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The Lead: Iran's Defiance After 100 Days of ConflictTehran, Iran – Iranian authorities remain defiant 100 days into the war launched by the United States and Israel as no lasting resolution appears in sight, and civilians bear the brunt of a conflict that has roiled global markets.On the streets of the capital, Tehran, most shops are open, although not with as many customers as before. Traffic has been restored, but only partially, since millions of jobs have either been suspended or eliminated after nationwide protests, aerial bombardment and two state-imposed internet shutdowns over the past several months.Armoured vehicles, heavy weaponry and security forces continue to be common sights in the metropolis of about 10 million people at all hours of the day.At night, armed forces are setting up numerous checkpoints across the city, escorting motorcades of state supporters blasting religious slogans. Main squares and many streets are typically closed so that people can gather, often heard chanting slogans against the US and Israel.The Power Transition: Leadership in CrisisPro-government messaging and flags of the Lebanese group Hezbollah and other members of the Tehran-backed "axis of resistance" are widely featured in banners and billboards across Iran.Some vehicles and city murals bear images of Mojtaba Khamenei, who was selected as supreme leader by a clerical body after the assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, on the first day of the war.Mojtaba Khamenei, who was reportedly wounded in the same US-Israeli strikes that killed his father and other family members, has not been seen or heard from publicly since taking the helm, except for written messages attributed to him.The authorities have yet to hold funeral processions for Ali Khamenei, who ruled Iran for nearly 37 years. His family members were buried a week ago, and other top commanders and officials killed on February 28 were also buried months later.Economic Collapse: Hyperinflation and Currency CrisisYears-long economic woes have only worsened after oil and gas facilities, major steel and aluminium producers and industrial units were extensively bombed across the country. Trump has threatened more attacks against power plants and other civilian infrastructure if the war resumes. Many homes, hospitals, schools, offices and universities are in ruins or suffered damage.Inflation was running unchecked at nearly 84 percent year-on-year during the second month of the Persian calendar year that ended on May 21, according to the Statistical Center of Iran. Food inflation was at 130 percent for the same period, with solid vegetable oil up 431 percent, eggs 342 percent, chicken 287 percent and imported rice by 222 percent compared to the same month of the previous year.Iran's national currency, the rial, is also in the doldrums. On Sunday, it traded at about 1.77 million per US dollar in Tehran's open market – near an all-time low.The stock market has been rising after a controlled reopening last month, which experts told Al Jazeera was predominantly due to inflation, and the side effects of returning after nearly three months of total shutdown. After deals were concluded for Sunday in the Tehran Stock Exchange, the main index was on the verge of retaking the all-time high threshold of 4.5 million points first reached at the start of 2026.Geopolitical Chess: Control of Strategic WaterwaysThe institutions of the Islamic Republic survived and remain in power, as do many officials, including leaders of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), who have continued to heavily disrupt the flow of energy and goods through the Strait of Hormuz while fighting off the US blockade of Iran's ports.After roughly 40 days of intense war and thousands of strikes, followed by months of tense "ceasefire" that has now included overnight exchanges of fire for more than a week, an interim deal to reopen the strategic waterway has not materialised. Any longer-term peace deal seems further out of reach.On Sunday, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Tehran hosted Pakistan's interior minister, the mediating country which itself was hosting an envoy from Lebanon, in an attempt to bridge gaps over Hezbollah and other issues with the US.In an editorial on Sunday marking the 100-day milestone, the hardline Keyhan newspaper, whose editor-in-chief was appointed by Ali Khamenei, said the experience has taught the system that "America retreated because of missiles, not negotiations"."Disrupt [Donald] Trump's game by halting negotiations and closing the Bab al-Mandeb Strait," Keyhan wrote about the strategic waterway off the coast of Yemen, arguing that the US president is using the talks to keep global oil prices under control.Military Resilience: Iran's Defense CapabilitiesArmed forces have demonstrated that despite the widescale bombing of Iran's military installations, including facilities dug deep into mountains, they retain the ability to fire ballistic and cruise missiles, as well as a variety of drones. They have also continued to shoot down a number of US drones, even though numerous air defense batteries were destroyed during the war.Most Iranian military aircraft and large vessels have also been destroyed, but the IRGC continues to deploy its fast boats and small vessels to advance objectives in the strait.Iranian authorities say they wish to entrench control over the strait and monetise passage, keep highly enriched uranium – now likely buried under the rubble of bombed facilities – inside the country to prevent future attacks, and secure relief from decades of sanctions and asset freezes that have battered the economy.Society Under Siege: Daily Life and RepressionConcerns about assassination and intelligence leaks remain high, keeping the parliament closed, except for a handful of limited or online sessions. Universities and schools have also remained shut, and many deferred exams are