Shining and The Stepford Wives steers the plot toward a derelict house, the Underwood, where a seance and a reenactment of a past murder blur the line between art and atrocity. Fuller’s prose captures the “porousness” of identity, as characters literally and figuratively inhabit each other’s bodies.Publication Details and PricingPublisher: Fig TreeRelease price: £18.99Publication year: 2026Previous award: Fuller’s 2021 Costa‑winning Unsettled GroundSocial Critique of Thatcher‑Era Care System Through HorrorThe novel uses its horror framework to expose the under‑resourced British care system of the 1980s, a period when Thatcher’s government prioritized nuclear families over community support. Ursula’s movement between children’s homes and a “halfway house” populated by addicts and ex‑prisoners illustrates the systemic neglect that left many youths adrift. By juxtaposing this social critique with visceral horror, Fuller argues that the genre can convey truths about societal failure more starkly than conventional realism.Potential Legacy and Reader ReceptionFuller’s “outrageous aesthetic gamble” may set a new benchmark for literary horror that does not sacrifice social urgency. If readers and critics embrace the novel’s dual narrative—documentary‑style observation paired with gothic terror—it could inspire a wave of fiction that treats horror as a vehicle for political commentary. The book’s blend of “intense feeling” and “intimate portrayal” positions it as a contender for future literary awards and a touchstone for authors exploring the intersection of genre and social critique.

Lead: War Day 84 Marks a Shift Toward DiplomacyThe conflict between Iran and the United States entered its 84th day with renewed diplomatic activity. Both sides are exchanging draft proposals, and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio highlighted "some good signs" while President Donald Trump warned of "very drastic" action if Tehran refuses to relinquish its uranium stockpiles.Mediated Negotiations Gain MomentumPakistani officials are conducting "intense mediation activity" in Tehran, according to Al Jazeera correspondent Almigdad Alruhaid. Senior Iranian sources say negotiators are close to a draft framework, though others caution that a final agreement remains premature.Pakistani mediation is accelerating to prevent further escalation.US‑Iran red‑line shift: Cato Institute senior fellow Doug Bandow stresses the need for both parties to move beyond entrenched nuclear red lines.Key Figures and Financial Stakes7,200 civilians rescued from rubble by the Iranian Red Crescent.More than two dozen MQ‑9 Reaper drones destroyed, losses estimated at $1 bn (≈20% of pre‑war inventory).At least 42 US aircraft damaged or destroyed, total losses near $2.6 bn.US has paused a $14 bn arms sale to Taiwan to preserve munitions for the Iran campaign.Regional and Military ImplicationsCentcom reports the USS Abraham Lincoln strike group remains at "peak readiness" in the Arabian Sea, signaling continued pressure despite diplomatic overtures. Meanwhile, Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon and new US sanctions on Hezbollah allies heighten the risk of a broader regional flare‑up.Outlook for a Potential DealIf the current draft proposals survive scrutiny, a diplomatic settlement could emerge within weeks, easing military pressure and opening pathways for humanitarian aid. However, the dual track of high‑cost equipment losses and political warnings from both Washington and Tehran suggests that any agreement will require substantial concessions on nuclear constraints and future US military commitments in the region.

English Heritage has finished a 7‑metre‑high, £1 million reconstruction of a 4,500‑year‑old Neolithic hall, called the Kusuma Neolithic Hall, near the Stonehenge visitor centre. The structure is slated to open to the public this summer and will later serve as an immersive educational hub for schools. Recreating a 4,500‑Year‑Old Neolithic Hall at Stonehenge The hall is based on the archaeological footprint of Durrington 68, a “square‑in‑the‑circle” building discovered two miles from Stonehenge. Excavations first began in 1928 by Maud Cunnington and were revisited in 2007 by the Stonehenge Riverside Project. The reconstruction features a horseshoe‑shaped ring of post holes and four massive internal roof‑support pillars, mirroring the original layout. Experimental archaeologist Luke Winter oversaw the design, using Neolithic carpentry studies and pollen data to ensure authenticity. Every timber was shaped with replica stone tools, and the frame was aligned with the winter solstice – the shadow of the central post falls precisely on the midsummer sunrise. £1 Million Investment and Volunteer Workforce Cost: £1 million Construction period: nine months Volunteer involvement: >100 volunteers contributed hand‑crafted timber work Opening: Summer 2026 Future educational capacity: aim to serve nearly 100,000 students annually by 2031 Educational and Cultural Impact on Heritage Tourism The hall forms the first phase of English Heritage’s broader educational expansion, which will also include the Clore Discovery Lab and Weston Learning Studio, scheduled for completion by the end of 2026. By offering a free, hands‑on experience – from making prehistoric cheese to shaping pottery – the project is expected to boost visitor numbers and deepen public engagement with Neolithic heritage. Curator Win Scutt emphasizes that the reconstruction highlights the communal spirit of Neolithic societies, providing a tangible illustration of how ancient peoples built collective monuments as expressions of social identity. Future Role in Neolithic Research and Learning Beyond tourism, the hall serves as a living laboratory for researchers. The experimental construction process has already shifted expert confidence from a 50 % to a 75 % likelihood that the original Durrington 68 structure was roofed. Ongoing studies will use the hall to test hypotheses about building techniques, seasonal alignments, and social organization. As the site opens to schools, it will become a model for immersive archaeology, potentially inspiring similar reconstructions across the United Kingdom and informing curriculum development for the national education programme on the Neolithic period.

Lead: Burnham’s Vision of “Manchesterism” Gains MomentumAndy Burnham used the Great North Investment Summit in Leeds to argue that Britain has been on the wrong path for four decades, urging a return to a more publicly‑controlled, regionally‑balanced economy. His call for “Manchesterism” – a blend of historic free‑trade liberalism and modern public ownership – is resonating within Labour’s left‑wing circles and among northern voters.Burnham’s North‑Focused Narrative at the Great North Investment SummitSpeaking to an audience of devolution advocates, Burnham highlighted the “draining away of economic, social and political power” from the North, blaming deregulation, privatisation and austerity. He cited everyday hardships – “people paying over the odds for energy, housing, water, transport” – as evidence that the current model is unsustainable. The speech also referenced his own political journey, from a 2015 Labour leadership contender to mayor of Greater Manchester in 2017.Economic Indicators Highlighting the North’s DeclinePolls give Burnham only 45% chance of winning a future national election, yet his regional appeal remains strong.Rising costs for basic services are cited as a symptom of “the worst of modern capitalism”.The Bee Network’s uniform £2 fare is presented as a successful public‑ownership model that could be scaled nationally.Potential Shift in Labour Strategy and Regional Power DynamicsBurnham’s ideas are prompting a re‑evaluation within Labour. Rachel Reeves has announced a “summer of cost‑of‑living activism”, while Wes Streeting is now open to a wealth tax – both moves echoing Burnham’s critique of austerity‑driven policies. If Labour adopts a “Manchester‑centric” platform, it could reshape the party’s relationship with northern constituencies and challenge Keir Starmer’s current direction.Outlook: Can Manchesterism Shape a New National Agenda?The next test will be whether Burnham’s blueprint can move beyond regional rhetoric to a viable national policy package. Critics point to the potential cost of public‑ownership schemes, but supporters argue that a “productive state” – directly owning essential capital – could restore economic balance. If Labour integrates these ideas, Britain may see a renewed focus on northern investment, public control of utilities, and a political narrative that positions the North as the engine of future growth.