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Donald Trump’s demand that Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz has an immediate impact on U.S. gasoline prices, but analysts warn that a prolonged conflict will push energy costs higher across the globe, far beyond the fuel pump. Systemic increases in power prices and disrupted supply chains are set to compress margins for industries worldwide; in the United States, the effect could be especially damaging to the fragile economics of the AI boom. Oil‑importing nations in the Global South are already feeling the strain: Egypt has imposed curfews, Indonesia is trialling work‑from‑home Fridays, and the Philippines has declared a national energy emergency. While the United States, as a major oil exporter, can partially insulate itself, the country cannot escape the global rise in energy costs. Experts predict that price pressure will linger for months even if the strait reopens within days. Companies are revisiting cash‑flow forecasts, and the AI sector—characterised by energy‑intensive model training and debt‑laden expansion—faces a particularly acute risk. OpenAI chief Sam Altman attempted to downplay environmental concerns, likening the energy required to train an AI model to the cumulative food intake over a human’s 20‑year development. The Bank of England’s Financial Policy Committee warned that rising energy costs could depress AI share prices, noting that investors were already uneasy about the sector’s heavy reliance on debt financing and uncertain return prospects before the war began. "The conflict could increase these concerns, particularly given the energy‑intensive nature of the supply chain for key components and the operation of datacentres," the committee said. World Trade Organization chief economist Robert Staiger echoed this view, cautioning that a prolonged period of high energy prices could "crimp" AI investment. He highlighted that AI‑related goods accounted for 70% of U.S. investment growth in the first three‑quarters of last year. A forensic note from US law firm Quinn Emanuel revealed that the AI sector generated roughly $60 billion in revenue last year while committing $400 billion to capital expenditure. The financing structure mirrors the 2008 crisis, with off‑balance‑sheet special purpose vehicles and asset‑backed securities playing a central role. Leading "hyperscalers" and infrastructure providers such as CoreWeave are borrowing enormous sums to build out datacentres, although some analysts argue that many projects lag behind their lofty promises. Much of this borrowing comes from private‑credit lenders, making total liabilities opaque and challenging for regulators—an issue the Bank of England has repeatedly flagged. Complex financing arrangements see datacentres owned by special purpose vehicles, debt pooled and sold to pension funds, and other layered structures that obscure true exposure. Quinn Emanuel estimates that $120 billion of datacentre debt has been moved off‑balance sheets in the past two years. The firm warns that distress at any single node could cascade through the tightly interconnected AI ecosystem. Extended higher energy costs, combined with volatile interest rates and weaker consumer demand—both likely fallout from the Middle East war—could trigger that distress. The fundamental question remains: can the AI sector generate sufficient revenue to justify its sky‑high valuations? Even modest energy price hikes may force a market rethink, with potential spill‑over effects across U.S. markets and beyond. As the article concludes, the economic fallout may be yet another unintended consequence of Trump’s aggressive stance on Iran, unleashing forces beyond his control.

The world is facing an energy crisis reminiscent of the 1970s, with rising energy prices and fears of stagflation. In response, countries may turn to coal, a dirtiest of fuels, to meet their energy demands.Historically, energy crises have led to increased investment in coal production. During Jimmy Carter's presidency, the US aggressively developed domestic coal sources, which became America's 'black hope'. Similarly, Donald Trump's America is doubling down on fossil fuels, pushing to develop US coal and oil reserves.The energy crisis sparked by the US-Iran war highlights the need for renewable energy sources. However, the conflict has raised hurdles to investing in renewable power generation capacity, including inflation and interest rates. As a result, countries around the world, including Japan, India, and Europe, are considering or have already ramped up their use of coal.Despite the progress made in decarbonization and the switch to cleaner gas in power generation, the current crisis could unravel these efforts. Coal consumption worldwide has increased by about 1.3bn tons since 2020, to 8.8bn tons, driven by demand in India and China. The International Energy Agency (IEA) reports that coal supplied 23% of the world's energy in 2000, increasing to 28% in 2023.The global energy landscape is shifting, with renewable energy sources becoming increasingly important. However, the ongoing conflict in Iran and rising energy prices pose significant challenges to the transition to a low-carbon economy.