expected to be held online. A number of police forces are working from desks set up in the streets after their stations were bombed.The internet has been partially restored after the longest nationwide shutdown in any country, but remains heavily throttled by the authorities, who clamp down on Starlink or other connections that circumnavigate their filtering.The judiciary continues to announce near-daily executions of dissidents, including people arrested during the current war, during the nationwide protests in January and the 12-day war with Israel and the US almost a year ago. Tens of thousands have been arrested over recent months, and many will face intensified punishments based on a law approved after last year's war to punish charges of spying and working for hostile governments.Future Outlook: A Prolonged Conflict with Global ImplicationsAs Iran enters the fourth month of conflict with the United States and Israel, the path to resolution remains unclear. With both sides maintaining hardline positions and the economic situation deteriorating rapidly for ordinary Iranians, the conflict shows no signs of de-escalation.The control of strategic waterways like the Strait of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandeb will likely continue to be a focal point, with potential global repercussions for energy markets and shipping routes.International mediation efforts, including those by Pakistan and other regional actors, may intensify as the humanitarian and economic costs mount, but the fundamental disagreements over Iran's nuclear program, regional influence, and the future of the Islamic Republic's leadership structure remain deeply entrenched.

The Comeback That Wasn't: Vegas Edges Carolina in Double OT The Vegas Golden Knights took a 2-1 series lead in the Stanley Cup Finals, defeating the Carolina Hurricanes 5-4 in a thrilling double-overtime game. Shea Theodore scored the winning goal at 5:38 of the second overtime, securing a crucial victory for the Golden Knights. Game Highlights and Turning Points The game was marked by a dramatic comeback by the Hurricanes, who overcame a four-goal deficit in the third period to force overtime. Jordan Martinook, Taylor Hall, and Jordan Staal scored goals for Carolina, occurring 39 seconds apart, to turn the game into a white-knuckler for the Golden Knights. Andrei Svechnikov also scored for Carolina, forcing overtime with 1:42 left in regulation. Key Performances Mitch Marner had a natural hat trick for Vegas, with four points in the second period. His scoring outburst came over a 6:10 stretch, and he had the secondary assist on Tomas Hertl's goal. Theodore's goal, which went off goalie Brandon Bussi's skate, proved to be the game-winner. Series Implications The Golden Knights now lead the series 2-1, with teams that take a 2-1 series lead in the final going on to win the Cup 46 of 57 times, or 80.7%. The teams take two days off before meeting in Game 4 on Tuesday night in Las Vegas. What's Next The series is expected to continue with Game 4 on Tuesday night, with the Hurricanes looking to even the series and the Golden Knights seeking to take a commanding 3-1 lead. The unpredictability of the series so far suggests that fans can expect more thrilling action in the coming games.

Deadly Shooting in Central IsraelA suspected terror attack in central Israel has resulted in one fatality and five injuries, with Israeli police reporting they have killed the alleged perpetrator. The incident occurred on Sunday in the Kochav Yair area near the occupied West Bank city of Qalqilya, with the attacker reportedly continuing his shooting spree in nearby towns.Attack Details and Police ResponseAccording to Israeli police, the attack began with shooting towards passersby at a gas station at the entrance to the Kochav Yair area. The attacker, identified as a Palestinian with Israeli citizenship from the nearby city of Tayibe, then continued his actions at the entrances to Tzur Yitzhak and Tzur Natan.Israeli forces intervened and, following a manhunt, killed the suspect. Police forces, border guard soldiers, and special units have been conducting searches for additional suspects, and the weapon used in the attack has been located. Authorities have imposed a security cordoning on several neighboring Arab villages and are urging the public to remain vigilant.Casualties and Medical ResponseIsraeli rescue service Magen David Adom confirmed that a 35-year-old man died of gunshot wounds in the attack. The other five casualties have been transferred to two hospitals, with two of those injured in serious condition.Lior Zilberberg from Magen David Adom described the chaotic response: "We were in a large training exercise in a nearby community when we received reports about gunshot casualties at several scenes close to us. We immediately stopped the exercise and set out with intensive care units and ambulances to multiple locations."Political Reactions and Security ImplicationsHamas commended the attack, calling it a "heroic" operation, but did not claim responsibility. The statement from the militant group comes amid ongoing tensions in the region.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office has confirmed it is holding a situational assessment on the shooting attack. The incident is likely to increase security measures in the area and may impact already fragile Israeli-Palestinian relations.Regional Security ConcernsThe attack occurs against a backdrop of increased violence in the region, with recent reports of Israeli strikes in Gaza and Lebanon that have resulted in multiple casualties. The incident may prompt heightened security operations in Arab communities within Israel and potentially lead to further tensions between Israeli authorities and Palestinian communities.Israeli authorities have urged citizens to report any suspicious activities, indicating that while the main suspect has been neutralized, concerns about potential accomplices or copycat attacks remain.

