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The Chancellor's Tax Cut Rachel Reeves, the chancellor, announced a temporary reduction in VAT on the children’s menu in restaurants from 20% to 5% between June and September, in order to help families with the cost of living crisis and offer a boost to the hospitality sector. Restaurateurs' Skepticism Restaurateurs have questioned the impact of the tax cut, with Will Murray, the owner of London restaurant Fallow, saying it's a 'small soundbite that won't make any difference.' Murray noted that most kids' food is already discounted at the cost of the restaurant anyway, and the VAT cut wouldn’t even make up that shortfall. The Data Analysis The UK's VAT rate for restaurants is 20%, one of the highest in Europe, with the European average being around 12%. In Italy, for example, VAT on food sold in restaurants is set at 10%. Some restaurateurs, like Tim Martin, the founder and chair of the Wetherspoons pub chain, plan to cut the cost of kids' meals during the summer, while others see the measure as merely 'symbolic.' The Impact Analysis The hospitality sector has long called for VAT rates on food and drink to be cut in line with other European countries. UKHospitality, the lobbying group for the industry, said it was likely that restaurants would cut costs on the menu for children after direction from government but that it was 'up to individual operators.' The Prediction Kate Nicholls, the chair of UKHospitality, urged the government to be bold and cut VAT for the entire hospitality sector, stating that VAT is the single biggest lever it can pull to lower prices, tackle inflation, drive demand, boost spending, generate growth, and create new jobs.

The LeadGame of Thrones actress Hannah Murray shares her experience of being sectioned in a psychiatric hospital in her new memoir "The Make-Believe: A Memoir of Magic and Madness." The actress describes her mental health journey and the experience of being involuntarily admitted under the Mental Health Act.The Hospital ExperienceThe door to the room opens. A man enters the room. He is a Black man, bald and overweight. He is dressed in uniform. Blue uniform, a blue lanyard that reads "NHS". But I know Steve, the leader of the organisation that introduced me to magic, is a magician. I know he can appear in disguise.I approach the man and try to kiss him.He does not let me kiss him. Then no. It is not Steve.The man has brought me a plate of toast. He has brought me a cup of tea. I add sugar to the tea, which I would never have done in my former life, but a spoonful of sugar helps the medicine go down!I am a Ritual Master. And this, drinking my own urine, is a powerful ritual. This is all I need now to survive … I will never need to eat again. I survive on liquids and air and lightI do not eat the toast. I drink the tea. I am alone in the room again and I urinate into the cup and drink that too.I am a Ritual Master. And this, drinking my own urine, is a powerful ritual. This is all I need now to survive. It is the most potent of potions I can drink. I am a self-contained, utterly self-sufficient being. I will never need to eat again. I survive on liquids and air and light.I decide to explore outside the room. Outside my sanctuary. He has not come. So maybe I need to go searching for him …The Phone CallTime jumps. I am in a corridor lit by overhead strip lights. The electric light is pale yellow in tone. I am sat on one of three chairs in a row against the wall. The chairs are purple, curved plastic. I am still waiting for him to appear.There are two doors in front of me. One is the door to the blue room with the blue sofa and chair. Behind the other door is an office of some kind, and there is a woman in there, shuffling papers and talking on the phone.The woman comes out of the office. She is holding out my phone. My only possession now – the one artefact from my previous life. There is someone she wants me to speak to.Him.When I hold the phone to my ear, I hear a voice I recognise.But the voice belongs to my mother."Hannah?" she says. "Where are you? What's going on?"There is distress in her voice. Her voice is trembling with pain and anxiety.I do not want to hear it.This is a test. A horrible test, certainly, but one that I can pass. They are trying to tempt me back into the human. They are trying to lure me back into the past.I hang up the phone.But, after a moment, it starts to ring. The word Mum lights up the screen."Talk to her," says the woman.I answer the call.My mother sounds different now. Calmer. She asks again what's going on but gently, even cheerfully. I tell her everything's OK. That I'm fine. I tell her not to worry. I'm in a good place.This is the last time I will ever hear her voice, I think. This is the way I say goodbye.The DiagnosisThey tell me I am being sectioned.The words jar with my beliefs."Section 2 … the Mental Health Act … 28 days … right to appeal … "I cock my head.This does not fit at all. It does not fit in the world of Steve, of Ritual Master, of Shambhala and the invention of magic.I am not