A tragic incident occurred at the Habshan gas facility in the United Arab Emirates, the country's largest natural gas processing site, after debris from an intercepted attack caused two fires. Local authorities reported that at least one person was killed and others were wounded.The Abu Dhabi Media Office stated that the debris, resulting from a successful interception by air defense systems, led to significant damage and four minor injuries – two Pakistani nationals and two Egyptian nationals. The incident occurred during a period of heightened tensions, with Iran continuing to fire missiles and drones across the Middle East since the US and Israel launched a war against the country on February 28.The UAE has been severely impacted, with several energy sites and civilian facilities targeted. In the past 24 hours alone, Emirati officials reported that at least 18 ballistic missiles, four cruise missiles, and 47 drones were fired from Iran. This surge in attacks prompted the head of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) to urge the United Nations Security Council to take measures to halt Iranian attacks and protect maritime corridors.The situation remains critical, with Iran effectively halting traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway for global oil and liquefied natural gas supplies, causing prices to soar.

The US labor market demonstrated unexpected strength in March, with the unemployment rate dropping to 4.3% despite concerns over economic instability and the ongoing conflict with Iran. According to the US Bureau of Labour Statistics, non-farm payrolls grew by 178,000 jobs in March, rebounding from a downwardly revised loss of 133,000 jobs in February.The healthcare sector led the gains, adding 76,000 jobs in March, significantly higher than the 29,000 average monthly increase over the last year. This surge follows a large-scale nursing strike that ended on February 24, which had temporarily removed over 30,000 healthcare workers from payrolls.The construction sector also saw notable growth, with 26,000 jobs added in March. Additionally, the transportation and warehousing sector grew by 21,000 jobs over the previous month, although it has experienced an overall loss of 139,000 jobs since February 2025.In contrast, the federal government, the largest employer in the US, continued to shrink, cutting 18,000 federal employee positions in March. This marks a 355,000 job decline from the same period last year.The White House has praised the jobs report as evidence that President Trump's policies are stimulating the domestic economy. Kush Desai, White House deputy press secretary, stated that the March jobs report 'blew out expectations' with strong construction job growth and a surge in manufacturing job creation.However, experts warn that the impact of the US conflict with Iran, dubbed Operation Epic Fury, is not yet fully reflected in the job numbers. Economists at JPMorgan cautioned that negative payroll readings could become more common, and Angela Hanks, chief of policy programmes at The Century Foundation, noted that wage growth has stalled, and oil prices are skyrocketing, threatening to weaken the job market.The economic uncertainty is also affecting US consumers, with the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey dropping by 6% in March to its lowest level since December 2025. Furthermore, the average price for a gallon of petrol has increased to $4.09 ($1.08 per litre), up from $3.10 ($0.82 per litre) this time last month.

The Strait of Hormuz, a critical passage for global oil shipments, has become a focal point of international tension. There are growing concerns about the possibility of military intervention to ensure its reopening, following recent developments in the region. The strait, which connects the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman, is vital for the global economy, with a significant portion of the world's oil supply passing through it. Any disruption to this waterway could have far-reaching impacts on global energy markets and economic stability. While details about specific plans for military action remain scarce, the international community is closely monitoring the situation, aware of the potential for conflict to escalate. Diplomatic efforts are underway to address the underlying issues and find a peaceful resolution. The situation in the Strait of Hormuz is a critical juncture for international relations, with implications extending beyond the region. The global community remains vigilant, hoping for a peaceful outcome that ensures the free flow of commerce and stability in this vital region.