Lead: The United States Central Command reported shooting down a pair of Iranian drones threatening the Strait of Hormuz, a move that coincided with Tehran firing missiles at Bahrain and Kuwait and a flurry of diplomatic activity involving Pakistan’s interior minister. The latest exchanges underscore a volatile cease‑fire that was only agreed on April 8, while humanitarian and economic pressures mount across the Gulf. Escalation at the Strait of Hormuz: US Forces Down Two Iranian Drones The US military confirmed that two Iranian drones were intercepted and destroyed after they "threatened international maritime traffic" in the strategic waterway. Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs condemned the action as a "flagrant" violation and accused Washington of "hostile and provocative behaviour". Pakistan’s Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi arrived in Tehran on a diplomatic mission, carrying a "special letter" from Pakistan’s army chief and prime minister, according to ISNA. Missile Barrage Targets Bahrain and Kuwait Amid Fragile Ceasefire In retaliation, Iran launched a salvo of missiles aimed at US allies Bahrain and Kuwait, drawing condemnation from Gulf states. The attacks come as the cease‑fire, brokered on April 8, shows signs of unraveling under continued tit‑for‑tat threats. Financial Levers: $24 billion Frozen Assets and Asset‑Redirect Plans A US source told Reuters that Washington plans to redirect Iranian assets to Gulf states for reconstruction and repair of damage caused by Iran. Mohsen Rezaei, adviser to Iran’s supreme leader, told CNN that a peace deal hinges on the release of $24 billion in Iranian assets frozen by the US. The US also denied visas to 15 members of Iran’s World Cup delegation, citing security concerns. Regional Ripple Effects: Casualties in Lebanon and Gaza Two Lebanese army officers and a soldier were killed in an Israeli strike on a military vehicle in south Lebanon. Hezbollah claimed to have hit an Israeli command headquarters in Naqoura with Ababil drones. In Gaza, the death toll rose to 10 after a drone attack killed a man and his son in Gaza City. What the Next Hundred Days May Hold for the Gulf Flashpoint Analysts warn that the combination of military skirmishes, asset‑freeze negotiations and diplomatic overtures could either push the parties toward a negotiated settlement or trigger further escalation. Pakistan’s involvement may open a back‑channel for de‑escalation, but the parallel conflicts in Lebanon and Gaza add layers of complexity. Continued disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz would threaten global oil and gas shipments, pressuring international markets to seek alternative routing.

The Lead The US-Israel war on Iran has completed 100 days, despite initial predictions by US President Donald Trump that it would end 'very fast'. A ceasefire agreed on April 8 has not held, with sporadic fire continuing and talks repeatedly collapsing. Humanitarian Impact At least 7,000 people have been killed, with 3,593 in Lebanon, 3,468 in Iran, and 29 in Gulf states. Additionally, 26 Israelis and 13 US soldiers have been killed. Over a million Lebanese have been displaced, and Israeli forces now occupy nearly a fifth of Lebanon. Economic Consequences The war has caused significant economic disruption. The Strait of Hormuz, through which one-fifth of global oil and gas flows, has seen a drastic reduction in ship traffic, from 100 daily to just 7. This has led to higher freight rates, longer voyage distances, and concerns over global oil stockpiles. Global Market Reactions Oil prices have almost doubled in the past three months, with Brent crude peaking at nearly $120 before settling around $100 per barrel. At least 146 countries have reported increases in petrol prices, with some countries seeing increases of over 90%. The global food supply chain has also been affected, with rising fertilizer and energy costs impacting food production and prices. Future Outlook Despite several rounds of talks, no deal has been reached. The war has contracted global GDP, raised inflation, and increased concerns about slower growth and potential recession. The ongoing conflict and its economic implications are likely to continue influencing global markets and geopolitics in the near future.