concerned. I am concerned only with the energy I can feel spiralling up through my body and the voices I can hear in my head.I pace the hospital corridors, delivering a tearful monologue, delivering the greatest performance of my life. A phrase comes to me. The Girl With All the Gifts. The title of a post-apocalyptic horror film released in 2016, starring Gemma Arterton.I am a magician. I am an actress. I am a writer. I have superhuman strength. I can fly. Anything that can be imagined, I can perform it. Every skill and every ability is mine.The film came out as a warning, and a prophecy.And because of me, the apocalypse has been averted.I am the saviour of the planet. I am the girl with all the gifts.The Journey to RecoveryIt was very hard, the journey to get here. It took 27 years. The path was twisting and full of setbacks, there were challenges and so much pain. There were times I wanted to give up. It was very hard. Everyone will have to make their own journey, and their journeys will be their own, unique as snowflakes or fingerprints. That is the beauty of it, the joy of it. Everyone has to figure it out for themselves.But I have laid the groundwork. I have walked the path. It starts with the energy healing, and it goes on and on through the seven dimensions, through increasingly magical planes. It goes on and on until you meet your soulmate, like I met mine.I was in a TV show called Game of Thrones, hidden in plain sight in the midst of a cultural phenomenon. I, the key to the world's salvation, wore the face of a character called Gilly, but really I played every role. Then I worked on a film called Detroit in Boston. David Benioff and Dan Weiss and Kathryn Bigelow were the four horsemen of the apocalypse. Numbers are irrelevant. Three counts as four. David and Dan and Kathryn cast me in the roles that brought about my destiny. The end and beginning of the world.I am the Ur-actress. I am every actress. Every performance ever given has been animated by my energy, my talent, by the gestures and facial expressions I am performing here and now.The Memoir and BeyondThis is an edited extract from The Make-Believe: A Memoir of Magic and Madness by Hannah Murray, published by Cornerstone (£18.99). To support the Guardian, order your copy at guardianbookshop.com. Delivery charges may apply.Hannah Murray will be in conversation with Jessie Cave at Kings Place in London on 5 June.

The Lead: Guardiola's Emotional Farewell After a Decade of Excellence Pep Guardiola has officially announced his departure from Manchester City after 10 transformative years at the helm of one of football's most dominant clubs. The Spanish manager, who has led City to unprecedented domestic success, delivered his final press conference with characteristic emotion and wit, reflecting on a journey that has changed both him and the club forever. The Event Details: A Press Conference Like No Other Guardiola's final press conference was anything but ordinary. Having conducted over 1,100 media sessions during his City tenure, this one required him to summarize a decade of achievement in just 30 minutes. The manager arrived in a black hoodie, cracking jokes about facing Aston Villa while clearly preparing for an emotional farewell. The morning had been a whirlwind of announcements: first confirming his exit at 11:12am, then learning that City's expanded North Stand would be named in his honor. Chair Khaldoon al-Mubarak delivered the news about the stand, while Guardiola only discovered his future statue when informed by a journalist - joking he fears being covered in bird poo. Guardiola's emotional farewell speech to the players earlier that day was, in his own words, "a disaster," highlighting the difficulty of finding appropriate words after such a long and successful tenure. He expressed relief similar to what John Stones felt upon hearing the news, acknowledging the emotional toll of his decision. The Data Analysis: A Legacy Measured in Trophies and Transformation Guardiola's decade at Manchester City has been one of the most successful managerial spells in English football history. Under his leadership, City has: Won 6 Premier League titles, including 4 consecutive championships Secured 2 FA Cups Lifted 6 League Cups Reached the UEFA Champions League final Transformed from a promising club to a global football powerhouse The Catalan manager's impact extends beyond trophies. He has revolutionized City's playing style, developed world-class talent, and transformed the club's global brand. His influence is so profound that many consider City "the club Guardiola built," with him stating, "I like to think my vibe and energy will be there for ever." The Impact Analysis: Changing Manchester and Football Forever The symbiotic relationship between Guardiola and Manchester has transformed both. The manager has embraced his role as an honorary Mancunian, referencing the city's culture and even the 2017 Manchester Arena attacks, when his family was at the venue. He famously used the words of Manchester poet Tony Walsh: "This is my place." Guardiola's influence