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The economic fallout of the US and Israel's war with Iran is being felt across the globe, with Gulf economies suffering some of the worst damage. Iran has launched continuous attacks on Gulf states since the onset of the conflict on February 28, arguing that it is targeting military bases used by the US for the war.Gulf nations have rejected Tehran's claims, insisting the attacks on them are unjustified. The Iranian strikes have upended energy production and inflicted major disruptions to tourism and travel, putting the region at risk of some of the most severe economic harm since the 1990-1991 Gulf War.According to Khaled Almezaini, an associate professor of politics and international relations at Zayed University in Dubai, the region is likely losing hundreds of millions of dollars per day in economic activity due to disruptions to aviation, tourism, shipping routes, and energy exports.Middle Eastern oil producers' daily output declined from 21 million barrels to 14 million barrels after a little more than a week of conflict, according to Rystad Energy. Output is expected to drop substantially further if commercial shipping continues to avoid the Strait of Hormuz due to Tehran's threats.Goldman Sachs estimated that Qatar and Kuwait could see their GDPs plunge 14% if the war lasts until the end of April, with the UAE and Saudi Arabia facing contractions of 5% and 3%, respectively. Meanwhile, S&P; Global Ratings has affirmed a 'stable outlook' for Qatar, citing the country's large financial buffers.The war has also spilled over into other critical sectors, particularly tourism and travel, which accounts for about 11% of the GCC's GDP. Airspace closures and restrictions led to 37,000 flight cancellations from February 28 to March 8 alone.In an analysis published last week, the World Travel & Tourism Council estimated that the conflict was costing the region $600m in daily spending by international visitors. The economic fallout could be comparable to historic regional crises if the war drags on.

As regional security dynamics shift with Iran launching missile and drone attacks on Gulf neighbors, the head of Qatar’s General Authority of Customs has moved to quell concerns regarding potential supply chain bottlenecks. Ahmed bin Abdullah Al Jamal stated unequivocally that there are no indicators suggesting shortages or disturbances to trade flows within the State of Qatar.The assurance comes as Qatar’s armed forces intercepted recent attacks, highlighting the volatile security environment. However, Al Jamal emphasized that Qatar’s economic stability is underpinned by a robust defense strategy that extends beyond military interception to include diversified import sources, efficient logistics infrastructure, and sufficient strategic stocks of essential goods.A cornerstone of this resilience is the modernization of customs procedures. The implementation of the Al Nadeeb platform, an electronic single-window system, has streamlined import and export transactions. By integrating the electronic TIR system in May 2025, authorities can now exchange data in advance and conduct risk analyses, significantly reducing release times and enhancing transparency for businesses.Qatar’s logistical network is designed for redundancy, offering multiple avenues for trade movement. Hamad Port serves as a critical maritime hub, while Hamad International Airport provides essential air freight capacity. On the land front, the Abu Samra border crossing with Saudi Arabia has been upgraded with advanced scanning and security systems, ensuring that road transport remains a viable and efficient alternative for moving goods across the region.Furthermore, coordination with the Gulf Customs Union has yielded practical benefits, including the recognition of freight forwarder guarantees and simplified customs codes. These measures, combined with a comprehensive emergency framework involving multiple ministries, ensure that Qatar’s markets remain stable and that the flow of goods continues uninterrupted despite external pressures.

Asian stock markets experienced a significant downturn on Monday, with South Korea's KOSPI index plummeting 6.5% and Japan's Nikkei 225 falling 3.5%. The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong tumbled more than 4%, while Australia's ASX 200 closed 0.75% lower and New Zealand's NZX 50 was down 0.7%.The turmoil was triggered by US President Donald Trump's ultimatum to Iran, warning the country to reopen the Strait of Hormuz or face the destruction of its energy infrastructure within 48 hours. The strait is a critical waterway through which about one-fifth of global oil and natural gas exports usually transit.Trump's threat has added to fears of a cascading global energy crisis as the US and Israel's war on Iran approaches its one-month mark with no clear end in sight. Oil prices have surged more than 50% since the start of the war, which began on February 28. Analysts warn that energy prices are likely to rise significantly further if the strait remains effectively closed, with some predicting oil to hit $150 or even $200 a barrel.In response to Trump's ultimatum, Tehran has warned it will completely close the waterway and launch retaliatory attacks on energy and water infrastructure across the region if Trump follows through on his threat. The deadline for Trump's ultimatum is set to expire at 23:44 GMT on Monday.European markets also saw significant losses, with London's FTSE 100 down 1.4% and the DAX 40 in Frankfurt falling about 2% in morning trading. On Wall Street, US stocks saw significant losses ahead of Monday's opening, with futures tied to the S&P; 500 down about 0.8% as of 07:00 GMT.