The Perfect World Cup Send-offIn a last outing before a first World Cup appearance in 28 years, Scotland dismantled Bolivia with a commanding 4-0 victory. The performance, featuring goals from Lawrence Shankland, Scott McTominay and a brace from Ché Adams, suddenly worries over a potentially tournament defining joust with Haiti next weekend evaporated. If Steve Clarke's men are this ruthless and efficient when the proper stuff starts, they have a serious chance of emerging from the group phase for the first time in Scotland's international history.First Half DominationIn sweltering New Jersey heat, the Scots made a fine start. Andy Robertson completed a one-two with Ryan Christie before chipping a cross to the back post. The Bolivia goalkeeper, Guillermo Viscarra, should have done better with Shankland's header but Scotland's No 20 had no cause to care. This marked his third goal in two games. Adams, who was lively, tested Viscarra before firing a shot only narrowly wide.A second goal was soon forthcoming anyway. Shankland nudged the ball back to McTominay, whose low drive from 18 yards beat the highly unconvincing Viscarra. Scotland's third was a fine goal too, with Aaron Hickey feeding the marauding Ben Gannon-Doak, who put in a perfect cross to the feet of Adams. The Torino man could not miss.Scotland's Attacking ProwessScotland were to match a first-half scoreline margin feat first achieved against England in 1878 and, until now, last versus the Faroe Islands 20 years ago. Gannon-Doak, staking a huge claim for a World Cup start, drove from midfield. The Bournemouth man smoothly found Adams, who beat Viscarra at the second attempt. The Scots were 4-0 to the good at the break. This also meant they had scored a quartet of goals in successive games.Unlike Ally MacLeod's infamous hubris of 1978, Steve Clarke has never been prone to bold or rash predictions. Excitement will be left to everyone else. Who can reasonably deny them that? This friendly, in theory an exercise in box ticking, instead gave reasons for huge Scottish confidence. Scotland will remember their first ever game against Bolivia with great fondness.Tactical ConsiderationsShankland can now be considered a guaranteed Scotland starter for the Haiti clash. He joins Robertson, Hickey, McTominay and John McGinn in that bracket. The likelihood is that Clarke would be keen to deploy Adams in attack alongside Shankland, but the impact made by Lyndon Dykes during last weekend's win over Curaçao inserted doubt to that scenario.Clarke has tough calls over who starts in goal and at centre half in Boston. Christie excelled against Bolivia, which should enhance his Haiti prospects. Scott McKenna, Dykes and Nathan Patterson were the only outfield Scots not to feature at all. This was now a game they only had to manage adequately, including without the injury distress that ended Billy Gilmour's World Cup dream seven days earlier.World Cup OutlookBolivia are ranked above Haiti, whom Scotland will surely have to defeat for the opportunity to reach the World Cup's last 32. The performance against Bolivia suggests Clarke's team has the quality to achieve this objective. While it is fair to point towards limited opposition, that is precisely what Scotland will face in game one of Group C.Foot was removed from gas in the second period but there was still something hugely admirable about Scotland's approach. Now for the key question; will it be alright on the night? This time, there was no sour note. Clarke will have no desire to summon his inner or outer MacLeod. Nonetheless, Scotland head to the World Cup with collective spring in step.

The Grim Reality of China's Gig Economy Hu Anyan's memoir, 'I Deliver Parcels in Beijing', began as a blog and became a bestseller in China, selling nearly 2 million copies. It details his experiences as an internal migrant, working 19 jobs in six cities over 20 years, often in terrible conditions and for very low wages. The Daily Grind Hu's jobs included security guard, hotel waiter, delivery driver, bicycle salesman, bike courier, gas station attendant, and logistics warehouse worker. He often worked long shifts on little sleep and went without food for eight hours at a time. The Human Cost The book, translated by Jack Hargreaves and narrated by Winson Ting, conveys the dehumanizing reality of Hu's experiences and the struggles of internal migrants in China. It is a grim indictment of a system that prioritizes convenience over people's well-being. Further Listening Maybe I'm Amazed by John Harris, a moving account of a father's bond with his autistic son, narrated by the author. Creation Lake by Rachel Kushner, a novel about an American spy who infiltrates a group of eco-warriors in France, narrated by the author.

