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The UK housing market is experiencing a downturn due to the Iran conflict, which has led to increased uncertainty and fear among buyers and sellers. This conflict has resulted in lenders pulling hundreds of mortgage products within 48 hours of the war's outbreak, replacing them with more expensive deals.As a result, buyers and sellers are having second thoughts, with some pulling out of deals altogether. The mood in the market is one of 'fear and uncertainty,' according to Andy Wicking, director of the Charles Bainbridge estate agency in Canterbury.In the first three months of this year, just 47% of homeowners who asked Wicking to value their property went on to list it, a significant drop from 68% in the same period in 2025. Wicking notes that owners are still asking for valuations but not acting on them.At the bottom end, first-time buyers and those with the smallest deposits and least experience of riding out a turbulent market are pulling out. Wicking says, 'The chains falling down at the lower end, they're the really cautious ones.'For those who do make it to market, prices are slumping. A house valued at £600,000 may now go on at £575,000 to get buyers through the door. Surveyors are increasingly down-valuing properties too.The conflict has also led to a rise in interest rates, with the average two-year fixed-rate mortgage standing at 5.90% on Wednesday, up from 4.83% at the start of March. Nearly a million homeowners are due to come off five-year fixed deals this year, with those who have secured new deals paying an average of £94 more a month.The timing of the conflict couldn't be worse for owners who usually bring their homes to market after hunkering down for the winter. As Brian Swint, an independent mortgage broker, notes, 'It's the fear.'

The discussion centers on the complex calculus behind forging a permanent ceasefire between the United States and Iran. Analysts consider whether sustained diplomatic pressure, strategic incentives, and the potential fallout from missteps can collectively drive the parties toward a conclusive settlement. Pressure tactics—including sanctions relief and political engagement—are examined for their ability to compel concessions, while incentive packages such as economic aid or security guarantees are weighed as possible carrots. Equally critical are the risks involved: misinterpretation of signals, regional power dynamics, and domestic opposition on both sides could derail negotiations. The piece underscores that any viable deal must balance these elements to achieve durability and broader regional stability.

Libya has taken a significant step towards economic stability with the approval of its first unified budget in over a decade. The Central Bank of Libya confirmed that both the eastern-based House of Representatives (HoR) and the Tripoli-based High Council of State have endorsed the budget. This development is seen as a rare moment of cooperation in a country divided by conflict since the 2014 civil war. The unified budget was signed in the capital, Tripoli, where the internationally recognized Government of National Unity is based under Prime Minister Abdul Hamid Dbeibah. Governor Naji Issa described the agreement as a 'clear declaration that Libya is capable of overcoming its differences when a unified vision for its future is forged.' Libya has remained split since the 2014 civil war, which created rival administrations in the east and west. The last time the country operated under a single national budget was in 2013. The deal brings together institutions that have long competed for authority, with representatives from both sides signing the agreement. Despite this breakthrough, political divisions remain entrenched. In the east, forces loyal to Khalifa Haftar maintain control over large parts of the country, including key oil-producing regions. The timing of the agreement is significant, given Libya's growing importance in global energy markets. Demand for its crude has increased amid disruptions linked to the Israel-US war on Iran and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Libya's geographic position offers a critical advantage, as oil shipments from its ports reach European refineries quickly and avoid the risks associated with Gulf routes. Its light, sweet crude also meets the needs of European refiners facing ongoing supply challenges. This development signals a shift towards more formal cooperation, even as Libya's political fragmentation persists.

The United States and Iran have initiated direct talks in Islamabad, Pakistan, in an effort to bring an end to their six-week conflict. These face-to-face discussions, confirmed by the White House, follow a recent fragile ceasefire agreement and separate bilateral meetings with Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif. The US delegation, led by US Vice President JD Vance, includes special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, son-in-law of President Donald Trump. The Iranian delegation, comprising over 70 people, is headed by parliamentary Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. According to Iranian state media, the talks proceeded after Iranian preconditions were met, including a reduction in Israeli attacks on Lebanon. Iran had insisted on the inclusion of Lebanon in the ceasefire and the lifting of US sanctions as prerequisites for the negotiations. Pakistani Prime Minister Sharif expressed hope that these talks would serve as a stepping stone toward durable peace in the region. Despite earlier assertions from Tehran that they would not engage without commitments on Lebanon's inclusion and US sanctions, the negotiations have moved forward. Sources indicate some progress on basic conditions, including the need for a ceasefire in Lebanon, with reports of a possible understanding to limit strikes to southern Lebanon. There are also indications of potential movement on the unfreezing of Iranian assets. US President Donald Trump posted on social media that the only reason Iranian officials were alive was to negotiate a deal, stating that Iran had no cards other than short-term extortion. Vance expressed optimism about a positive outcome but warned that the negotiating team would not be receptive if Iran tried to play them.

