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President Donald Trump declared that the war with Iran is "very close to over," even as Washington maintains a naval blockade of the strategic Strait of Hormuz. In Washington, D.C., Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors convened for uncommon direct talks, seeking a cease‑fire while Israel pressed for Hezbollah’s disarmament. Trump also hinted at a possible second round of negotiations with Tehran, suggesting talks could resume in Pakistan within days. The United States, however, is set to let a temporary sanctions waiver on stranded Iranian oil expire, tightening economic pressure on Tehran. The International Committee of the Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies delivered its first shipment of medical supplies and humanitarian aid into Iran since hostilities began, offering a modest lifeline to civilians. Inside Tehran, minor explosions caused limited damage and injuries, underscoring ongoing instability. Iran estimates its war‑related losses at $270 billion and plans to seek reparations. On the diplomatic front, the United Nations' IAEA chief Rafael Grossi noted that the duration of any uranium‑enrichment moratorium would be a political decision, reflecting the delicate balance of future negotiations. In the United States, the Senate is poised to vote as early as Wednesday on a Democratic initiative to restrict the president’s war powers, signaling growing congressional scrutiny of the conflict. Former defence official David Sedney warned that the Hormuz blockade is backfiring, increasing pressure on Washington as global trade routes are disrupted and domestic support wanes. Meanwhile, CENTCOM Commander Admiral Brad Cooper affirmed that the blockade of Iranian ports is fully operational and that U.S. forces retain maritime superiority in the region. President Trump publicly rebuked Italy’s Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni for not joining U.S. actions against Iran, describing her stance as lacking courage. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced that American forces will intercept Chinese tankers carrying Iranian oil through the Hormuz Strait, effectively cutting off Iran’s oil exports while allowing non‑Iranian cargo to pass. Israel has proposed a long‑term troop presence extending up to 8 km into southern Lebanon until Hezbollah is dismantled, and continues air strikes aimed at encircling the strategic town of Bint Jbeil. Former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Jeffrey Feltman highlighted a growing divergence between U.S. and Israeli priorities, noting Israel’s heightened concern over Iran’s ballistic‑missile program. In Lebanon, Israeli raids have resulted in multiple civilian casualties, with reports of villages being razed in a manner likened to Gaza. Hezbollah has rejected the ongoing Israel‑Lebanon talks, while public opinion remains split between hopes for peace and opposition to negotiations. The International Monetary Fund warned that any further escalation could push the global economy toward recession. It cut its 2026 growth forecast for the Middle East and North Africa to 1.1 % from 3.9 %, citing disruptions to Gulf oil and gas exports. On the markets, stock indices rose while oil prices slipped, reflecting renewed optimism for a diplomatic resolution and the reopening of the Hormuz Strait.

The 2027 Asian Cup draw in Saudi Arabia has been rescheduled for May 9 in Riyadh, owing to the US-Israel war on Iran that has impacted regional sporting events. The draw was initially set for last Saturday. The Asian Football Confederation (AFC) announced the postponement to ensure full participation of all key stakeholders and member associations. The event will take place at the historic At-Turaif District in Diriyah. Several sporting events in the region have been postponed or cancelled due to the war, which began on February 28. Saudi Arabia will host the 24-team, quadrennial continental championship from January 7 to February 5, 2027. With 23 of the 24 teams already confirmed, the draw will divide the qualified nations into six groups of four. The final qualification spot will be decided on June 4 in a playoff between Lebanon and Yemen. Defending champions Qatar, along with four-time winners Japan and fellow World Cup qualifiers South Korea, Iran, Jordan, Australia, and Uzbekistan, have already secured their places in the finals.

The US military has announced that its blockade of Iranian ports has been 'fully implemented,' resulting in a complete halt to economic trade entering and leaving Iran by sea. According to US Central Command (CENTCOM), the blockade is being enforced against vessels of all nations 'entering or leaving coastal areas or ports in Iran.'In a statement, CENTCOM Commander Admiral Brad Cooper said that an estimated 90% of Iran's economy is fueled by international trade by sea. He noted that within 36 hours of the blockade's implementation, US forces had completely halted economic trade going into and out of Iran by sea. The operation involves over 10,000 sailors, Marines, and US Air Force personnel.In the first 24 hours, six merchant ships complied with US orders to turn around and re-enter an Iranian port. Additionally, a US Navy destroyer interdicted two oil tankers attempting to leave Iran, instructing them to turn around. The blockade, which went into effect on Monday at 10am in Washington, DC (14:00 GMT), has had a significant impact on global oil prices, which jumped above $100 per barrel before easing on hopes of further talks between the US and Iran.The blockade is seen as a move by US President Donald Trump to force officials in Tehran to accept Washington's terms for ending the conflict. However, Tehran considers the blockade a violation of the ceasefire, which could complicate the situation. Analysts suggest that the US may be hinting at renewed peace talks to ease the shock of the blockade on the global oil market.