extends beyond football. His presence has been credited with an increase in tapas restaurants and elevated the profile of local clubs like Stockport County, which he famously visited for a League One game. His connection with Noel Gallagher of Oasis and other cultural figures has bridged the gap between football and Manchester's broader identity. The manager's departure comes at a time when City faces significant challenges, including ongoing charges and the need to maintain dominance without their architect. His exit marks the end of an era that has defined English football for the past decade, setting a new standard for excellence and innovation. The Prediction: What Comes Next for Guardiola and Manchester City Guardiola has indicated he will take a well-deserved break, mentioning his desire to play more golf, drink wine, and spend time with his children. While he joked about waiting for the England manager's job to become available, many speculate he may take a sabbatical from management entirely. For Manchester City, the challenge will be finding a successor who can maintain the club's high standards while navigating ongoing legal and sporting challenges. The club has already been linked with Enzo Maresca, though Guardiola's press conference made clear no succession plans were discussed - this was his day. Whatever Guardiola chooses next, his legacy at City is secure. The naming of the North Stand in his honor and plans for a statue ensure his physical presence will remain at the Etihad. As he himself acknowledged, "Nothing is eternal," but his impact on Manchester City and English football will endure for generations to come.

The Lead: Guardiola's Legacy Beyond FootballPep Guardiola is more than a football manager, using his high-profile platform to highlight causes close to his heart. As he prepares to step away from Manchester City after 10 years and 20 trophies, the 55-year-old Spaniard leaves behind a legacy of advocacy that extends far beyond the "beautiful game."The Event Details: A Manager's Platform for Social ChangeLegendary Liverpool manager Bill Shankly may have believed football was "much, much more important" than life or death, but for Guardiola, several things outside football matter almost as much. From Palestinian children to Catalan independence and homelessness in the United Kingdom, Guardiola has strayed outside the borders of his job to advocate for a diverse range of causes during his managerial career.Guardiola has made no bones about using his position as a podium to "speak up to be a better society." His most recent foray into sensitive political territory has been his passionate embrace of the predicament of Palestinian children in Gaza during the two-year war with Israel and their suffering in the aftermath.The Data Analysis: Impact and ControversyThe war in Gaza, which began after Hamas's October 2023 attack on Israel, has killed at least 72,568 people, including children from toddlers to late teens. Hundreds of thousands of displaced people still live in tents, with conditions remaining dire despite a ceasefire that came into effect in October.Guardiola's advocacy has not been without controversy. His remarks about Palestine prompted the Jewish Representative Council of Greater Manchester and Region to write a letter to Manchester City chairman Khaldoon Al Mubarak, warning his comments put the lives of Jews in Manchester "in danger." Similarly, he was fined £20,000 ($27,000) by the Football Association in 2018 for wearing a yellow ribbon to support imprisoned politicians in his native Catalonia.The Impact Analysis: Shaping Public DiscourseWhile Guardiola's advocacy has met with criticism from some quarters, it has also sparked important conversations about global issues. His willingness to speak out on sensitive topics has demonstrated how athletes and sports figures can use their platforms to draw attention to humanitarian crises and social justice issues.Guardiola's influence extends beyond his immediate audience. When he missed a pre-match news conference to attend a charity event for Palestinian children in Barcelona, his actions garnered international attention. Similarly, his support for the Salvation Army's Partnership Trophy, a five-a-side football tournament in Manchester that raises awareness of homelessness, has helped shine a light on this often-overlooked issue.The Prediction: The Future of Athlete AdvocacyAs Guardiola transitions from his managerial role, his legacy of advocacy may inspire other sports figures to follow suit. In an era where athletes are increasingly using their platforms for social and political causes, Guardiola's approach—unapologetic, consistent, and multifaceted—could become a model for how sports figures can leverage their influence for meaningful change.His willingness to address complex geopolitical issues, from the Middle East to Ukraine and Sudan, suggests that future athlete advocates may become more engaged with global affairs, recognizing their potential to shape public discourse and bring attention to underserved communities and causes.