The British government announced that it is putting on hold a bill that would return the Chagos Islands to Mauritius, after President Donald Trump signaled a lack of US support for the arrangement.A UK spokesperson told Reuters and AFP that the deal would only move forward with American backing, stating, "We have always said we would only proceed with the deal if it has US support." The statement added that the islands, particularly Diego Garcia, remain a critical military asset for both nations.Last May, London and Port Louis unveiled a plan under which Britain would cede full sovereignty of the 60‑plus islands to Mauritius while retaining a 99‑year lease on Diego Garcia to preserve the US‑run base that anchors American power in the Indian Ocean.Trump dismissed the proposal in January as an "act of great stupidity," arguing that relinquishing the archipelago would undermine the strategic partnership. In response, the UK reiterated that the base’s long‑term security is the primary reason for the agreement and that it continues to engage with both Washington and Mauritius.At an Indian Ocean conference in Mauritius, Foreign Minister Dhananjay Ramful pledged that his government would "spare no effort" to pursue every diplomatic and legal avenue to complete the decolonisation of the Chagos archipelago, calling the issue a matter of justice.After an initial softening of tone following a February conversation with Prime Minister Keir Starmer, Trump later resumed his criticism on Truth Social, labeling the cession a "big mistake" and a "blight on our Great Ally." The dispute has unfolded against a backdrop of strained US‑UK relations over the ongoing US‑Israel conflict in Iran and the UK's leadership of a 30‑nation coalition protecting shipping in the Strait of Hormuz without US participation.Former senior civil servant Simon McDonald told BBC Radio that Trump’s hostility has forced the agreement into a "deep freeze," noting that when the US president is openly opposed, the British government must reassess its position.Britain has administered the Chagos Islands since 1814, even after Mauritius gained independence in the 1960s. The Diego Garcia base has been pivotal in US operations in Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan. The displaced Chagossian community continues to seek compensation, and a 2019 International Court of Justice advisory opinion recommended that the archipelago be returned to Mauritius.

US President Donald Trump has announced that the Strait of Hormuz will reopen 'fairly soon' with or without Iran's assistance, as the US and Iran prepare for peace talks in Pakistan. The strait, a critical maritime chokepoint, has been effectively blocked by Iran, disrupting approximately one-fifth of global oil and natural gas flows.Speaking to reporters, Trump said the US would 'open up the Gulf' and that other countries were ready to 'help out'. He emphasized that ensuring Iran does not possess nuclear weapons is the priority in any agreement, and the strait would open 'automatically' if a deal is reached.Despite a two-week ceasefire between the US and Iran, shipping in the strait remains at an effective standstill. Only two vessels passed through the strait on Friday, down from five the previous day. More than 600 vessels, including 325 tankers, are still stranded in the Gulf due to the blockage.US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf are set to lead negotiations in Islamabad aimed at securing a permanent end to the war. The US and Iran have offered conflicting messages on the agreed-upon terms for the negotiations, including the contents of a 10-point plan put forward by Tehran.