The United Kingdom has strongly condemned 'reckless Iranian threats' after reports emerged of a missile launch targeting a joint US-UK military base on the Indian Ocean island of Diego Garcia. However, Iran's Ministry of Foreign Affairs has denied any involvement in the alleged missile launch.According to US media reports, two ballistic missiles were fired at the base, with one reportedly failing mid-flight and the other intercepted by a US warship. The incident occurred approximately 4,000km (2,500 miles) from Iran, raising concerns about Iran's missile capabilities.Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson, Esmaeil Baghaei, described the missile launches as a 'false flag' operation, suggesting that Israel might have been behind them. This denial comes as the conflict between Iran, the US, and Israel continues to escalate.The UK has condemned the alleged attack, with Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper stating that the UK would not be drawn into a wider conflict in the Middle East. The UK's Prime Minister, Keir Starmer, noted that the UK would not use a base in Cyprus for Iran-related operations.Israel's military chief, Eyal Zamir, claimed that Iran used 'a two-stage intercontinental ballistic missile with a range of 4,000km' to target the US-UK base. Zamir stated that these missiles pose a threat to European capitals, including Berlin, Paris, and Rome.The incident has significant implications for the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, with analysts suggesting that Iran's missile capabilities could change the calculus of the war for the US and its allies. The conflict has already led to a rise in global oil prices and increased tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran.

US President Donald Trump has taken to social media to mock UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, sharing a Saturday Night Live (SNL) skit that depicts Starmer panicking at the prospect of a call with Trump. The skit, which aired on the premiere of the new British version of SNL, shows Starmer, played by George Fouracres, trying to avoid a call with Trump.The video was shared on the same evening that Trump and Starmer spoke about the escalating tensions in the Middle East and the US-Israel war on Iran. During their call, the two leaders focused on the need to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which has been effectively blocked by Iran since the US and Israel launched strikes on February 28.The closure of the strait has sent oil prices soaring, creating the biggest energy crisis since the 1970s. Trump has repeatedly criticized Starmer for not doing enough to support the US efforts to break the blockade, accusing him of being a 'coward' and saying he is 'disappointed' in him.Starmer has asserted that any attempt to reopen the Strait of Hormuz needs careful consideration and a viable plan, and that his number one priority is to protect British interests and de-escalate tensions. The UK government has given authorization for the US to use its military bases to carry out strikes on Iranian missile sites that were attacking ships in the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran has strongly denied allegations of launching a missile attack on a joint US-UK military base on the Indian Ocean island of Diego Garcia. The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs described the claim as an 'Israeli false flag' attack, accusing Israel of spreading disinformation. The denial comes after NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte stated that the alliance could not confirm Israel's claim that the projectiles used were Iranian intercontinental ballistic missiles. This development has raised questions about the credibility of Israel's allegations and the potential motives behind them. Iran's Foreign Affairs spokesman, Esmaeil Baghaei, wrote on X that the accusations reflected a pattern of 'disinformation' and criticized NATO's support for the US and Israel. He emphasized that the world has grown tired of 'false flag' storylines, suggesting that such claims are becoming increasingly discredited. Earlier, US media outlets reported that missiles were launched between Thursday night and Friday morning but failed to hit the Diego Garcia base. If Iran were confirmed to be behind the attacks, it would imply that it possesses ballistic missiles with a range of over 4,000km, capable of reaching as far as London. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi had previously stated that Iran had intentionally limited its missile range to below 2,000km to avoid being perceived as a threat by other countries. UK Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper condemned what she called 'reckless Iranian threats' but emphasized that London would not be drawn into a wider conflict in the Middle East. The UK-US military airbase on Diego Garcia is home to nearly 2,500 mostly American personnel and has supported various US military operations over the years. Israel's military chief, Eyal Zamir, claimed that Iran used a two-stage intercontinental ballistic missile with a range of 4,000km to target the base. Israel has long considered Iran's missile and nuclear programs a threat and has lobbied the US for military intervention.