For the first time in decades, Israel and Lebanon have held direct talks, signaling a potential new era in their diplomatic relations. The negotiations, which took place recently, are seen as a crucial step towards resolving longstanding conflicts and fostering cooperation between the two nations.The talks come as both countries seek to address shared concerns and navigate the complex Middle East geopolitical landscape. While details of the discussions remain scarce, the fact that they are occurring directly is being hailed as a significant diplomatic breakthrough.Observers note that this development could have far-reaching implications for regional stability and peace efforts. As Israel and Lebanon continue to engage in dialogue, the international community watches closely, hopeful that these talks will pave the way for lasting peace and cooperation in the region.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has released its latest World Economic Outlook, warning of a significantly darkened global economic outlook. The report cites the outbreak of war in the Middle East on February 28, 2026, as a major factor in the deteriorating outlook.The IMF's January report was titled “Steady amid Divergent Forces”; whereas the latest outlook is headlined “Global Economy in the Shadow of War”. The IMF now expects the global economy to slow compared to its previous forecast in January.The latest outlook notes that the global outlook has abruptly darkened following the outbreak of war. Far be it for the IMF to gloat, but its suggestion in January that “steady” was not a word to describe the global economy unless you were desperately trying to make the madness of Donald Trump seem normal has aged quite well.The IMF remains unwilling to name Donald Trump, while noting the lingering effects of the persistent rise in energy prices since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. However, it only talks about the Middle East conflict as though it sprang out of nowhere.The IMF warns of three possible scenarios: a bad scenario where Trump, Israel and Iran come to an agreement; an adverse scenario where things carry on for the rest of the year and oil stays around US$100 per barrel; and a severe scenario where nothing is resolved, oil prices reach $125 in 2027, gas prices increase by 200% over the same period, and food prices increase by 5% in 2026 and 10% in 2027.Even under the current bad scenario, the global economy is expected to slow compared to what the IMF forecast in January. But under the adverse and severe scenarios the global economy grows by just 2.0% this year and 2.2% next year.For context, over the past 40 years, the global economy has grown slower than 2.2% only three times – 1992 (global recession), 2009 (the GFC) and 2020 (Covid).The IMF has downgraded Australia’s growth by more than most. Even under the most optimistic scenario growth is 0.5% worse than was forecast last October – a bigger downgrade than all G7 nations.The IMF warns against governments doing popular things like energy caps or subsidies, designed to protect households and firms. It worries that such policies will increase inflation because we’ll all suddenly have so much more money to spend.Gas companies exporting LNG from Australia will be cheering on the war as it keeps gas prices – and their profits – ever higher. The senate is investigating changing the way gas is taxed. An ACTU proposal for a 25% tax on exports would raise roughly $17bn a year.

Spanish archaeologists have made a groundbreaking discovery in the Bay of Gibraltar, uncovering the wrecks of over 30 ships. The three-year project led by the University of Cádiz has identified 151 archaeological sites, including 134 shipwrecks, providing a unique glimpse into the region's rich maritime history.The bay, situated at the north end of the Strait of Gibraltar, has been a strategic waterway for thousands of years, with various cultures and nations contributing to its rich history. The oldest shipwreck discovered dates back to the fifth century BC, while other finds include 23 Roman ships, two late Roman ships, four medieval ships, and 24 vessels from the early modern period.The sunken items tell the story of war, trade, exploration, and settlement in and around one of the most strategically important waterways in the world. The wreck of the Puent Mayorga IV, a small, late 18th-century Spanish gunboat, is one of the most exciting finds. This type of boat was used for rapid, stealthy attacks on British ships of the line around Gibraltar.Researchers are now working to preserve and protect the sites, which are at risk from port development, dredging, and dock construction. The climate emergency is also a threat, bringing both rising sea levels and an invasive algae that grows over rocks and wrecks alike.To share their findings and raise awareness, the researchers have created virtual models and 360-degree videos of the sites, which are available online and in local museums and town halls. This effort aims to educate the public about the importance of preserving these archaeological sites and the rich history they hold.