The Leadership Shift at the Federal Reserve Kevin Warsh has been sworn in as chair of the US Federal Reserve, tasked with steering the world’s largest economy as the Trump administration faces mounting pressure over Americans’ financial wellbeing. Warsh's Mandate Warsh, handpicked by Donald Trump, takes charge of the powerful central bank as it comes under extraordinary pressure from the US president to cut interest rates, even as prices climb. Economic Data Analysis The nationwide average US fuel price stood at $4.55 a gallon on Friday, according to AAA, up $1.35 a gallon from where they stood a year ago. Inflation hit a three-year high of 3.8% in April. The Impact on Trump's Approval Ratings With millions of Americans set to hit the road over Memorial Day weekend, and US fuel prices at their highest levels in years, 68% of Americans believe Trump is prioritizing his controversial immigration crackdown at the expense of their economic wellbeing, according to a new poll. The Future Outlook Warsh pledged to lead a “reform-oriented Federal Reserve”, adding: “Inflation can be lower, growth stronger, real take-home pay higher, and America can be more prosperous, and no less important.” However, criticism from Democrats and some economists suggests that Warsh's credibility is in question.

Kevin Warsh, 56, was sworn in Friday as the new chair of the United States Federal Reserve Board of Governors, succeeding Jerome Powell after a sharply partisan Senate vote.Swearing‑In and Senate Confirmation DetailsThe oath of office was administered on May 22, 2026. The Senate confirmed Warsh along party lines, with only Pennsylvania Sen. John Fetterman breaking with his Democratic colleagues.Nomination period: contentious, with accusations of being a “sock puppet” for President Donald Trump.Trump’s opening remarks: “I want Kevin to be totally independent and do a great job.”Democratic Sen. Elizabeth Warren challenged Warsh’s independence during the Banking Committee hearing.Warsh’s first policy meeting: June 16‑17, 2026.Inflation Numbers and Market ExpectationsConsumer prices rose 0.6 % in April after a 0.9 % increase in March, according to the latest CPI report.Annual CPI: 3.8 % YoY – the largest rise in three years.Energy prices: up 17.9 % over the past year.Average gasoline price: $4.56 per gallon (up from $2.98 on Feb 28).JPMorgan Chase forecasts rates will stay unchanged until mid‑2027, with a possible rise thereafter. CME Group’s FedWatch tool shows a 97 % probability that rates remain unchanged at the next meeting.Implications for Fed Independence and Monetary PolicyWarsh inherits a central bank under intense political scrutiny. While he pledged “not naive” about inflation challenges, the White House’s push for rate cuts collides with the Fed’s mandate to curb price growth.The Fed’s April minutes highlighted persistent inflation risks from geopolitical tensions and sector‑specific price pressures, reinforcing concerns about long‑term rate stability.Outlook for Rate Decisions and Economic GrowthGiven the 97 % odds of a hold at the June meeting and JPMorgan’s mid‑2027 rate‑rise scenario, markets are likely to price in a prolonged period of policy stability.Analysts will watch Warsh’s leadership style and his ability to balance political expectations with the Fed’s statutory independence as inflationary pressures evolve.