The military campaign launched by the United States and Israel against Iran has entered its 24th day, bringing the region to a precarious juncture. As US President Donald Trump’s 48-hour ultimatum for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz approaches its expiration at 23:44 GMT on Monday, Tehran has issued stern warnings regarding the potential targeting of its electricity grid. In response, Iran has vowed to strike the energy and water systems of its Gulf neighbors, raising fears of a broader regional energy crisis.The conflict is already having tangible repercussions on the global economy. Financial markets are reacting sharply to the escalating tensions, with stocks in China and Hong Kong on track for their worst performance in nearly a year. The uncertainty has fueled stagflation fears, prompting UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer to convene an emergency meeting to address the mounting economic fallout.In Iran, the situation remains volatile. The Israeli military has conducted a wide-scale wave of strikes targeting infrastructure across Tehran, resulting in powerful explosions reported in the central, southern, and eastern parts of the capital. Verified footage shows massive columns of fire and smoke rising over Karaj following an air attack. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has retaliated by threatening attacks on power plants in Israel and those supplying electricity to US bases, while also targeting a turbine engine production site in Qom used for drone components.The conflict has also spilled over into Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) nations. Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Defence confirmed that two ballistic missiles were launched toward Riyadh, with one intercepted and the other falling in an uninhabited area. The UAE reported debris injuries in the al-Shawamekh area, while Bahrain confirmed attacks on the US Fifth Fleet. In Qatar, seven people were killed in a helicopter crash, and Kuwait has formally protested airspace violations to the International Civil Aviation Organization.The human toll continues to rise. In Israel, alerts were triggered across Jerusalem and central Israel following explosions, with the casualty toll from attacks on Dimona and Arad climbing to at least 180 injured. In Lebanon, authorities report that at least 1,029 people have been killed since March 2, with over 100 of the victims being children. In Iraq, at least 60 people have been killed, primarily among pro-Iran Popular Mobilisation Forces.

Israel and the United States have launched a new wave of attacks against Iran, escalating the conflict in the region. The Israeli military confirmed that it carried out a second round of strikes, hours after initiating a wide-scale wave of attacks on infrastructure targets in Tehran. Al Jazeera Arabic's correspondent in Tehran reported that the size and volume of the explosions in the Iranian capital were unprecedented, especially on the eastern side of the city. Iranian air defense systems were activated in response to US-Israeli drones hovering over the city. According to Mohamad Elmasry of the Doha Institute for Graduate Studies, the war is escalating, with US and Israeli forces hitting not only military installations but also hospitals, schools, and over 5,000 residential units. He warned that the situation is becoming increasingly dangerous, especially for the people of Iran. Iran's Fars news agency reported that a strike on a residential building in Khorramabad killed one child and wounded several people, while at least six people were killed in strikes on homes in Tabriz city. The Iranian Red Crescent Society stated that over 80,000 civilian building units have been hit, with some fully demolished. The US military targeted a turbine engine production site in Qom province, used for drone and aircraft components linked to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). Meanwhile, Iranian missile strikes continued overnight in Israel, with falling shrapnel reported across several locations. Iran's Foreign Ministry denied any dialogue with the US, claiming that President Trump's comments aimed to reduce energy prices and buy time to implement military plans. The IRGC warned that if the US targets Iran's power plants, it will hit power plants in areas supplying electricity to US bases and American interests. The conflict has resulted in over 1,500 deaths in Iran and 15 deaths in Israel. The situation has also unsettled oil markets, with prices fluctuating as Asian trading opened. The head of the International Energy Agency warned that the situation in the Middle East is very severe and worse than the two energy crises of the 1970s combined.

The UK government has instructed HS2 Ltd to assess the feasibility of operating its high-speed trains at reduced speeds, aiming to curb escalating costs and facilitate an earlier launch in the 2030s. The proposal involves limiting train speeds to 186mph (300km/h), a significant decrease from the initially planned 224mph. Potentially billions of pounds in savings could be achieved through this adjustment, which would bring the project more in line with typical European high-speed rail standards. Currently, most UK trains operate at a maximum speed of 125mph, while HS1 trains serving Kent and the Channel tunnel reach up to 186mph. Transport Secretary Heidi Alexander has commissioned HS2 Ltd to report back on the potential savings from slower trains before the summer recess. This development follows a review by HS2's new CEO, Mark Wild, who has been working to regain control of the project's costs and delays. Alexander acknowledged the challenges facing the project, stating that previous plans significantly underestimated the work required. Despite these challenges, she praised Wild's leadership and noted that HS2 is now making progress, having completed the excavation of all 23 miles of deep tunnels needed for the initial stage of the railway. The project's overall budget is expected to be reassessed and restated in 2026 prices, with predictions that it will exceed £100bn due to soaring inflation and rising labour and steel costs. As of now, the total expenditure stands at £46.2bn at current prices. Government sources suggest that the original design for the world's fastest railway was “gold-plated” and “needlessly overspecced”, contributing to the cost overruns. Wild emphasized that speed was never the primary objective, and the railway's focus should be on delivering better journeys, increased network capacity, and economic growth.