Monaco Grand Prix Qualifying Begins with Leclerc as Home Favorite Gambling is a mug's game but betting odds can be informative. Looking at one bookies on Friday night, at 1-2, Kimi Antonelli was not yet a prohibitive favourite to win the drivers' championship but George Russell was next best at 9-4, with Lando Norris 14-1 to retain his title, and Charles Leclerc 20-1. However, narrow the focus to this weekend's party by the Med and it was Antonelli who was 14-1, with Leclerc 5-6 favourite. Nothing you are about to see is likely to tell you anything about what is going to happen across the rest of the season, unless Antonelli overturns those Monaco Grand Prix odds. The Circuit Challenge: Monaco's Unique Streets Test Drivers in Unconventional Ways All F1 circuits are different, despite the off-the-shelf feel in the Middle East, but Monaco is the outlier's outlier. The street circuits generally have more idiosyncrasies than those F1 tracks simply going about their day jobs but the twists and slopes of the principality are unlike anything else. It's as if one of the major cricket venues did not just have one tree in the middle of it, in the manner of Canterbury and its lime (RIP), but an avenue here and a copse (from Silverstone?) there. The Odds Analysis: Betting Patterns Show Monaco's Impact on Championship Contenders As a result, a lot of the issues over this season's cars can be parked for a week. No one will be complaining about being unable to drive flat-out, as the necessary braking will deliver all the electrical recharge needed and the straights are far shorter than elsewhere. This plays to Ferrari's strengths and negates Mercedes's, hence those odds on the local lad. The Local Hero: Leclerc's Special Connection to the Principality Plenty of sportspeople move to Monte Carlo for tax reasons the climate, but Leclerc is a born-and-bred Monegasque. The 28-year-old – whose late father drove in the French Formule 3 – grew up on these streets, watching grands prix. Aged eight and nine he would have seen Fernando Alonso win, and as a 10-year-old, Lewis Hamilton. In 2024 Leclerc became the first hometown GP winner in Monte Carlo since Louis Chiron in 1931. The Race Preview: What to Expect from Qualifying and Sunday's Grand Prix It is unlikely to be Ferrari's or Leclerc's year, but this could be their weekend. Qualifying for Sunday's race gets under way at 3pm BST; join me for more buildup from 2.30pm.

The Energy Imbalance Iran is facing more energy constraints as its summer season begins, with the widespread use of air conditioning and other needs during hotter months contributing to an imbalance between supply and consumption. Government's Limited Options For decades, successive Iranian governments have kept utility bills well below supply costs for households and offices through a mix of implicit oil-and-gas subsidies, administered tariffs, state-controlled pricing, and sometimes direct financial support. However, the negative impacts of the war with Israel and the United States on the economy mean the government has fewer tools at its disposal to deal with an energy crisis this summer. Data Analysis Despite having the world's third-largest proven crude oil reserves, Iran will have to import fuel again as demand outpaces refinery output. The administration's attempts to tackle the subsidies burden due to a mounting budget crunch have resulted in only limited increases in petrol through a complex three-tiered pricing system. Most users of Iranian-made vehicles have access to 60 litres (15.85 US gallons) per month of subsidised petrol at 15,000 rials (0.8 cents) and another 100 litres (26.42 gallons) at 1.6 cents. Any use over tier 1 and tier 2 is priced at 50,000 rials (around 1.4 cents) and Iranians are allowed a maximum of 30 litres of fuel per day under any of these prices schemes. Impact Analysis The Iranian government is running similar schemes for natural gas, electricity and urban water, with fears of social unrest making them averse to any sudden price hikes. There appears to be little the government can do to bridge the divide between lower energy production and growing demand for subsidised fuel, illustrated by the perpetual queues at petrol stations since the start of the war. Prediction The situation has worsened during the war, with strikes on Iranian energy facilities seeing Iran's gasoline production capacity drop marginally from 115 million litres (30.37 million gallons) per day to 110 million litres (29.06 million gallons). Meanwhile, consumption has jumped from 10 million litres (2.64 million litres) in 2025 to 140 million litres this year (36.98 million litres). US President Donald Trump's threats of more strikes on power plants have heightened fears of further blackouts and gas shortages this summer, meaning the energy crisis is likely to continue in the coming months.