British Chancellor Rachel Reeves has stepped up her criticism of Donald Trump's war on Iran, describing it as a 'mistake' that has destabilized the global economy and damaged living standards around the world.In a marked fraying of the transatlantic relationship, Reeves said Trump's decision to break off from diplomatic talks with Iran and launch airstrikes seemed to have left the president in a worse place than he started.“I think it was a mistake to end those [talks with Iran] and to enter into conflict, because I'm not convinced that we are safer today than we were a few weeks ago,” she told an event in Washington.Reeves' comments added to blunt criticism of Trump she made just before flying out on Tuesday, when she expressed frustration at the 'folly' of his decision to go to war without a clear exit plan.The criticism adds to an increasingly tense atmosphere between Downing Street and the White House, with Trump's attacks on Prime Minister Keir Starmer becoming increasingly personal.The IMF warned on Tuesday that a further escalation in the Iran war could trigger a global recession that would affect the UK more than any of the other G7 nations.Reeves called for the urgent reopening of the strait of Hormuz to calm global energy prices, saying the lack of clear US targets in negotiations with Iran had worsened the situation.“We had the waterway open a few weeks ago. So, if now the objective is to reopen the strait of Hormuz? Well it was open at the beginning of this conflict,” Reeves added.Reeves said she had come to the IMF meetings to “deliver that fair message” that the conflict in the Middle East was hitting living standards worldwide and required urgent de-escalation.

The United States is grappling with unprecedented levels of income and wealth inequality. The average household income in New York City stands at $131,000, yet this figure belies the stark reality that a small elite captures a disproportionate amount of wealth, leaving millions struggling to make ends meet. This extreme inequality has far-reaching economic, political, and social consequences, eroding trust in institutions and leading people to believe that the system is rigged. The issue is not unique to the U.S., as nearly one-fifth of the world's super-rich live in New York, but it is more pronounced in the U.S. than in almost any other advanced economy. A recent global inequality report found that between 2000 and 2024, the richest 1% captured 41% of all new wealth, while the bottom half of humanity received just 1%. The concentration of wealth is staggering, with billionaires now owning 16% of global GDP, up from 3% in 1987. The main driver of this trend is the failure to effectively tax the super-rich. Research has shown that in the 1960s, the 400 richest Americans paid about 50% of their income in taxes, but today they pay around 24%. This pattern is not unique to the U.S., as similar trends have been observed in Europe and other countries. Experts argue that a progressive tax system is necessary to address this issue. A minimum tax of 2% on the wealth of the super-rich has been proposed as a straightforward way to ensure they meet their obligations to society. Several countries, including Spain and Brazil, have committed to implementing this tax, and other nations are considering similar measures. In the U.S., there are signs of a paradigm shift. California voters will consider a tax on billionaire wealth this November, and Washington state has approved a 9.9% income tax on million-dollar incomes. In New York, there are calls to increase taxes on the rich and large corporations to fund essential public services. The authors of the article, Joseph E. Stiglitz, Zohran Mamdani, and Gabriel Zucman, emphasize that the idea of billionaires paying higher tax rates than working people is not radical, but rather a necessary step towards restoring a basic social principle: that those with the most should contribute their fair share so that everyone can live with dignity.

The United States' recent move to impose a naval blockade on Iran is poised to intensify the ongoing global energy crisis. By restricting Iran's ability to export oil, the blockade could further tighten an already constrained supply chain, potentially pushing oil prices higher and increasing volatility in international markets. Analysts warn that the measure may have ripple effects beyond the Middle East, affecting nations that rely on Iranian crude to meet domestic demand. With global fuel inventories already low, any additional disruption could heighten inflationary pressures and strain economies still recovering from recent shocks. While the blockade aims to achieve strategic objectives, its broader economic implications underscore the delicate balance between geopolitical actions and energy security. Stakeholders across the energy sector are closely monitoring the situation, anticipating possible policy responses to mitigate the impact on consumers and industries worldwide.