The LeadA proposal to allow four academy sides from Women's Super League clubs to join the third tier from 2027 has been approved by the FA Women's National League board, despite significant backlash from lower-league clubs. The plans will now be put to the Football Association for further discussion before the changes can be rubber stamped, with a final decision expected in July.The Proposed Structural ChangeUnder the scheme, four professional game academies (PGAs), chosen on the "strength of academy and proportion of English talent," would join the third tier with a three-year license. These academy teams would be prohibited from promotion to the second tier but could be relegated. The other WSL clubs' PGAs would remain in their existing leagues. The FA has also proposed a potential investment package of about £1m, enhancements to legal and medical support in the loan system, and play-offs in tier four.The Division of OpinionThe proposal has divided opinion in the women's game. Manchester City are among several WSL clubs that support the move. The champions' managing director, Charlotte O'Neill, stated they would like to enter an academy team into the third tier, saying: "We've seen in Spain, for example, how powerful that's been for Barcelona." However, a number of lower-league clubs have voiced concerns. Some coaches have vented their frustration on social media, accusing the FA of "rehashing and repackaging" a scrapped plan to introduce WSL B teams. Ian Chiverton, chair of Portsmouth's supporters club, accused the authorities of "pandering to the WSL teams," while Danny Taylor, assistant manager of Mancunian Unity, called the idea an "absolute disgrace."The FA's RationaleSue Day, the FA's director of women's football, defended the governing body's plans, saying she believes the game is at a "crucial turning point." Day added: "Too many talented young players are not getting the opportunities they need to develop, and without action, that risks holding back the future of the sport. A stronger pathway produces better players and strengthens the national team, which in turn fuels the growth and visibility of the game at every level."Future ImplicationsThe introduction of WSL academy teams to the third tier could significantly alter the landscape of women's football in England. While the FA argues that stronger pathways will benefit the national team, critics worry about the impact on existing lower-league clubs and competitive balance. The final decision in July will determine whether this controversial restructuring moves forward, potentially reshaping the women's football pyramid for years to come.

The Arrest That Sparked International ConcernThe operation began at 9am Moscow time, but took place across all of Russia's 11 time zones. Almost simultaneously, agents of the federal security service (FSB) raided the homes and workplaces of 17 Indigenous rights activists. Officers carried out searches, confiscated laptops and phones, and arrested and interrogated activists about participation in international forums. Most were let go; many have since left the country. Others remain in Russia, but will no longer speak up.Six months later, one remains in jail. Daria Egereva, one of Russia's foremost Indigenous rights activists, is accused of membership of a terror group. No trial date has been set. Her supporters say the charges are fabricated and she has been targeted for speaking out.Egereva was not just any activist. A member of the Selkup indigenous group, from western Siberia, she was a "bright star" of Russia's indigenous rights movement. As a member of the UN's Indigenous Peoples' Coordinating Body, she had international status. Weeks before her arrest, she had played a key role at Cop30 in Brazil as co-chair of the Indigenous People's Forum on Climate Change.Her jailing has shone a spotlight on the plight of Russia's Indigenous people, threatened by authoritarianism, extractivism and climate breakdown.The Climate Crisis in Russia's Arctic"They are really seeing the worst effects of climate change," said Alicia Moncada, director of global advocacy at Cultural Survival, which campaigns for Indigenous rights. "They are on the frontline of the frontline – that's why [Egereva's] advocacy was super important."The polar north is heating faster than any other part of the planet. In recent decades, temperatures in Arctic regions have risen three to four times faster than the global average. Communities based on permafrost are seeing their world collapse around them."The elders are saying that nature has stopped trusting us," said one exiled Indigenous leader, who requested that his name be withheld. "The traditional ways of predicting nature are not working any more."Many settlements sit next to the banks of rivers and lakes. Due to the melting permafrost, those banks are beginning to crumble. "There is a