On a sun‑lit picnic beside Canberra’s Molonglo River, a tartan blanket, a bottle of wine, crusty baguette, cheese and a daring chicken‑and‑grape salad from a gourmet magazine marked the beginning of a romance that would be defined by food.Their shared appetite for culinary experimentation quickly turned into a series of kitchen showdowns—debates over meat doneness, oven temperatures, seasoning ratios and the eternal butter‑vs‑oil dilemma. While the clashes were frequent, the meals they produced together often became celebrated triumphs.Over the years, their lives were chronicled in the spines of recipe books and the aromas of countless dinners. From the quest for the perfect loaf to the fiery sting of chilies that left a lasting impression, each dish mapped the highs and lows of their partnership.He gravitated toward savoury mains; she honed a talent for desserts. Their culinary quirks—her habit of returning leftovers to the fridge, his ritual of swaddling roasted meat in tea towels—added both friction and flavor to their shared table.Even after their separation, the couple’s kitchen remains a shared space. A well‑worn ceramic baking tray, scarred by years of roasting turkeys, chickens and lamb, still serves as the foundation for gravy‑making and other culinary rituals during holiday gatherings.One of his most enduring contributions is a dish they call Pasta Dimanche. Born from a pantry raid on a Sunday night, the pasta blends diced capsicum, carrot, purple onion, garlic, celery, parsley and tomato with a tin of tuna, cracked pepper, salt and a splash of Tabasco and green chilli sauce. The result is a vibrant, summery plate that celebrates colour, texture and the surprise harmony of warm and crisp.Recipe: Pasta Dimanche (Serves 4)Ingredients:1 red onion, finely chopped1 carrot, finely diced3 garlic cloves, finely chopped1 yellow capsicum, finely chopped1 green capsicum, finely chopped1 red capsicum, finely chopped1 cup finely chopped parsley370 g tin tuna, drained1 tsp Tabasco1 tsp green TabascoDried pasta of choice (to serve)Method:1. Toss the vegetables, garlic, parsley and tuna in a large bowl; season with Tabasco, salt and pepper.2. Cook pasta in salted boiling water until al dente; drain.3. Divide pasta among four bowls, top with the tuna‑vegetable mix, and serve.Despite their split, they continue to exchange food news, recipe links from the New York Times, and tips on premium ingredients—proving that a shared love of cooking can outlast even the most intimate of relationships.

Former Brazilian international Oscar has been forced to retire from professional football at the age of 34 due to cardiac problems, his club São Paulo confirmed on Saturday.The attacking midfielder had to spend five days in hospital after fainting during a routine medical in November, following which he was diagnosed with vasovagal syncope, a condition caused by a sudden drop in blood pressure, heart rate, and cerebral blood flow.Oscar, who had a contract set to expire in 2027, expressed his sentiments on retiring, stating, “I am ending a career here in São Paulo that has taken me practically to the four corners of the world,” in a club statement.During his career, Oscar played for prominent clubs including Chelsea and Shanghai Port. With Chelsea, he won two Premier League titles and the Europa League. In China, he secured three Chinese Super League titles with Shanghai.Oscar also had an illustrious international career, earning 48 caps for Brazil, winning the Confederations Cup, and playing in the 2014 World Cup on home soil.

When the sanctioned Russian tanker Anatoly Kolodkin docked at Matanzas and off‑loaded roughly 700,000 barrels of crude, observers were left questioning why Washington had temporarily lifted its oil embargo on the island.Just weeks earlier, President Donald Trump had taken to social media to declare an end to any oil or cash flowing to Cuba. Yet, in a stark reversal, he later told reporters he had no objection to oil shipments reaching the country, allowing the Russian vessel to pass.Adding to the intrigue, Cuban authorities announced the release of 2,010 prisoners as a “humanitarian gesture” for Holy Week. Analysts quickly linked the pardons to the tanker’s arrival, interpreting both moves as evidence of ongoing, albeit secret, talks between Washington and Havana.The U.S. oil blockade has already pushed Cuba’s fragile economy to the brink: tourism has all but vanished after airlines from Canada, Russia, China and France withdrew, with Iberia set to exit by the end of May. Most petrol stations are shuttered and blackouts have become a daily reality.Population estimates now sit at 9.5 million, down from a pre‑crisis peak after a two‑million‑person exodus over the past five years. Citizens describe a systemic collapse of health, education and transport services.With official channels silent, Cubans are piecing together fragmented leaks—largely from the U.S. side—to gauge the direction of the negotiations.The dialogue pits Trump’s hard‑line rhetoric, which vows to “take” the island, against Cuba’s insistence that its political system is non‑negotiable.One diplomat suggested the tanker’s arrival could be a tactical humanitarian showcase, but also noted it might serve as a confidence‑building measure. The simultaneous prisoner release leans toward the latter interpretation.Professor William LeoGrande of American University observed that such reciprocal gestures often precede substantive diplomatic progress.Meanwhile, another Russian‑flagged tanker, the Sea Horse, carrying about 200,000 barrels, was sighted moving toward Venezuela, hinting at a coordinated “carrot” strategy aimed at both Havana and Caracas.Although oil alone is unlikely to compel the Cuban regime to relinquish power, the recent events suggest a more transactional pathway may be emerging.Since 2021, Cuba has nurtured a private sector of over 10,000 small‑ and medium‑sized enterprises (Mipymes), spawning a new class of affluent Cubans often tied to the regime and the army’s economic arm, Gaesa.Negotiations appear to be led by Raúl Guillermo Rodríguez Castro, a grandson of former President Raúl Castro and son of the late Gaesa chief Luis Rodríguez López‑Calleja.In a recent CNN interview, Fidel Castro’s grandson Sandro Castro, a 33‑year‑old influencer and businessman, argued that the majority of Cubans now favor a capitalist model over communism.His open criticism of President Miguel Díaz‑Canel—calling his performance “unsatisfactory”—would normally trigger state security action, yet appears tolerated, suggesting the U.S. may be leveraging Díaz‑Canel’s vulnerability in the talks.Analysts speculate a possible outcome where Cuba’s economy opens to foreign investment while senior Castros retain political influence, aligning with Trump’s expressed desire for a “friendly” transition reminiscent of recent moves in Venezuela.One senior diplomat in Havana noted that the United States might permit existing private businesses to continue operating, provided they also open markets to U.S. interests.The prospect of any Castro family member retaining authority is likely to provoke fierce opposition from hard‑line Cuban‑American groups, epitomized by figures like Marco Rubio, who have long advocated for the Castros’ removal.Perhaps the greatest concern remains the roughly 40 % of Cubans who are not part of the private sector and rely on state support; many are elderly and now face the very real threat of starvation.