Senior Iranian officials, including parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, have arrived in Islamabad, Pakistan, for ceasefire talks with the United States. The US delegation, led by Vice President JD Vance, along with special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, is representing Washington in the negotiations.Ahead of the talks, Vance indicated a potential opening for diplomacy, stating that Washington is ready to “extend an open hand” if Iran negotiates in good faith. However, the situation on the ground remains volatile, with Lebanon’s Health Ministry reporting that at least 357 people were killed in Israeli attacks on Wednesday, with the death toll expected to rise.In IranIran is experiencing a near internet blackout that has passed 1,000 hours, making it one of the longest nationwide internet disruptions on record, according to the monitoring group NetBlocks.Analyst Zohreh Kharazmi noted that Iranians remain sceptical ahead of the negotiations, despite Tehran believing it holds leverage, including over the Strait of Hormuz.War DiplomacyIran’s delegation of top officials arrived in Islamabad for ceasefire talks with the US, as reported by Iranian state television on Friday.Lebanon’s presidency announced that a meeting will be held at the US Department of State on Tuesday to discuss declaring a ceasefire and the start date for negotiations between Lebanon and Israel under US auspices.Iran demands a truce in Lebanon and the release of its blocked assets as Vance warned Tehran not to “play” Washington in their talks.US President Donald Trump stated that Iran has “no cards” in upcoming talks with the US and mentioned that US warships are being reloaded with weaponry to strike Iran if the talks fail to produce a deal.In the USTrump says the Strait of Hormuz will reopen ‘fairly soon’, pledging that Washington will “open up the Gulf” amid ongoing disruption to global energy supplies.Former US ambassador Douglas Silliman noted that Trump is likely to push for a fast outcome in the talks to ease economic pressure, with the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz seen as a critical priority.US consumer prices surged to a two-year high, increasing pressure on the administration as economic concerns grow at home.In IsraelThe US has reportedly asked Israel to halt attacks on Hezbollah in Lebanon to avoid derailing negotiations, with the current US-Iran ceasefire set to expire on April 21.Israel’s military operations and expanding ground offensive in Lebanon continued, even as ceasefire negotiations were scheduled.In Gaza and JerusalemMore than 100,000 people attended the first Friday prayers at the Al-Aqsa Mosque in East Jerusalem since its reopening following the US-Iran truce, the holy site’s Islamic authority reported.An Israeli air strike killed at least six people and injured several others at the Bureij refugee camp in the central Gaza Strip, according to the Gaza Health Ministry.In LebanonHeavy toll from Israeli attacks: Lebanon’s Health Ministry reported that nearly 2,000 people have been killed by Israeli air strikes and ground operations since early March, with thousands more wounded.Lebanon is facing a food security crisis, with prices surging and supply chains disrupted amid Israel’s offensive, according to the United Nations World Food Programme (WFP).

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva used his Friday social‑media post to herald a new security partnership with the United States as a breakthrough in the fight against transnational crime.The agreement links the Brazilian Federal Revenue Service with U.S. Customs and Border Protection, establishing the DESARMA programme. Under DESARMA the two agencies will exchange real‑time data, apply rigorous cargo‑tracking protocols and launch joint operations to intercept illicit shipments of arms and narcotics.Finance Minister Dario Durigan called the collaboration an “important step in strengthening international cooperation”, noting that it will integrate intelligence and joint actions to curb the flow of weapons and drugs between the two nations.The pact is part of President Donald Trump’s broader “Shield of the Americas” initiative, which seeks to enlist right‑wing governments across the Western Hemisphere in a hard‑line campaign against criminal networks.Despite the cooperation, Lula’s administration has pushed back against Washington’s attempts to label Brazilian gangs such as the Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as foreign terrorist organisations. Lula and Foreign Minister Mauro Vieira have repeatedly asserted Brazil’s sovereignty and warned against external “tutelage”.In the last twelve months Brazil reported seizing 1,168 illegally imported weapons and parts, most of which originated from the U.S. state of Florida, underscoring the scale of the smuggling problem.A statement from the Revenue Service emphasized that the deal will ensure a “continuous flow of information from U.S. authorities to their Brazilian counterparts”, enhancing operational coordination.Relations remain strained: Vieira told U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio that Brazil opposes the terrorist‑label designation, while the Trump administration continues aggressive actions in the region, including lethal strikes on maritime vessels and a controversial raid in Venezuela.Looking ahead, Lula is expected to travel to Washington, D.C., later this year for talks with Trump, providing a diplomatic channel to manage both cooperation and disagreement.

Historic peace talks between Iran and the US commenced in Islamabad, Pakistan, marking the first face-to-face meeting between senior negotiators from both countries since 1979. The discussions, facilitated by Pakistani mediators, took place in a positive atmosphere despite continued fighting in Lebanon.The US delegation, led by Vice-President JD Vance, and Iran's negotiators, headed by Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Abbas Araghchi, engaged in two rounds of talks. The discussions covered key topics such as security, finance, and the Strait of Hormuz.Pakistani sources confirmed that Pakistan's army chief, Asim Munir, was present in the room, having played a crucial role in brokering a ceasefire earlier in the week. Pakistan's Prime Minister, Shehbaz Sharif, hosted dinner for the delegations at his residence.The Iranian negotiators initially demanded a ceasefire in Lebanon, reparations, and a commitment to unblock frozen assets as part of a peace deal. However, the US warned against attempts to manipulate the negotiations, with Vance stating that the US would not be receptive to such tactics.The talks have sparked optimism, with a senior Pakistani official expressing hope for a breakthrough. The discussions have also drawn attention from other countries, with reports suggesting that China may offer guarantees to secure a deal.Meanwhile, Israel's military actions in Lebanon have escalated tensions, with Hezbollah firing rockets at Israeli cities. The Lebanese army has deployed troops to maintain stability amid internal tensions.