real threat of destruction for a lot of those villages," said the leader, who spoke through an interpreter. And the melting ice has brought a new source of tension: newly accessible critical mineral resources.Resource Extraction and Indigenous Displacement"All these resources of the Russian Federation, a majority of them are located under the lands of Indigenous people: gold, diamonds, oil, gas, coal," the leader said. "For some people it is a treasure, but for us it is a curse."Because the companies are coming to our land for those resources and they are pushing us out. Even if they don't push us out, the environmental situation in those places will become so bad that we are unable to hunt or fish."One of the elders said that we can adapt to anything, but we will not be able to survive without our land."The Government Crackdown on Indigenous ActivismAlthough Indigenous groups maintained their identities, by the end of the Soviet era they lacked independent organisation and relied on the state. Egereva had been part of a new generation of leaders who had encouraged community self-empowerment.But this assertiveness brought them into conflict with the authorities. Even before the war in Ukraine, the Russian state claimed that its enemies were exploiting environmental and indigenous issues. Now, with the war a pretext for a crackdown on civil society, Indigenous people are among those at the sharp end.To date, 830 organisations and 20,813 individuals have been put on the "list of terrorists and extremists", according to the UN. Among them was Aborigen Forum, a network of Indigenous defenders designated an "extremist organisation" in July 2024.Russian authorities have based their charges against Egereva and her co-defendant, Natalia Leongardt, a civil rights activist, on their involvement with Aborigen. Authorities claim it is part of an anti-state "post-Russia free nations forum".International Response and Russian DefenseIn a bail hearing on 29 April, Egereva and Leongardt denied being part of any anti-state conspiracy. "I am not familiar with and do not know this organisation," Egereva told the court. "What we are being accused of is completely untrue ... I ask to be allowed to return home and embrace my children."The court refused to grant them bail, remanding them in custody until at least mid-June. The following day, Russia celebrated a new federal holiday: the "Day of Indigenous Small-Numbered Peoples".The Russian embassy told the Guardian: "The investigation concerning Daria Egereva is an internal Russian legal matter, conducted in full accordance with Russian law. As proceedings are ongoing, we are not in a position to comment on the specifics of the case."Russia firmly rejects any allegations of violations of Indigenous people's rights. Unlike a number of western states – including Britain in its former colonies – Russia has no history of forced assimilation of Indigenous communities. Russian law affords Indigenous peoples special legal protections, guaranteeing their collective and individual rights, cultural identity, and linguistic heritage under the constitution and in line with international norms."Russia is actively engaged in the international climate agenda, taking account of both the challenges and the economic opportunities emerging in its northern regions – including expanded access to the northern sea route and mineral resources in permafrost zones. All such projects are carried out with the aim of supporting regional development, creating jobs and attracting investment, including for the benefit of Indigenous communities in these areas."

The Sequel Announcement The studio behind hit Michael Jackson biopic 'Michael' has revealed plans for a sequel despite the controversy that surrounded the original. Production Details Speaking in a quarterly earnings call, Lionsgate motion picture chair Adam Fogelson said that preparations for a projected sequel “continue to go exceptionally well”. Fogelson added that there is a lot of entertaining Michael Jackson story that was not touched upon in the first film. The Financial Impact The original film delivered record-breaking box office figures in both the US and UK, with its current revenue standing at $715.8m worldwide. Fogelson suggested that some of the previously shot footage could be utilised for the sequel, which would help lower the sequel’s production costs. Addressing Controversy The production of 'Michael' was dogged by issues surrounding allegations of child sex abuse against Jackson. It is not clear how or even if a sequel will deal with these allegations. However, Fogelson suggested that the sequel may not follow chronologically. The Future Outlook Lionsgate believes that they have 25 to 30% of a second movie already shot from the prior production activity. The studio is confident that the sequel will appeal once again to a global audience.