American consumers are watching gasoline and airline fares climb, while economists warn that the war in Iran will keep pressure on prices across the U.S. economy.“The good old days are gone,” said Christopher Tang, a professor at UCLA’s Anderson School of Management who studies global supply chains. “We see gasoline prices rising now, but that’s only the tip of the iceberg; everything will become more expensive.”Since the conflict began in late February, crude oil has surged past $110 a barrel. The rally is tied to Iran’s leverage over the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow chokepoint through which roughly 20% of the world’s oil passes.In a recent address, President Donald Trump claimed the United States is “totally independent of the Middle East” and has “plenty of gas.” However, Brookings Institute’s energy‑security director Samantha Gross reminded listeners that oil is a globally traded commodity and the U.S. still imports significant volumes, meaning American consumers will face the same high prices as the rest of the world.Iran has either halted shipments through the strait or imposed a toll of up to $2 million per vessel. Tankers are forced to take longer routes or pay the fee, inflating logistics costs for all downstream users.Major logistics players are already passing those costs on. Amazon announced a 3.5% surcharge for third‑party sellers, while UPS and FedEx have introduced fuel surcharges exceeding 25%. The United States Postal Service will add an 8% surcharge to transportation rates starting 27 April, noting the charge is “less than one‑third of what our competitors charge for fuel alone.”When the prices go up, they rarely come back down— Christopher Tang, UCLACountries have dipped into strategic oil reserves to blunt the shock, but economists such as Virginia Tech’s David Bieri warn that refilling those stockpiles will require buying oil at today’s elevated prices, keeping the upward pressure on the market.Higher oil costs ripple beyond fuel. Crude is a key feedstock for chemicals, pharmaceuticals and fertilizers, meaning the surge could translate into higher prices for prescription drugs and groceries.Cornell University’s agricultural economics professor Christopher Wolf explained that diesel, a major input for farm equipment and fertilizer production, is also climbing, raising the cost of both crop cultivation and livestock raising.Retailers and food processors are already adjusting. “If we anticipate higher costs, we start raising prices early to avoid a sudden shock later,” Wolf said, describing a “rational expectations” approach.The Independent Grocers Alliance warned that a 10‑15% rise in fuel costs could lift food prices by 2‑4% by mid‑summer, underscoring the broader impact on household budgets.Although President Trump expects the United States to exit the Iran conflict within two to three weeks, experts agree that even a swift resolution will not instantly reverse the price spikes.The strait’s strategic importance means the political risk premium on oil will linger. “You never know when this could flare up again,” said Northeastern University’s Ravi Ramamurti, adding that the effect is likely to be persistent.As Tang summed up, “When the prices go up, they rarely come back down.”